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Big Numbers August 29

FPL Gameweek 4: analysis of the key underlying stats

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With three weeks of player and team statistics to analyse and patterns starting to develop, our Big Numbers series returns for 2019/20.

Ahead of this Saturday’s deadline, we take a look at the data available to subscribers in our Members’ area and present the eye-catching stats that may be of interest to Fantasy managers’ and could help shape transfer decisions.

We’ve run down the stand-out figures in every position, as well as looking at the strengths and weaknesses of various teams to assess which Fantasy Premier League assets could have a profitable Gameweek 4.

Members can read on for our analysis below.

The Complete Guide to Gameweek 4

Lessons learned from Gameweek 3

2,926 Comments Post a Comment
  1. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 7 months ago

    Mount gonna rise tonight? FPL Stats not working for me

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    1. F4L
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 7 months ago

      no

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    2. Birds of Prey
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 7 months ago

      81% so no, but likely by game time.
      http://www.fplstatistics.co.uk/

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  2. FPL Xylophone
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 7 months ago

    Kun or Kdb?

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    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 7 months ago

      KDB for me, even with Jesus out injured.

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  3. FOO FIGHTER
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 7 months ago

    Surely only wanting keep your WC after IB means you have a whole 11 to replace? GW3 has already paved the way to know who you want? Surely? Wesley not going to change my mind over Barnes, especially if Barnes is 0.6 more and could rise.

    I reckon if you have already used your WC avoiding price rises and having 2 FT's after IB you will be ok unless you picked a worse team team you had before you hit WC?

    My WC team trumps the one I went with GW1.

    FPL waits for nobody if you still hanging on to Perez, Jota and Siggi when all three have lost value and the players you want have risen in price...

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    1. MTPockets
        4 years, 7 months ago

        Sometimes early wildcards work out. Sometimes they don't
        I think that's the extent of things right now

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        1. FOO FIGHTER
          • 4 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          I took a -8 hit for GW3 and scored way above average not holding onto under peformers.

          I guess you are right, WC now could bite you but WC now when trying to figure out who you can afford after IB even worse.

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          1. Yoshioka
            • 5 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            What did you score GW3 and what were the transfers you made?

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            1. FOO FIGHTER
              • 4 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              Took out Vardy, Perez and Heaton, brought in Pukki, KDB and Pope. Score 74.

              If I had the latter it would have been disaster.

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              1. Yoshioka
                • 5 Years
                4 years, 7 months ago

                Am I right in saying Vardy, Perez and Heaton scored 16 while Pukki, KDB and Pope scored 18 -- and you took a -8 hit to get in the latter?

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                1. FOO FIGHTER
                  • 4 Years
                  4 years, 7 months ago

                  No KDB, Pukki and Pope scored 21. The latter scored 16.

                  Over the season Pukki, KDB and Pope will trump the latter to high heavens.

                  I made the right choices.

                  The transfer I made were not short term.

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                  1. Yoshioka
                    • 5 Years
                    4 years, 7 months ago

                    Pukki 11, KDB 5, Pope 2 = 18. I'm not being picky - I just know because I own them all. A -8 hit to bring them in over three players who scored 16 is a loss, but yeah I agree you've probably come away with better players for the season (though I would say that as I own them all!)

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          2. FOO FIGHTER
            • 4 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            Sorry what I meant was you can WC after IB and scratching your head who to fit in vs price rises.

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        2. Artemis Titans
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          I gained a 2m swing by wc & 1 x -4 hit. Happy with my team could strengthen defence is about all.

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      • Yoshioka
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 7 months ago

        I'm saving my WC until after the IB as injuries and recoveries during that period will give me more information, plus I'll have GW4 data to consider too. I'm not so worried about price rises/drops as there are plenty of quality 4-5m defenders, 4-5-6.5 midfielders and 6-7m strikers to leave me able to afford the same big hitters I could without the price changes.

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        1. FOO FIGHTER
          • 4 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          Price rises and drops do matter when you want to fit in KDB and left with 2 of 4.5 defenders starting in your team.

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          1. Yoshioka
            • 5 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            I've run through three or four permutations of what team I want, and with all of them I'm left with between .6 and 1.1 ITB, so I'm prioritising getting the choices right and nailed over minor price rises right now, though in fairness I already have the 4 or 5 biggest risers in my team before using my WC.

