Metrics

New template forming after extensive Wildcard usage

With the Christmas period looming large for Fantasy managers, there have been increases in Wildcard uses from week to week.

Gameweek 16 saw the continuation of the heavy Wildcard usage among the top 10 thousand FPL managers, especially.

4.54% of them activated the chip compared to 3.64% in Gameweek 15. This leaves around 12% first Wildcards left for managers to use in December.

There are clues to the new template when we look at how Gameweek 16 Wildcards compare with those from Gameweek 15. As you can see, the options selected are mostly similar across the two line-ups.

The two squads share 13 from a possible 15 players, which means Gameweek 15 Wildcarders benefited from many price changes which Gameweek 16 Wildcarders probably missed.

One of the two selection differences is Callum Wilson replacing the injured Marko Arnautovic in the front line, although ironically he also picked up an injury himself.

The second is the inclusion of Sead Kolasinac instead of Lucas Digne, with Arsenal’s fixtures looking better long-term compared to Everton’s.

The rest of the most selected Wildcard picks are the same except for slight changes in the ownership percentages of certain players.

For example, Wildcarders became more convinced of including Harry Kane (74.45% to 85.9%) and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (61.26% to 70.70%) in their new squads this week. Meanwhile the likes of Marcos Alonso (54.12% to 30.4%) and Leroy Sane (60.71% to 53.96%) suffered marginal drops in their Wildcard representation.

One major thing many Wildcarders missed was the inclusion of hat-trick hero Mohamed Salah. The Egyptian is now the highest-scoring player so far in Gameweek 16 with 21 points, and he’s only included in just 32.2% of Wildcards this week.

He is also not that highly owned in general among the top 10k teams, with only 39.5% ownership, raised to 52.1% effective ownership by factoring the captaincy in.

This meant his owners earned big rank jumps, especially with the latest captain poll winner Aubameyang (40.31%) scoring only five points.

Meanwhile, the popular Wilson and Trent Alexander-Arnold missed out on Saturday lunch-time which again raises the importance of having a good bench in December.

Running simulations of the exact autosubs that will take place for just the two of them in the top 10k indicates the following results. It is Aaron Wan-Bissaka who will gain the most increase of effective ownership, followed by Alonso and Ryan Fraser, as indicated in the following table.

PlayerIncrease in Effective Ownership after TAA and Wilson autosubs
Wan-Bissaka23.40%
Alonso11.88%
Fraser9.09%
Bennet7.46%
Doherty3.23%

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1,907 Comments Post a Comment
  1. arndff_
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Would you WC this:

    Fabianski
    Robertson Kolasinac Doherty AWB
    Salah Sane Fraser
    Kane Auba Jimenez

    Button | Richa Yedlin Diangana

    [1FT, 0.1M ITB]

    to that:

    Fabianski
    Kolasinac Doherty Schindler
    Hazard Sane Son Anderson Fraser
    Kane Auba

    Button TAA Kamara AWB

    [0.5M ITB]

    * It comes down to this:

    Robertson, Yedlin, Salah, Richa, Diangana, Jimenez > TAA, Schindler, Hazard, Son, Anderson, Kamara

    1. Zladan
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I like it.

      We saw this week how the wildcard burned its users. Lightening doesn't strike twice though. Go for it. Fab the keeper you want? Look at Leno if you can afford.

      1. arndff_
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        I can.

    2. Iceball
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      No, your current team is even better!

    3. Rojo's Modern Life
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I prefer your first team

    4. madame shelly
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      save it. not gaining a lot. keep it til end of dec

  2. BenDavies
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Here's what's going to happen. Rich, Siggy and Doherty manage to get 15 points each. I'm suddenly hitting 70 points and it's a fantastic week. BOOM.

    Likely outcome tbh.

    1. Nascimento
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      No.

      1. BenDavies
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Alternatively, yes.

    2. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      90 percent odds that either Siggy and Rich are involved in the goals.

  3. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Score prediction for the game tomorrow. I would personally take a 0-0 draw.

