Metrics

New template forming after extensive Wildcard usage

With the Christmas period looming large for Fantasy managers, there have been increases in Wildcard uses from week to week.

Gameweek 16 saw the continuation of the heavy Wildcard usage among the top 10 thousand FPL managers, especially.

4.54% of them activated the chip compared to 3.64% in Gameweek 15. This leaves around 12% first Wildcards left for managers to use in December.

There are clues to the new template when we look at how Gameweek 16 Wildcards compare with those from Gameweek 15. As you can see, the options selected are mostly similar across the two line-ups.

The two squads share 13 from a possible 15 players, which means Gameweek 15 Wildcarders benefited from many price changes which Gameweek 16 Wildcarders probably missed.

One of the two selection differences is Callum Wilson replacing the injured Marko Arnautovic in the front line, although ironically he also picked up an injury himself.

The second is the inclusion of Sead Kolasinac instead of Lucas Digne, with Arsenal’s fixtures looking better long-term compared to Everton’s.

The rest of the most selected Wildcard picks are the same except for slight changes in the ownership percentages of certain players.

For example, Wildcarders became more convinced of including Harry Kane (74.45% to 85.9%) and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (61.26% to 70.70%) in their new squads this week. Meanwhile the likes of Marcos Alonso (54.12% to 30.4%) and Leroy Sane (60.71% to 53.96%) suffered marginal drops in their Wildcard representation.

One major thing many Wildcarders missed was the inclusion of hat-trick hero Mohamed Salah. The Egyptian is now the highest-scoring player so far in Gameweek 16 with 21 points, and he’s only included in just 32.2% of Wildcards this week.

He is also not that highly owned in general among the top 10k teams, with only 39.5% ownership, raised to 52.1% effective ownership by factoring the captaincy in.

This meant his owners earned big rank jumps, especially with the latest captain poll winner Aubameyang (40.31%) scoring only five points.

Meanwhile, the popular Wilson and Trent Alexander-Arnold missed out on Saturday lunch-time which again raises the importance of having a good bench in December.

Running simulations of the exact autosubs that will take place for just the two of them in the top 10k indicates the following results. It is Aaron Wan-Bissaka who will gain the most increase of effective ownership, followed by Alonso and Ryan Fraser, as indicated in the following table.

PlayerIncrease in Effective Ownership after TAA and Wilson autosubs
Wan-Bissaka23.40%
Alonso11.88%
Fraser9.09%
Bennet7.46%
Doherty3.23%

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1,907 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Nascimento
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    West Ham would have run riot today if they had a half decent striker instead of Hernandez

    1. Ghost Gooner
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      He scored and assisted 😆

      1. Nascimento
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        He did.

        1. Nascimento
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Not sure what your point is.

          Assuming you haven’t seen anything other than that?

    2. Drip Doctor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Amazes me how pundits always praise him.

      1. Nascimento
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        They’ve just focused on the one he did finish tonight as well!

    3. Differential C (Mark)
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Have to agree. I think this is the "fox in the box" style of play by Hernandez. Its darn ugly, but it works for him haha. Need a more clinical striker. Shame Arnie is out injured.

      1. Nascimento
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Exactly. Might just be lacking a bit of sharpness I guess!

    4. Gimli son of Gloin
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      They were woeful in the first half.

  2. Niho992
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Where i can see live ranking?

    1. Differential C (Mark)
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Livefpl.net

  3. Infamy, Infamy
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Has anybody ever seen Roy Hodgson and Theresa May in the same room? Doppelgängers.

    1. Squeazy
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Hahah

  4. tafrère
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    A. Chicharito + Snodgrass
    or
    B. Kamara + Fanderson

  5. Carcaju
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Bottomed

    Patricio - 4M

    Luiz - Laporte - Doherty - Bennet - Wa Bissaka

    Salah - Hazard - Felipe Anderson - Richarlison - 4.3

    Chicharito - Auba - Wilson

    2 FT, 1.5M itb

    Laporte, Richarlison, Wilson -> Kane + 8.6M to split between a defender and a midfielder (-4)

    Only way to get Kane. Worth it?

  6. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Horrible horrible week.

    1. Differential C (Mark)
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Ouch! Captain Kane?

    2. Duffy Dunk
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      There is always next week, as Thierry says.

    3. The Enlightener
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      And people carry on about this game requiring skill. No. What it requires, to do well at least, is a most cautious approach where the most minimal hits are taken (so, no fun) and getting your captain picks right. The rest doesn't matter. Not much at all.

  7. Bad Kompany
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Which 2 out of these?
    A. Wilson
    B. Jimmy
    C. Chicarito

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      One is injured?

    2. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      To buy? To sell? To start?

      1. Nascimento
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Oops, good point. My answer is assuming you mean to sell, BK

      2. Bad Kompany
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        to get on wc

        1. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Well Wilson is injured, so the decision may be made for you.

