Scout Picks

Gameweek 38 Scout Picks – Goals expected outside Man City and Liverpool games

We’ve included three attacking players from Liverpool and Manchester City for our final Scout Picks of the season.

The two title-chasing clubs may be the only ones with anything left on the line to play for other than proud, but that doesn’t mean there won’t be goals elsewhere.

Using the Scout Squad submissions by Paul, Neale, Az and Peter, and an analysis of the Fantasy Football Scout members data, we have come up with a XI for you.

For the last time in 2018/19, we line up in a 3-4-3 formation and at a total cost of £82.8m, we are £0.7m inside our budget.

Goalkeeper

Sergio Rico (£4.4m) finds himself in the Scout Picks at just the right time to make sure we didn’t go the whole season without including one of Fulham’s defensive assets. Name-checked by three of our pundits, and selected as the best option by Paul, the Cottagers’ shot-stopper faces a Newcastle attack that has managed just three big chances in their last six away matches, the worst of any team in that time. Meanwhile, no goalkeeper has more saves than Rico in their last six at home.

Defender

Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m) was an easy inclusion for the Gameweek 38 Scout Picks. Manchester City have kept 10 clean sheets in their last 12 Premier League outings and travel to Brighton on the final day of the season. The Seagulls are bottom of the league for shots on target, big chances and goal conversion over their last six at home. Laporte himself has added two attacking returns in the last six Gameweeks and his threat from set pieces is always in his favour.

Trent Alexander-Arnold (£5.8m) is once again our chosen representative from the Liverpool defence. Price continues to be on the right-back’s side as well as his attacking potential. Compared to colleagues Andrew Robertson and Virgil van Dijk, the England international has the superior minutes per chance and minutes per chance created in the last six home matches. In that time, Liverpool are in the top two for fewest shots allowed in the box and big chances conceded.

Luke Shaw (£5.0m) completes our three-man defence ahead of Cardiff’s trip to Old Trafford. Manchester United may not be in the best form right now but the Bluebirds have been sufficiently poor on their travels this season that we believe a clean sheet at least is on the cards. In their last six away matches, Cardiff have been in the bottom two for shots inside the box and big chances. Meanwhile, Shaw himself has created more big chances than any other defender in the last six matches.

Midfielders

Mohamed Salah (£13.3m) should be back in the Liverpool side on Sunday afternoon for the visit of Wolves following his concussion and he comes into Gameweek 38 as the Scout Squad’s unanimous best midfield option. The Egyptian remains on an incredible run of form that has seen him get at least one attacking return in each of his last six matches in a row – his longest stretch without a blank all season. In those fixtures, no player has registered more shots on goal, efforts in the box or shots on target than Salah either. Wolves might have a good record against the top-six but considering they rarely keep clean sheets, Liverpool’s Egyptian star certainly has what it takes to reward his owners in Gameweek 38.

Raheem Sterling (£11.7m) is our chosen Manchester City attacker for the trip to Brighton. In the last six away matches, none of his colleagues has managed more shots in the box or efforts on target, while he also has the best expected goals (xG) score among Manchester City players in that sample. That has translated to 11 attacking returns on the road this season, more than any of his team-mates in 2018/19.

Sadio Mané (£10.3m) has been one of the most reliable attacking options in home matches this season. The Liverpool man has 12 goals in his 11 Premier League outings at Anfield, which have come from some encouraging underlying statistics. In the last four at home he has the second-highest number of big chances among all players, as well as the second-best xG too. Just as is the case with Salah, Wolves’ have asked tough questions away at top-six sides in 2018/19 but are yet to keep a clean sheet.

Nathan Redmond (£5.5m) looks like one of the most appealing budget midfielder for Gameweek 38 as Southampton host Huddersfield on Sunday afternoon. The Terriers are bottom of the league for shots allowed in the box over the last six away matches, as well as for their 18 goals shipped. Meanwhile, Redmond currently ranks fourth for big chances and third for xG out of all players in their last four at home.

Forwards

Jamie Vardy (£9.0m) looks set to enjoy the final day of the 2018/19 season. In the last four home matches, no player has registered shots inside the box, more efforts on target or more big chances. That has yielded five goals and an assist ahead of a meeting with Chelsea at the King Power Stadium. The Blues are still without a clean sheet on the road in 2019, will be without the injured N’Golo Kanté and Antonio Rüdiger while doubts hang over the fitness of Andreas Christensen too. Furthermore, Chelsea come to Leicester just a few days after playing 120 minutes against Eintracht Frankfurt in the Europa League, which will have almost certainly drained them physically and mentally.

