Selection

Injuries uncover budget differentials for Double Gameweek 35

As we come to the business end of the season, one last opportunity presents itself to score 100+ points in a matter of days and to ultimately gain lost ground in mini-leagues through Double Gameweek 35.

With the exception of Arsenal, none of the top six teams has what I would consider reasonable back-to-back games during this period.

It makes it all the more important to look out for those differentials that can provide an extra edge.

Here are three low-owned players that may be of interest to you…


Nacho Monreal

Price: £5.4m

Ownership: 1.3%

DGW35 fixtures: Crystal Palace (home) | Wolves (away)

There is no denying that Arsenal have struggled defensively this season. They only kept their first away clean sheet in the league on Monday night (the last team to do so) and that was against a 10-man Watford team.

However, things are beginning to click with their backline after registering three clean sheets in their last four games. They missed Laurent Koscielny for most of the season which meant that at times they struggled with a makeshift defence, but now that he has re-established himself in the side, they are making improvements.

Nacho Monreal (£5.4m) has been an ever-present for the majority of this calendar year. Although his offensive prowess has not yielded much in the way of attacking returns this season, he did score five goals and two assists in the 2017/18 campaign.

One thing of note compared to last year is that Monreal is getting more of his touches on average in the final third (20% v 15.5%), which shows that he is still able to reach the right places and in turn it underpins his four attacking returns since August. The Spaniard is more than capable of adding to that tally before the end of the season.

As for Arsenal’s next two opponents, Crystal Palace have only scored three goals at the Emirates since February 2014 and Wolves are averaging less than a goal per game from Gameweek 30.

Both of these reasons, combined with Arsenal’s recent defensive form makes Monreal viable even if Arsenal’s European commitments are due to continue into May.



Abdoulaye Doucouré

Price: £5.9m

Ownership: 2.8%

DGW35 Fixtures: Huddersfield (away) | Southampton (home)

Abdoulaye Doucouré (£5.9m) has been flying under the radar this season and it’s a surprise that his ownership is so low.

The Watford midfielder is one of the highest FPL point scorers in 2018/19 among those in his position that are priced at £6.0m or below.

Doucouré’s heatmaps for the 2016/17 campaign (left) and 2018/19 season (right)

Just from his heatmap alone, you can see how much of a box-to-box midfielder he really is compared to the role he fulfilled in his first campaign in English football.

It is possible that the first impressions he gave off back in the 2016/17 season have stuck with some FPL managers who may not realise how advanced he is now actually playing.

Doucouré has had three shots on target in his last four games, two of which were converted into goals, although he didn’t score for the first 14 Gameweeks.

With Deeney suspended and questions over the fitness of Deulofeu and Pereyra, I expect Doucouré to step up again.

Of course, he seldom starts in a traditional attacking midfield role which is a cause for concern, but he is venturing into the penalty box quite often.

Do not underestimate his importance to Watford’s overall gameplay.

The Hornets’ are playing one of their Double Gameweek 35 matches away from home, the other at Vicarage Road.

Their upcoming opponents have conceded a combined total of 56 goals in 17 Huddersfield home matches and 16 Southampton road-trips since August. I would expect Hornets to score against each of them and given Doucouré is the most likely to start both matches, he feels the Watford asset with the lowest risk attached to them for this Double Gameweek.

Fernando Llorente

Price: £5.1m

Ownership: 0.9%

DGW35 Fixture: Manchester City (away) | Brighton (home)

If there’s one thing we’ve learnt over the last seven days it’s that Tottenham don’t have to rely solely on Harry Kane for their goals.

Mauricio Pochettino’s men have scored seven goals in their last two games.

Fernando Llorente (£5.1m) was involved in two of those goals, which is significant considering that for most of the season he’s effectively been a utility player.

He’s only mustered 13 goals in 58 competitive appearances for Tottenham but you can’t expect much else from a player that doesn’t regularly start in the Premier League.

