Tips

The Complete Guide to Scout’s tips and advice for FPL Gameweek 23

The Fantasy Football Scout Guide to Gameweek 23 begins with a heads-up about Gameweek 24 – the deadline is Tuesday 18:30 GMT – don’t forget to set your team for the first Double Gameweek of the season after this weekend.

However, we have another round of fixtures to consider before then. And plenty of team news, analyses and captaincy decisions to ponder. You’ll even discover why Joe’s transfer plans involve him going “Choudhury deep”. Yes, it does sound very wrong. 

Given Lateriser’s headline success of Vardy to Aguero last week, the Scoutcast trio of Joe, Sam and Lee asked the question: is it time to sell Vardy?

Lee’s concern, as someone who has owned him since early in the season, would be the amount of value lost. Especially if you want to buy him back later on. Joe countered that for him it’s “points not pounds” that count – he doesn’t care about losing value but he does worry about losing points. Leicester face Burnley and West Ham next.

Sam cautioned that given Vardy is likely to be highly captained this week, not owning him could hurt. Indeed, the former England international is currently second in the captain poll. 

Encouragement for handing Vardy the armband was to be found in David’s Captain Sensible article: 

The expected data paints an even more damning picture for Burnley ahead of hosting Vardy, who may feel he has a point to prove after failing to shoot against Southampton. The Clarets’ expected goals conceded (xGC) score from their last four stands at 7.70, the third-worst in the league.

– David

However it’s Kevin De Bruyne who leads the poll and was described as “the safe bet” in the Gameweek 23 Captaincy Video. He is a player who is overperforming – he hasn’t had a big chance since Gameweek 9 but has scored five goals in that time – but as Neale observed

That doesn’t mean [De Bruyne’s] returns are unsustainable, of course. As we have pointed out before, the so-called ‘better’ players tend to … convert a higher proportion of their chances (or have teammates who more reliably convert their key passes).

– Neale

And with so many of his teammates in fine form, assists are perhaps a more likely source of points. Pro Pundit Tom Freeman is leaning towards handing the Belgian the captain’s armband. 

Resurgent Saints

Tom was one of many to talk up Southampton assets this week. David labeled their defence as “FPL-investment-ready” following his in-depth examination of their credentials. Tom agreed, pointing out that their expected goals conceded over the last ten matches is second only to Liverpool. He highlighted goalkeeper Alex McCarthy and defender Jack Stephens as potential bargains.

McCarthy is Andy’s favoured option to replace the stricken Fabianski. The face of Let’s Talk FPL discussed goalkeeper replacements earlier this week. 

And fellow Pro Pundit Zophar drafted in McCarthy as part of a mini-Wildcard (three transfers for the cost of four points). He’s one of two Saints players added to his squad, the other being Danny Ings. Assessing the in-form striker, Zophar enthused:

No forward has scored more goals (five), taken more SiB (19) or landed more shots on target (SoT) (11) than the Englishman over the last five Gameweeks.

– Pro Pundit Zophar

Saints fan Differential (c) brought us his insights into the turnaround in Southampton’s fortunes this season, noting that a settled back four has been a key component of their upturn in form. Once again McCarthy, Stephens, and that man Ings were given special mention. 

For the third transfer of his mini-Wildcard Zophar decided to play “Pep Roulette” in an effort to climb the ranks. 

Riyad Mahrez put pen to paper for the six-time top 5,000 manager. A move Pro Pundit Sam – currently in the top 10,000 – considers fraught with peril. Adding that Man City don’t play Aston Villa every week and a look at this site’s fixture ticker reveals they are bottom over the next ten Gameweeks.

Nonetheless, Zophar feels the Algerian has done enough to become a regular starter and found comfort in the words of Guardiola:

You see his legs it is impossible to be injured because he has no muscles. The final third he has something special, always I have the feeling he can score a goal.

– Pep Guardiola

Mahrez is included in the predicted line-up for the Sky Blues. And the Citizens top the latest DS stats, fixtures and clean sheet odds provided by G-Whizz.

