Metrics

New template forming after extensive Wildcard usage

With the Christmas period looming large for Fantasy managers, there have been increases in Wildcard uses from week to week.

Gameweek 16 saw the continuation of the heavy Wildcard usage among the top 10 thousand FPL managers, especially.

4.54% of them activated the chip compared to 3.64% in Gameweek 15. This leaves around 12% first Wildcards left for managers to use in December.

There are clues to the new template when we look at how Gameweek 16 Wildcards compare with those from Gameweek 15. As you can see, the options selected are mostly similar across the two line-ups.

The two squads share 13 from a possible 15 players, which means Gameweek 15 Wildcarders benefited from many price changes which Gameweek 16 Wildcarders probably missed.

One of the two selection differences is Callum Wilson replacing the injured Marko Arnautovic in the front line, although ironically he also picked up an injury himself.

The second is the inclusion of Sead Kolasinac instead of Lucas Digne, with Arsenal’s fixtures looking better long-term compared to Everton’s.

The rest of the most selected Wildcard picks are the same except for slight changes in the ownership percentages of certain players.

For example, Wildcarders became more convinced of including Harry Kane (74.45% to 85.9%) and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (61.26% to 70.70%) in their new squads this week. Meanwhile the likes of Marcos Alonso (54.12% to 30.4%) and Leroy Sane (60.71% to 53.96%) suffered marginal drops in their Wildcard representation.

One major thing many Wildcarders missed was the inclusion of hat-trick hero Mohamed Salah. The Egyptian is now the highest-scoring player so far in Gameweek 16 with 21 points, and he’s only included in just 32.2% of Wildcards this week.

He is also not that highly owned in general among the top 10k teams, with only 39.5% ownership, raised to 52.1% effective ownership by factoring the captaincy in.

This meant his owners earned big rank jumps, especially with the latest captain poll winner Aubameyang (40.31%) scoring only five points.

Meanwhile, the popular Wilson and Trent Alexander-Arnold missed out on Saturday lunch-time which again raises the importance of having a good bench in December.

Running simulations of the exact autosubs that will take place for just the two of them in the top 10k indicates the following results. It is Aaron Wan-Bissaka who will gain the most increase of effective ownership, followed by Alonso and Ryan Fraser, as indicated in the following table.

PlayerIncrease in Effective Ownership after TAA and Wilson autosubs
Wan-Bissaka23.40%
Alonso11.88%
Fraser9.09%
Bennet7.46%
Doherty3.23%

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1,907 Comments Post a Comment
  1. cigan
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    major surgery needed, 1FT & 0ITB
    DSilva + Shaqiri + Laporte >> Sterling + Snodgrass + Schindler (-8) probably sounds too wild?
    Just DSilva to Snodgrass/F.Anderson - unless Shaqiri plays midweek?

    Ryan/Patricio
    Alonso/Laporte/TAA/Doherty/AWB
    Sane/DSilva/Son/Shaqiri/Hojbjerg
    Kane/Lacazette/Wilson

  2. ankil2009
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Probable price risers today? I am on WC

    1. Nascimento
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Google fplstaistics

    2. Ten Season Wonder
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      F.Anderson & Auba rising

  3. Firmino
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Arnie, Obiang -> Kamara Fandeson for -4?

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Not for a hit

      1. Firmino
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Arnie to who then? Mitrovic? Rashford?

        1. Magic Zico
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Chicharito?

  4. Francescoli
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Just dropped 50k places :’(

    What to do here?

    Fabianski
    Alonso TAA AWB
    Sterling Sané Richarlison Fraser Gudmundsson
    Kane Auba

    Patricio Bennett Success Digne

    1FT and 0.0itb

    1. Francescoli
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      A) Alonso and Gudmundsson to 4.4def and Son (-4)
      B) Save
      C) Something else?

    2. Liftbox
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Save. You brought them in. Now give them a bit to produce.

  5. The Big Fella
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    I have Arnie and two FT - who should I bring in? Straight swap to Chicharito?

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I did it this week and got rewarded

      1. Duffy Dunk
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Same

  6. bigbudgie
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    What a fun week.
    Laca c, Kane, sane, sterling, 6 points between them.

    1. cigan
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Kane(C), Sane, DSilva, Laca, Wilson, TAA and Laporte here. 5 one-pointers and only 2 hauls (Son&Alonso) with only Doherty still to play. Fantastic week

    2. Bob B
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Money well spent 🙂

  7. Tsparkes10
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Really can't decide when to wc... want Haz and Sterling but team looks okay as long as Kane and Laca play... but do they?

  8. Dušan Citizen
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Which one is better?

    A) Ederson and Snoddy
    Or
    B) Foster/Lossl and Felipe Anderson

    1. Ten Season Wonder
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Gotta say B as I love Anderson

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      B more flexible with Fabianski if possible

      1. Dušan Citizen
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Have stupid Diop somehow...

  9. tafrère
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    2.6K OR
    6th french

    With Doherty, Jiménez, Keane and Richarlison left.