After Bournemouth’s troubles on their travels earlier this season, Callum Wilson (£6.8m) has all of a sudden become the king of football on the road in the closing stages of the campaign. In the last four away matches, no fit player has been afforded more big chances or a higher xG score. Furthermore, in such games, Wilson is also second-best for shots on target, so he stands a good chance of converting his opportunities. His Gameweek 38 opponents Crystal Palace are in the bottom four for goal attempts conceded in the box over the last four home matches, are without centre-backs James Tomkins and Mamadou Sakho while Scott Dann is now a doubt.

Shane Long (£4.7m) completes our Scout Picks team for Gameweek 38 as another option who gets to enjoy facing that travel sick Huddersfield side. We’ve already covered how vulnerable the Terriers will be when they come to Southampton, as Redmond also has decent points potential this week. Long himself has actually been afforded more big chances than the midfielder in his last four home matches, ranking third best in the whole league. His accuracy of 57% over that period suggests his chances of converted more big opportunities are quite high.

Substitutes

Budget man Yan Valery (£4.1m) gets a place on the bench for Gameweek 38 ahead of Huddersfield’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have not exactly been adept at keeping clean sheets under Ralph Hasenhüttl but their visitors on Sunday remain the division’s joint-lowest scorers on the road in 2018/19.

Like his colleague Wilson, Ryan Fraser (£6.3m) has been impressive on the road of late with six attacking returns in his last Premier League away trips. He will also get to play against a potentially makeshift Crystal Palace side who have struggled at home this season.

Marcus Rashford (£7.3m) is probably one of the few attacking Manchester United options we can be confident will get a start against Cardiff on Sunday afternoon. There is not a great deal of form to go on for the forward but given the Bluebirds are in the bottom three for shots conceded in the box over the last six away matches, he should get plenty of chances.

Community Champion

Representing the community against the Scout Picks in Gameweek 38 is Karan14. He has opted for a 3-4-3 of Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Van Dijk, Kompany, Laporte; Redmond, Bernardo Silva, Pogba; Wood, Mitrovic, Zaha

The community member who beats our picks by the biggest margin over the campaign will win a £100 Amazon Voucher and a place in our Contributors and Moderators League for the following season.

It was a win for the Scout Picks over Greyhead in Gameweek 37 by a 46-45 scoreline. fclackless‘s winning margin of 33 points (77-44) in Gameweek 10 is still the current target to beat.

3,966 Comments Post a Comment
  1. radawson
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Who scores more points?

    A) Rashford

    B) Kompany

    1. Rinseboy
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      A

  2. Hobolicious
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Bottomed 🙁

    Which one would you go for with Son/Jim out? Currently on A.

    A) Fraser/Wilson
    B) Sigurdsson/Wilson
    C) Babel/Vardy
    D) Redmond/Vardy

    1. Rinseboy
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      B

    2. Boberella
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      D

  3. Rinseboy
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    who to play from Doherty Trippier or Monreal?

    1. sthelenslad92
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Trippier

  4. Delph & Safety
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Start Lloris or Foster?

    1. Rinseboy
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      foster

    2. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Watford poor defensive form. Everton missing DCL & Richarlison.

      Both not amazing, but Lloris has fewer negatives.

  5. pingissimus
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Now locking this in

    Lloris
    VVD Robbo Laporte
    Mane (c) Hazard Bilva Redmond
    Kun Jim Rondon

    Foster Valery Jota Duffy

    My big call of dropping Wilson could backfire spectacularly - the season long trend of Selhurst Pk setting a new PL record of low scoring games outweighs any recency of away goals for me.

    GL all

    1. The 12th Man
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      I’d play Jota over Jimenez.
      Rest looks good.

      1. pingissimus
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        It’s one of those calls isn’t it? Recent form over Jim’s top 6 returns. They’ll both probably blank anyway now!

        1. The 12th Man
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 10 months ago

          Yeh it’s probably a 50/50 call.
          If I don’t transfer one of them out I’ll be playing Jota because of recent form but more importantly my ML rival has Jimenez as well but no Jota, so an extra differential for me.

  6. kumadinya welah
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Foster Ryan
    Robertson Laporte Valery Bednarek Duffy
    Hazard Jota Salah Mane Babel
    Llorente Aguero Jimenez

    currently, i have 30 pts lead in one ML but i'm chasing 20 pts for the other ML. which move sounds better for -8?

    A) Robertson Hazard Llorente --> TAA Sterling Wood
    B) Robertson Hazard Jota --> TAA Sterling Fraser
    C) Robertson Hazard Llorente --> TAA Fraser Wood
    D) Robertson Hazard Llorente --> TAA Fraser Vardy

    Thanks!

    1. sthelenslad92
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Don't think any are worth -8

      1. kumadinya welah
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        then what about hazard jota --> sterling fraser ? is it worth it for -4?