    1. lugs
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      0-0

    2. GianniBanani
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Ill take it as Jimenez and Doherty owner as long as Richarlison will blank on monday

    3. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      0-0 would suit me.. or a Doherty winner.

    4. captainjilflex
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Im hoping for a 0-0. Have yedlin and doherty

  4. Richd
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Salah xG today 1.54 and 1 was offside.

    1. Zilla
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      makes up for all previous games

  5. Iceball
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    No big problems in squad.
    Would you get Torreira for either Fraser or Höjberg?

    1. arndff_
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Hojbjerg

  6. Jonny HOW SON?
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Pickford, Stekelen
    Robbo, Alonso, Doherty, AWB, Kabasele
    Salah, Dilva, Richi, Cairney, Brooks
    Kane, Chica, Zaha

    Would you wildcard?

    1. Bruno Bruno!!
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Yes probably

  7. FF Dirtbag
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Hmm I know this is gonna be a proper Headache every week to bench someone but thoughts on:

    Obiang and Patricio - > Anderson and Button for - 4?

    Team right now: 1FT and 2.6m ITB
    Fabianski Patricio
    Alonso Robertson Stones Doherty AWB
    Eriksen sane Richarlison Martial Obiang
    Kane Wilson jimenez

    1. Zladan
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Do you have enough captain choices there?

      I'm not so sure benching headaches are an issue around this period of resting players.

      1. FF Dirtbag
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        I think Kane, Anderson, martial and sane is enough

        1. FF Dirtbag
          • 12 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          And especially with this time of year having that extra would be great to have

        2. Zladan
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          I think only Kane is worthy of the armband of those tbh.

  8. Zilla
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Do we know anything about Wilson's fitness?

    1. GS456
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Minor injury

      Hold him

  9. GS456
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    No replies on previous post.

    How come mark isn’t involved on site or the video content anymore?

    Always value his opinion the most

    1. Richd
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Family problems is all I picked up from what he said.

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Health and family reasons.

      1. GS456
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Ahhh that’s fair enough then.

    3. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Got a better offer from China.

  10. The Mighty Whites
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Best Murray replacement? 0.4 in the bank

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Chicha

      1. The Mighty Whites
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Even with me having Balbuena & FAnderson?

        1. Team Cruel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Yes. Fulham are terrible for starters and even after that he was four cracking fixtures.

  11. GianniBanani
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    1FT, 1.5itb

    Fabianski, Hamer
    Alonso, Robertson, TAA, Doherty, AWB
    Salah, Sterling, Fraser, Anderson, Stephens
    Kane, Wilson, Jimenez

    A) get Arsenal def now
    B) get Digne for GW19
    C) upgrade Fraser to Richarlison for GW19
    D) wait for Trippier and get rid of TAA/Robertson

  12. Bruno Bruno!!
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Salah owners sticking or selling ?

    1. MTPockets
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Held through the lows, not selling now

        1. Bagheri Arce
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Had planned on selling for a Man City player. Unsure now

      • Gooner Kebab
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Got other problems 🙁

      • the axolotl
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        selling, as things stand

      • GianniBanani
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        I have no idea tbf. I wanted to do Salah+Stephens > Sane+Eriksen but both Salah's hattie and Hazards's last returnes put me off. Probably bank transfers for now

        1. Eastman
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Keeping. Had him all season and see no reason to change. Just wished I’d captained him today

          1. HD7
            • 7 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            Selling as Sterling Mitro > Salah Success

      • Drip Doctor
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        UTD, wolves, NEWCASTLE

        I think i'll keep for them fixtures thanks.

      • DAZZ
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Think i might keep now and get Son in as Spurs coverage.

    2. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      1ft 0.1itb

      Fabianski
      Alexander-Arnold - Kolasinac - Doherty - Schindler
      Hazard[vc] - Sane - Sigurdsson - Anderson
      Kane[c] - Aubameyang

      Button - Richarlison - Kamara - Digne

      Any transfers needed

      Team and bench order gtg??

