Pro Pundits

What Abraham must add to his game as I prepare to leave ‘Pukki Party’

My big dilemma this week was what to do with Teemu Pukki (£7.1m). Having shown up ‘fashionably late’ to the Norwich striker’s party in Gameweek 4, there was a sense that I’d already missed most of the good stuff and, now, it was a case of either waiting to see if there’d be a big Finnish finish or ‘remembering that I’d left the stove on’, and making a quick getaway.

I’m not fully convinced that the Pukki party is genuinely over but Norwich look worryingly out of form and it will always be a concern as to whether they can maintain their attacking output now the initial exuberance of their opening matches is out of the way, especially as their fixtures begin to get tougher.

Comparisons to Fulham and Aleksandar Mitrovic’s decline around this time last season are maybe a little lazy, but still fairly inescapable.

Pukki and Norwich have regressed in recent weeks

Meanwhile, over in west London, Tammy Abraham (£7.7m) is beginning to look like he could be a genuine mid-priced heavy hitter and, as we’ve seen in the past with the likes of Harry Kane (£10.9m) and Jamie Vardy (£9.0m), these types of players, when they emerge, can quickly become essential for their own points output, for the additional captaincy options that they provide and for the investment that they enable elsewhere.

I could, and probably should, have made the move for Abraham earlier but, despite eight goals in as many games, I still have some reservations.

You see, as a Chelsea fan, I love Abraham to the extent that I’d happily throw myself in front of a Julian Dicks penalty for him, but as a Fantasy Premier League asset, I’m not entirely convinced (yet).

At the risk of applying Love Island logic here, I typically have a handful of boxes that I want my FPL forwards to tick: 

1. Do they score goals? 

2. Do they play for a team who create enough chances? 

3. Do they contribute assists as well as goals? 

4. Do they take penalties or other set pieces? 

Jorginho’s role in penalties at Chelsea is a slight concern for Abraham’s prospects

On current evidence, Abraham only offers the first two and, normally, I’d want at least three.

Why does this matter if he’s scoring points from goals? Well, Abraham is currently averaging a goal a game and, even with some good fixtures to come, this output will inevitably regress, particularly without penalties to help inflate his numbers, meaning that blanks are on the horizon unless he can start to contribute assists as well as goals.

In his favour is also the fact that he’s an all-purpose sort of centre-forward, with the size, speed and variety of finishing to deliver against any sort of defence, meaning that, while he won’t score every game, I’ll always believe he stands a chance.

And there’s that price…

Ultimately these factors, plus the opportunity to avoid the sort of “Oh… yay….” instances of cognitive dissonance I’ve been experiencing every time he scores was enough to convince me to finally push the button on Pukki to Abraham.

Will I captain him? It’s tempting but I’m currently leaning towards Callum Wilson (£7.9m) both for the quality of Bournemouth’s fixture at home to Norwich and for his relative consistency this season. Though this particular decision may well go down to the wire.

My team for Gameweek 9

Simon March is a member of our Pro Pundits initiative, a team of Fantasy managers here to bring you regular advice and updates on their teams. Simon won the FPL title in 2014/15 and has become a fixture on the punditry circuit ever since.

1,468 Comments Post a Comment
  1. 1justlookin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    On my WC & im still struggling to finalise my team, been on B) all week but now im not sure -

    a) Mane & Jiminez

    b) Auba & Maddison

    1. Epic Fail
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      A

    2. conorbon
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      A

    3. FPL_DON
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      tough, whats the rest of the team?

      1. 1justlookin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        atm -

        TAA, Soyuncu, Tomori, Lunny, Rico
        Sterling, KDB, Maddison, Mount, Dendoncker
        Auba, Wilson, Tammy.

        Was going to keep enough in the bank to bring in Mane later on

    4. The Hoff
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      I would say definitely B. You can’t captain Mane for most upcoming games and Maddison will be great for next 10 games.

      What would you do in my position (see below?)

    5. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      B for me.

    6. Tempestic
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      B

  2. g40steve
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Those with Tammy & Wilson who has arm band?

    Been on Tammy last two & been burnt?

    1. conorbon
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      I have both and Wilson is my captaun

      1. SADIO SANÉ
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        samsies

    2. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Cheers guys will join the club 🙂

    3. Lucy2019
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Sterling

    4. SALAHLACITY
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Going Wilson as I'm thinking Newcastle might park the bus against Chelsea. There will be goals,
      I believe, but not many?