Richarlison and Rashford updates

The surprising news from Friday’s press conferences came from Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti: 

“We are without for this game Richarlison. He had a little problem yesterday in training and will not be available for the game. I hope he will be available on Tuesday. Little problem on his knee, he had a little twist but nothing special. Minor problem but unfortunately will not be available tomorrow. We are without Sigurdsson, he has minor groin issues.”

– Carlo Ancelotti

How their absence will impact Everton’s creativity is anyone’s guess. Of particular interest to fantasy managers is Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who has taken 14 shots in his last four matches. David wrote of him in Captain Sensible:

Calvert-Lewin is a player who boasts considerably better individual underlying statistics since Gameweek 19 than De Bruyne and Vardy – and faces an opposition whose defence is arguable worse than Crystal Palace or Burnley’s.

– David

Pep Pig backs the 22-year-old to find the back of the net at the London Stadium.

Marcus Rashford was subbed off shortly after coming on in Man United’s FA Cup replay against Wolverhampton Wanderers, giving owners cause for concern. At yesterday’s press conference manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer failed to reassure, stating only that Rashford was receiving “checks and treatment”.

Perhaps the bigger worry for FPL bosses is not the match against leaders Liverpool but rather the midweek game at home to Burnley.

Sam urged us not to ignore teams with only one match in Double Gameweek 24: 

Double Gameweeks are a gift for us FPL managers but my experience of dealing with them is to not let them blindside you into forgetting about the single Gameweek players.

– Sam

In addition to the Clarets trip to Old Trafford, Watford’s fixture against Aston Villa also appeals:

Watford play Aston Villa, who have only won twice in their last nine games. In the reverse fixture, Watford won 3-0.

– Sam

Neale’s Big Numbers article showed us just how good the Hornets have been of late: 

21 chances created by Gerard Deulofeu (£6.1m) and Troy Deeney (£6.2m) combined since Nigel Pearson first took charge of Watford in Gameweek 17. The pair are first and joint-second respectively for key passes among FPL forwards over the last six Gameweeks.

– Neale

Deeney’s leadership since his return from injury an important factor, with Ismaïla Sarr another to thrive under the new manager.

Liverpool and Enablers

Liverpool assets continue to dominate our thoughts ahead of their two fixtures next Gameweek. Reds-fan Lee feels that ignoring the 40%-owned Mané could ruin his season given that many are likely to captain him.

While Joe has devised a plan, which involves switching to a 4-3-3 formation and acquiring the £4.3m-rated Hamza Choudhury, in order to get Mané and play his Triple Captain chip on him. 

We’ve had a couple of articles attempt to map out the Blank and Double Gameweeks later in the season, and devise a chip strategy. Both Neale and Lord – Blaming it on Rio feel that Gameweek 24 could be a good time to use the Triple Captain chip, although it’s difficult to say if a better opportunity won’t present itself further down the line.

Meanwhile, considering her Liverpool trio, Sam feels a more balanced approach is the way to go. For her, the cheaper Firmino and Martial – with his home fixture against Burnley – is a good combination. Against Tottenham last weekend, the Brazillian scored his seventh away league goal of the season (more than Mane and Salah combined) and drew praise from Klopp:

When I went to him and wanted to give him a hug after the game, he wanted to stop and talk first. He said, ‘I know I should have scored more goals’. It was absolutely not what I wanted to say! Yes, a super player, super. I don’t say this for the first time and will hopefully not say it for the last time. Pretty impressive.

– Jurgen Klopp

David added to the growing confidence in Liverpool’s number nine in his members-only assessment: 

Both over the last four matches and his last four away trips especially, the Brazilian has produced some incredibly encouraging underlying statistics.

– David

For those favouring double Liverpool attack, cheap enablers are needed.

Picked out as differential by Joe on the Scoutcast, Tom Freeman in his differentials article, and Andy in the Community Q&A videoLeandro Trossard is tipped to fit the bill. Brighton face Aston Villa next – no team has conceded more goals away than Villa and with Trossard’s next four games all against teams near the bottom of the table, he has the potential to do well. 

