Selection

Differential Long offering incredible value for final matches of 2018/19

The penultimate Gameweek of the season is now upon us and it won’t be long before we can head to the beach, just like most of the mid-table Premier League teams.

With four English teams still fighting it out in European competition and the title race still being a two-way shoot-out, many variables are still in play.

It’s still important to look out for differentials that are free from the risk of rotation with a good fixture or two at hand.

Here are three low-owned players that may be worth considering for Gameweek 37…


Shane Long

Price: £4.7m

Ownership: 3.6%

GW37 fixture: West Ham (away)

Having scored four goals in his last five games, it’s hard to look past Shane Long (£4.7m), especially given his price.

During that time he has helped Southampton avoid the drop for another season, as well as scoring the fastest ever Premier League goal.

If timing is anything to go by he’s planned it to a tee as he only mustered one goal prior to Gameweek 33.

It’s also worth noting that he is currently ranked the best for form on the official FPL website for all strikers valued at less than £9.0m.

What’s also interesting is that in the last six Gameweeks he’s had 13 fewer goal attempts than Jamie Vardy, yet is only two goals behind him in the same period.

This is all the more remarkable when considering Long didn’t even play in Gameweek 32 and costs almost half the price.

It just goes to show how accurate he has been in front of goal of late and has made the most of the attacking opportunities available to him.

Southampton face off against West Ham at the London Stadium on Saturday.

The Hammers have conceded the fifth-highest number of home goals this season, which suggests Long will have plenty of opportunities this weekend.

And don’t forget, Southampton are the only side remaining with a home fixture against Huddersfield…

Victor Lindelöf

Price: £4.9m

Ownership: 5.2%

GW37 fixture: Huddersfield (away)

It’s always a hard sell to even encourage buying a defender from a team that has only kept 7 clean sheets in the league from a possible 36 this season, but I guess that’s what I’m doing with Victor Lindelöf (£4.9m).

In fairness to him, he has put in substantially improved displays from last season and has gradually pushed himself as a regular starting defender for Manchester United.

For a club of this magnitude, you would have expected them to keep double the number of clean sheets in comparison to their current tally.

But questions over their number one goalkeeper’s performances and the transition between managers have not helped their backline woes.

At the same time, Lindelöf has hardly been a bastion of attacking fortitude for United with only 12 penalty area touches all season, and one goal.

With him, it’s less about his individual or team Fantasy returns and even more about who they play next.

Huddersfield are only averaging 0.5 goals per home game this season and it would take some doing for them to threaten United’s goal, let alone score.

As an added bonus, United will play Cardiff in the final Gameweek of the season against a possibly relegated Cardiff at Old Traffor.

They have only scored 11 goals on the road in 2018/19 which also bodes well for Lindelöf and his defensive colleagues, who will be hoping to sign off the campaign with clean sheets with two of the weakest attacks in the division.

Seamus Coleman

Price: £5.2m

Ownership: 1.6%

GW37 fixture: Burnley (home)

In the seasons of yesteryear, it would have been unheard of to say that Seamus Coleman (£5.2m) was anything but a must-have.

However, injuries and form issues have restricted him to only four attacking returns since August 2017.

Everton’s backline also struggled for clean sheets at the start of this season which also limited his worth in the eyes of FPL managers.

With that said, there has been something of a turnaround at Goodison Park, to say the least.

Everton have quietly registered seven clean sheets in their last nine games.

Coleman played a role in each of them, as well as contributing two assists.

And if his heatmap from Gameweek 1 is anything to go by he still seems to be dominating that entire right flank with almost 30% of his touches being in the final third.

At the same time, the burden of him having the pressure to deliver regular attacking output as he did in the past has waned somewhat with the likes of Gylfi Sigurdsson and Richarlison in the team, as well as Lucas Digne providing similar creativity for the opposite flank of defence.

In addition, the season is far from over for Everton with them still mathematically in the hunt for seventh place.

Up next are Burnley, who are now safe from relegation and have been a shadow of their former selves.

I wouldn’t be surprised if Everton managed a clean sheet win against them based on both teams motivations and recent form.