  7. el polako
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    I got 5 on it...

  8. HD7
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Lloris
    Laporte Robbo Valery
    Sterling Son* Redmond Mane
    Aguero Jimenez Gray

    Subs: Foster, Jota, Doherty, Duffy

    2 FT:
    Son Jimenez to Pogba Rash/Wilson/Zaha,
    and hope Robbo and Gray start?

    1. sthelenslad92
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      I'd go Pogba & Wilson, Robertson is starting not sure about Gray

      1. HD7
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Yeah Im also thinking Pogba Wilson mate.
        Regarding Robbo do we have an update from Saturday?
        Gray... i think I will risk with him...better than Jota Doh or -4

  9. sthelenslad92
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Alisson
    Robertson - Pereira - Doherty
    Sterling - Hazard - Redmond - Son
    Aguero - Llorente - Jimenez

    A) Doherty & Son > Valery & Mane
    B) Doherty & Son > Laporte & Pogba
    C) Son & Jimenez > Mane & Wood
    D) Son & Jimenez > Fraser & Vardy

    1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      B or D for me I think mate

  10. EMBOLOFAN
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    doherty to dalot, then?

    1. sthelenslad92
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Sounds good

    2. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Kompany? (If no 3x City already.)

    3. Niho992
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      why Dalot ? Valencia should start tomorrow ??

      1. EMBOLOFAN
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        whos playing lb?

        1. EMBOLOFAN
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 10 months ago

          young?

  11. Tsssst
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Worked out my rival has used his FT on Firmino to Vardy.

    Rivals XI

    Foster
    Laporte Trippier Kolasinac
    Sterling Pogba Mane JWP Redmond
    Rashford Jiminez Vardy

    My XI

    Ederson
    Robertson TAA Bednarek Shaw Dunk
    Pogba Mane Sterling Son Hudson-Odoi
    Aguero Jiminez Mitrovic

    He's 9 points ahead, who could I bring in to catch him? Poised to captain Aguero as he doesn't have him. Annoying as I wanted Vardy.

    1. sthelenslad92
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Son out for Fraser?

      1. Tsssst
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Yeah might have to, thanks

    2. Sap
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      ITB?

      1. Tsssst
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        He has 1.3, I have 0, but Son will raise funds

    3. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Don't think Trippier or kola play for him.

      Do Son -- Dilva and captain Sterling

      1. Tsssst
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        His other two defenders are Lindelöf and Duffy so I think he'll start those 3.

        Already got Ederson so can't bring Dilva in and I'm thinking it's better to captain Aguero as he doesn't have him

  12. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Kun or Sterling for the armband? Ta

    1. sthelenslad92
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Kun

    2. el polako
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Kun out of two but I might go Mane.

      Own all 3.

      1. Boberella
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Same here

    3. Sap
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Kun

    4. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      £

  13. The 12th Man
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Anything worth a hit here?

    Lloris
    TAA,Kompany,Valery
    Salah(c)Hazard, Sigurdsson, Redmond,Jota
    Aguero,Lacazette

    Foster,Jimenez, Duffy,Yoshida

    1. zotter
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Definitely not

    2. pingissimus
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Nice

      Who’s coming in? Kompany i guess.

      1. The 12th Man
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Duffy > Kompany for free.

        It’s either that or play Doherty and shift one of Jota or Jimenez for Fraser or Zaha.

      2. The 12th Man
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        I hate owning Lacazette

  14. Longlatini
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Good luck to everyone tomorrow, especially those in a close ml!

    May the Fpl gods be kind 🙂

  15. zotter
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Who in for Son

    A. Pogba
    B. Fraser
    C. Lucas
    D. Richarlison
    E. Siggy
    F. Delf

    Already have Bilva and Jwp

    1. The 12th Man
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Richarlison is definitely out so you can cross him off.

      All good options. Probably go Fraser first, then Pogba,Sigurdsson

      1. zotter
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Already have Wilson so might just go boring pogba

    2. NorwichCityLad
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Nothing below c

    3. Blanka
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Where's D come from? Isn't he injured?

      I'm favouring Fraser right now.

    4. Marjie
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      B

    5. pingissimus
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Like Siggy most of those but they could all hit.

      Tielemans or Maddison tempt you?

  16. chilli con kone
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Play one:

    A. Lloris (EVE)
    B. Gunn (HUD)

    Already playing Valery and Bednarek...

    1. zotter
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Lol all in B

  17. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Who would you rather have for GW38 - Pogba or Wilson?