Not everyone is set on double attack as Greyhead discovered in his latest look at The Great and The GoodCareer Hall of Fame number one, Sean Tobin, has opted for a defensive double-up in the shape of Robertson and Alexander-Arnold. 

Chelsea’s Big Chance

Two Chelsea players are included in this week’s Scout Picks – Tammy Abraham and Reece James make the cut.

Part of the reason for their inclusion is the strength of the team they are facing:

Newcastle defence that has conceded the second-highest number of big chances over the last four Gameweeks.

– Scout Picks

The importance of looking at Big Chances was highlighted by AK this week, who found them to be the best indicator of goals alongside expected goals.

Good news then for owners of Abraham. Pep Pig felt he was unlucky not to score more than once against Burnley.

To view all our discussions please visit our Hot Topics page, and if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how they work. Also, remember to tag them so that people can find the tables with ease.

Fantasy Football Scout Memberships are now available for a reduced price of £9.99 for the remainder of the season. Rolling monthly subscriptions are also available for £2.99 per month. Click here to sign up or upgrade your account.

Community Competitions

For an update on all FFS Mini-Leagues and Community Competitions, please click here to read the latest round-up.

For those interested in the Head-to-Head Leagues, the main page can be linked to here. The fixtures for Gameweek 23 can be found below:


Use the drop-down menus to show your league and division. To find out which league and division you are in, follow the instructions on the main Head-to-Head page.

Once the Gameweek starts, if you click on your opponent’s name you will be linked to their team on the FPL website.

May your arrows be green!

TopMarx Fan of Fantasy Football and Monty Python. "Archimedes out to Socrates, Socrates back to Archimedes, Archimedes out to Heraclitus, he beats Hegel. Heraclitus a little flick, here he comes on the far post, Socrates is there, Socrates heads it in! Socrates has scored! The Greeks are going mad, the Greeks are going mad! Socrates scores, got a beautiful cross from Archimedes. The Germans are disputing it. Hegel is arguing that the reality is merely an a priori adjunct of non-naturalistic ethics, Kant via the categorical imperative is holding that ontologically it exists only in the imagination, and Marx is claiming it was offside. Follow them on Twitter

2,577 Comments Post a Comment
  1. drughi
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Play lundstram or rico ?

    1. Bubbles1985
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      L

    2. Ceci
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      R

    3. Jullepuu
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Lund

    4. Kaptenen
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Just look at top post for site 21

  2. HanS14
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    A) Aguero + cantwell
    B) Abraham + mahrez

    1. Bubbles1985
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      A

    2. Orion
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      A

    3. Balls of Steel
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      B

  3. snowman
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    First to 3 wins who to captain

    1) KDB
    2) Vardy

    1. Coys96
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      2

    2. Bubbles1985
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      2

    3. fgdu
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      1

    4. No Professionals
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      1

    5. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      1

    6. Balls of Steel
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      1

    7. Limbo
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      1

    8. JRD
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      2

  4. Eleven Hag
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Son (c) ??

    1. Coys96
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      No

      1. Eleven Hag
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        Son or Rashford for next few GWs?

        1. Coys96
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 2 months ago

          Son

          1. Eleven Hag
            • 6 Years
            4 years, 2 months ago

            Thanks mate

    2. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      No

  5. Sol Campbell
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Start Martial or Grealish?

    1. Bubbles1985
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      G

  6. kysersosa
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Vardy captained, are you not worries that Burnley are joint top for CS at home and have a decent shots conceded/in the box record?

    1. Bubbles1985
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      No

    2. Mo Salah No Mane
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      This post to cause lots of switches lol

    3. Shultan
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      I looked at the matches where burnley play top 6...seem to concede a lot

    4. Brosstan
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      One of the worst records against top 6 teams, even at home.

    5. Balls of Steel
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Leicester form is very poor

  7. Brosstan
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Scenes?

    1. kamdaraji
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      scenes!!!

  8. Rik Waller
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    a) Gazza > Ryan

    or

    b)Mount > Trossard???

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      None really

  9. Coleman Witts
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Abraham (c) could well be paid off. Considering the fact that Newcastle has conceded second highest number of big chances over the last 4 game weeks. What do you say...? Thanks.