    5. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Cheers guys, Lucy needs to visit specsavers 🙂

  3. Top Lad Dakes.
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Kun or Auba on WC?

    Why?

    (I have KDB alongside Auba currently who I’ve gained 0.1 on)

    Will captain neither this week

    1. Epic Fail
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Kun because he has a higher captaincy potential.

      Aub will tick along nicely but you're not gonna be getting a mega haul any time soon.

    2. Ode
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      If you can afford Kun then him. More explosive

    3. The Hoff
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      I’ve gone for Auba, but only because I have sterling so can captain him for easy home games. What would you do in my position (posts below)?

    4. Tsparkes10
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Neither 🙂

  4. Tmel
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Pope
    Ota TAA Digne Soy
    Sterling Mahrez Salah Mount
    Abraham Pukki
    (4.0 Rico Dendoncker Greenwood)

    1FT & 1.7ITB

    a) Mahrez > KDB
    b) Pukki > Wilson
    c) Save transfer

    1. SALAHLACITY
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Personally b

  5. The_Colonel
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Bit of a benching headache this week. Which one of these to play?

    A) Otamendi (cry)
    B) Rico (NOR)
    C) TAA (mum)

    Also have Saka (shu) already on the bench

    Thanks

    1. SALAHLACITY
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      TAA

    2. gooner_112233445566
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Taa

    3. The Hoff
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Definitely not TAA- beat defence in league and most dangerous defender in league .

      What would you do in my position (posts below)?

  6. SALAHLACITY
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Patricio
    Soy Matip Ota
    Salah Mount Maddy Debruyne (V)
    Tammy Wilson(C) Auba

    Button - Cantwell, Lunds, Kelly

    G2G? Thoughts gentlemen?

  7. Ha.
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Best defender for this week?

    1. Epic Fail
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      TAA every week.

      1. Ha.
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Incorrect

        1. Epic Fail
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          4 years, 6 months ago

          Oh. 🙁

    2. SpaceCadet
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Pereira

    3. SADIO SANÉ
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Aurier 😀 😀

      1. Bobby Digital
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        This... Aurier will get double figures this GW.

    4. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      The highest scoring one, no one else has 😉

    5. Eleven Hag
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Ashley young masterclass incoming

  8. The Hoff
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Help! On a WC with low TV, what do you think? Would play 442 (I’m not convinced there’s currently much value in sub 6m strikers/mids; would rather play a decent defender).

    Tierney/Gazzaniga are punts but could pay off.

    Pope
    TAA /Tierney/ Soy / ????
    Sterling / KdB / Maddison / Mount
    Auba / Tammy

    Subs:
    Gazzaniga / Connely / Rico / Dendoncker

    Have 6.5 to spend

    A. Tomori
    B. Otamendi
    C. Dunk
    D. Lundstrum

    Anything else you would change?

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Pereira

    2. The_Colonel
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      I agree with Pereira, I think Otamendis starting place with come under pressure soon.

      1. The Hoff
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks both, had a look at Pereira’s underlying stats, which are pretty poor... would you get him in addition to or isntead ofSoy?

    3. 1justlookin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      I don't like 442 tbh, If you're playing 442 Id definitely bring in Otamendi. Could you not downgrade your defence & bring in a better forward than Connolly?

      Is Tierney not a rotation risk?
      I'd get in a 4.0 keeper instead of Gazzaniga to save having a headache on who to bench.

      1. The Hoff
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks, Tierney a definite punt but will be first choice fairly soon I think

    4. SALAHLACITY
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Dunk in and CHO later for Dendo
      Or Dunk with Forward upgrade to Jimenez?

  9. Columba182
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    2ft and 0.2m itb thoughts?

    Pope
    Van Dijk Diop Rico
    Mount Douglas Luiz Sterling Mane
    Aguero Wilson (c) Abraham

    Heaton Cantwell Kelly Lundstram

  10. corderz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Play Soyuncu or Jorginho?

  11. andrinho
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Is KDB & Wilson in for Pukki & Salah worth 4 point hit?
    Or should I go for Tomori & Wilson in for VVD & Pukki?

  12. Cahill17
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    On my WC

    a) Sterling & Connolly

    b) Kun & Denoncker

    1. Liber
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      If you're benching the second ones, than it's basically Kun vs Sterling. Connolly has the potential, but will get benched ocasionally or even frequently.

