Spot the Differential

Differential Sarr can sustain electric form ahead of Blank Gameweek 31 fixture

The Spot the Differentials article is on a roll with five of our last six selections providing instant returns, including four double-digit hauls.

Last time out, our tips Michail Antonio (£6.9m) and Diogo Jota (£6.3m) registered 11 and 12 points respectively and delivered for those managers willing to think outside of the box.

This time, we focus on three midfield picks, all of whom have ownership of 5% or less, who we like the look of for Gameweek 29.

Ismaïla Sarr

  • FPL Ownership: 1.9%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: cry | LEI | bur | SOU | che

Ismaïla Sarr (£6.3m) is back on the FPL radar after Watford’s 3-0 win over Liverpool, yet surprisingly sits in just 1.9% of squads.

Making his first start since recovering from a hamstring injury last weekend, the Senegal winger played a part in each of Watford’s three goals, but realistically could have had more, drawing a save from Alisson (£6.2m) and curling a shot wide late on.

It’s now eight attacking returns in nine appearances for Sarr under Nigel Pearson, which has earnt him an impressive 57 FPL points under the new head coach.

Over that same period, amongst midfielders, only Mohamed Salah (£12.8m) and Dele Alli (£8.3m) have been afforded more big chances, despite Sarr playing just 675 minutes.

His partnership with Kiko Femenía (4.2m) could also add another dimension to Watford’s attacking play, with the Spaniard offering more quality in the final third than previous right-back options Adrian Mariappa (£4.2m) and Craig Dawson (4.8m).

The 22-year-old will hope to continue his form when Watford take on Crystal Palace on Saturday, whilst it’s also worth noting the Hornets have a guaranteed Gameweek 31 fixture against Burnley to follow.

If Sarr can remain fit for the rest of the season, then Watford have a real chance of Premier League survival, whilst FPL managers have the opportunity to purchase a potentially explosive, kindly priced differential.

Miguel Almirón

  • FPL Ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £5.8m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: sou | SHU | – | bou | WHU

For the majority of the season, Miguel Almirón (£5.8m) has struggled on the right side of a 5-4-1 set-up.

However, Steve Bruce’s decision to switch to a 4-2-3-1 in Gameweek 28 has seen Almirón take up a central role, as a no 10 – a position he thrived in for Atalanta United in MLS.

In his new role, the Paraguay international impressed against Burnley last weekend. He was Newcastle’s most advanced player, taking three shots in the box and creating four chances, whilst he had more final third touches than any of his teammates.

Despite failing to score, the system change had a positive impact on the Magpies’ attack, who looked more of a threat, mustering 21 attempts on goal. With better finishing, they could have pulled off a decent win against the Clarets.

But it was on Tuesday night the attack finally clicked, as they ran out 3-2 winners over West Bromwich Albion in the FA Cup, with Almirón showing excellent composure to score two goals.

Following that haul, Almirón is now the Magpies’ top scorer this season with six goals, which have all been scored since 21st December.

Newcastle remain in a relatively comfortable league position and are only two points behind their opponents on Saturday, Southampton. Only three teams have given up more than the Saints’ six big chances over the last two Gameweeks, whilst they have often struggled against direct teams this season. With Dwight Gayle (£5.0m) looking to run the channels, it should give Almirón plenty of space through the middle, and an opportunity to build on his previous good form.

Phil Foden

  • FPL Ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £5.1m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: mun + ARS| BUR | – | LIV | sou

At Wembley on Sunday, Phil Foden (£5.1m) delivered a man of the match performance as Manchester City beat Aston Villa in the Carabao Cup final.

Playing as a winger coming in off the right, Foden was at the centre of everything, assisting Sergio Agüero’s (£11.9m) opener whilst almost scoring himself. He had a pass completion rate of 92%, had five shots, and now has two goals and seven assists in his last 10 starts.

Those performances suggest Foden is ready to start more often, and with David Silva (£7.3m) departing in the summer, it would certainly make sense.

The interesting news for FPL managers, is following City’s FA Cup fifth round win at Hillsborough on Wednesday night, Pep Guardiola suggested Foden will play in this weekend’s Manchester derby. That doesn’t necessarily mean he’ll start, but with Kevin De Bruyne (£10.7m) a doubt for the game with a shoulder problem, and Silva having played the full 90 minutes midweek, his chances look quite high.