If his short stint at Swansea was anything to go by, it shows the Llorente can score a goal on average almost every other game in England’s top flight.

Furthermore, in his last string of Premier League starts between Gameweek 23 and 26, the veteran forward recorded a goal and three assists.

The only concern is that even with Kane out he isn’t guaranteed to start as shown on Wednesday night with his game-changing substitute appearance.

It will be interesting to see how Tottenham will play against Man City in a matter of a few days.

This match, as well as their second match against Brighton, are key for their Champions’ League aspirations next season.

With Kane highly unlikely to be involved in Double Gameweek 35 (or the rest of the season for that matter), Llorente is the ideal budget attacking asset from a top-five team.

920 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Vpan
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 7 days ago

    For this GW

    Firmino (no other Liv)

    or

    Laca

    ?

    1. AndyCook
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Lacazette

      • Sap
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Firmino

      • SomeoneKnows
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Had the same dilemma, decided to keep Lacazette just for the DGW

    2. Jet5605
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      Thoughts on Llorente minutes? He looked knackered at the end of his 50 minute cameo so is he likely to be rested against City and start against Brighton or is that wishful thinking?

      Any word on Sissoko as that could be a big factor in Llorente's game time

      1. YEAH PITCH!
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Up in the air after Poch comments.

    3. Bad Kompany
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      repost.
      Worth a hit to remove duffy to a watford defender?

      Huddersfield hasn't scored in most of their games this season. Would be surprised if Duffy gets more than 2 points, although wolves didn't score in games against brighton, huddersfield, palace, and burnley

      1. Robson-Canoe
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        No wouldn't take a hit.

      2. PrettyDick
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        absolutely! Are you using BB? Duffy --> Masina

    4. KINGS
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      Would you take a hit to transfer out

      A) Murray
      B) Duffy

      1. PEP_TALK
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Yes. 2 hits. Get rid of both.

      2. Klein
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Depends on your plan. If you have good starting 11 and not planning to bb then no. How many players do you need

        1. KINGS
          • 5 Years
          5 years, 7 days ago

          Intend to BB. Thinking of switching either to Watford assets

      3. TAArt
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Just Murray

      4. PrettyDick
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        yes, without a doubt

    5. Jet5605
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      Hey guys, 1 FT and 0.1 ITB. Have decided not to get Sterling as it disrupts my squad and I already have KDB and Aguero. Planning to BB but what is my best move:

      A - Deeney > Llorente
      B - Deeney > Gray
      C - Other?

      Foster
      Robbo - Doherty - Kiko
      Mane - KDB - Eriksen - Son - Jota
      Kun - Jimi

      Ryan - Valery - Deeney - Duffy

      1. ryacoo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        A

      2. Sap
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        B

      3. PEP_TALK
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        A

      4. PrettyDick
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        B

    6. ryacoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      A) Keep Murray
      B) Murray to Ings (FT)
      C) Eriksen/Murray to Mane/Llorente (-4)

      1. Sap
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Keep

      2. PEP_TALK
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        B

      3. PrettyDick
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        B

      4. Union_Jacks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Yes

    7. thunder_mike
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      Worth keeping Martial?

      1. Surfeit of Lampteys
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Hell yeah

      2. King Barry
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Same predicament as me - seems like he won’t play Vs Everton and then the next game is City. Was thinking of switching to Redmond or JWP as at least they are nailed.

        1. PEP_TALK
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 7 days ago

          Like this idea

      3. Rossaldinho
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Personally no. I've just swapped him for Bernardo cost 4 points. He probably won't play significant minutes as he was terrible in the CL game. There's a lot of competition for MU midfield right now and I think Alexis will start sooner rather than later

        1. thunder_mike
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          5 years, 7 days ago

          Have deeney, so could do Martial + Deeney > Wilson + Jota/Doucoure (-4) and keep my two Brighton defenders.

