Pro Pundits

My Free Hit draft for FPL Double Gameweek 30+

As the Fantasy Premier League Double Gameweek 30+ deadline edges ever closer, I am feeling more confident about my latest draft.

As you know, it has been a strange few months. So strange in fact I now own three Manchester United players but only two from Liverpool.

I made the most of the slow Wildcard over the last few weeks, bringing in players who had good overall fixtures left, although in hindsight the decision to play the fixtures in the same order was a pretty obvious outcome, and one I didn’t think much about.

With £2.0m in the bank my team is flexible enough, at least from Gameweek 31+ onwards.

andys-pp-article

The only chip I have left is Free Hit. While I’m quite happy with this side for Gameweek 31+ (as happy as anyone can be not knowing how teams and players are going to react to the long break, and who might be in form), I’m not so happy about it for Gameweek 30+. There are not enough Double Gameweek players for my liking.

As there aren’t any more Double Gameweeks planned I don’t see a great reason for holding the Free Hit chip with only nine Gameweeks to go and that’s why it will be activated before Wednesday’s 5pm deadline. Here’s how the current draft looks.

andys-pp-article 1

There’s some players that have been in every single draft so far, they’re the more obvious picks, lets get them out of the way first:

Sergio Aguero (£11.8m) has scored 16 goals already this season, that’s the same as Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) in 849 fewer minutes. There’s naturally concerns about the Argentinian getting two starts but I’m hoping the temporary five substitute rule may actually help teams like Manchester City have a more consistent starting XI that they can manage the minutes of easier. 

Kevin De Bruyne (£10.6m) was the first name in my team. From a pure FPL point of view he’s finally shown us what he can do while being fully fit for the season. He looks on course to smash his previous record season tally of 209 points and if anyone outside of Edersen (£6.0m) has a chance of starting twice, it’s De Bruyne. He’s top for minutes played by an outfield Manchester City player in 2019/20.

Aston Villa are not a team I’m looking to load up on players from. They’re very generous when it comes to conceding goals and I can’t get excited by many of their attackers. Jack Grealish (£6.4m) has to be in though. He’s had a good season with seven goals and seven assists and I’d expect him to continue as the main points scorer in the team. No midfielder at his price or under has scored more points, and he represents good value going into this week.

I see some concerns from people about having Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£11.m) in their teams, but he’s been so consistent again this season whether playing as a centre-forward, or in a wider position. I can’t look past him when he has two games, even if one of them is against Manchester City.

The bench is Emiliano Martínez (£4.2m), Matt Targett (£4.4m), Jamaal Lascelles (£4.3m), and Ondrej Duda (£4.7m). I’m hopeful that I won’t have to rely on it this week.

John Lundstram (£4.9m) is currently missing from the team mostly due to fears of him having not won his place back completely from Sander Berge (£4.8m). The two goals he scored during a behind closed doors game has piqued my interest again though. I’m really hoping for early teams news that will let me swap him for John Egan (£4.6m). Lundstram has five double-figure hauls already this season. That’s four more than all of the other Sheffield United defenders combined. One start and a bench appearance in the other game could be enough to see him outscore the other options, and I, for one, am sick of being punished by ‘The Lord’.

With 10 clean sheets already this season I see the appeal of triple Sheffield United defence. My slight concern is whether there will be some rustiness to shake off which may lead to a few more goals than normal as players get up to speed. Dean Henderson (£5.3m) is also the goalkeeper who has prevented the highest expected goals at 4.4. You can view that from two ways – he’s a great goalkeeper, or at some point, he may not be able to keep preventing the number of good quality chances that the defenders are allowing. The triple up is an all eggs in one basket approach and I’m currently looking to avoid.

My third Sheffield United slot goes to Oliver McBurnie (£5.7m). I’ll be honest, this is a hard sell and you’d probably be better off without him, especially considering he has just four goals in 1,428 minutes of football. Around Gameweek 22 he started getting regular starts and minutes, although in the seven game period until the end of the season still only managed one goal. But there were some encouraging underlying statistics in that time. 

Elsewhere in the side, Raheem Sterling (£11.7m) gets one of the midfield slots. For the first 29 Gameweeks, I think it’s fair to see he’s flopped considering his hefty price tag. He’s scored fewer points than Riyad Mahrez (£8.5m) having played considerably more minutes.