          If he was fit I’d pick Wilson and Chicharito.

    3. Nascimento
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      C and A

  8. steven8991
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Help me choose 1

    A. Jimenez
    B. Mitrovic
    C. Chicarito (have Snodgrass)

  9. FPLMarc
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Hazard, Sterling, Richarlison, Kenedy, Hojbjerg
    Kane, Lacazette, Wilson

    2FTs and I'm considering removing Laca after just bringing him in.

    a) Mitrovic & F Anderson for Laca & Kenedy
    b) Snodgrass for Kenedy

    I'm nervous about Mitro's 4 yellows so could Rashford be a viable alternative?

  10. Lionac
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Patricio/Foster
    Robertson / Alonso / Doherty / Digne / Pereira
    Hazard / FAnderson / Martial / Rich / Camarasa
    Kane / Laca / Jimenez

    1,1 ITB

    A) Wildcard
    B) Laca & Martial -> Mitro & Sane
    C) Other transfer

  11. Murder On Zidanesfloor
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Time to get rid of Digne, who should I get?

    A)Doherty
    B) Stones
    C) Bellerin/Kola (Who?)

    Thanks 🙂

    1. Differential C (Mark)
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Doherty, but wqit after their game.

    2. Bob B
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Not tempted to keep? Only 2 rough fixtures and then I'd be tempted to bring him in.
      Doherty otherwise though, although I feel there's a good chance Kola stays in the team with all the suspensions knocking around Arsenal's cbs.

  12. R.C
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Concerned for Sane now. Reckon he'll play next GW?

    1. Murder On Zidanesfloor
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      100% imo. Sterling didn't look good on the left flank

      1. Gnu
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Haven't seen game yet but find it hard to believe he played on the left flank.

    2. Ghost Gooner
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Never judge players vs top teams.

  13. jdp219
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Drafting my WC.
    - Bring in Salah as a kneejerk? (Rich, Laca > Salah, Kamara)
    - Spread around the Salah funds?

    Already had--and still have--Kane, Sterling, Hazard, Wilson, Fraser.

  14. noahzark22
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    I'd be in the running for manager of the week if I stuck with Salah as captain.

    1. Carcaju
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Same here! Salah, Hazard, Anderson, Chicharito, Luiz.... Choosing Auba as captains was my big mistake!

  15. AandyzZ
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    What do you think of - Richarlison + Martial = Sterling + Torriera (-4)

    ???

  16. Woy_is_back
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    From 60k to 12k in the or. Next gw 12k to 1k 😉

    1. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Nice work !

      1. Woy_is_back
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Thank you 🙂

    2. noahzark22
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      143K to 60ish K so far this week. Four left to play

      1. Woy_is_back
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Only have Rich and Doherty left

        1. noahzark22
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          I'm gonna catch you!

    3. Differential C (Mark)
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      All your players played? Im in a similar boat, 77k->30k. Lovely GW.

    4. jdp219
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Good luck with that. Really.
      Not quite the jump midweek (33k to 11k), but now back down to 23k.

  17. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Would be good to hear some views and thoughts on this....

    Personally, I don’t think two premium (Kane and Auba) is viable. I think you need to pick one as your other two big hitting premium spots should be Salah and Sterling.
    My reasoning is I won’t budge on not owning Salah as I captain him so regularly, so if I have both Kane and Auba then I won’t be captaining one of them.
    I think the points are in the midfield this year and that is where the money needs to be.
    That’s just my opinion fwiw....

    Eager to hear other opinions on this.

    What structure are you currently considering/working towards and why?

    1. noahzark22
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Yeah, I wouldn't do two premium forwards with Salah. I've temporarily have Auba and Lukaku until I WC at the end of the month

      1. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Lukaku would be a nice differential for you.

        I just see Salah and sterling as season keepers.

        I’m getting sterling this week, one way or another!

        1. noahzark22
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Fixtures are nice for Lukaku to be a great differential. In reality, I'm sure it won't turn out well for me.

          1. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            Good luck though, hope it works out well, I love a good maverick/differential pick !

    2. Gimli son of Gloin
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I'll be having Kane, Auba and Salah for the next 2/3 weeks until I WC. Kind of agree, but not sure I much want any of the cheap strikers outside of Wilson.

      1. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        You are in a solid position with your wildcard in tact.

        I think the reason I’m swaying away from this is because I believe sterling will comfortably outscore Auba and Kane. So we need to choose one of the other.

        Of course if you think they will score more than sterling then follow your gut.

    3. tafrère
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Mhm, I agree. But before GW15 I was convinced of the opposite, I thought 2 premium strikers would be the way to go over Christmas. Especially because Salah and Hazard seemed out of the equation. Now, with them back on track + City mids and Spurs mids emerging I will just leave Kane as my main forward.