774 Comments Post a Comment
  1. HUMAN TRIPOD
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Firmino, Eriksen, Foster to Aguero, Redmond, DDG (-8 hit) worth it?

    40 points in front of my mini league rivals who have Aguero, JWP and Lindelof

    1. FredrikH
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      na

    2. TheDragon
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      Dude if you want to win by copying him then why not just get the exact same players not variations which don’t guarantee ‘cover’?

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 11 months ago

        This - JWP and Lindelof could score and render Redmond and DDG cover irrelevant.

      2. HUMAN TRIPOD
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 11 months ago

        Think my current defenders are better than Lindelof and Ryan/Foster not great. Could just do a JWP and Aguero for a -4 instead

        1. TheDragon
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 11 months ago

          But you aren’t doing the moves to maximise points (if you were you wouldn’t take a -8). You are doing it to block him. So if you are doing it to block him then make sure you actually block him.

          I wouldn’t adopt this approach but if you are going to then make sure it’s fit for purpose

        2. Miguel Sanchez
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 11 months ago

          Do that for a minus 4

          Good luck and try and match their captain.

    3. HUMAN TRIPOD
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      Prefer Shaw but better already playing 3 defenders from Robbo/Laporte/Boly/Valery for GW37 & 38

  2. n-doggg
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Vardy to

    A. Lacazette
    B. Firmino
    C. Keep

    1. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      Keep.

  3. hammersp2000
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Which is the better combo to have out of these 3:-

    A ) Hazard & Pogba

    B) Rashford & Pogba

    C) Hazard & Rashford

    Cheers

    1. n-doggg
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      C

    2. HUMAN TRIPOD
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      A just because of Pogba pens

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      C

  4. Bubz
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    I think I'm going to do Mane ----> Hazard for differential purposes in a bid to push into the top 10k.

    Reckon it will work out?

    1. The_Fish
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      I don't think so.

    2. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      go for it.

    3. Amey
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      I'm doing exactly same transfer & © hazard

    4. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      Will you captain Hazard?

      1. Bubz
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 11 months ago

        Quite possibly

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 11 months ago

          Go for it then

    5. drughi
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      I reckon its worth a shot if you aim for top 10k, mane home to wolves last home game of the season is captain material for me though.

    6. Piggs Boson
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      Not sure. Leicester away isn't the most enticing fixture in GW38.

      1. Christina.
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 11 months ago

        switch back
        simple

        Mane won't have it easy vs Newc

        Last 3 livp PL games away @ newc
        1-1
        0-2newc
        0-1newc

        1. drughi
          • 14 Years
          4 years, 11 months ago

          feels like a waste mane>hazard>mane as the last transfers of the season

          1. Christina.
            • 14 Years
            4 years, 11 months ago

            not if Hazard scored 10 pts and Mane 2 this weekend.

            Prob all he needs to get to top10k with his 15k rank

        2. Piggs Boson
          • 12 Years
          4 years, 11 months ago

          Yeah, Newcastle away is horrible too.

          Could work if you have nothing better to do...

      2. Bubz
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 11 months ago

        Isn't it? I think it could end up one of those open games where both just going for it last game of the season. Could also be Hazards last game for Chelsea

    7. Royal5
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      Not really. Liverpool with more to play for and a better squad.

  5. lastmanback
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Planning on Dunk > Shaw and Eriksen > Pogba.

    The injury doubt rules have stalled me, but with the CL next week is Eriksen also a rest doubt? So worst case i'm at least just moving a doubt for a doubt?

  6. Miguel Sanchez
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Have Pogba who might also be a doubt so should I go safe with Wilson or punt on fixtures with Rashford?

    A) Wilson
    B) Rashford

    1. Tshelby
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      A to be save but depends on if you're chasing or leading?