    1. drughi
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      considering it but vardy feels safer

  10. Gizzachance
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Had armband on kdb all week
    Just switched to Vardy!
    Right or wrong move !

    1. Woy_is_back
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Did the same :/

    2. Bubbles1985
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      If you're leading then good move.

      Safe

      1. Woy_is_back
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        Only one person is leading though 😉

    3. Balls of Steel
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Wong

    4. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Good move

    5. luke
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      KDB

  11. Holmes
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Another question...

  12. Luton_Fan
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Is vvd more nailed for dgw over robbo or taa ?

    1. No Professionals
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

    2. No Professionals
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Taa is only one who isn't actually

  13. Oggle22
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Captain Abraham or kdb
    Play Lund or dunk

  14. AC Yew
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Bench one
    Maupay
    Lundstram 
    Cantwell

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Lindstrom

    2. kraftwerker
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Really? Lund, mate.

    3. AC Yew
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Yep but formation wont allow me to bench him!

    4. pemell
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Maupay ? Home against Aston Villa...

      Cantwell against Bournemouth..?

      Is this a serious question?

      1. AC Yew
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        Last minute panic!

  15. Snapes on a Plane
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Start Lundstram or Holgate?

    1. pulpy77
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Holgate for me.

      1. BrutalLogiC
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        Doubt on his starting though

  16. Pep Roulette
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    *REPOST*

    Save FT & GTG?

    Schmeichel
    TAA Williams Lundy
    Mane KDB(C) Martial Traore
    Vardy Tammy DCL

    Button Dendo Rico Kelly

    Planning to do Tammy & Dendo to Greenwood & Salah for free next week!

    1. Pep Roulette
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      1 FT
      5 ITB

  17. Bubbles1985
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Mahrez captains??

    1. Limbo
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Too risky for me. KDB.

  18. Coys96
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    EARLY TEAM NEWS???

    1. Mo Salah No Mane
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Please

    2. Fitzy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Go and find some and get back to us

    3. HurriKane
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Aguero hasn't travelled

      1. Balls of Steel
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        To where?

  19. Mo Salah No Mane
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    The questions some of you save for the last minute.
    Wow!

    1. UTD - HATED, ADORED, BUT NE…
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Shall I WC?

      1. Mo Salah No Mane
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        Yes
        You have 3 minutes

  20. drughi
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Tammy captain ?

  21. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Bench Lundstram or Martial?

  22. Longiss
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Ings or Sterling to cap?

    1. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Sterling

    2. FirMinaMiMo
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Ings

    3. Longiss
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Went with Sterling, 0 balls

  23. andre_c
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Jimmy > Ings for free, done. I think I'm happy about it.

  24. FER FUSCH AKE
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Ryan
    Dunk
    Stephens
    McCarthy

    pretty sure the 2 that I opted for are going to spectacularly let me down.

  25. Samwise the Brave
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Play
    Traore or Martial

    1. HurriKane
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Traore

    2. andre_c
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Same problem with me, Im going Martial.

  26. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Why has Richarlison red flag been removed?

    1. kamdaraji
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      it hasn't

  27. B Sharp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    PLEASE HELP

    McCarthy

    James Digne Gomez Pereira

    Sarr Willian Sterling Trossard Alli

    Vardy

    Guiata - Jimenez Sidibe Martinelli

    Would you start Jimenez ahead of

    A - R.JAMES
    B - PEREIRA
    C - SARR
    D -TROSSARD
    E - GTG

  28. Champions League Varane
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Hanley or Lundstram?

  29. Woy_is_back
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Spurs team leak?

    1. kamdaraji
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      gazza starts

    2. HurriKane
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Kane is out

    3. kraftwerker
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      No Kane

    4. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      They sure do

    5. Party time
        4 years, 2 months ago

        Aurier eating Baps & chips

    6. Brosstan
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Thinking about a late WC... thoughts and tips?

      1. Holmes
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        Auto select is your friend

        1. Party time
            4 years, 2 months ago

            😆

        2. Party time
            4 years, 2 months ago

            Your season is over already. Adios amigo!