      1. Zladan
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Richarlison over Schindler.

        1. Bad Kompany
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          this

        2. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          hmm got schindler especially for this fixture .Lets see how richy does vs watford

      2. Bruno Bruno!!
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Very nice team

    3. Bad Kompany
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      If on wc which 2 of these would you go for?
      A. Kane
      B. Sterling
      C. Hazard

      1. Gerd Mueller’s thighs
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        I’m emotional right now, but I would B, C.

    4. Gooner Kebab
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I'm hoping Dunk will rise tonight so i can sell him with 0.1 profit!

    5. Bagheri Arce
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Anyone else bench Luiz?....or is that just me! 🙁

      1. Gooner Kebab
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        right at the end of my bench!

        1. Bagheri Arce
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Snap! I feel your pain brother.

          Have Alonso so didn't want to double down. Even worse as I swapped him from 1st bench to 3rd this morning. Idiot

    6. Gerd Mueller’s thighs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Harry Troll Kane to Chicharito?

      1. BrockLanders
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Before Burnley at home??

    7. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      If out longer term Wilson to

      A Chicharito
      B Rashford
      C Mitrovic ( was going to be him but a bit put off by early sub and awful performance today and Kamara good showing)
      D Jiminez

      1. Gooner Kebab
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Watch out for Mitro's 4yc

        1. dunas_dog
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Good point!

      2. Bad Kompany
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        A or D

      3. Bagheri Arce
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        D) if you own Anderson already.

        Although B) is intriguing....

    8. mgilbert86
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I think i have too much money in defence

      Ederson
      Robertson Van dijk digne schindler awb

      Should i downgrade?

      1. BrockLanders
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Looks ok to me. Maybe downgrade Big Virg

    9. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Is it really wise to sell Rich?

      Surely he's a danger even to City away.

      1. MTPockets
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Considering it, for Anderson. Alternatively getting Snodgrass and switching fodder from mid to fwd if Wilson's crocked.

          1. BrockLanders
            • 9 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            Anderson looks decent. Fulham away next though. Stinks of Raneiri home win..

        • kennethrhcp
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          im starting him anyway

        • IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          u can bench him if needed.No way i am selling him

      2. FirminoIsBetterThanYou
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Was all set to do Gomez -> Kolasinac/Bellerin but I've just realised Arsenal have no fit centre backs available for next week, should I still do it and if so which one?

      3. diesel001
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        GW16 WC template does not look that bad to me other than perhaps the double up on Wilson and Fraser (one is enough) and a question over Doherty (I presume people have value locked up in him, but someone like Laporte or a Spurs defender would probably be better). Some highlights:

        Man City (Sane, Sterling) - 4 of their next 6 are at home. They have scored 30 goals at home (have xG at home of 28). To put this into context, the next best at home is Chelsea (19 goals scored, xG of 16).

        Arsenal (Auba) - 6 of their next 8 fixtures are against teams with the worst xGA and actual goals conceded (Fulham, Brighton, Southampton, Burnley, Cardiff and West Ham). Huddersfield aren't actually as bad as those lot, surprisingly - their issue is scoring goals.

        Arsenal (Kola) - 5 of their next 8 fixtures are against teams with the worst xG and actual goals scored (Fulham, Brighton, Southampton, Burnley, Cardiff)

        Spurs (Kane) - 7 of their next 11 fixtures are against teams with the worst xGA and actual goals conceded (Burnley x2, Fulham, Cardiff, Man Utd, Bournemouth, Newcastle). Again, Huddersfield aren't actually as bad as those lot.

        Chelsea (Alonso) - 6 of their next 11 fixtures are against teams with the worst xG and actual goals scored (Brighton x2, Southampton, Newcastle, Huddersfield, Palace)

        West Ham (Anderson) - 8 of their next 15 fixtures are against teams with the worst xGA and actual goals conceded (Fulham x2, Southampton, Burnley, Brighton, Bournemouth, Cardiff, Newcastle). They also face Huddersfield and Palace who are better than those lot, but not as good as Everton, Wolves, and the Top 6.

        Everton (Richarlison) - Next two fixtures are tough. After that though, 4 of their next 5 are against teams with the worst xGA and actual goals conceded (Burnley, Brighton, Southampton, Bournemouth). They also face Huddersfield soon after who are better than those lot, but not as good as Leicester, Wolves, and the Top 6.

