Scout Picks

Gameweek 38 Scout Picks – Goals expected outside Man City and Liverpool games

We’ve included three attacking players from Liverpool and Manchester City for our final Scout Picks of the season.

The two title-chasing clubs may be the only ones with anything left on the line to play for other than proud, but that doesn’t mean there won’t be goals elsewhere.

Using the Scout Squad submissions by Paul, Neale, Az and Peter, and an analysis of the Fantasy Football Scout members data, we have come up with a XI for you.

For the last time in 2018/19, we line up in a 3-4-3 formation and at a total cost of £82.8m, we are £0.7m inside our budget.

Goalkeeper

Sergio Rico (£4.4m) finds himself in the Scout Picks at just the right time to make sure we didn’t go the whole season without including one of Fulham’s defensive assets. Name-checked by three of our pundits, and selected as the best option by Paul, the Cottagers’ shot-stopper faces a Newcastle attack that has managed just three big chances in their last six away matches, the worst of any team in that time. Meanwhile, no goalkeeper has more saves than Rico in their last six at home.

Defender

Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m) was an easy inclusion for the Gameweek 38 Scout Picks. Manchester City have kept 10 clean sheets in their last 12 Premier League outings and travel to Brighton on the final day of the season. The Seagulls are bottom of the league for shots on target, big chances and goal conversion over their last six at home. Laporte himself has added two attacking returns in the last six Gameweeks and his threat from set pieces is always in his favour.

Trent Alexander-Arnold (£5.8m) is once again our chosen representative from the Liverpool defence. Price continues to be on the right-back’s side as well as his attacking potential. Compared to colleagues Andrew Robertson and Virgil van Dijk, the England international has the superior minutes per chance and minutes per chance created in the last six home matches. In that time, Liverpool are in the top two for fewest shots allowed in the box and big chances conceded.

Luke Shaw (£5.0m) completes our three-man defence ahead of Cardiff’s trip to Old Trafford. Manchester United may not be in the best form right now but the Bluebirds have been sufficiently poor on their travels this season that we believe a clean sheet at least is on the cards. In their last six away matches, Cardiff have been in the bottom two for shots inside the box and big chances. Meanwhile, Shaw himself has created more big chances than any other defender in the last six matches.

Midfielders

Mohamed Salah (£13.3m) should be back in the Liverpool side on Sunday afternoon for the visit of Wolves following his concussion and he comes into Gameweek 38 as the Scout Squad’s unanimous best midfield option. The Egyptian remains on an incredible run of form that has seen him get at least one attacking return in each of his last six matches in a row – his longest stretch without a blank all season. In those fixtures, no player has registered more shots on goal, efforts in the box or shots on target than Salah either. Wolves might have a good record against the top-six but considering they rarely keep clean sheets, Liverpool’s Egyptian star certainly has what it takes to reward his owners in Gameweek 38.

Raheem Sterling (£11.7m) is our chosen Manchester City attacker for the trip to Brighton. In the last six away matches, none of his colleagues has managed more shots in the box or efforts on target, while he also has the best expected goals (xG) score among Manchester City players in that sample. That has translated to 11 attacking returns on the road this season, more than any of his team-mates in 2018/19.

Sadio Mané (£10.3m) has been one of the most reliable attacking options in home matches this season. The Liverpool man has 12 goals in his 11 Premier League outings at Anfield, which have come from some encouraging underlying statistics. In the last four at home he has the second-highest number of big chances among all players, as well as the second-best xG too. Just as is the case with Salah, Wolves’ have asked tough questions away at top-six sides in 2018/19 but are yet to keep a clean sheet.

Nathan Redmond (£5.5m) looks like one of the most appealing budget midfielder for Gameweek 38 as Southampton host Huddersfield on Sunday afternoon. The Terriers are bottom of the league for shots allowed in the box over the last six away matches, as well as for their 18 goals shipped. Meanwhile, Redmond currently ranks fourth for big chances and third for xG out of all players in their last four at home.

Forwards

Jamie Vardy (£9.0m) looks set to enjoy the final day of the 2018/19 season. In the last four home matches, no player has registered shots inside the box, more efforts on target or more big chances. That has yielded five goals and an assist ahead of a meeting with Chelsea at the King Power Stadium. The Blues are still without a clean sheet on the road in 2019, will be without the injured N’Golo Kanté and Antonio Rüdiger while doubts hang over the fitness of Andreas Christensen too. Furthermore, Chelsea come to Leicester just a few days after playing 120 minutes against Eintracht Frankfurt in the Europa League, which will have almost certainly drained them physically and mentally.