      4. PEP_TALK
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        No. Nathan Redmond like FLAT TRACK BULLY suggests is a good shout

    8. Drexl Spivey
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      Play Pereira or Duffy?

      1. PEP_TALK
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        If you have to ... Pereira

        1. PrettyDick
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 7 days ago

          agree

    9. Rash
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      Ryan Duffy deeney out for Leno yoshida llorente worth a -8 BB

      1. PEP_TALK
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Keep Ryan, could at least get save points. -4 BB

    10. Cilly Bonnolly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      Vardy to Firmino worth a hit d'you reckon?

      1. Rash
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Do it for free next week

      2. Drexl Spivey
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Over four, with Cardiff first, certainly.

      3. Coldplay
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Yeah

      4. The Artist
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        you're a FFS member, so I'd suggest you do the following:

        1. team stats, last 4 home matches, defending.
        2. player comparison tool, Vardy and Firmino, last 4 away matches.

        you'll have your answer.

    11. Plymouth
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      Llorente & KDB in for Deeney & Camarasa for -4, looks about right?

      1. Robson-Canoe
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Yes that hit looks good

      2. KINGS
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Worth -8

      3. PEP_TALK
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        No brainer

    12. Couch Potato
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      Replacing Murray/Camarasa
      Best option?

      A. Fraser & Wilson (both v Fulham D)
      B. Doucoure (2 x good DGW fixtures) & Wilson
      C. Fraser & Gray (2 x good DGW fixtures, penalties?)

      1. Random Name
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Replacing Camarasa - episode 98265

        1. Random Name
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 7 days ago

          Probably A though, Wilson and Fraser elite duo

    13. Random Name
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      Why do Liverpool fans bring up 2005 as the reason they'd rather win the premier league?

      That was 14 years ago now and the UCL is a huge trophy...

      1. Drexl Spivey
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        I'd sooner win the league, personally.

      2. Robson-Canoe
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        I think they want to break their domestic curse first and they feel like more trophies will follow afterwards.

      3. GreennRed
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Haven't won the league in 29 years. A serious famine for LFC.

      4. Amey
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        You love doing this don't you 😛

    14. Siggy Azalea
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      Afternoon all...currently have no City...Who's the most likely to survive Pep's rotation and play / score the most this DGW?
      A) Sterling
      B) Sane
      C) Bernado
      D) Aguero

      1. Baps hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        D and A

      2. Rossaldinho
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Probably ACDB in that order but anyone's guess really!

    15. Baps hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      Would you prefer
      A) Deeney + Duffy > Jimenez + Yoshida (-4) and BB now
      B)Hold, and next week Eriksen to Sterling and Laporte to 4.5 and bb gw38

      (Bench now is Ryan, Deeney, Bednarek, Duffy)

      1. Holmes
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        A

      2. Siggy Azalea
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        A

      3. PEP_TALK
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        A

    16. royals forever
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      A or B for a BB team

      A. KDB Jota Eriksen Moura Ward-Prowse

      Aguero Lacazette Jimenez

      B. KDB Jota Mane Eriksen Ward-Prowse

      Aguero Llorente Jimenez

      Any ideas would be welcomed

      1. lankdog
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        A for me

      2. OptimusBlack
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        A

      3. Marty McFly
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        So...

        Moura / Laca vs Mané / Llorente?

      4. PEP_TALK
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        A

    17. lankdog
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      Final choices on BB team
      Going Etheridge >> Gunn
      Then:
      A) Kola Dunk Sterling Moura (-12)
      B) Duffy Boly Sterling Moura (-12)
      C) Duffy Monreal Eriksen Ozil (-8)
      Rest of team is
      Leno Gunn
      Vertonghen Doherty ???? ???? Bednarek
      Son Bilva ???? ???? Redmond
      Aguero Jim Vardy

      1. Coldplay
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        A

      2. PEP_TALK
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Not worth bench boosting for -12

        1. Salah’s Sonnet
          • 12 Years
          5 years, 7 days ago

          Don't see why it's not if they play twice.