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 11 months ago

        Chasing but mot much. 8 points to top 10k and 17 points in mini league

    2. Men in green tights
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      I'm staying safe with Wilson as it would be a hit for me but if it's ft could be worth it but he might not play full game with that shoulder injury

    3. Men in green tights
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      Noticed you have brooks or is a doubt as well that would make 3 players possibly not playing sounds too much to me

  7. Tshelby
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Anyone? Really struggling what to do this week..

    Have 2FT with 0.0 ITB

    Lloris, Foster
    Duffy, Valery, Kolasinac, TAA, Doherty
    Sterling, Salah, Moura, Son, Deulofeu
    Long, Kun, Jimenez

    A) Kola -> Shaw
    B) Long, Moura -> Rashford, Holland
    C) Moura -> Jota/Babel
    D) Moura, Deulofeu -> Bilva, Camarasa/Hojbjerg
    E) Moura, Jimenez -> Jota, Rashford/Zaha
    F) Moura, Deulofeu -> Martial, Jota

  8. Piggs Boson
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Thought Pogba would have a flag by now. Missed Wednesday's training session.

    1. Ruinenlust
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      Source?

      1. Piggs Boson
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 11 months ago

        BBC live feed
        https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/live/football/48145120

        "Paul Pogba, Romelu Lukaku and Jesse Lingard were absent from Wednesday's part-open training session, with United juggling a few injury issues ahead of facing Huddersfield."

  9. Gharvey
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Chances of both laca and Aubameyang playing on Sunday?

    1. kalmoffit
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      Good, they'll want to win.

  10. Emiliano Sala
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Anyone considering rashford C ?

    1. Henryyy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      Your confident he will start?

      1. Christina.
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 11 months ago

        who else?

        Lukaku prob out for season
        greendwood inj

      2. Emiliano Sala
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 11 months ago

        Yes

    2. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      nope

    3. Don Kloppeone
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      Think that would be extremely risky. He’s likely to play at least some minutes so if he blanks you’re stuffed. Depends how high your risk appetite is at this stage

  11. Don Kloppeone
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Bench 1?
    A) Wilson (TOT)
    B) JWP (whu)
    C) Mili (car)

    Who to captain?
    1) Sterling
    2) Kun

    For context I just brought in Sterling.

    Wilson is definitely the form pick but home team form is not great and I have had a knack of benching JWP for all of his hauls so thinking this should be his chance?

    Cheers!

    1. The_Fish
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      B2

  12. boc610
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    any richarlison love? very tempted to get him in for eriksen... have a feeling burnely going to get tonked later

  13. CFC1990
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Anyone bringing Rashford in?

    Is it worth the risk due to nice fixtures?

    1. Brawlers
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      Worth the risk for me

    2. Men in green tights
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      Was going too but no comments on him in presser has put me off

  14. FCSB
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Final dilemma of the week, sell Vardy >> Rashford, or keep??

    Whats everyone doing??

    1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      Keeping mate

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 11 months ago

        Then Jimmy to Rashford in 38

        1. FCSB
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 11 months ago

          Yep cus Vardy could score v Chelsea right?

  15. Lord Alan Shearer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    OTB, no, not the itv Saturday morning 00s show. On. The. Beach. I heard this so much on 5live last weekend it was beyond a joke. Just looking at my changes for this week and trying to think about the affect of this. Looking at a) form and b) league position i consider to be the main to contributing factors.
    a) Form, or lack of it. Be that negative (nothing to play for, already being relegated, mercenaries dragging down performances, injuries, discord in the dressing room etc) or positive (gunning for league position, new manager etc). Ranking A-E
    b) Teams which are outside of the main battles (title, 4th, 7th and Relegation), so basically 11th to 16th, 19th and 20th are the prime candidates. Ranking 1-5

    I see the current league table as so:
    City A1
    Liverpool A1
    Spurs D2
    Chelsea C2
    Arsenal C2
    United D2
    Wolves B2
    Leicester B3
    Everton C2 (could be B-D on form though!)
    Watford C4
    WHM D5
    Palace C5
    Newcastle B5 (Rafa leaving affect too)
    Bournemouth C4
    Burnley C5
    Soton B5
    Brighton D1
    Cardiff C1
    Fulham B5
    HUD E5

    How you read the importance of form v league is where i am struggling. Personally, i think form is really important at this time of the season, and if that can be clubbed with battling for position it makes for good points opportunities. Excluding the 'Walcott factor' (random players back from injury and smashing them in), i will be sticking with picking from teams with lots to play for and inform. Thoughts?

    1. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      you lost me at A1...