As for City, it’s been an impressive period following wins against Leicester City, Real Madrid and Aston Villa, and with two matches this Gameweek it looks sensible to invest in at least one of their attacking assets.

Foden is still learning, although he has already shown he is ready to shine when called upon, and could be an effective budget differential for Gameweek 29.

2,179 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Regin
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    will mahrez start both games?

    1. Energetics
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Pep Roulette.

      I wish I knew if Aguero will.

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Unlikely

    3. Now I'm Panicking
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'll give you 8/1

      1. George Sillett
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Won't be knocking the door down for that .

        1. Now I'm Panicking
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          I'd only give you 7/1 anyway 😉

  2. Energetics
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Pope
    Taa Doherty Otamendi
    Salah KDB Pepe Saka
    Auba Jimi Jota

    Krul Doucoure Cathcart Taylor

    Only 0.1 ITB any suggestions where I can make cuts to afford Sarr rather than Doucoure?

    1. seewhyaxe
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Either Pepe or Otamendi.

  3. Regin
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    why all these rumours of robbo not playing? did klopp indicate anything?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Nope. He’ll play iko

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Imo

    2. Warby84
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I think because he started FA Cup could be a reason to rest for a straight forward hm game..

  4. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Best combo & why?

    A. Vardy+Doherty+Salah(C)
    B. Auba(C)+Aurier+Salah

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B. 2 > 1
      Not over keen on Aurier though

  5. vandebeek
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    How likely is it for mane to be benched?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Very unlikely

    2. tm370
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Liverpool need a win for momentum but it is possible and if he starts I doubt he will play more than 70 mins. The most important game of Liverpool's season is only 4 days later...

  6. Warby84
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Tempted to risk going without Trent on free hit this week... Risky??

    Leno
    Van Dijk Doherty Alonso Stephens
    Salah Mahrez Pepe
    Aguero Aubameyang Jota

    Any thoughts?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Massively

    2. Energetics
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If you’re going to free hit might as well take a punt on a 3rd city player

      1. Warby84
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I was thinking Walker or Foden??

        1. George Sillett
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Pep has already said that Walker will get a rest.

          1. Energetics
            • 9 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            I’m going to take a punt on Otamendi.

  7. yanky
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    bottomed..

    1) TC Auba a wise decision if I have all chips left?
    2) Play one of Traore or Lundstrom and bank FT or do Traore > Sarr for free?

    1. ACAB
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      TC Auba myself

  8. Regin
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    should i start traore or grealish?

    1. Agger
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Grealish

  9. Agger
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Mahrez(c) it is, should be fun

    1. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Maso(c)hist

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I wouldn’t do that personally

    3. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      (C)razy

    4. vincentwsho
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Thinking whether to buy him for a hit... surely fun if it works out!

      1. Regin
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        i bought him for a hit just now. sold martial

    5. jia you
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      He's been my captain all week and I'm not changing it now!

  10. seewhyaxe
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    bench order correct? wildcard active.

    Leno
    TAA, Alonso, Doh
    Salah, KDB, Foden, Saka
    Auba, Jim, Jota

    Pope, Sarr, Gomez, Taylor

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Foden is a trap I feel.

  11. Daghe Munegu
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Bench one

    A: Maddison
    B: Perez

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Madds I guess

    2. Bavarian
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Play both

    3. Bavarian
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      You own them both for that kind of games

    4. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Not a chance of benching maddison.

      Who are you starting ahead of both?

      1. Daghe Munegu
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thinking of getting Sarr for one of them.

        Have Vardy also

        1. jason_ni
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Maybe in a gw or 2, but I fancy both Perez/Maddison ahead of Sarr this GW.

          I'll be doing Madd -> Sarr either next week, or for 31, but def keeping him for home to Villa.

  12. vincentwsho
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any news for Traore? Some say he's fit, but BBC preview says he's out for an extended period?

    1. kamdaraji
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Nuno said in his presser today that he is fit and available

      1. fplking14
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Have the link?

  13. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Boring question but which of these keepers is the best back up to Pope on a wc. Will want one for bench boost

    A) Reina (not great fixtures but 2 games to be rearranged so allows flexibility of when to play BB and free hit)
    B) Krul (one fixture you rearrange but has good games in 34 and 37 so potential to be handy on bench boost)
    C) Mcarthy (1 game to be rearranged, some half decent fixtures coming up)

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Krul

    2. Boxwoods
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Your username made me laugh.

      1. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Hahahaha thanks. All season I’ve had this and you’re the first one to notice!