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    2. Klopp For The Kopps 😆
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 7 months ago

      Okay so
      A) Lanzini and Aguero
      B) Wesley and Sterling

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      1. GreennRed
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 7 months ago

        A.

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      2. Jack Burton
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 7 months ago

        Gone for A

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      3. JoeSoap
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 7 months ago

        A

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      4. Artemis Titans
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 7 months ago

        A

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      5. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 7 months ago

        B. Sterling is a must-have.

        Or else find the money for a better forward than Wesley.

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      6. Come on you Kante
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 7 months ago

        A

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    3. HonestBlatter
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 7 months ago

      Keep Martial and play donkeydoncker? Or with a hit to Mount?

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      1. FOO FIGHTER
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 7 months ago

        Keep Martial he may fall in price. Mount will rise.

        50/50 I guess.

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    4. ZeBestee
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 7 months ago

      Who to keep here?

      1) Perez (looks like going down in price again tonight)
      2) Trossard

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      1. GreennRed
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 7 months ago

        Trossinho

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        1. have you seen cyan
          • 4 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          trossard scoring this week I hope 🙂

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      2. JoeSoap
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 7 months ago

        2

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    5. Aimar
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 7 months ago

      Ryan
      KWP* robbo digne VAH

      Sterling salah moura KDB

      Pukki. Jota

      Subs : Greenwood dendackor lunds button

      A) moura + KWP —-> walker + mount/lanzini

      B). Moura + jota ——> mount\lanzini + haller

      2) pick one def & one mid

      A) emerson
      B) wlaker
      C) Zienchen

      A ) mount
      B ) lanzini
      C ) felpie anderson

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    6. JoeSoap
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 7 months ago

      A. Martial>Mount
      B. Robinson>Cantwell/D Luiz (one dropping in price/other rising)
      C. Martial/Jota>Mount/Haller (-4)
      D. Moura/Martial/Robin>KDB/Mount/Cantwell or D Luiz (-8)

      Heaton
      VVD, Robbo, Digne, Kelly
      Sterling, Salah, Moura, Robinson
      Pukki, Jota
      Pope, Greenwood, Montoya, Martial,

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      1. AndyCook
          4 years, 7 months ago

          B unless Martial confirmed out medium term

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          1. AndyCook
              4 years, 7 months ago

              D looks good but leaves you with Jota and nowhere to go with him

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              1. JoeSoap
                • 10 Years
                4 years, 7 months ago

                Thanks. Oddly enough D was a last minute thought and liked it while typing. Had the same thought about Jota also albeit tempted to downgrade one the pool defenders.

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        • ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
          • 13 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          Terrible news about Luis Enrique's daughter, very sad

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          1. ZeBestee
            • 9 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            Sad indeed.

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            1. RealVirg
              • 4 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              Yep cancer doesn't discriminate

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        • Rainer
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          Liverpool away to Napoli the Tuesday before Chelsea in GW6.

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          1. Eat my goal!
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            Nice easy game at the weekend then

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        • Supersonic
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 7 months ago

          A) zinchenko
          B) Emerson

          Cheers

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          1. Kryten
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            A but both if you can

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            1. Supersonic
              • 7 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              Yeah I’m on wc.. had both but looks like I should swap one out for digne?

              Pope
              Taa-emerson-zinch(Rico,Lund)
              0.5m itb

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          2. AndyCook
              4 years, 7 months ago

              A because they look like getting a lot more clean sheets, certainly in the short term.

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            • @fpl_phenom
              • 8 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              A for now....

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          3. Doctor Evil
            • 5 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            No love for Abraham? Great fixtures

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            1. Kryten
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              Competing with pukki or haller better options at that price imo

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              1. Doctor Evil
                • 5 Years
                4 years, 7 months ago

                I’ve got him and Pukki up top

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            2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
              • 13 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              not sure if he is the number 1 striker, competing with giroud but another good game will help him cement his place

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              1. The Count of Monte Cristo
                • 11 Years
                4 years, 7 months ago

                How do you think Mount would do playing with Giroud over Tammy?

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                1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
                  • 13 Years
                  4 years, 7 months ago

                  I think he can do well with either but maybe tammy running and mobility may suit him better

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            3. Eat my goal!
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              Did you read the article

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              1. Doctor Evil
                • 5 Years
                4 years, 7 months ago

                Not a member so no, why?

