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Big Numbers August 29

FPL Gameweek 4: analysis of the key underlying stats

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With three weeks of player and team statistics to analyse and patterns starting to develop, our Big Numbers series returns for 2019/20.

Ahead of this Saturday’s deadline, we take a look at the data available to subscribers in our Members’ area and present the eye-catching stats that may be of interest to Fantasy managers’ and could help shape transfer decisions.

We’ve run down the stand-out figures in every position, as well as looking at the strengths and weaknesses of various teams to assess which Fantasy Premier League assets could have a profitable Gameweek 4.

Members can read on for our analysis below.

The Complete Guide to Gameweek 4

Lessons learned from Gameweek 3

2,926 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Red Spider
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 7 months ago

    Who to start? Dendoncker or Lundstram

    Was going to use Dendocker, but he had a full 90mins today...

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    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 7 months ago

      Would still go with Den.

      Can't see Sheff Utd keeping a CS meaning Lundstram would really have to score or assist to keep up with Den.

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      1. AndyCook
          4 years, 7 months ago

          Dendoncker isn’t likely to do anything either though. Probably two points each

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        • Red Spider
          • 12 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          Thanks...the worry is that after the 1st leg Euro, Dend was on
          the bench against Burnley, came on for only 30 minutes

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    2. RUUD!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 7 months ago

      Best West Ham option moving forward?

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      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 7 months ago

        Lanzini is a good midfield option. I'm not convinced on Haller just yet, but saying that if you do get him in there are easy exit opportuntiies to Pukki, Barnes and co. around that price level so not the worst option.

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    3. Ci Siamo
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 7 months ago

      Does Dendonker still start this weekend despite playing 99 tonight do you reckon ?

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      1. Carlton P
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 7 months ago

        He didn’t start last weekend

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      2. Ci Siamo
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 7 months ago

        90*

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    4. Carlton P
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 7 months ago

      What to do chaps?
      Pope l Button
      TAA l VVD l Digne l Dunk l Taylor
      Salah l Sterling l Martial l Mountl Dendonker
      Rashford l Pukki l Greenwood
      0FT 0.5ITB
      A) hold
      B) Martial > Anderson/other
      C) Taylor (may win his place back) > 5.0 max
      D) Dendonker > Cantwell
      Leaning towards D

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      1. Olivier Bernards watch
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 7 months ago

        definitely A, none of those worth a hit

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    5. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 7 months ago

      slightly worrying west ham have one of the worst attacking stats in the league. I know they played city but still a bit of a worry right?

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      1. Ci Siamo
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 7 months ago

        Not when they have Norwich next...

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      2. AndyCook
          4 years, 7 months ago

          Couldn’t possibly convince myself to worry against Norwich and then go from there. Easy enough to lose one player

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        • Dynamic Duos
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          If you own any West ham players maybe

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        • Olivier Bernards watch
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          long term possibly so, but the bookies give norwhich about 17% chance of a clean sheet...so wham are certainly likely to score this weekend

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        • Whats the Huth
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          0-0 nailed on

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          1. FOO FIGHTER
            • 4 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            Plenty of goals in this match from both sides 🙂

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      3. Burger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 7 months ago

        Play Barnes(LIV) or Cantwell(whu)?

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        1. Drip Doctor
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          Can

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      4. Snapes on a Plane
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 7 months ago

        Best Martial replacement?
        a) Mount
        b) Lanzini

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        1. Coys96
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          A

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      5. Coys96
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 7 months ago

        Which please:

        1. Aguero -4 (BRI, nor, WAT)

        or

        2. Kane (ars, CRY, lei)

        Wouldn't captain either in any of these games...

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        1. AndyCook
            4 years, 7 months ago

            Not much in it, Aguero may score one or two more but by the time you’ve factored in the -4 and the million you tie up I’d keep Kane

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            1. Coys96
              • 6 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              The million doesn't matter. Only if one of my players get injured.

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        2. upforgrabs
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          A: Mount and C. Wilson
          or
          B: De Bruyne and Cantwell (as a regular)

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          1. Coys96
            • 6 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            B. Would you have to have Wilson?