      But like last time, this could change very quickly if Aubameyang hauls next time and some big mids blank.

      Plus there are a lot of bargain options in midfield while not so much upfront, so I reckon teams with both Aubameyang and Kane could do well if the likes of Fanderson, Richie, Fraser etc. continue to deliver.

      1. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Good points.

        I’m actually thinking I will stick with Kane (as cba easily downgrade to Auba if necessary) with a partner of Jimenez and I am considering downgrading Laca go someone such as Kamara to be able to bring sterling in.

        This allows me to move to a 3,5,2 with a midfield of Salah, Sterling, Sane, Son, Brookes. However I think Kamara is going to be a game changer in that Fulham side and at 4.3M could be the best value player/enabler in the game.

        1. tafrère
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Looking at Kamara too.

  18. pjomara
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Damn, 48 pts doesn't even get me in top 2 million GW rank

  19. Differentiator
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    (C)ane has killed me this week. So unlucky as well

    1. The Enlightener
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Such a stupid game at times. Especially when you have the two GWs we just endured where there is no real clue as to who will start, be benched, etc. You do all that diligence for weeks on end, only for the game to flaunt its fickle nature. If you ask me, they need to change the deadline situation. Let people see lineups before they pick their players. I mean, this past week has been a joke, really. And yes, I'm bitter right now because I captained Kane and VC'd Salah, and for the life of me, I can not understand why Poch or anyone else in a position of influence at Spurs thought it was necessary to trot Kane out for 16 mins. What the actual $%^# !!!!!!

  20. camarozz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    64 - 4
    Didn't capt Salah tho.

    Finally a green after 4 reds.

  21. Cornholi0
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Got 7,7 for a midfielder. Who?

    The rest is Salah, Sane, Kenedy and Camarasa. Got Chicarito up front so I am not so keen on F. Anderson

    1. Differential C (Mark)
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Shaqiri, perhaps? If only you could bump up the cash for Son.

    2. tafrère
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      West Ham double up don't look so stupid. Fanderson the best option at that price, regardless on who you own.

  22. R.C
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Will Alonso drop in price tonight?

  23. FirminoIsBetterThanYou
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Was all set to do Gomez -> Bellerin/Kola but I've just realised Arsenal have no fit centre backs available for next week, should I still do it and if so which one?

  24. Indalo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    I know his flag is gone on FPL but has there been any news to suggest Kenedy won't play tomorrow? Need him to miss out to get Robertson off my bench.

  25. FF Dirtbag
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Patricio and Obiang - > Button and Anderson worth a - 4?

    Team at the moment 1FT and 2.6m ITB

    Fabianski Patricio
    Alonso Robertson Stones Doherty AWB
    Eriksen sane Richarlison Martial Obiang
    Kane Wilson jimenez

  26. fkmzcgp
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Fabianski - (Patricio)

    Alonso - TAA - Laporte - Balbuena - AWB

    Salah - Richarlison - Snodgrass - Kenedy - Elneny

    Kane - Auba - Jiminez

    1FT and £1.5m ITB

    Is a city mid essential? Can’t see how I can get one in without losing Salah

    1. noahzark22
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Kendy and elneny are trash.

      1. fkmzcgp
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Not what I asked but cheers

        1. noahzark22
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Get rid of Kane. Upgrade Midfield.

        2. jdp219
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          If you have 0.1 to spare, get Gunnarsson instead of Elneny. Still fodder, but at least Gunn plays.

  27. Ambrosiana Inter
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    103 BOoooooooooooOoMmmmmm

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Pts or OR

      EITHER WAY WOW

      Well played fella!!!!

      1. Ambrosiana Inter
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Points no I m behind overall..

        1. Ambrosiana Inter
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Cheers how u got on?

          1. #FPLBhuna
            • 7 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            Blimey amazing score

            81(-4)

            Doherty and jimmy to go

            1. ThisTimeNxtYrRodney
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              5 years, 4 months ago

              I'm 76 with alonso to come in for wilson and rich, keane and Jimenez to play. Great week.

            2. Ambrosiana Inter
              • 6 Years
              5 years, 4 months ago

              81 still very very nice

    2. mir
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Don't forget the minus 8. Haha. Only messing. Nice one.

      1. Ambrosiana Inter
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Ahhaha cheers

    3. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Wow surely nearly no 1

      1. Ambrosiana Inter
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Hope so 🙂

  28. Differential C (Mark)
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    For all those who told me to play Alonso, despite my insistence on playing Success or Brooks . . . . . .
    I did.
    Y'all are heroes. Cheers.

  29. sweglet
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    martial > felipe anderson?

  30. Bad Kompany
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    How bad is wilson's injury?

    1. Differential C (Mark)
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Hearing he will "hopefully" be okay next week.
      Forgot where I heard it thoigh haha.