        1. MTPockets
            5 years, 4 months ago

            Agree in general. Not interested in Auba personally as would never captain him vs alternatives. Can't yet bring myself to consider Ars defender either, but may change my mind.

          • boc610
            • 12 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            The over thinking on this site is staggering.

        2. Carcaju
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Patricio - 4M

          Luiz - Laporte - Doherty - Bennet - Wa Bissaka

          Salah - Hazard - Felipe Anderson - Richarlison - 4.3

          Chicharito - Auba - Wilson

          2 FT, 1.5M itb

          Laporte, Richarlison, Wilson -> Kiko, Gunnarson, Kane (-4)

          Is Kane that essential so as to do these moves?

        3. Bruno Bruno!!
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          My season seems to have leveled out and I cant seem to move up the ranks, and suggestions would be greatly appreciated

          Fabianski
          Balbuena Laporte Doherty
          Brooks Sane Anderson Salah
          Lacazette Jiminez Aubameyang

          Hamer VanDijk Camarasa Digne

          1FT 1.4m ITB

          1. diesel001
            • 7 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            Why are you benching VVD? Swap for Balbuena and stick.

          2. kennethrhcp
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            double Westham at the back doesn't look great even with their fixtures... i'd play van dijk ahead of Balbuena but I could be very wrong

            it's a good team, the arsenal gamble up top just didn't pay this week

        4. Wild Rover
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          ‘Pretty boy’ Zerafa is gonna need a new name 😀

          1. #FPLBhuna
            • 7 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            'Broken Zafira'

            Xd

            Brook needs to get him out there, too lax

            1. Wild Rover
              • 13 Years
              5 years, 4 months ago

              They should get Geoff Shreeve to interview him..

              “Hey Kell, how does it feel to be the only boxer anyone has heard of that isn’t on Pay per view”?

        5. The Polymath
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          If Wilson hadn't been injured would it have made the result against Liverpool any different? Nobody expected the hat-trick.

          1. Goat
            • 6 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            I did

          2. Drip Doctor
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            I did. Well maybe not a hat trick, but i thought he'd have a big haul. Signs were there and Bournmouth give away a lot of chances.

          3. Nascimento
            • 8 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            I did

        6. insertcomedyname
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          The plan was to WC now to ditch Salah and spread the cash. Less sure after Salah’s haul. Thoughts welcome.

          Ryan / Button
          Robertson / TAA / Alonso / Doherty / Diop
          Salah / Sané / Rich / Fraser/ Masuaku
          Rashford / Kane / Jiménez

          1. MTPockets
              5 years, 4 months ago

              Looks ok. If it ain't broke...

            • madame shelly
              • 9 Years
              5 years, 4 months ago

              I was the same, but can't sell Salah now...

              Pat/Stek
              Alonso,Robbo,wba,bennett,digne
              Mo, Richy, Fraser, Sterling, Anderson
              Auba, Wilson, Success

              just don't see the point as would keep whole mf

            • Tsparkes10
              • 5 Years
              5 years, 4 months ago

              I'm the same... like it though

            • dunas_dog
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              5 years, 4 months ago

              Looks fine - Ryan perhaps weakest link and if free transfer would get Fabianski

          2. Bruno Bruno!!
            • 8 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            Laca owners selling or giving one more GW?

            1. dunas_dog
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              5 years, 4 months ago

              Not an owner but would keep

            2. #FPLBhuna
              • 7 Years
              5 years, 4 months ago

              Selling 😉

          3. andoman
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            Need a less than 6.5 replacement for Hobjberg to see me through the crazy Christmas period -
            Snodgrass or Paterson?

            1. dunas_dog
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              5 years, 4 months ago

              Snoddy

            2. FPL Forward Thinker
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              5 years, 4 months ago

              Snodgrass, Armstrong, Paterson, Fraser or Cairney

          4. R.C
            • 6 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            Play who?

            1. TAA
            2. Richarlison

            1. FPL Forward Thinker
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              5 years, 4 months ago

              2