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        3. dunas_dog
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          A McGinn KDB Barnes or
          B Cantwell KDB Haller

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          1. Coys96
            • 6 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            B

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          2. lekalatch
            • 4 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            Cantwell KDB Barnes and save some cash

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            1. BobbyDoesNotLook
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              This

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          3. Eat my goal!
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            Not easy

            gw4 fixtures prob favour b

            But midterm who knows

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            1. Come on you Kante
              • 5 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              B b b b b

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          4. Rinseboy
            • 12 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            B I think just but Barnes after this week looks awesome.

            Thoughts on this wildcard mate
            Pope
            TAA Digne Soyuncu Kelly Lunda
            Salah Sterling KDB Mount Cantwell
            Pukki Haller Barnes

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            1. dunas_dog
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              Can’t fault it- really good. Personally might consider Mings over Soyuncu

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              1. Rinseboy
                • 12 Years
                4 years, 7 months ago

                thanks mate. Good shout that will have a look

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          5. Squib
            • 6 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            A

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        4. Saint Luke
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          Thoughts please...

          Perez & Siggy to >

          A) Mount & D Silva
          or
          B) Cantwell & KDB

          Leaning towards B as KDB nailed and D Silva not.

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          1. Coys96
            • 6 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            b

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          2. fantasyfog
            • 8 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            B for reasons given

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            1. Saint Luke
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              Thanks folks 🙂

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        5. lekalatch
          • 4 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          Who and why?
          A) Lanzini
          B) Mount

          Leaning towards Lanzini, little better schedule and he seems to be the creator of everything in West Ham’s attack? So hard decision...

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        6. Don Kloppeone
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          Lost on last page

          With Jota looking slightly less droppable, I am tinkering with alternatives. (Pending any better news re Martial):

          A) Martial > Mount (FT)
          B) Martial, AWB > Mount, TAA (-4, exact cash)
          C) Martial, Jota > Mount, Haller (-4)

          1FT 0.1itb
          Heaton
          VVD, Zinch, Digne, AWB*
          Salah, Sterling (C), KDB, Martial*
          Pukki, Jota*
          (Button) (Dendo, Greenwood, Lunds)

          C feels like the popular pick and I get it but it’s becoming so popular it makes me think something’s going to backfire!

          Thoughts? Cheers

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          1. Sid07
            • 9 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            C

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            1. Don Kloppeone
              • 6 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              Seems the template move for most!

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          2. Wiseguy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            Team looks solid, especially at the back, so I don’t think you need TAA. I would go with A and C if you are feeling flush

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            1. Don Kloppeone
              • 6 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              Cheers. I’m willing Jota to get in form in the PL as he’s a great player but being realistic there are probably better picks atm

              Will see what the presser brings re Martial injury time

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        7. Eze Really?
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          Try this rule of thumb way of seeing if a hit is worth it.
          Take your player/players next 5 fixtures.
          Give a mark out of 10 for the ( player history) (player form) (fixture Home/Away) (Team form). (Captain y/n) (2 points each choice = 10 per game)
          (For example Kane New h (10) Ars a (6) Cpl h (8) Lei a (6) Sou h (8)) = 38
          Compare with who you are replacing:
          Firmino Ars h (8) Bur a (8) New h (10) Che a (6) Shu a (8) = 40

          I chose Kane to make a point on how things can go wrong. I would want a clear winner (4 pts) for the replacement. A 2 game injury will probably give you that.
          Sounds complicated but it is not.

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          1. Wiseguy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            How often has this worked for you?

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            1. Eze Really?
              • 9 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              Funny enough I tried it last year 3 times and all worked. Not enough of a sample I know. I then looked at some of my failures going by gut feel but ignoring sheer bad luck. The method again worked 6 from 9. Sometimes though I never had the player for the time period required. As I said, rule of thumb.

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        8. fantasyfog
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          so thanks to 4.2m itb i've just traded martial to Kdb, feels good, now have kdb salah and sterling in midfield with Mcginn and Dendoncker.

          Barnes and pukki up top and looking at another forward up to 7.4 or replacing Dendoncker up to 6.5...

          thoughts please

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          1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            Haller 7.4!!

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            1. fantasyfog
              • 8 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              not convinced yet, although have wc in mind for next week so can still get him if he looks more than a one game hauler, mount also on radar and Abraham

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          2. Eze Really?
            • 9 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            Donkey to Lanzini?

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        9. FPL Maldini
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          Does Dendonker start this weekend do you reckon?