After Bournemouth’s troubles on their travels earlier this season, Callum Wilson (£6.8m) has all of a sudden become the king of football on the road in the closing stages of the campaign. In the last four away matches, no fit player has been afforded more big chances or a higher xG score. Furthermore, in such games, Wilson is also second-best for shots on target, so he stands a good chance of converting his opportunities. His Gameweek 38 opponents Crystal Palace are in the bottom four for goal attempts conceded in the box over the last four home matches, are without centre-backs James Tomkins and Mamadou Sakho while Scott Dann is now a doubt.

Shane Long (£4.7m) completes our Scout Picks team for Gameweek 38 as another option who gets to enjoy facing that travel sick Huddersfield side. We’ve already covered how vulnerable the Terriers will be when they come to Southampton, as Redmond also has decent points potential this week. Long himself has actually been afforded more big chances than the midfielder in his last four home matches, ranking third best in the whole league. His accuracy of 57% over that period suggests his chances of converted more big opportunities are quite high.

Substitutes

Budget man Yan Valery (£4.1m) gets a place on the bench for Gameweek 38 ahead of Huddersfield’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have not exactly been adept at keeping clean sheets under Ralph Hasenhüttl but their visitors on Sunday remain the division’s joint-lowest scorers on the road in 2018/19.

Like his colleague Wilson, Ryan Fraser (£6.3m) has been impressive on the road of late with six attacking returns in his last Premier League away trips. He will also get to play against a potentially makeshift Crystal Palace side who have struggled at home this season.

Marcus Rashford (£7.3m) is probably one of the few attacking Manchester United options we can be confident will get a start against Cardiff on Sunday afternoon. There is not a great deal of form to go on for the forward but given the Bluebirds are in the bottom three for shots conceded in the box over the last six away matches, he should get plenty of chances.

Community Champion

Representing the community against the Scout Picks in Gameweek 38 is Karan14. He has opted for a 3-4-3 of Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Van Dijk, Kompany, Laporte; Redmond, Bernardo Silva, Pogba; Wood, Mitrovic, Zaha

The community member who beats our picks by the biggest margin over the campaign will win a £100 Amazon Voucher and a place in our Contributors and Moderators League for the following season.

It was a win for the Scout Picks over Greyhead in Gameweek 37 by a 46-45 scoreline. fclackless‘s winning margin of 33 points (77-44) in Gameweek 10 is still the current target to beat.

3,966 Comments Post a Comment
  1. NATSTER
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Shaw is also included in the scout picks despite the lack of CS recently.

    I have 5.2m to spend. Should I go Shaw or Kompany?

    1. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Komps

    2. Fantasydreamer
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Kompany

    3. Mr Bird
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Kompany given the choice

    4. Make Arrows Green Again
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Definitely Vinnie

    5. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Thank you very much 🙂

  2. lilmessipran
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    latest on Robbo and Salah?

    1. Queens of the South Age
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Nothing more since yesterday. Both will play as is a must win game.

    2. S.Kuqi
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Both fit and trained today.

  3. Queens of the South Age
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Need to play one of these as only other option is Duffy.

    A. Jiminez
    B. Jota

    1. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Small difference. Jota for 1 more point if he scored.

  4. Shark Team
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Redmond or Wilson

    Thanks

    1. Queens of the South Age
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Wilson. People talk about Redmond like he's suddenly the next Messi. 2 pointer incoming.

      1. Shark Team
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Yeah I agree 🙂

    2. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Have both.
      If I had to choose, itd be Wilson as he's more consistent in FPL

  5. Yank Revolution
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Here's my team, any changes suggested?? 1 FT, 0.1 itb

    Jimenez out, Zaha in I have exact cash for - the other move I've thought about is Doh out as bench D insurance for Robertson.

    Leno
    Rob/TAA/Bednarek
    Sterling/Salah/BSilva/Redmond
    Kun/Wilson/Jimenez

    Jota/Doh/Lascelles (Boruc)

    1. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Not worth a hits on 2nd transfer.

