Metrics

New template forming after extensive Wildcard usage

With the Christmas period looming large for Fantasy managers, there have been increases in Wildcard uses from week to week.

Gameweek 16 saw the continuation of the heavy Wildcard usage among the top 10 thousand FPL managers, especially.

4.54% of them activated the chip compared to 3.64% in Gameweek 15. This leaves around 12% first Wildcards left for managers to use in December.

There are clues to the new template when we look at how Gameweek 16 Wildcards compare with those from Gameweek 15. As you can see, the options selected are mostly similar across the two line-ups.

The two squads share 13 from a possible 15 players, which means Gameweek 15 Wildcarders benefited from many price changes which Gameweek 16 Wildcarders probably missed.

One of the two selection differences is Callum Wilson replacing the injured Marko Arnautovic in the front line, although ironically he also picked up an injury himself.

The second is the inclusion of Sead Kolasinac instead of Lucas Digne, with Arsenal’s fixtures looking better long-term compared to Everton’s.

The rest of the most selected Wildcard picks are the same except for slight changes in the ownership percentages of certain players.

For example, Wildcarders became more convinced of including Harry Kane (74.45% to 85.9%) and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (61.26% to 70.70%) in their new squads this week. Meanwhile the likes of Marcos Alonso (54.12% to 30.4%) and Leroy Sane (60.71% to 53.96%) suffered marginal drops in their Wildcard representation.

One major thing many Wildcarders missed was the inclusion of hat-trick hero Mohamed Salah. The Egyptian is now the highest-scoring player so far in Gameweek 16 with 21 points, and he’s only included in just 32.2% of Wildcards this week.

He is also not that highly owned in general among the top 10k teams, with only 39.5% ownership, raised to 52.1% effective ownership by factoring the captaincy in.

This meant his owners earned big rank jumps, especially with the latest captain poll winner Aubameyang (40.31%) scoring only five points.

Meanwhile, the popular Wilson and Trent Alexander-Arnold missed out on Saturday lunch-time which again raises the importance of having a good bench in December.

Running simulations of the exact autosubs that will take place for just the two of them in the top 10k indicates the following results. It is Aaron Wan-Bissaka who will gain the most increase of effective ownership, followed by Alonso and Ryan Fraser, as indicated in the following table.

PlayerIncrease in Effective Ownership after TAA and Wilson autosubs
Wan-Bissaka23.40%
Alonso11.88%
Fraser9.09%
Bennet7.46%
Doherty3.23%

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1,907 Comments Post a Comment
  1. tafrère
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    City : Sterling, Sane, soon Aguero
    Spurs : Kane, Son, Alli, soon Eriksen
    West Ham : Chicharito, Fanderson, Snodgrass

    Si many options, what a fun time Christmas will be to play FPL!

    1. Carcaju
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Not to mention two of the best, Salah and Hazard.

      1. Bob B
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Why can't I downvote

        🙁

        1. Carcaju
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Why do you want to?

          1. Bob B
            • 10 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            Because they both walked hand in hand out of my team this GW

    2. Indalo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Soon KDB for City too

  2. Carcaju
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Patricio - 4M
    Luiz - Laporte - Doherty - Bennet - Wa Bissaka
    Salah - Hazard - Felipe Anderson - Richarlison - 4.3
    Chicharito - Auba - Wilson

    2 FT, 1.5M itb

    Laporte, Richarlison, Wilson -> Kane + 8.6M to split between a defender and a midfielder (-4)

    Only way to get Kane. Worth it?

  3. Hits from the Bong
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Well I’ve had an absolute stinker this week. I feel like giving up. What should I do here?

    Fabianski Hamer
    Alonso Robertson Doherty Dunk AWB
    Sterling Sane Richarlison Fraser Camarasa
    Kane Aubameyang Wilson

    1. Gooner Kebab
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      What's wrong with your team?

      1. Hits from the Bong
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        I don’t even know any more. I thought it was decent yesterday. Now I’m thinking it needs more Salah, Hazard, Torreira, Snodgrass, Son, Anderson. My knees are jerking like crazy I’m not gonna lie..

        1. Bob B
          • 10 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Strap them in, it will be a long week

        2. DeathoftheParty
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          New week next week

    2. diesel001
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Nothing. Bench Hamer, Dunk, AWB and Camarasa. Kane(c).