      1. Lord Alan Shearer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 11 months ago

        haha, that's why I'm struggling i think

        1. Christina.
          • 14 Years
          4 years, 11 months ago

          Doos mkII

    2. TheDragon
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      Lord help us

      1. Lord.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 11 months ago

        Sorry, you're on your own with this one.

    3. jia you
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      Good lord

    4. TyroneGAA
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      I just need a D5 for Bingo...

    5. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      You sunk my battleship...

      1. TyroneGAA
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 11 months ago

        hahaha

    6. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      I am a fan, granted, but I think West Ham look a good bet this weekend and maybe next. Just won at Spurs, improved in the last few and two games against one team who is now safe and the other who are only interested in the cup.

  16. Do I Not Like Orange
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Given Firmino doubts, would you start Babel over him?

    Lloris
    TAA Laporte Valery
    Sterling Mane Son Jota
    Jimenez Firmino Kun (TC)

    Foster Babel Bednarek Dunk

    1. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      no, sell him

      1. Do I Not Like Orange
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 11 months ago

        For a hit? Who would you get: Zaha, Laca (would be a blocking move) or Rashford?

  17. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    A: Shaw + Mitro/King/6.7m fwd
    B: Dann + Rashford

    The defender will come in this gw and the striker would come in next gw for Jiménez

  18. Cmdr Shepards Boots
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Salah, Vardy & Ings to Aguero, Rashford, Pogba (-8)?

    Have Sterling and Mane

    1. TheDragon
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      😮

  19. Simmoo
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Rashford + Mane -> Aguero (C) + Redmond for free?

  20. Ruinenlust
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    A) Mane -> Hazard

    B) Son -> Pogba

    C) Son -> Hazard (-4)

    D) Keep Mane and Son

    1. Amey
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      1

    2. Runaway
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      D

  21. Atimis
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    What would you chnage here with 1FT?
    Firmino to Rash or Long?

    Lloirs
    Laporte/TAA/Boly
    Sterling/Mane/Son/Jota
    Kun/Firmino/Jim

    Gunn/Deulofeu/Dufy/Kiko

  22. Emiliano Sala
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Going to risk it, which one would you C?
    Jota vs Fulham H
    Rashford vs Hudds A

    1. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      play or (c)?

      1. Emiliano Sala
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 11 months ago

        Captain

        1. Christina.
          • 14 Years
          4 years, 11 months ago

          Jota

    2. Schafsalat
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      Rashford vs Hudds would be my choice

  23. rohan
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Getting the mighty Luka Milivojevic in for Mo Salah to fund Gray to Kun Aguero. Thoughts? Already have Mane

    1. Simmoo
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      I prefer Redmond in that price band, but I think Kun is the key player to own this week.

    2. korbendallas82
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      I bought milivojevic this round, for hayden. I wanted to have a player to take kings spot, in the team.

  24. Deulofeu
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Transferring out Son

    Hazard or Sterling?

  25. The 12th Man
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Mane + 4 points or Sterling?

  26. rohan
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Also, does anyone know if the Newcastle presser is over? Want to know if Perez is likely to start

  27. nobwak
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Son & Duffy >> Shaw & Pogba?

    1. FredrikH
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 11 months ago

      Just duffy to shaw for now. Son could be gold on saturday.

      1. nobwak
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        lol.

  28. Strchld
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Which one?

    A) Gray to Rashford

    B) Doucure to Bilva

  29. insertcomedyname
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    A. Eriksen > Siggy and Foster > Ederson (for free and gives me money in the bank for say Doherty > TAA next GW)
    Or
    B. Eriksen > Hazard, Foster > Guaita and Kola > Kelly (-4 and nothing left in the kitty)

    Thanks. Last throw of the dice!

  30. FPL Blow-In
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 11 months ago

    Save ft here folks? Worried about Pogba/Firmino. 1ft 0itb

    Ederson
    Lindleof, VVD, Monreal
    Sterling, Manè, Son, Pogba, Jota
    Jiminez, Firmino

    Foster, Llorente, Lascelles, Duffy 1ft 0itb

    Firmino should play right? Could improve my bench by Llorente to Long or Duffy to AWB for example? Thanks