      1. Yank Revolution
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        No definitely not hitting. Just wondering which to do, if any

        1. NATSTER
          • 13 Years
          4 years, 10 months ago

          Jimenez then. He might score but Zaha is more likely to involve in any attacking points.

          1. Yank Revolution
            • 12 Years
            4 years, 10 months ago

            Agreed

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      I like that move, go for it and good luck!

      1. Yank Revolution
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Thx man

    3. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      I’d do jimmy to zaha or long

      1. Yank Revolution
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Appreciate it

    4. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Differential Jiménez to Arnie?

      1. Yank Revolution
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Yes, it would be, but Im not in dire need of differentials. And Arnie is sooo hit and miss and injury prone. Decent idea if Im chasing (but Im ensconced in the top 10 k)

    5. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Sound move. I actually prefer arnie. I'm the same on Robbo. Any rumours and I'm keeping back the 0.3 I need for kompany myself.

      1. Yank Revolution
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Arnie hasnt scored an away goal since GW 5 tho

  6. JELLYFISH
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Son & Jimmy > Redmond & Vardy for -4pts

    Do it yes or no?

    1. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Tough one. Dont advocate for hits this week. Son out is a given tho, I'd focus more on that right now.

      1. JELLYFISH
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        I am more inclined to bench Son and do Jimmy > Rashford as I have just enough to make that move and already have Holbjerg for saints mfd cover

        1. Yank Revolution
          • 12 Years
          4 years, 10 months ago

          No, do not do that. Can't have all that money tied up in Son on the bench. Gotta spend it on a new player

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      I did same but Fraser instead of Redmond. Considering Vardy for C!

    3. Miles105
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Pondering over the same transfer just the fact I have to use hit is putting me off

  7. L S P
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Which for a -4?

    a) Robbo/Firmino->TAA/Vardy
    b) Martial/Firmino->Mane/Wilson

    Cheers

    1. L S P
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      or just Firm->Vardy for free?

      1. Queens of the South Age
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Good option too but any other Liverpool attack? If not then I'd look to get mane. I went for Son and Firmino to Mane and Zaha. Was 0.1m away from Vardy.

        1. Yank Revolution
          • 12 Years
          4 years, 10 months ago

          Good moves

        2. L S P
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 10 months ago

          I do have Salah (TC)

    2. Queens of the South Age
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      B

    3. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      B

    4. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      B if no Salah. A if you have Mo.

    5. Mr Bird
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      B... Robbo should be fine and there’s nothing to suggest he won’t be the fullback in the points this week. There is no harm in going Mane and Salah and Wilson covers Vardy on his day

  8. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Son & Jiménez > Redmond & Wilson -4

    1. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Look up

  9. Puntastic
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Thoughts on these moves guys got 2fts?
    Currently ranked 11.5k so would be nice to finish in the Top 10k.

    Lloris
    Robbo / Shaw / Valery
    Sterling / Mane / Eriksen / Son!
    Aguero / Jimenez / Ings
    (Gunn /Jota / Jonny / Dunk)

    A) Son & Jimenez to Vardy & Fraser
    B) Son & Dunk to Laporte/TAA & Fraser (bench Jimenez)
    C) Son & Jimenez to Pogba/B.Silva & Mitrovic/Wilson

    Would appreciate your help! 🙂

    1. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      A or B

    2. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      A for me amigo

  10. S.Kuqi
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Why don't they even try to be braver with scout pics. Last gw of season.

  11. nevins84
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Play JWP or Jimenez?

    1. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      JWP

    2. Hand of clod
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      JWP.

  12. The Red Devil
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    A- jota to Fraser/Babel (-4)
    B-Hazard jota JWP
    To
    Salah Redmond 4.6 fodder (-12)
    C- JWP to Redmond (-4)
    D- Jimenez to zaha (-4)
    E- none

    If A, then start JWP or Jimenez?

  13. Yank Revolution
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Im answering questions left and right, how bout some help up above eh gents?

    1. Tsssst
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      I'll check it out fella

      1. Yank Revolution
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Gracias

        1. Tsssst
          • 12 Years
          4 years, 10 months ago

          If not, paste it here

          1. Tsssst
            • 12 Years
            4 years, 10 months ago

            And see my question below if you don't mind

  14. Tsssst
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Which two fellas to replace two of:

    Son
    Hudson-Odoi
    Jiminez

    Money no object but - 4 involved.