      All the non-Salah owners are knee-jerking. But the haul has been missed. He won't score a hat-trick every week.

    3. Hits from the Bong
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Cheers all. I guess I’m overreacting somewhat. I felt it would go wrong when I managed to fall asleep and price myself out of bringing in Anderson. Hopefully Richarlison goes mental against Watford and outscores him.

    4. caldracula
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Team looks fine, chill until friday

  4. The Mighty Hippo
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    How does this w/c look?

    Leno | Hamer
    Alderweireld | Luiz | Robertson | Doherty | AWB
    Hazard | Sterling | Sane | Anderson | Torreira
    Kane | Chico | Kamara

    1. GS456
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Nice use of a pipe bar

      1. evilfish
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        I went to one of those in Egypt, didn't think to formulate a w/c though.

  5. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    When to WC? was planning to WC for gw17 (now) but team seems decent for next gw.

    Foster -- Patricio
    Alonso AWB Schindler Doherty -- Digne
    Hazard Sane Anderson -- Richarlison Murphy
    Jimenez Kane Lacazette

    A: WC and remove lacazette, murphy, gk's, digne
    B: lacazette >> Mitro and WC later

    1. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      B

  6. FirminoIsBetterThanYou
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Bellerin or Kola?

    1. LD
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Kola if you have a decent bench in case he gets rested. Bellerin for more security.

      Arsenal can be suspect to defensive errors so I wouldn’t want to invest too much into their defense. Kola does the job at a good price and will be able to chip in with the odd assist when he’s playing

    2. Bob B
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Kola has been one of the more creative defenders in recent weeks. I guess he'll carry on in that position with all the CB suspensions, which might mean Monreal plays LCB? Unless Emery shakes things up.
      Bellerin more nailed for sure but is he worth the extra?

  7. Gnu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Since shifting Salah I was aware he might bite me with a big score, I didn't expect it today.
    My misery compounded by a 1 point captain (Lacazette) to make this an awful gameweek in a pretty duff season so far.
    Kane's cameo undoubtedly reduced the damage, grateful for small mercies I guess. .....there's always next week. 🙂

    1. LD
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Not many people expected this from Salah - away to a very solid Bournemouth side, Napoli game coming up midweek, Liverpool without their usual attacking fluidity the last few weeks. Kane, Laca and Auba were the obvious options

      1. Gnu
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Me & wee Mo could fall out over this 🙂

  8. Foozeball
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Should I keep or sell Mane? Hazard and Son are really tempting buys

    1. GS456
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I sold for son this week

    2. LD
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Sell

      1. Foozeball
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Even for a hit? I have to get rid of D.Silva too unfortunately 🙁

        1. LD
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Don’t think it’s worth it for a hit. See how many minutes he gets vs Napoli and how he performs

  9. Bubz
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    I'm looking forward to bringing Aguero in on my wildcard and captaining him for one of his mega 4 goal hauls

    1. Indalo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Tempting for home to Palace in GW18

    2. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      High risk, high reward with him over Christmas...

      He won’t be playing every game over this busy Xmas period....

  10. Indalo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    22 points with 5 to play, dropped from 301k to 526k. Tough week :/

    1. pstokes2010
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Rotation makes it feel like pot luck!

  11. Tommyg
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    If you could only have one.

    Kane or Aubameyang?

    1. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Auba no CL stress

    2. Gooner Kebab
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Kane

    3. GS456
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Kane

    4. Bubz
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Kane

    5. Indalo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I went with Auba, so naturally I want Kane now haha

      1. Tommyg
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Haha. Me too

    6. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Kane.

  12. steven8991
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Help me choose 1

    A. Jimenez
    B. Mitrovic
    C. Chicarito (have Snodgrass)

    Cheers

    1. GS456
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      A

  13. Maddi Son
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Anyone used their free hit already this season? Did it pay off?

    1. Maddi Son
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Fully aware of how effective if is at the end of the season. Just curious

    2. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Yes, made a 46pt gain, doubt I'd better that in a dgw

      1. Wild Rover
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Got a gwr of 7.7k and jumped OR from 136k to 19k
        Been a rapid decent since then, back where I was 😀

    3. The Enlightener
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Was gonna use midweek and the team I had slated to use it for would have gone big. So, it would have paid off if I didn't decide to put it back on the shelf. Just part of why this past week has me steaming with frustration and coulda-beens.