    Happy Times.

    1. Fred54
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Merci Beaucoup.

      1. tafrère
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Hahaha cheers

    2. Ten Season Wonder
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Mustard mate

    3. Nascimento
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      French Man Utd fan?

      Good on you brother - me too

      1. tafrère
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Exactly!

    4. Alan The Llama
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Keane and Richarlison should do well on Monday against the gilets jaunes.

      1. tafrère
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Lmao

    5. Differential C (Mark)
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Sacrebleu!

    6. Clintymints
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      When you're not rioting, you're fpl-ing

      Mercy buckets

  10. Ten Season Wonder
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Hey people, I need a quick response here...

    Alonso + Kenedy >> Kola + F.Anderson (-4) yeah or nah???

    Cheers

    1. DeathoftheParty
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Not for minus 4... Alonso could out score Anderson in coming weeks... Kola not nailed

      1. Ten Season Wonder
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Is Snodgrass a viable Anderson alternative?

        1. DeathoftheParty
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Imo yes

    2. Ohh1454
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I'm not sure but I think Kenedy to Anderson is a bigger upgrade then alonso to kolasanic is downgrade

      1. Ten Season Wonder
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        So you are basically saying it’s worth a hit...

    3. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Yes I think. Alonso’s fixtures look good now though.

  11. DeathoftheParty
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    42k to 17k... Thank you Mo for your punishment today.

    1. jia you
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      WP, I made the opposite move without him 🙁

      1. DeathoftheParty
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        The rest of my team looks real ugly without him...

  12. Dead Lift
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    On WC. How was Anderson's performance today? Should I bring him in or Chicha?

  13. Ohh1454
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Schindler on 98.1 . Is he likely to rise tonight ?

  14. Carcaju
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Patricio - 4M

    Luiz - Laporte - Doherty - Bennet - Wa Bissaka

    Salah - Hazard - Felipe Anderson - Richarlison - 4.3

    Chicharito - Auba - Wilson

    2 FT, 1.5M itb

    Laporte, Richarlison, Wilson -> Kane + 8.6M to split between a defender and a midfielder (-4)

    Only way to get Kane. Yes or no?

    1. Ohh1454
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      No don't do that

      1. Carcaju
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Any way to get Kane without losing Auba, Salah or Hazard?

  15. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    I don't really fault my reasoning for wildcarding... but boy does it sting when you ship underperforming players, who choose this week of all weeks to fire!

  16. #FPLBhuna
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Which 3 defenders would you play

    A) robertson (mun h)
    B) bellerin (sou a)
    C) doherty (bou h)
    D) awb (lei h)
    E) pereira (cry a)

    Currently on ABC

    1. Differential C (Mark)
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Tough. ABC, probably.

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      ABC

  17. Ten Season Wonder
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Is Snodgrass a viable Anderson alternative?

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Alternative probably not

      Supplementing him maybe

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Maybe, promising and benchable.

  18. Dušan Citizen
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Who is on pens for WHU when all of Arnie, Noble, Lanzini and Carroll are out of game?

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Presume chica or anderson

  19. Differential C (Mark)
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Just realized that Arsenal face Southampton next.
    If saints defended like they did vs Cardiff, it could get ugly.
    Auba(c) might still be on.

  20. Andy Mac
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Alonso - Digne - Richarlison ➡️ Luiz - Kola - Son

    Yes or No??

    1. Andy Mac
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Fab
      Luiz - Kola - TAA - Doherty
      Sterling - Sané - Anderson - Son - Torreira
      Kane - Auba - Jiminez

    2. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I'm not wild about those moves.

      1. Andy Mac
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Any reason?

  21. Madmag
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Do hits count towards gw rank?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      no

      1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        when do hits affect your total points?

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Just did.

          1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
            • 9 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            so after the first day of the upcoming gw. got it.

      2. Madmag
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers so I may have a small chance to qualify for the cup 28 + fraser(2) Richardson Patricio and doherty.

        1. Madmag
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Richarlison*

        2. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          There's a chance if you can get to 40.

          1. Madmag
            • 7 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            Lol Newcastle fan not sure if I want to or not? Doherty goal in a toon win would be great

    2. Alan The Llama
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      nope

    3. Sterling Silva is better th…
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      No

  22. I Have No Idea What I'…
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Is Mané dropping tonight? FPL statistics says no but fantasy football fix says yes?

    1. I Have No Idea What I'…
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      If he’s dropping tonight I might sell quickly to Sane. Anyone know for certain?

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Rather trust Stats.

      1. I Have No Idea What I'…
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        I thought this too but got caught out with Arnie’s drop last night

  23. Boo Ya Ka Sha
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Should I do Rich > Anderson rn? Wouldn't require a hit. Can sort out finding a way for Rich after City and Spurs...

