Spot the Differential

Goal-hungry Duffy among three differentials for FPL Gameweek 26

This weekly series puts the spotlight on three players who all have an ownership of 5% or under in Fantasy Premier League.

We’re just about to enter into the final third of the season and for those Fantasy managers chasing a mini-league deficit or seeking a short-term measure to improve their overall rank, a considered differential pick could have an impact.

Joao Moutinho (£5.3m) was all set for a starring role in this piece given his form, his freer role in the Wolves midfield since Leander Dendoncker‘s (£4.3m) promotion to the starting XI and Newcastle United’s weakness at set plays, but the Portuguese star’s ownership has surged to 6% this week after a flurry of transfer activity in FPL.

Instead, we have turned to another Wolves asset and two defensive options for our selections this week.

Shane Duffy (£4.6m)

FPL ownership: 5.0%

The Irish centre-back just – only just – qualifies as a differential pick, given that he has a not insignificant following in FPL already.

No defender has scored more Premier League goals than Duffy (four) this season and, in the past six Gameweeks, the Brighton stopper has had more attempts from inside the opposition box and efforts on target than any player in his position.

Duffy had three shots on goal in the 0-0 draw with Watford alone and with Pascal Gross (£6.7m) supplying the ammunition – the German having created a staggering ten chances himself last weekend – further opportunities should arise from corners and free-kicks in Gameweek 26.

Only two clubs have allowed more attempts on goal from set plays than Burnley over the last six Gameweeks, with just Watford conceding more headed chances.

Four of Brighton’s five clean sheets in 2018/19 have arrived at the Amex, with the Seagulls boasting the second-best home defensive record this season among teams outside of the “big six”.

While Brighton don’t have a match in Gameweek 27 (and possibly Gameweeks 31 and 33, if the Seagulls progress in the FA Cup), their fixtures around that blank are among the best in the division and Duffy is arguably benchable next weekend at his current price.

Victor Lindelof (£5.0m)

FPL ownership: 4.7%

***UPDATE: Reports on Friday afternoon suggest Victor Lindelof is not among the Manchester United squad travelling to Fulham this weekend***

Manchester United have recorded three straight clean sheets on the road and indeed no Premier League side has registered more shut-outs than the Red Devils over the last six Gameweeks.

While Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has tinkered with his team on a weekly basis since taking charge in December, Lindelof has been an ever-present under the Norwegian interim manager and has greatly impressed at centre-back.

The excellent form of David de Gea (£5.7m) is a huge boost to Lindelof’s clean sheet prospects but the Swede and his fellow defenders have kept it fairly tight at the back of late, with only two clubs allowing fewer big chances than United over the last six Gameweeks.

At the other end of the pitch, Lindelof has registered five attempts on goal (one of which found the back of the net) in the last four Gameweeks – only five FPL defenders, two of whom are playing “out of position” in midfield, can better that tally.

Four of those five efforts were from Lindelof’s head and only two clubs have allowed more headed chances than Fulham (this weekend’s opponents) over the last six Gameweeks.

No Premier League side has conceded more goals or big chances than the Cottagers during that time, either.

Lindelof is guaranteed a fixture in Gameweek 27 – albeit against Liverpool – before the Red Devils take on Crystal Palace and Southampton.

Diogo Jota (£6.0m)

FPL ownership: 3.5%

While Moutinho has surged past the 5% barrier, Jota remains a relatively low-owned route into the Wolves midfield.

The yellow flag may be a deterrent to some FPL managers but the knock that caused the Portugal under-23 star to miss the FA Cup win over Shrewsbury Town is not thought to be serious and his omission from the match-day squad on Tuesday was only precautionary in nature.

Santo’s side sit top of our Season Ticker for the next four Gameweeks, with a home fixture against Newcastle United kicking off that excellent run.

Jota bagged an 11-point haul in the reverse fixture at St. James’ Park and has five goals and four assists in his last seven Premier League starts.

No FPL midfielder has had more big chances than Jota over the last three Gameweeks (five of which admittedly arrived in the 4-3 win over Leicester) while only four players in his position (all of them expensive premium options) have registered more shots on target during that time.

Jota has actually had more penalty box touches, shots on target and big chances than Raul Jimenez (£6.7m) over the last three Gameweeks.