          I’m sort of relying on him with Martial injured

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        10. damiang2233
          • 14 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          What time do players usually rise at? Midnight is it? Keeping an eye on Mount

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          1. Ajax Hamsterdam
            • 9 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            about 2am uk time

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          2. Rage Against The Raheem
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            It's been happening around 2.30 am UK time so far this season

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        11. teneighty
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          My plan was benching Martial for Dendo if he is only out this GW. But is he a rotation risk now with 90 minutes tonight?

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          1. Ajax Hamsterdam
            • 9 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            i think so

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          2. Eze Really?
            • 9 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            I moved Martial because of the money. I hear there is no guarantee with Martial he will be back the next game.

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        12. rokonto
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          Will Mount rise tonight?

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          1. Rage Against The Raheem
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            Unlikely to happen tonight imo, he is at, 81% atm

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            1. rokonto
              • 8 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              91.5 % now

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              1. rokonto
                • 8 Years
                4 years, 7 months ago

                Rising fast

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                1. Rage Against The Raheem
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 5 Years
                  4 years, 7 months ago

                  Ok, i refreshed the page and is showing 91.5% now so yeah he is rising very fast. I would say it is possible he could rise tonight tbh.

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              2. Rage Against The Raheem
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                4 years, 7 months ago

                On which site?, i use fplstatistics and i still showing 81.1% still

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            2. Eze Really?
              • 9 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              Unusual for a injury risk to still have such big support.

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          2. Ajax Hamsterdam
            • 9 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            dont think so

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          3. Lukaku91
            • 8 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            probably tmrw

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        13. white lightning
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          Just after some advice please. I've already used my ft & keeping Martial. Who would you play (1st on bench):
          (a) Jota - unsure as he started v Torino. Could get an early shower v Eve &/or do nothing due to tiredness
          (b) Maitland-Niles - an I being deluded thinking with the state Spurs are in atm that AMN could get a cs (Ars are pretty good at home defensively) or some attacking returns
          (c) Lunstram - can see Che knocking in at least 2 goals but he's a chance of getting something at the attcking end.

          Conclusion - I'm tempted to put AMN 1st on on bench

          Thoughts & thanks.

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        14. Lukaku91
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          Bench one for GW4:

          A) Barnes
          B) Cantwell
          C) King

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          1. fantasyfog
            • 8 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            king

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          2. Rage Against The Raheem
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            B

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          3. Wiseguy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            What he said

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            1. Wiseguy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              King

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          4. stooshermadness
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            C.

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          5. Lukaku91
            • 8 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            cheers

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        15. Sid07
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          Moura + martial to kdb + mount ??

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          1. Sid07
            • 9 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            For a hit

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          2. Lukaku91
            • 8 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            I would

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            1. Sid07
              • 9 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              Mount or lanzini or cantwell

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              1. Lukaku91
                • 8 Years
                4 years, 7 months ago

                i like mount

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                1. Sid07
                  • 9 Years
                  4 years, 7 months ago

                  Thanks

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          3. fantasyfog
            • 8 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            yes please, if you can just martial to kdb but understand you prob need extra £'s

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        16. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          Love this article, great summary and always insightful.

          Thanks!

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        17. have you seen cyan
          • 4 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          How did you get into FPL?
          For me well, my mates were always talking about it so I decided to finally make a team one day.
          My very first season I joined like 8 weeks late and finished the season on 102 points lmao (i guess i stopped playing in gw9 or something and all my players got crocked, idk lol).
          But when I was a kid man I was football mad, all i was interested in was playing and following football, no idea where it even came from as no one in family had any interest in it. Anyway when I got to like 15 I kinda got interested in other things, like drinking and girls and my love for the game died.

          FPL finally revived that love like 12 years later and I love football again, all i miss niw is playing it 🙁

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          1. Eat my goal!
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            Lads at work kept on going on about knowing more about football! They bet me £20 each that they’d wipe the floor with me on fpl - by Oct I was 209 OR finished 6k OR - hooked from there. Obviously took all the cash too (3yrs running till I moved jobs)

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            1. have you seen cyan
              • 4 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              Nice :D. Whats funny is my mates actually knew more about football than me when I started as I hadnt been following for so long, but they apparently could not translate that knowledge into fpl points and I pretty much owned all of them for seasons. These days they seem to have wised up and some of them are pretty serious contenders, at least its a challenge now ^^

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              1. Eat my goal!
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                4 years, 7 months ago

                Yeah good competition makes it more interesting

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          2. Maddi Son
            • 6 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            Kinda sad, but I started taking it seriously to get over a gambling addiction. Instead of researching bets and losing £££ every week, I started wasting time on here for free. I finally have disposable income and I'm much happier.. who knew.