  13. Gassemannen
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    What to do with this team?

    Leno (Button)
    Ota - Tomori - Guilbert - Rico (Lundstram)
    Sterling - Mount - Son* (Caldwell - Dend)
    Kane (C) - Abraham - Auba

    2 FT. 0 ITB.

    Whats the chances Son will play?

  14. JamTart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Finally made the change back to sterling over kun on WC.

    Kun hattrick incoming, you're welcome owners.

    1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Lol thanks

    2. Lucy2019
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Kun wont start.

  15. NWA
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Hi lads,

    Play :
    a lundstram
    b rico

    Thx

    1. Alchim1sT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      B

  16. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    RMT agreeing with my captaincy and bench decisions it seems.

    1. Epic Fail
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Congrats.

  17. FPL Daniel
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    guys one last help.
    Who to start

    Rico or Lundstram ?

    1. gooner_112233445566
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Rico

    2. Whats the Huth
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Rico. I reckon 0-0

      1. ‘Tis the Season
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Lol are you joking?

        1. FPL Daniel
          • 14 Years
          4 years, 6 months ago

          thanks all

  18. 1justlookin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    What's people's thoughts on Cantwell as a 1st sub, thinking it could be worth downgrading to Dendoncker to save a few quid.

    1. Eleven Hag
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      I have the same dilemma - He cud be a nice backup when one of your other attackers is temporarily out

    2. Epic Fail
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      He's my 2nd sub.

    3. Liber
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      I was thinking about that too, but won't do it as Cantwell is much more involved and is scoring and assisting. You get a player you can actually play if needed and having reasonable chance of getting more than 2 or 3 points.

  19. Whats the Huth
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Good luck all.

    McGovern. (Pope)
    Söyüncü. Tomori. TAA. (Lundstram) (Rico)
    Mane. Sterling. KDB. Maddison. Mount.
    Vardy. Abraham (C). (Connolly)

    1. GuillermoDickero
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Must have a great team value!

    2. Tsparkes10
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Krul is back

    3. Warby84
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      I noticed that in a few teams I think Krul starts

  20. gooner_112233445566
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    A) perreira, king, Jimenez
    B) soy, king, vardy
    C) soy, Maddison, Wilson

    On wc, final decision

  21. Football Heaven
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Have enough to go Salah, greenwood and otamendi > Maddison, Aguero, soyuncu?
    Instead of otamendi, could get rid of aurier, but that would mean going for vardy or Auba? Any thoughts appreciated 🙂

  22. HD7
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Who to bench from Guilbert Rico and Yarmo, mates?

  23. fr3d
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    TAA is probably the safest captaincy option this week

    1. Liber
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      They will somehow concede 1 goal, you just know it.

    2. Warby84
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      I like the look of this but too risky

  24. tibollom
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    2 FTs... VVD + Haller to Boly/Dunk + Wilson?

    Heaton Button
    VVD TAA Ota Rico Lunds
    Sterling KDB Salah McGin Dedonck
    Tammy Haller Greenwood

  25. kempc23
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Salah and Cantwell to Son and Madisson for -4?

    1. Tempestic
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Will Son even start?

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      No...can see Salah scoring this week

  26. Tempestic
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Son owners, are u holding this week?

    1. Liber
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      The jury is still out.

  27. konrad.sygula95
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Hi guys
    What would You change in this WC team?
    Bit worried about not having Auba/Aguero, also cant decide if I should replace Salah with Mane bearing in mind that Salah might not play and were struggling recently

    Heaton/Gazza
    Robbo/Tomori/Soy/Rico/Lundstram
    Salah/Sterling/Kdb/Mount/Cantwell
    Abraham/Wilson/Connolly

    1. ‘Tis the Season
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Nothing. Great team. Armband on Wilson?

  28. Sid07
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Need help
    1) pukki to wilson ( start zinc)
    2) zinc + greenwood to 4.1 + Wilson (-4)
    3) zinc + pukki to dunk + Wilson (-4)

    1. SALAHLACITY
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      With Mendy on thd horizon, start for Zinchenko in doubts?

  29. School of Poch
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    GTG?

    Ryan
    Robbo/Tomori/Soyuncu/Rico
    Salah/Sterling/KDB/Mount
    Abraham(c)/Wilson(v)

    Button/James/Lundstram/Greenwood

    1. SALAHLACITY
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Solid!

  30. Eat my goal!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Dunk or Lunds?

    1. Eleven Hag
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Dunk or both