685 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Bonus magnet
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    GW27 suggestions and beyond please

    Currently
    Fab
    Kola Doherty digne
    Salah(c) son Pogba Richarlison
    Rash Aguero Llorente

    Hart Lingard AWB Azpilicueta

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Id play jlingz over llorente

    2. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Looks very good to me, Lingard could do well and outscore Llorente but that's a gamble

    3. PL Ball
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Jesse on the bench?

  2. PL Ball
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    How do these transfers look..

    Lloris [Speroni]
    Laporte, Wan B, Robertson [Holebas, Connolly]
    Pogba, Richarlison, Salah, Sane [Billing]
    Ings, Aguero , Rashford

    Sane + Ings ==> Son + Jimenez (-4)

    or something else?

  3. Noregretz
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    already trans Kun to Aub

    Ederson
    AWB robbo doh
    Salah Fanderson rich pogba
    Rashford jimi Aub

    Hamer bednarek Digne Murphy

    A. Play Bed over AWB
    B. ?

  4. Saxe-Gotha
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Due to Ings injury, I need to play one of the following:

    A) Digne
    B) Bennett (double up with Doherty)
    C) Gunnarsson
    D) Take a -4 to swap out Ings (or Gunnarsson)

  5. King Kohli
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Best move here?
    Will most probably do the other move next week.

    A. Ings > Rondon
    B. Sane > Jota

    Ryan Button
    Robbo TAA Doherty Bednarek Bennett
    Salah Sterling Pogba Sane Son
    Rashford Ings Kamara

    0 Ft 0.8 itb

  6. T96
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    G2g? 1.8 ITB

    Pat
    Robbo - Doherty - Taa
    Haz - Salah(c) - Pogba - Son - FAnderson
    Jim - Rash

    4.0 - AWB - Kiko - Kamara

  7. tbhogal
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Kola a good replacement for Alonso guys??

    1. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Aye.

    2. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Great shout, should get you attacking returns

    3. Pierce34
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I think he's too much of a rotation risk to be buying now.

      1. Nomar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        ???

        1. Pierce34
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Last game he started as a winger, with Monreal as the left back in a flat back 4. He was then replaced at 65' by Denis Suarez, in a like-for-like replacement on the attacking left wing. My hunch is at some point soon the left winger slot will become Suarez's to lose, and that Kolasinac will have to compete with Monreal for the left-back spot, which isn't ideal.

          1. Danno - Emre Canada
            • 9 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            This

  8. PEP_TALK
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    All this worrying about Aubameyang .... has anyone thought of just selecting Lacazette instead?

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Worth it short term

    2. PL Ball
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Maybe.. but as a former owner he's quite frustrating to have.

      Very hit and miss with points and prone to a bench start/subbed off early.

      1. PEP_TALK
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Would be bringing him for Aguero so no different really in that respect.

    3. Greenbackbøøg…
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      If you want someone who gets subbed every game sure

      1. Danno - Emre Canada
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Played 90mins 3 out of last 4. I may just get him in for a differential and lovely sway for Higuain in a few gws if he can score against better teams.

        1. PEP_TALK
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          This was idea exactly. Aguero to Lacazette now. Lacazette to Higuain in a few GW's. Use the extra money to beef up my team elsewhere eg upgrade Richarlson.

          1. Danno - Emre Canada
            • 9 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            Yep allows me to do Richarlison to say Mane

    4. Drogba Legend
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Just brought him in over Auba. I need a differential and didn't want to worry about any illness.

  9. Nomar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    2FT and £0.7 ITB

    Fabianski, Boruc
    Digne, Doherty, Robertson, AwB, Bednarek
    Pogba, Salah (c), Sterling, Hazard, Camarasa
    Jimenez, Rashford, Deeney

    Just do Sterling to Son and save 2FT for next GW or do Digne to Kolasinac?

  10. nico05
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Hello there any suggestions would be massively appreciated?
    Fabianski (Boruc)
    Doherty - Wan Bisskaka - Shaw - Robertson (Kelly)
    Salah - Hazard - Richarlison - Sane (billing)
    Rashford - Aguero (kamara)
    2 transfers available. 0.1 to spend.
    Thank you for taking a look.

    1. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Sané to Son and save one.

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        This

        1. nico05
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Cheers I was actually thinking to downgrade Hazard to Son?

    2. Patron
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I have Hazard and Sane and thinking of doing Hazard to Mane, hopefully Sane plays, if he does, I think he can get something.