        1. GREEN IS GOOD
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          I don't get it

            1. Dr Mulholland
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              Brilliant

    3. MrZ
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      D. Dubravka

  14. joeyc_33
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Need to fund my Vardy > Auba move and really struggling with who to downgrade, do I do?

    a) Robertson > Gomez
    b) Jiminez > Jota
    c) Perez > 4.9 midfielder (if so who?)

  15. andres
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Alonso anyone?

  16. Strchld
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Really need your help guys.

    Could bring Auba in for Vardy free, but then I can get only 6-7 players out GW31 and have to pick Boly/Saiss over Doherty which is a huge downgrade.

    Or

    Just ignore Auba, keep Vardy (AVL great fixture), do Lundstram to Doherty and have 7-8 players out for GW31.

    Not going to play FH31, and probably going to captain Auba.

  17. Hitmonlee
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Shall I TC KDB or Auba?

    1. Feed tha Sheep
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I’m on Auba at least you know he should start both

  18. Feed tha Sheep
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts on Vardy & Soy > -Auba (C/TC) & Taylor (-4)?

    Means I gain an extra player for 31 and thinking of TC on Auba as I have all chips and would have another DGW to play it..thoughts please?

    1. Easy Cheesy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Sounds good. Vardy may haul but if he is only training today then he could easily not play, start on the bench, play like he has in recent weeks. I think I’m finally at the point of selling

  19. OverTinker
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    (repost)
    Pope button
    Taa Saïss Stephens lascelles holhate
    Salah kdb Mane grealish Dendoncker
    DCL jiminez ings

    1 FT and 3.1 itb
    1. Grealish to Mahrez
    2. Grealish to Pépé
    3. save

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      1

  20. Jafooli
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Have FH, WC, BB & 1 x FT currently:

    Ryan* - Ramsdale*
    TAA - Doherty - Stephens* - Lundstram* - Rico*
    Salah - KdB* - Grealish* - Barnes* - Cantwell*
    Vardy* - Jiminez* - Ings*

    I'm best to FH for this DGW29, correct?

    * = players I'd change in played FH

    1. Jafooli
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If FH this DGW, then when should I play WC & BB?

      1. Jebiga
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Just bring auba and foden or saka

        BB gw 37 !

  21. Ronnies
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Worth a -4 ?

    Vardy, Barnes >> Auba, Saka ?

    Thanks guys.

    1. Jebiga
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Phoden maybe ?

  22. OverTinker
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Early news regarding Mane benching possible tomorrow as it is a home game??

    1. Jebiga
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Link ?

    2. Feed tha Sheep
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Possibly yes

    3. George Sillett
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I think the possibility of a Mane benching has been invented on here. I haven't seen a quote to endorse it.

  23. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    All set here?

    Henderson
    TAA Doherty Stevens
    Salah Pepe(C) Fernandes Richarlison
    Aguero Ings DCL

    McCarthy Holgate Cantwell Hanley

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Nice

  24. AzzaroMax99
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    G2G?

    Hendo
    Taa Doh Stephens
    Salah(C) Kdb* Grealish Perez
    Firmino DCL Jimmy

    Pope Cantwell Holgate Williams

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Looks good

  25. Monkey Hanger
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    With Coronavirus figures continuing to rise in the UK, prospects of PL games being played behind closed doors is also rising.

    If it were to happen, would home advantage diminish noticeably?

  26. My Mums Athletic
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Wolves fans - was Dendonker dropped or rested last game? (basically, will he start this GW?!)

    1. The Ejiptian King
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      He's a rotation risk and starts when Traore doesn't because they switch formation.

      1. My Mums Athletic
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks

  27. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    When do people plan on using FH if not this week?

    1. Milk, 1 Šuker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      GW34-38

  28. Milk, 1 Šuker
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    When will the six game projections be updated with the DGW players taken into account?

  29. Gunners in Haaland
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    TAA(C) here. Who's with me?

    1. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Not convinced with no Alisson!

      1. Gunners in Haaland
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Good point!

  30. The 12th Man
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    My brother has just shown me his WC team. He has low value due to neglect.

    Leno
    TAA,Otamendi,Doherty,Alonso
    Mahrez,Sarr,Saka
    Aubamayang,Jota,Aguero

    Pope,Doucoure,Taylor,Hayden 0.2m remaining. He’s 4m OR so nothing to lose.