    18. Coldplay
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      Laporte to Robertson for free?

      1. lankdog
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Check the CS odds but I feel this would be sideways

      2. PEP_TALK
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        No

    19. barracuda
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      Lace C. Wish me luck

      1. PEP_TALK
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Good luck with that

    20. Marty McFly
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      A) Ings
      B) Gray
      C) Rondon

      1. balint84
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        a

      2. ShackledAce
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        think Gray is more likely to get minutes in both games

      3. DMil
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        A

      4. PEP_TALK
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        A

    21. Tsparkes10
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      Leeeeds, Leeeeds are falling apart againnn

    22. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      Which scores more over next two GWs:

      A) Pogba (eve, MCI, CHE) and Vardy (whu, ARS)

      B) Hazard (BUR, mnu) and King (FUL, sot)

      1. KINGS
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        B

      2. barracuda
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        A

      3. Holmes
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        B

      4. Coldplay
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Close but A

      5. PEP_TALK
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Close but I’m not sure either does great

    23. balint84
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      captain

      A) Jimenez
      B) Agüero/Sterling
      C) Salah

      1. KINGS
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        B

      2. ShackledAce
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        b

    24. Budweiser
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      Any news on Deeney appeal?

      1. Holmes
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Rejected

      2. Fuddled FC
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Rejected apparently

      3. GreennRed
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Lots of people like him 😉

      4. Budweiser
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Oh God ok thanks

    25. Fuddled FC
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      Which one?

      a) Bednarek
      b) Yoshida
      c) Cheapest Watford defender

      1. PEP_TALK
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        I’m going Yoshida I think.

      2. MarcusAurelius
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        C) Masina 4.3m

    26. The Darkest Knight
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      whom to get RID ?
      Salah or Hazard???

      1. Holmes
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        None?

      2. Marty McFly
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Haz

      3. The Darkest Knight
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Has to get rid one of them to upgrade King > Aguero.

        1. Holmes
          • 10 Years
          5 years, 7 days ago

          I think that can backfire badly

          If forced, Hazard

          1. The Darkest Knight
            • 13 Years
            5 years, 7 days ago

            So,
            Hazard+King >> Son+Aguero for -4 looks good isn't it?

            1. MarcusAurelius
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              5 years, 7 days ago

              I’d say go for it

    27. Don Kloppeone
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      G2G all? BB team:

      Foster
      Robbo, Laporte, Doherty
      Salah, Eriksen, Son, Jota
      Kun (C), Jimi (v), Wilson
      (Lloris) (JWP, Yoshida, Valery)

      GL all!!

      1. The Darkest Knight
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Southampton for the bench!!!

        1. Don Kloppeone
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 7 days ago

          It’s a BB team!!

          1. The Darkest Knight
            • 13 Years
            5 years, 7 days ago

            yes looks good.

            1. Don Kloppeone
              • 6 Years
              5 years, 7 days ago

              Thanks. Thought you were questioning why I’d left them all on bench lol

    28. andrinho
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      Transfer in for Deeney:
      a) Gray
      b) Wilson

      1. ShackledAce
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        b

      2. PEP_TALK
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        A - May get 2 games

    29. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      Are we all awake sheeple?

      If you're hurting you are, if you're not you're Baaa aaaaa!

      1. Drexl Spivey
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        ^ I was like that after my first pint.

        1. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 7 days ago

          😆

    30. MarcusAurelius
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 days ago

      BB g2g?

      Foster Boruc
      Kola VVD Doherty Cathcart Bednarek
      Salah Sterling Deulofeu Fraser Son
      Aguero Wilson Jiménez

      1. PEP_TALK
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 7 days ago

        Are you concerned Deulofeu won’t play again ... I know I am.

        1. MarcusAurelius
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 7 days ago

          Yeah I am! but I already had him and seemed madness transferring him out for a hit. He’s trained apparently so fingers crossed he plays!