    1. zotter
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Pogba

    2. Sap
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Pog

    3. Blanka
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Wilson!

    4. Forza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Wilson

    5. FFSbet.com
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Pogba

    6. Marjie
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Wilson

    7. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Looks like 50-50!
      Could get both in but would then have to bench JWP - stupid?

  18. Karan14
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Son & Shaw to Pogba & Kompany for free?

    1. Sap
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Yes

    2. Blanka
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Shaw to Kompany part seems a bit sideways.

      1. Karan14
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Shaw is not in the sqaud.

        1. Blanka
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 10 months ago

          Ahhh right. Cheers.

    3. sthelenslad92
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Definitely!

    4. zotter
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Can’t you get Laporte. And stacked up on liverpool?

      1. Karan14
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Have Mane & Robertson.

        Exact cash for these moves. To get Laporte will have to downgrade Pogba to someone else.

  19. Blanka
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Wilson or Vardy?

    1. Sap
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Vardy

  20. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Buy:
    A) Walker
    B) Kompany

    Bench;
    1) Jimenez
    2) Jota

    1. zotter
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      B2

  21. Gearoid
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Foster
    Kola TAA Shaw Bednarek
    Sterling Mane Jota Hojberg
    Aguero Vardy

    Ryan, Son, Deeney, Duffy

    2FT, 0.9 ITB
    A. Son and Gray to Pogba and Arnie/Wilson
    B. Son and Gray to Bilva and Rashford/Zaha
    C. Other

    Thanks guys

    1. zotter
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      A Wilson

  22. migas2k7
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Best sub for son?

    Got salah, sterling, fraser and pogba

    Also already have 3 liverpool.

    1. zotter
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Lucas?

      1. migas2k7
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Could be what about sane?

  23. Red Rock
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Thoughts on Moura as a Son replacement?

    Don't really fancy Redmond or Fraser and cant afford B.Silva

    1. sthelenslad92
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Do you already have pogba?

      1. Red Rock
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Nope, I will be doing Dunk > Laporte so cant afford more than £7m for a mid

    2. migas2k7
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      I’m strugling betewn lucas or sane.

      One might not start the other had champions and plays everton

  24. mr messi
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Will Robertson play? Will he fall tonight? I'm .1 off doing Son/Kola to Pogba/Robbo.

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Maybe to both questions.

      Are you buying Robbo though? I'd recommend if you're buying a Liverpool defender, to get VVD or TAA instead.

      No need to rush the transfer then.

      1. mr messi
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Got TAA, can't afford VVD and Pogba, need Robbo to drop tonight if I want another Pool defender and Pogba.

    2. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      "Mohamed Salah and Andy Robertson will be available for Liverpool's Premier League title decider on Sunday."
      https://www.liverpoolecho.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/salah-firmino-injury-liverpool-latest-16254748

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        That report was issued before reported not in training yesterday

      2. EMBOLOFAN
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        old article from before robbo didnt train no?

    3. zotter
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Why not get Laporte or Trent or vvd or even matip. Wouldn’t risk it.

      1. mr messi
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Got Trent, already have 3 City, Matip risky.

        1. Hazz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 10 months ago

          I'd buy VVD over Robbo for this fixture anyway.

  25. J to the T
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Play:
    A) Valery v HUD
    B) Jiménez v LIV

    Have Gunn so Valery would be double Southampton defence

    1. NorwichCityLad
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      A

    2. zotter
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      A

    3. Marjie
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      A

      1. J to the T
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Wow. That was conclusive. And not what I was expecting!

  26. konrad.sygula95
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Son & Mane to Fraser & Salah yes or no ? on 2 FT

    1. NorwichCityLad
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Yes I’ve not got salah and my rival do I’m scared not having him

    2. zotter
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Definitely yes

  27. Jealous Viper
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Wilson or Vardy?

    1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Both great options Vardy for me tho

    2. zotter
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      V

  28. Burger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Assuming maxed out on City, Pool & Saints defenders and with Shaw now confirmed our, who's the next best defender to go with?

    Digne?

    1. Karan14
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      None I think. Cant see any other CS honestly.

    2. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Dalot

      1. zotter
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Probably this

    3. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Tarkowski could be a cheeky one I think Burnley will win tmoz

      1. Burger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Could be a cheeky one that.

  29. Big boy Bowen
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    A or B please?

    A) Pogba, Lucas & Long
    B) Redmond, Deulofeu & Vardy

    Thanks

  30. Niho992
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    What would you do here lads ? 1 FT and 0.4 ITB

    Lloris
    Bednarek-VVD-Laporte
    Son*-Salah-Sterling(C)-JwP
    Ings-Jimenez-Aguero

    Foster-Docoure-Doherty-Dunk

    Anything worth a hit ( 2 transfers)

    Son has to go, but Ings is questionable too.

    What should i do ?