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Dugout Discussion October 21

Lacazette among the substitutes as Aubameyang leads the line for Arsenal

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The final match of Gameweek 9 takes place this evening, as Sheffield United host Arsenal.

Kick-off at Bramall Lane is at 20:00 BST.

There were no major shocks upon the release of the two teamsheets, with Alexandre Lacazette (£9.3m) only among the substitutes after his return from a seven-week absence.

Kieran Tierney (£5.4m) has to be patient for his first Arsenal league start, too, as Sead Kolasinac (£5.4m) keeps his place at left-back.

In fact, Unai Emery has made only one change to the Gunners’ starting XI from the side that defeated Bournemouth a fortnight ago: Joe Willock (£5.0m) replacing Dani Ceballos (£5.5m) in midfield.

Lacazette’s benching means that Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£11.1m) will again lead the line for Arsenal, flanked by Nicolas Pepe (£9.3m) and Bukayo Saka (£4.5m) in attack.

Aubameyang has yet to blank in an away fixture this season and averages 8.25 points on the road.

John Lundstram (£4.6m) is the most-owned player in this fixture and he features in more Fantasy teams than the rest of the Sheffield United squad put together.

Over 40% of his owners have benched him for this match but it’s probably fair to say that he’ll be an ‘auto-sub’ for many of us, given the high-profile no-shows over the weekend.

His 14-point haul against Crystal Palace at Bramall Lane in August has been followed by three blanks at home but he remains the best-value FPL asset in the game, based on points per million spent.

There are no surprises that Chris Wilder’s only two changes for this fixture come up front, an area in which he has regularly rotated over the past two months.

Lys Mousset (£4.9m) and David McGoldrick (£5.4m) are the strike pairing this evening, replacing Callum Robinson (£5.3m) and Oli McBurnie (£5.9m).

Sheffield United’s four home games this season have only seen six goals scored: only St James’ Park and Selhurst Park average fewer goals per fixture than Bramall Lane in 2019/20.

Sheffield United XI: Henderson; Basham, Egan, O’Connell, Stevens; Baldock, Norwood, Lundstram, Fleck; Mousset, McGoldrick.

Arsenal XI: Leno; Chambers, Sokratis, Luiz, Kolasinac; Xhaka, Guendouzi, Willock; Pepe, Aubameyang, Saka.

Lessons learned from Gameweek 9

1,292 Comments Post a Comment
  1. The Overthinker
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Oh fleck

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    1. Fred54
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      He really did Basham.

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      1. The Overthinker
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        He gets a red if he does it Egan

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        1. Fred54
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 6 months ago

          That was Sharp.

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          1. The Overthinker
            • 7 Years
            4 years, 6 months ago

            Can we expect something Moore from the game ?

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  2. Doggan88
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Need some help please.
    Auba & David silva
    Or
    Jimenez & sterling

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    1. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Auba and Dilva

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  3. Slitherene
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Pope (Heaton)
    Digne Diop Lascelles (Soyuncu) (Tomori) Salah KdB Son* Mount (Stephens)
    C.Wilson Pukki* Vardy

    Son (liv) + Pukki (MUN) ➡
    A) Martial (nor) + Lacazette (CRY)
    B) Maddison (sou) + Firmino (TOT)
    C) David Silva (avl) + Rashford (nor)

    A) Differential Forwards, B) The Playmakers or C) Clinical Finishers??

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    1. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Love A the most but not certain we’ll get regular starts out of Laca

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      1. Slitherene
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Don't you think the bench might cover his unexpected benchings?

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      2. Salah’s Sonnet
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        A is the riskiest of the lot

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        1. Slitherene
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 6 months ago

          I agree. Maybe B or C is better then?

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          1. Salah’s Sonnet
            • 12 Years
            4 years, 6 months ago

            I prefer B from those options bud

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            1. Slitherene
              • 6 Years
              4 years, 6 months ago

              Play it safe then?

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              1. The Overthinker
                • 7 Years
                4 years, 6 months ago

                Always 😉

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              2. Salah’s Sonnet
                • 12 Years
                4 years, 6 months ago

                Yeah i would, and more reliable

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    2. JBG
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      A imo, but wait and see how Utd play on Thursday and if(hopefully not) any injuries occur.

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      1. Slitherene
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        I will, if I can. It all depends on Pukki & Son not falling in price. Have exact money.

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  4. Chenku╰☆╮
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    This match is putting me to sleep. Good night for now.

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    1. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      17 mins in

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      1. Fred54
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        TBF different timezones. I mean its 20:19 local time here and I'm struggling too...

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        1. The Overthinker
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 6 months ago

          It's 00:50 here. Might pass on the couch

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  5. Pedram
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    A hattrick from Lundtsram and an Auba blank is all i need from this match.

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    1. Fred54
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      'Fantasy' Fantasy football. 🙂

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    2. VanDijksToWatchOutFor
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Good to see you aren't being greedy and asking for an Auba missed penalty (preferably saved by Lundstram)

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      1. Klein
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Lol

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      2. SH
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Missing penalty before getting red card card within 59 min - that would be gready

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    3. Pukki Party
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      I need a Lundstram clean sheet and Auba hattrick

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  6. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Which one is Lundstram?

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    1. have you seen cyan
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      he is 5, 11" if that helps

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      1. Team Cruel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        My son is taller than expected

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    2. Fred54
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      The one that has our hopes and dreams heavy on his shoulders but still rides highest.

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    3. JBG
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Nr. 7

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  7. VanDijksToWatchOutFor
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Sorry, long post.