    4. Warby84
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      48 points better off

  14. DAZZ
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    So i have a 5 point lead in the cup, we both have Richarlison left, and we also have Patricio vs Doherty. Will Doherty outscore Patricio by 5, i simple do not want any Doherty attacking returns and i should be okay.

  15. camarozz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Auba + Laca up top not such a good idea now..

    Plan was
    Salah ➡️Sterling
    Auba ➡️ Kane - 4 and keep Laca.

    Reluctant to sell Salah now.
    And I'd rather keep Auba and sell Laca.

  16. AandyzZ
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    What do you think of this..

    Richarlison + Martial = Sterling + Torriera (-4)

    ???

    1. Effe
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Just Martial to Torreira this week to avoid the -4

  17. Bubz
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Tempted by Mahrez to Son this week but does he start? If he plays in the CL he's going to be knackered

    1. Gooner Kebab
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      If he's rested for Barca, then i'm getting him in.

      1. Bubz
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Yep same

        1. Ask Yourself
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Same here

        2. ThisTimeNxtYrRodney
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          My plan as well. Think he will be rested for Barca.

    2. LD
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Might be played more as an Impact sub. Will have to wait and see

      1. Big_Andy_GAWA
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Lamela is due back soon!

    3. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Sell Mahrez. He’s useless once Kun returns.

  18. Gooner Kebab
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Martial out for

    a) Snoddy
    b) Paterson
    c) Son
    d) Torreira

    1. Bagheri Arce
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      C) but A)&cash is also nice

    2. Effe
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      D he’s great value, takes corners, gets forward loads

  19. HD7
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    I know you are probably shaken by Salah hattrick but my plan for GW17 is:

    Salah to Sterling
    Sucess to Chicha/Mitro (-4)

    Sterling Chicha > Salah Success in next month?

    1. HD7
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Gives me:
      Fab
      Digne Robbo Alonso Belerin
      Sterling Richa FAnderson
      Kane Auba Chicha

      Subs: Button, AWB, Camarasa, Kenedy

  20. Ask Yourself
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Unbelievable the disgusting racism sterling had from those Chelsea fans. Chelsea is a truly horrific messed up community.

    1. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      That's makes it sound like it's a problem existing within only the Chelsea community.

      In reality, it's a large problem in football that needs to be eradicated. In all clubs. In all fan groups.

      Credit to Sterling, he goes through a lot.

      1. Wild Rover
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        That's makes it sound like it's a problem existing within only the football community.

        In reality, it's a large problem in society that needs to be eradicated. Everywhere

        1. Rotation's Alter Ego
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 12 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Racists sat in football stands shouting abuse at footballers does only occur in footballing communities, but I get your point 😉

      2. Ask Yourself
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Chelsea have a significant number of cases regarding racism eg the black man not allowed on a train. Also awfully homophonic. I obviously recognise it’s a worldwide issue but chelsea take it beyond the norm. There are reasons for that.

    2. Goat
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Not like you’ve never said those words before

      1. Ask Yourself
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Not in hatred towards another person, no. It’s unforgivable

        1. Big_Andy_GAWA
          • 12 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          "The Chelsea Community"?! You do realise that that area of the UK is one of the most affluent and upper class!?? The few animals who did this may well not be from this "community...!"

          1. Ask Yourself
            • 7 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            You think affluent and upper class people are the most moral ? Like seriously ? I know individuals from Chelsea who are racist, homophobic and have little care for anyone else

  21. Bagheri Arce
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Anyone know if Dilva's hamstring injury looked bad? Gündogen could be a nice option. Generally scores well when starts and everyone gets rotated this time of year anyway so I'm less concerned by that

    1. Gooner Kebab
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      for the same money for Gundogan, you can get decent nailed options.

    2. Warby84
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I don’t think it was really bad but hobbled off, best to replace at his price

  22. Vinyl78LP
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Not only did Kane's (c) cameo cost me Salah vc points, it also blocked Kamara getting off the bench.