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            4. Lukaku91
              • 8 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              Ashley Barnes

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            5. HonestBlatter
              • 13 Years
              4 years, 7 months ago

              Brought him in. He will cement his place against Sheffield. Hattie incoming and good differential atm

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          4. Salah’s Sonnet
            • 12 Years
            4 years, 7 months ago

            Any popular targets of replacing Martial with?

            Team is:

            Pope
            Digne - AWB - Zinchenko
            Mount - Sterling - Mane - KDB - Martial
            Rashford - Pukki
            ________________________________
            Button: Lundstram, Hanley, Wickham

            Don’t really know, just keep him and play Lundy?
            Cheers guys.

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            1. AndyCook
                4 years, 7 months ago

                Away at Chelsea is a bad fixture. I would see if Ole indicates how long he will be out for tomorrow

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                1. Salah’s Sonnet
                  • 12 Years
                  4 years, 7 months ago

                  I know yeah, not the best is it. See what Ole says first then and go from there 🙂

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                  1. AndyCook
                      4 years, 7 months ago

                      Hard to see any brilliant options below 7.7 that you don’t already have so if he is out one week I’d play Lundstram and hope for 2 points

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                    • AndyCook
                        4 years, 7 months ago

                        I guess Lanzini if I had to pick.. or James as a punt

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                  2. The Count of Monte Cristo
                    • 11 Years
                    4 years, 7 months ago

                    Nice team - I'd be tempted to lean towards just playing Lundstram tbh.

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                    1. Salah’s Sonnet
                      • 12 Years
                      4 years, 7 months ago

                      Cheers bud, yeah is tempting to just roll the free and play him, will see what Ole says tomorrow about length of time out for Martial

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                      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
                        • 11 Years
                        4 years, 7 months ago

                        Ah, I didn't realise the presser was tomorrow! Thanks - I'll wait until tomorrow evening too in that case before finally making a move. Captaining KDB?

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                        1. Salah’s Sonnet
                          • 12 Years
                          4 years, 7 months ago

                          Yeah best bet waiting isn’t it.
                          I was very tempted to captain KDB before this international break, but i just can’t ignore the form of Sterling, likely be on him at weekend.

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                  3. Pat Bonner
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 12 Years
                    4 years, 7 months ago

                    Lanzini

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                2. damiang2233
                  • 14 Years
                  4 years, 7 months ago

                  Best replacements for Tiemalans & Jota?

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                  1. have you seen cyan
                    • 4 Years
                    4 years, 7 months ago

                    keep tielemans imo

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                    1. damiang2233
                      • 14 Years
                      4 years, 7 months ago

                      Havent seen much of Tielemans to keep him?

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                      1. have you seen cyan
                        • 4 Years
                        4 years, 7 months ago

                        give him one more I would, but ofc your call im no expert

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                        1. have you seen cyan
                          • 4 Years
                          4 years, 7 months ago

                          altho im guessing u need him to enable funds to upgrade jota, so maybe he has to go

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                          1. damiang2233
                            • 14 Years
                            4 years, 7 months ago

                            Hoping to get in same price player for both

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                  2. Kryten
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 10 Years
                    4 years, 7 months ago

                    Mount,maddison, lanzini are all popular

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                3. Stat Sloth
                  • 8 Years
                  4 years, 7 months ago

                  Jota - how injured was he when he was subbed? Doubt for the weekend?

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                  1. ZeBestee
                    • 9 Years
                    4 years, 7 months ago

                    Was he injured? I dont think he was?

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                    1. ZeBestee
                      • 9 Years
                      4 years, 7 months ago

                      Non intended question mark at the end.

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                    2. Stat Sloth
                      • 8 Years
                      4 years, 7 months ago

                      The live text I followed said he was rolling on the ground in pain, then coming back on about four minutes later after getting treatment, and then having to be subbed as he could not continue about six minutes after that.

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                  2. Rainer
                    • 7 Years
                    4 years, 7 months ago

                    Didn’t go off injured.

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                    1. Stat Sloth
                      • 8 Years
                      4 years, 7 months ago

                      If you saw the match, that gives me hope.

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                      1. Rainer
                        • 7 Years
                        4 years, 7 months ago

                        Took a few kicks but walked off fine.