      1. nico05
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah, I wasn't looking to let Sane go right now to be fair either

        1. Patron
          • 5 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Tho Haz plays for sure while Sane isn’t assured of starting.. decisions

  11. DeathoftheParty
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Jonny over Shaw?

  12. Lignja
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Gtg or Firmino or Kun to Auba -4?

    Fabianski
    Doherty, Bednarek, Taa
    Salah, Son, Pogba, Richarlison
    Firmino, Aguero, Rashfrod

    Hamer, Wb, Camarasa, Kiko

    1. gilean
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      GTG

  13. gilean
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Should I play Patricio or Foster when I have Doherty in defence ?

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Patricio

  14. FER FUSCH AKE
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    what are the latest on Auba and Jota?

    1. Numb
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Auba is ill and Jota seems to be Ok

  15. Random Name
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    How on earth did lacazette not win POTM? Rashford scores vs Bournemouth & Newcastle and that’s enough to win it?

    What a joke...

    1. gilean
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      What a joke indeed...

  16. tvz32
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    I have a FT, should i use it to ship Ederson out for Etheridge this GW or wait til next GW?

    1. Claudio555
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Why not keep Ederson?

      1. tvz32
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        City have a blank GW in GW27, so i need to ship him out eventually

  17. bobwils
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Sane to pogba for the next few weeks, good move? (Only have Ederson and Rashford from teams concerned)

  18. Patron
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Do you think Sane will play against Chelsea?

    1. Claudio555
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Impossible to answer. Didn't play that good during his 59 minutes last game

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Mahrez has relatively little game time so would expect him to get significant game time to keep competitive urge- or Pep could be saving Mahrez to unleash against Newport next week- so my guess is Mahrez might start, or com on afte 59 minutes for Sané!

  19. Danno - Emre Canada
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    On a big ole chase. Mane, Rashford or Lacazette for a capt differential?

    1. Random Name
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Lacazette no question about it

    2. Patron
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I think Rash will score but Mane could haul big time.

  20. LewanGOALski
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Don’t Have neither Salah nor Auba

    Who should I (C):
    A) Son (LEI)
    B) Sterling (CHE)
    C) Pogba (ful)
    D) Rashford (ful)

    ?

    1. Random Name
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      The most isolated use of a question mark I’ve ever seen

  21. marquinhos
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Sane to Anderson?

    1. drughi
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      looking at that transfer myself, west ham have great fixtures coming up

  22. Kingtekkerz
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Which move would you do?
    A) Hazard—>Son
    B) Kun—>Auba
    C) Both (-4)

    1. bobwils
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A, certainly not C

    2. Claudio555
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Kane might be back for gw27. I wouldn't buy Son at this moment

      1. Annie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Kane being back won't stop Son points.

    3. Kingtekkerz
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks guys!

  23. Gamer18
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Should I make any changes?
    Fabianski
    Robertson Shaw Alonso
    Salah Hazard Richarlison Sane Martial
    Rashford Barnes

    Button Bednarek AWB Kamara
    2 FT
    0.1m ITB.

  24. ZAWAd25
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Start one:

    A) Wan-Bissaka
    B) Richarlison

  25. TeddiPonza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Kun to Auba or save transfer?

    1. Solanke
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      My exact question

    2. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      save

  26. boroie
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Was planning on saving my Bench Boost for a DGW but I’m sitting this week with a bench of:

    Guaita (WHU)
    Digne (wat)
    Llorente (LEI)
    Hojbjerg (CAR)

    Worth using it this week?

  27. Pooodle
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Is it worth ditching Richarlison and Ings for Aubemyang and a bench player?

    Would cost -4....

  28. boroie
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Probability of Auba and TAA starting this weekend?

    1. drughi
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Auba 90%
      TAA 50%

    2. Annie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      42.6 and 18.67

  29. goriuanx
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    No Lindelof tomorrow, United's only half decent CB. Mitro owners unite 🙂

    1. Vlad Tepes
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      why no Lindelof?

      1. goriuanx
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        - De Gea, Romero, Grant

        - Dalot, Jones, Young, Shaw, Bailly, Smalling

        - Matic, McTominay, Herrera, Mata, Pogba

        - Chong, Lukaku, Rashford, Lingard, Sanchez, Martial

        [MEN]

    2. NestorC
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      What happened with Lind?

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      No Lindelof? Any confirmed news?

      1. Geoff
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Just rested

  30. Weilong7
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    What to do with this team guys.. 1FT 3.9 ITB

    Lloris button
    Luiz taa robbo awb lindelof
    Pogba son salah sane masuaku
    Rashford Jimenez kamara

    Shld I change sane or luiz out?
    Seems like sane will not start the game.. being in Anderson or some other mids? Luiz out for Doherty or someone else? Thanks