            I've probably been playing FPL for a good 10 years. Although I used to just create a team and then never check it again. Only really started taking it seriously last season.

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            1. have you seen cyan
              • 4 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              Nah dont be ashamed of that, its a great reason to start playing FPL.
              I used to play online poker so much, I wasnt an addict I dont think but I spent way too much money on it and it was an unhealthy addiction. To move past poker I just started playing free games instead, like FPL and pc games. I just realised one day that I was basically playing out of boredom half the time and that I could replace it with a free game and sure enough it worked.
              Honestly that is such a good way to lose a gambling addicition, I hope they teach people that when they go to counselling because its genius I swear.

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              1. Maddi Son
                • 6 Years
                4 years, 7 months ago

                Cheers mate, I appreciate the kind words.

                Yup I was the exact same... betting out of boredom. I love football but for some reason just watching it isn't enough for me. I need something riding on it to keep me interested. FPL was perfect and has no doubt saved me thousands of pounds. I still have the odd flutter but I've managed to gain control over it.

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                1. have you seen cyan
                  • 4 Years
                  4 years, 7 months ago

                  Yea I love accumulators. So basically I normally do a couple of those every so often, but I dont bet so much. Just looking for high return accumulators really.

                  How I see accumulators is this:
                  I dont play the lottery, I have a very slim chance of winning the lottery and cant control the odds. Alot of people play the lottery, I play accumulators instead and spend roughly the same money (probably less), but I control the odds and have a far better chance of making a return.

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        18. Rinseboy
          • 12 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          Play Barnes or Cantwell this week
          Captain Sterling, KDB or Salah

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          1. Lukaku91
            • 8 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            Play both
            Sterling Captain

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          2. Drip Doctor
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            Cantwell Sterling

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          3. dunas_dog
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            Cantwell Sterling

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          4. Rinseboy
            • 12 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            thanks

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        19. Drip Doctor
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          The Coop, gourmet crinkle cut Burger Crisps. Elite. Elite crunch.

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        20. Coys96
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          1. Aguero -4 (BRI, nor, WAT)

          or

          2. Kane (ars, CRY, lei)

          Wouldn't captain either in any of these games.. The £1m difference doesn't matter.

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          1. Drip Doctor
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            Aguero but not for a hit.

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            1. Coys96
              • 6 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              So Kane then?

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              1. Drip Doctor
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 13 Years
                4 years, 7 months ago

                For 1 GW yeah, and then make the move with 2 FT if you still want Aguero.

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                1. Coys96
                  • 6 Years
                  4 years, 7 months ago

                  I can't do that. Was planning to get Trent in too and he's priority. I would do Kane + Martial -> Dendoncker + Aguero (-4) this GW and Dunk -> Trent for free next GW.

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                  1. Drip Doctor
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 13 Years
                    4 years, 7 months ago

                    Well in that case, Kane > Haller and get TAA with the funds the following week.

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                    1. Coys96
                      • 6 Years
                      4 years, 7 months ago

                      Have Haller

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          2. MikeS
            • 9 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            I'm also tempted to swap in Kun for Kane, but you'd have to change your name 😉

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            1. Coys96
              • 6 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              Yeah 😉

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        21. MikeS
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          Kane, Martial, Cebellos to Haller, Salah and Cantwell for -8?

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          1. Coys96
            • 6 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            No

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          2. Rage Against The Raheem
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            I wouldn't

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          3. Lukaku91
            • 8 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            kane + martial to salah + wesley?
            keep ceballos!

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        22. Duffy Dunk
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          Anderson or Lanzini ?

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          1. Rage Against The Raheem
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            Lanzini

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          2. Kevtheotter
            • 12 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            Lanzini

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        23. Kevtheotter
          • 12 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          Hey guys,

          Need some help here.

          Pope
          VVD Zinc Diop
          Salah Sterling Trossard KDB
          Kane Greenwood Barnes

          4.0 Dendocker Rico Dunk 1FT 0 ITB

          A) Save
          B) Kane to Haller
          C) Kane Dendocker to Haller Mount -4
          D) Something else

          Cheers!

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