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                        1. Stat Sloth
                          • 8 Years
                          4 years, 7 months ago

                          Sounds good, thanks Rainer.

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                4. The Count of Monte Cristo
                  • 11 Years
                  4 years, 7 months ago

                  Weak bench, so Martial now is a big issue. Have enough for Drinkwater --> Cantwell, but not sure if I really want Martial beyond the break...

                  Pope
                  VVD | Digne | KWP | Montoya
                  Salah | Sterling (c) | Mount | Martial
                  Kane | Pukki

                  Button | Greenwood | Rico | Drinkwater [1FT + 0.2m ITB]

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                  1. AndyCook
                      4 years, 7 months ago

                      Cantwell worth having regardless as bench strength probably?

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                      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
                        • 11 Years
                        4 years, 7 months ago

                        This is what I'm thinking. Might just have to leave Martial for now and reassess over the IB and get Cantwell in while it's easy.

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                  2. Coys96
                    • 6 Years
                    4 years, 7 months ago

                    Do I:

                    1. Get Trent in this week for a -4 and avoid playing Kelly (Martial + Dunk -> Dendoncker + Trent)

                    or

                    2. Hold FT and get Trent in next GW for free and play Kelly this GW

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                  3. The_Socca_Philosopha
                    • 9 Years
                    4 years, 7 months ago

                    David Silva nailed on for MC?? Considering swapping Martial to Silva since I can’t afford KDB

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                    1. @fpl_phenom
                      • 8 Years
                      4 years, 7 months ago

                      not a bad option... wouldnt say nailed on but hes very cheap for a city mid

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                    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
                      • 11 Years
                      4 years, 7 months ago

                      Debating the same for a one-week punt almost. Normally I stay away from him as he hardly plays 90, but coming off last week you'd imagine he'd start for sure?

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                    3. AndyCook
                        4 years, 7 months ago

                        Transfer waiting to happen and could score well or do nothing quite easily

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                        1. Artemis Titans
                          • 9 Years
                          4 years, 7 months ago

                          Always trolls me. Went James + Sterling upgrade instead. Was wondering if Dsilva + Mané woyld cover Sterling + James. Decided they wouldnt. Already have Kdb.

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                    4. @fpl_phenom
                      • 8 Years
                      4 years, 7 months ago

                      Thoughts on my team for GW4:

                      --------------Pope---------------------
                      -----Digne VVD Zinchenko-------
                      Mane Sterling KDB Son Cantwell
                      ----------Barnes Pukki---------------

                      Button Greeny Lundy Montoya

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                      1. Salah’s Sonnet
                        • 12 Years
                        4 years, 7 months ago

                        I like the Son pick, just hope they start to fire soon.
                        Overall great team and looking good for weekend bud

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                        1. @fpl_phenom
                          • 8 Years
                          4 years, 7 months ago

                          ye hoping he fires and I get ahead of the crowd on him

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                      2. The Count of Monte Cristo
                        • 11 Years
                        4 years, 7 months ago

                        Really nice side - good to go!

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                        1. @fpl_phenom
                          • 8 Years
                          4 years, 7 months ago

                          cheers mate

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                      3. estheblessed
                        • 9 Years
                        4 years, 7 months ago

                        No Salah

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                        1. @fpl_phenom
                          • 8 Years
                          4 years, 7 months ago

                          ye I know... hoping this is Manes week ... I will put him in on my wildcard in a few wekks

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                    5. Doctor Evil
                      • 5 Years
                      4 years, 7 months ago

                      Any changes needed? Maybe Pope to Adrian?

                      Pope (Button)

                      Digne VVD Zinc (Lundstram, Dunk)

                      Mane Sterling KDB Son Cantwell

                      Pukki Abraham (Greenwood)

                      Thanks

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                    6. royals forever
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 14 Years
                      4 years, 7 months ago

                      In your opinion what is the best transfer for the next few GWs

                      Martial & Wilson > Lanzini/Mount (if fit) & Pukki (-4)
                      Martial, Wilson and Robertson > KDB, Pukki & Digne (-8)
                      Martial > Lanzini/Mount (if fit)

                      Any ideas would be welcomed

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                      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
                        • 11 Years
                        4 years, 7 months ago

                        A with Mount for me.

                        With B, I assume you already have another Liverpool defender?