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I'd be tempted, yes.

      1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        right? I thought I had to move around players/take a hit. But the ft/rich move was right there..

        1. Hazz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          I WC'd this week, leaving a chunk of money ITB for upgrading Richarlison to Sané(?) this week.

          Liked his fixture this week, but not across the next 3 or so. Totally get the move give who West Ham will be playing.

    2. Ynwalfc
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Yes he has Fulham

  24. SpaceCadet
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Best mid option for 4.8m?

    1. Valar(Keith)
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Camarasa.. Created about 19 chances in the last 7 or so games(4 today) and Cardiff have good long term fixtures for him to.come off the bench.

      1. SpaceCadet
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers

  25. Valar(Keith)
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Got a paltry 25..do I stick to my plan or panic?

    Ederson
    TAA Digne Doherty (Awb Diop)
    Sterling Sane Anderson Fraser (Camarasa)
    Kane Aubameyang Wilson
    0.2 in the bank

    Plan was to swap Digne to Kolasinac this week for a 2 week punt.. Panic equals trying to get Salah and hazard etc in by destroying my team lol

    1. Sterling Silva is better th…
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Stick

      1. Valar(Keith)
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers mate.. It hurts cause i just WCed all the Scorers out. Think il keep the fpl tab closed until UCL is over and then log back in

        1. Sterling Silva is better th…
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Bloody oath today hurt, but you have to give your team time to produce. Re-evaluate in a couple of weeks

    2. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Stick to the plan. Those who went for the 'new' template got bollocked as the players we all dropped returned, whilst very few of the 'new' ones did.

      The CB suspensions complicate your Kola move this week. It's only Southampton, but I can see them conceding. Digne does have poor fixtures in the next few, but I assume you'll want him back after those? If so, focus on saving a transfer for a midfield defensive switch-up next week.

      Wait for new on Wilson.

      1. Valar(Keith)
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Yup.. Will just have to live with the fact that all my pre WC players hauled. Hoping Wilson is back for the weekend.. Id want Digne long term so may just save the transfer and play Awb.. Cheers mate. I just needed to vent 🙂

        1. Hazz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          I'm in EXACTLY the same spot as you.

          Dropped Salah/Hazard/Robertson/Alonso

          (but at least Alonso was for Kolasinac; Hazard for Anderson, in a way...)

          It hurts but what can you do? 😆

  26. Tsparkes10
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Might be a stupid q but... what's the best way at looking at a possible wc without activating It??

    1. Alan The Llama
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Doing the transfers without confirming them.

    2. Sterling Silva is better th…
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Just do all the transfers but dont hit confirm.

      1. Tsparkes10
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Fairs... Can't view it properly then?

        1. Sterling Silva is better th…
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Define "properly"?

          1. Tsparkes10
            • 5 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            As in on a team view

            1. Sterling Silva is better th…
              • 9 Years
              5 years, 4 months ago

              No, but what does the team view tell you that you can't see on the transfer page?

  27. Kasper the ghost keeper
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Do?
    1) Gray -> Snodgrass
    2) Richarlison -> Anderson

    1. Kasper the ghost keeper
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      3) Or Hazard -> Sterling

    2. Sterling Silva is better th…
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      1

    3. Alan The Llama
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Depends on the rest of your team but in isolation, 1

      1. Kasper the ghost keeper
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        1 allows me to do Hazard -> next week if I feel I need to. Rich to Anderson prices me out of getting sterling

        1. Alan The Llama
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Still 1 then

          1. Kasper the ghost keeper
            • 8 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            Cheers

    4. Ynwalfc
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Both

  28. Dead Lift
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    I still think that Mane is a viable alternative to Salah. I don't expect same returns but these free funds help me to own Sane, Hazard, Auba and Son along with the Senegalese. Plus Robbo, Trippier on the back line. Am I doing such a big mistake?

    1. Carcaju
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Only time will tell

    2. Clintymints
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      But would you cap Mane?

      1. Sterling Silva is better th…
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        No chance i would captain him. He returns like 1 in 4 games (admittedly when he returns its big), but that's too big of a gamble in a game that revolves around captain success

      2. Dead Lift
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        So many captain options to select from. Not a big problem as I see it now.

  29. #FPLBhuna
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Gtg?

    henny
    robbo - bellerin - doherty
    sane - sterling - anderson - son - fraser
    kane(c) - jiminez

    hamer - success - awb - pereira

    1. Clintymints
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      In deed

  30. Doctor Evil
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    9k to 36k in 2 game weeks shows why I’m not meant to be in the top 10. Poor decision from a usual 200k finisher. Gutted

    1. Alan The Llama
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      There's plenty of time left. Between now and the end of the season you could easily have a two week swing in the other direction.

      1. Doctor Evil
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers pal