    1. Fraser
    2. Redmond
    3. Vardy
    4. Wilson
    5. Long

    TIA

    1. Big Jari Litmanen
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Fraser/Wilson

    2. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Def one of the Bmouth boys and probably Vardy. But thats based on everyone saying Chelsea will rest a bunch of people, which Im not positive about (what has Sarri said?)

      1. Tsssst
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Cool. No saints attack does concern though

        1. Yank Revolution
          • 12 Years
          4 years, 10 months ago

          I hear ya...I just cant recommend getting in a Soton attacker over a BMouth one (Fraser and Wilson usually involved in their goals).

    3. nibby
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Fraser Redmond

  15. fclackless [Brazil Nuts]
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Good luck against the scouts Karan ... a 32 point thrashing is allowed but no more please 😉

  16. Shark Team
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    What do you think of those moves guys?

    OUT: Son & Jimenez

    IN: Pogba & Wilson

    *P.S. I have 2 free transfers

    Thanks a lot.

    1. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Yes

    2. Big Jari Litmanen
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Yes

  17. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    If you have to play Cathcart or Doherty, is a city defender worth a hit?

    1. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      I don't think so. But, if push, only Laporte.

  18. Big Jari Litmanen
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Which is the best option?

    A) Jota > Fraser
    B) Jiménez > Wilson
    C) Hazard > Mané
    D) Two of the above for -4

  19. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Rashford or Arnie? Cannot decide, there will be lots of goals between WHU and Watford but still Cardiff away... thanks for the help lads...

    1. S.Kuqi
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Arnie

    2. Big Jari Litmanen
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Rashford’s head has gone & has been awful recently. Go for Arnie

    3. nibby
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Arnie

      1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Thx lads

  20. LewanGOALski
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Anything worth a hit here?
    3.3 itb

    Defending 2-point lead in ML

    Foster
    TAA - Valery - Doherty
    Salah - Sterling - Bilva - Deulofeu - Redmond
    Kun - Rashford

    Ryan - Jimenez - Duffy - Dunk

    thx

  21. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Which two would you play from? Nb. Playing Robbo (doubt)
    A. Cathcart
    B. Doherty
    C. Jota
    D. Llorente (have Eriksen).
    E. Valery (have Gunn, may have Redmond).

  22. Sid07
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Have 2ft
    1) son + Jimi to Salah + long
    2) son + Jimi to Pogba + vardy
    3) Doherty + son to Robertson + pogba

    1. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      2
      3 if no Allison or TAA

      1. Sid07
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Have TAA

        1. Yank Revolution
          • 12 Years
          4 years, 10 months ago

          Then 2

    2. nibby
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      1

  23. fr3d
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    No Calvert-Lewin in the picks?

    1. Lazaretti
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Injured

  24. syke63
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Hazard to Mane to complete a -8?

    1. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      ick, but why the hell not

  25. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Best defensive option this week?

    Already have Laporte and VVD.

    1. Root
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      TAA

    2. nibby
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      TAA

  26. S.Kuqi
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Taa, Robbo and Pva

    1. nibby
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Exact Same back 3 here

  27. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Any Robbo owners still selling?
    Seemed like many were yesterday

    1. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      No

    2. nibby
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Nope. He will play

  28. nibby
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Help Needed Fellas!!! Chasing my league opponent by 5 point.

    My Team:
    Foster
    TAA Robertson PVA
    Sterling Eriksen Redmond Fraser Pogba
    Kun King
    Subs: Jimi Doherty Duffy

    Opponents team:
    Leno
    VVD Laporte Lindaloef
    Sterling Eriksen Bilva Deloufou Mane
    Lacazette Rashford

    Who should i cap?
    A) Redmond (risky but might work well)
    B) Kun (safe pick but got a feeling brighton wont make it easy game)

    Thanks!

    1. AllStars
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      B

  29. Daniel Exeter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    I’m leading a head to head league. Up against a ‘dead’ team but made of quality players.

    With my FT should I just block him. I can do Son > Pogba. And block his pogba.

  30. Polar_Bear
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Two transfers: Son --> Salah
    Firminho --> Long
    Is a -4 for Jimenez to Wilson/Arnie worth it (likely Wilson)? Competitors don't have them