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                      2. royals forever
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 14 Years
                        4 years, 7 months ago

                        VVD

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                    7. FDMS All Starz
                      • 8 Years
                      4 years, 7 months ago

                      Which is better? Worth holding Martial or sell? Got him at 7.5

                      A) Moura & VVD ---> Kdb & Guilbert (-4)

                      B) Martial & Moura---> Kdb & Mount (-4)

                      C) Save FT start Moura/Martial/VVD with Dendo as 1st sub

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                      1. royals forever
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 14 Years
                        4 years, 7 months ago

                        B

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                    8. estheblessed
                      • 9 Years
                      4 years, 7 months ago

                      Feedback on this wildcard team:

                      Pope / Button
                      Zinchenko, VVD, Kelly / Lundstram, Pieter's
                      Sterling, Salah, Lanzini, Mount / Douglas Luiz
                      Vardy, Rashford, Pukki

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                      1. AndyCook
                          4 years, 7 months ago

                          It’s a bit different, it’s good, you have two midfielders at an awkwardly low price point though so it’s not very flexible

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                        • Artemis Titans
                          • 9 Years
                          4 years, 7 months ago

                          Same front 3 as me.
                          Pope, (Ryan)
                          AWB, Digne, Lundy (Pieters,Kelly)
                          Kdb, Sterling, Son, James (Cantwell)
                          Vardy, Rashford, Pukki

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                      2. Lukaku91
                        • 8 Years
                        4 years, 7 months ago

                        Play one GW4:

                        A) Barnes (LIV)
                        B) Cantwell (WHU)
                        C) King (LEI)

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                      3. EL tridente
                        • 6 Years
                        4 years, 7 months ago

                        Who to start?
                        A) Greenwood
                        Or
                        B) Cantwell (Have Pukki)

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                        1. The Count of Monte Cristo
                          • 11 Years
                          4 years, 7 months ago

                          Cantwell. More nailed. Greenwood may only a handufl of minutes off the bench depending on how Ole goes.

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                        2. AndyCook
                            4 years, 7 months ago

                            A

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                            1. AndyCook
                                4 years, 7 months ago

                                Sorry I meant B

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                          • Athletic Nasherbo
                            • 7 Years
                            4 years, 7 months ago

                            Can do this move for a -4 hmmm...

                            Martial + Rashford > Cantwell + Aguero

                            Too kneejerky?

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                          • Fantasyfootballdemon
                            • 6 Years
                            4 years, 7 months ago

                            On wc

                            A) vvd and laporte
                            B) taa and zinchenko

                            Any advise apreciated

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                            1. The Count of Monte Cristo
                              • 11 Years
                              4 years, 7 months ago

                              A for me. Nailed.

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                              1. Fantasyfootballdemon
                                • 6 Years
                                4 years, 7 months ago

                                I'm edging towards a. Solid set and forget. Dunno whether b has a higher ceiling though.

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                          • damiang2233
                            • 14 Years
                            4 years, 7 months ago

                            Mount/Lanzini for Tiemalans?

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                            1. The Count of Monte Cristo
                              • 11 Years
                              4 years, 7 months ago

                              Both are good options. I own Mount and do favour him. But Lanzini has looked decent of late my WHM friends insist.

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                            2. Fantasyfootballdemon
                              • 6 Years
                              4 years, 7 months ago

                              Lanzini could be a nice differential

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                          • Don Kloppeone
                            • 6 Years
                            4 years, 7 months ago

                            Hmm with Jota looking slightly less droppable, I am tinkering with alternatives. (Pending any better news re Martial):

                            A) Martial > Mount (FT)
                            B) Martial, AWB > Mount, TAA (-4, exact cash)
                            C) Martial, Jota > Mount, Haller (-4)

                            1FT 0.1itb
                            Heaton
                            VVD, Zinch, Digne, AWB*
                            Salah, Sterling (C), KDB, Martial*
                            Pukki, Jota*
                            (Button) (Dendo, Greenwood, Lunds)

                            C feels like the popular pick and I get it but it’s becoming so popular it makes me think something’s going to backfire!

                            Thoughts? Cheers

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                          • Rinseboy
                            • 12 Years
                            4 years, 7 months ago

                            Start Cantwell or Barnes this week?

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                            1. dunas_dog
                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                              • 8 Years
                              4 years, 7 months ago

                              Cantwell v poor WHU defence

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