    What was Poch thinking risking him ahead of CL when the match was already in the bag.

    1. Goat
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Kane’s cameo didn’t cost you. You cost you. X

    2. The Enlightener
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      There is absolutely no reason to trot him out there. Fantasy aside. What purpose could it possibly have served? (to those who it may concern, I don't expect an answer to that question, because there is no logical one. Kane is used enough. A 16-minute runout at that point in the game/season would serve absolutely no good purpose.) I watch enough sports to know that managers/coaches can make some of the oddest and downright stupid decisions.

      1. Maddi Son
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Agree with this.

        Poch also had a gift of being 3-0 up against Southampton just before the hour mark. Perfect opportunity to bring Kane off and rest him. Pep would've done this 100%

      2. LSK
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        It’s not as simple as that. I expected him to come on for the last 15 minutes regardless of the score because he’s in a good goalscoring groove and Kane is a form player so Poch would have liked to keep him ticking over whilst minimising the risk. 20 minutes of low intensity football isn’t much more of a risk than in training tomorrow/Monday. Not many people expected Kane to be rested. Then when he is they’re amazed he plays any minutes at all.

    3. LSK
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Poch was thinking it will benefit his team more if Son plays 70 and Kane plays 20 than if Son plays 90 and Kane plays 0.

      1. Big_Andy_GAWA
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Son very rarely plays more than 72 or 74 minutes, so it was pretty obvious what Poch planned to do...

  23. Outatime
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    When do we get our second WC? Asking for a friend lol.

  24. Plymouth
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Any Brighton fans around? Who would be second choice out of Steele and Button?

    1. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      At the start of the season, local press etc seemed to think it was Button. Recently, Steele has been on the bench as backup, even after Button has seemed to overcome his niggle.

      Talking to some Brighton fans it seems like a lot of guess work and it may just be down to Button lacking match fitness, or Steele is impressing the goalkeeping coach.

      I'm no Brighton fan though, so will happily bow to anyone with genuine knowledge on the club!

  25. sweglet
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    martial to felipe anderson a no brainer?

    1. Ambrosiana Inter
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Yup

      1. Gooner Kebab
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        is it?

        1. Ambrosiana Inter
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Why not?fixtures are good and nailed

        2. DARE TO BISCAN
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Isn't it?

  26. tafrère
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Fellow Salah+Hazard owners, how will you do to fit a City mid in your team ?

    1. caldracula
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Waiting for now

  27. jdp219
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Current WC draft (0.1itb leftover):
    Fab, HAMER
    Robbo, Kola, Doherty, Wan-B, Bednarek
    Sterling, SALAH, Hazard, Fraser, Gunnarsson
    Kane, Wilson, KAMARA

    -- Salah too kneejerk? Double City mids instead?
    -- Still go with two Cherries?
    -- Second premium defender?

    1. jdp219
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      w/o Salah == Salah, Fraser, Kamara > Anderson, Son/Sane/Eriksen, Jimenez

      Will have to stay tuned for Wilson, too.

  28. FF Dirtbag
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Patricio + Obiang to Button + Anderson worth a hit?

    1. tafrère
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Isn't Steele 2nd choice now ?

      1. FF Dirtbag
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Unsure

  29. Kane Train
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Sane > Hazard for free ?

    I’m 100% confident Sane will not start the next match

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      No brainer if you think he doesn't start.
      The alternatives aren't great on the left.

    2. Ambrosiana Inter
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Wait and see champions league line ups

    3. Goat
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      You just did the opposite transfer less than a week ago

      1. Kane Train
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        I only wanted him for the two games. Cause he won’t start next week. Plus I will be bringing Aguero back soon

    4. diesel001
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      If you are confident then yes. Haz has good fixtures coming up and is nailed in the PL

    5. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      100% is a bold call...

      At least wait for midweek games.

    6. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Good, that means he likely to start the next Prem game then 😉

    7. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Have him too and not overly happy about it now.

      1. Big_Andy_GAWA
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        I don't think *Pep* is even 100% that he won't start...! =o/

  30. Meme2011
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    A) Eriksen & Aguero +£1m (Hojbjerg)
    B) Sane & Kane (Hojbjerg)
    C) Anderson, richarlison, lacazette