    So I am quite keen to dig into eXpected stats and how well they actually correlate with events over time. It strikes me that data tends to be most useful when it is impossible to 'human read' all of the events, so instead we try to 'distant read' it by quantifying events into (inherently limited) proxies for those events, the data points that we call xG etc.

    But we actually can watch all of the shots a player has taken over the season so far (either via live or highlighted viewing), so we needn't believe that Callum Wilson's open goal, when the keeper and defender took each other out, against Southampton only had an xG of 0.66, when that value was calculated from his positioning, and the positioning of the person who passed him the ball, but not from the position of opposition players. We know as football watchers that nobody should miss that (and even though people do, it isn't a third of those chances that misses) and that therefore the chance of him scoring that goal (xG) should be higher.

    Before I go digging, and maybe write a community post on it, I was wondering if anyone has already come across anything useful on this. If you could post any links (or any questions you have about xG that you would like looked into) that would be much appreciated.

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    1. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      There’s a game on mate

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      1. VanDijksToWatchOutFor
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Not much of one 😉

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        1. Wild Rover
          • 13 Years
          4 years, 6 months ago

          Fair point

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    2. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      It’s all made up.

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      1. VanDijksToWatchOutFor
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        That's the point. It's a proxy, and not one that has been created for fantasy purposes. I want to see how we might optimise it a bit for our purposes.

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    3. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Seems players like Pepe while you write this are defying xG. Repost this later but I think a lot of the FPL hierarchy have taken a particularly anti xG stance including myself it seems awfully ineffective as an algorithm to interpret such decisions. It does need a big investigation into so you’re a brave man for taking it on if you manage it

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      1. VanDijksToWatchOutFor
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Hah, but isn't he the 'new Salah'? ;).

        Yeah, good idea on the repost. MNF just never delivers, but can appreciate this isn't what people are here for right now.

        I agree it is ineffective, but I think that is because it has been designed for something else, and that with the right tweaks could be made into a more useful stat, or at least a better understood one.

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    4. The Overthinker
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Looking forward to your article.

      Gotta agree sometimes this xG, xGc can all have different conclusion when you watch it with your eyes

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      1. VanDijksToWatchOutFor
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers, Overthinker.

        Over a whole season it is probably an okay proxy, I imagine, especially for xGC, but that isn't really what or when we want it for.

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  8. Ógie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Pepe misses sitter.

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    1. JBG
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Loving it, keep it up Arsenal.

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  9. Wild Rover
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Poope

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  10. Peter Ouch
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Ill get kdb back ut for whom

    Sterling or Mahrez out?

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    1. caldracula
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Mahrez

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  11. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Pepe excellent goal line clearance

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    1. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      \0/

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  12. adibo
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    This pepe guy is a fraud

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  13. Salah’s Sonnet
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Wow what the hell is wrong with Pepe?!

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  14. BigCoupes
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Not sure if Pepe is just trolling at this point

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  15. have you seen cyan
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Pepe no 🙁

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  16. Cok3y5murf
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    The great differential Pepe

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    1. how now brown cow
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      That's why he's different

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      1. The Overthinker
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Hahaha

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    2. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Not sure how the name Pepe got in there

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    3. Fred54
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Rave reviews from France?!

      Its called League Ugh for a reason...

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      1. VanDijksToWatchOutFor
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Funny 🙂

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  17. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Pepe prevents an Auba tap in......get that piece of shite off

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  18. The Overthinker
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Auba is bored.

    Sheffield dominating.

    Arsenal have to the biggest ever banter club

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    1. Poseidon.
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Them or Liverpool anyway bro or City

      We will still finish ahead of them and look at the headstart we gave them

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    2. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Laca is their best player. It’s like united being without martial. Makes them painful to watch

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      1. The Overthinker
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Agree.

        Auba has literally no service.

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  19. Sarri-ball
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Pukki/son out best replacement

    Augbam/tielmanns
    Or
    Vardy/martial +1.0

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    1. HurriKane
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Vardy + Maddison

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      1. Sarri-ball
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Dont fancy double leicester

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    2. El Matador
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Vardy Martial I did should pay off

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    3. Slitherene
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Aguero/Jorginho

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      1. Sarri-ball
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Can't 3 chelsea 3 man city already

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  20. redsallstars
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Pepe what a £70m donkey

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    1. The Overthinker
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      They haven't paid the full amount.

      He is performing as per the payment completed

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      1. Fred54
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        £6.50 deposit?

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        1. The Overthinker
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 6 months ago

          Yup

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    2. redsallstars
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Yeah must be lol. £6.50 monthly instalments

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  21. Free Hat
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    First time watching him play live,
    Lundstram is rather good

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    1. My heart goes Salalalalah
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Is he worse on replays?

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      1. Free Hat
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Always thought he was more like a yellow card bully. But he can play some decent football apparently!

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  22. g40steve
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Missed G

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    1. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Cooking auto correct, Musset

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    2. Fred54
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Pepe?

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  23. Hy liverpool
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Mouseeeet

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    1. have you seen cyan
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      we only care if Lunds assisted it 😛

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  24. The Overthinker
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Goooaaallllllll

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  25. Pedram
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    SHU dominating so far

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  26. KGFC
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    O'Connell assist, not Lunds 🙁

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    1. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Sold JOC for Lundstram 5 weeks ago fuming. Never got any attacking points from either of them they always laughed at me from the bench

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  27. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    #5 assist

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  28. VanDijksToWatchOutFor
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Don't buy a Mousset, lease it.

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  29. The Ejiptian King
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    I repeatedly told Sparkes to put Mousset in.

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  30. Tasty Jerk
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    lol at Arsenal. Shocking defending.

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