I am encouraged by the fact he has the second-highest expected goal involvement for all players this season. It hasn’t gone right for him in terms of actual points so far but at some point I’d expect it to click. The enforced break, and the potential return of Leroy Sané (£9.3m) could really help him too. This is a player with over 32 and 35 attacking returns in the last couple of seasons. This year he has 13 and if there’s anyone that is going to come back and be the opposite of the rest of the season I’m putting my money on Sterling. 

I’ll quickly touch on the single Gameweek players in the starting XI. As I mentioned for McBurnie and Sheffield United, I don’t think you can go wrong targeting Aston Villa’s defence for conceding goals and that’s why I’m looking at Chelsea players. It’s difficult to know exactly which side Frank Lampard will go with, but Mason Mount (£6.2m) has only failed to start three times in the league this season and with the ability to play centrally and off the left I’m hoping he’ll be given another start, although there is a lot of competition for places in that Chelsea team. 

Raúl Jiménez (£8.1m) is definitely a consideration up front instead of McBurnie but at the moment I’ve gone with Matt Doherty (£6.3m) for my Wolves player. When I look at single Gameweek fixtures in Gameweek 30+ a few stand out, and one of them is Wolves getting to play a poor West Ham side.

Jiménez is incredibly consistent and I don’t for one second think he won’t get some kind of return this week. But in a week when I’m using my final chip and am trying to improve on a poor rank I want to do something different. The Mexican has 19 attacking returns so far, but when you include clean sheets, Doherty isn’t far behind on 16. The Irish wing-back also has four double digital hauls vs Jiménez with three, so it’s not like he’s any less explosive on his day.

That trio of McBurnie, Mount and Doherty is about the only part of this team that’s now fully locked in. That could be any combo of Sheffield United, Chelsea or Wolves player, and I’d even be tempted by an Arsenal defender instead of Leno to go for something even more different.

But for now I’m trying not to overthink. I know the fixtures I want to target, and  I have a good core of Double Gameweek players I’m very happy with, alongside some calculated differntials.

We’re about to go into the unknown. We’ve heard the phrase “a new normal” a lot over the last few weeks and it’s going to apply to football as well. I’ve gone with what I know when picking this squad but the new normal could mean things are completely different, I just hope I’ve got at least some of it right. 

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4,183 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Keep Calm and Play On
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Alright gents last two decision before I pull the trigger, BB this GW then worry about the cleanup next week

    1) Cantwell
    2) Saka

    A) Targett
    B) Lacelles

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      1 and a

    2. The Mighty Whites
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      1 A

    3. FPL_DON
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      1 and b mate

    4. pingissimus
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      1B

    5. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      2A

    6. Bambi
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      have you considered aarons? Nor have something to play for and the NEW fans are what makes the defence great - without them who knows

  2. Sterling Malory
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Made some slight adjustments, how's it looking? FH active.

    Hendo
    TAA Lundstram Baldock
    KDB Sterling Bruno Grealish
    Auba Aguero Nketiah

    Bench 3.9ers

    Could switch Bruno/Nketiah to Mount/Jota maybe?

    1. CheesyZoot
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Prefer Mount/Jota for fixtures

  3. AuFeld
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Swinging for the fences with this BB team.

    Hendo | Leno
    Doherty | Alonso | Stevens | Lundstram | Lascelles
    Sterling | KdB | Fernandes | Pulisic | Grealish
    Aguero | Jota | Nketiah

    Green or Red Arrow?

  4. FCSB
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Few more comments to make sure please.

    On FH, what’s the best option below:

    1. TAA Jota
    2. Jimenez Mount

    Thanks all

    1. No Kane No Gain
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I say 1.

      But if you could somehow have TAA and Jimenez then you’re in business!

      1. FCSB
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        It’s seemingly not possible if wanting to keep Doherty Sterling Aguero Auba in my team.

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      1 hands down

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      1- I am still trying to find way to get TAA Jiménez but not found it yet with decent overall team

      1. FCSB
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Nope me neither. It’s seemingly not possible if wanting to keep Doherty Sterling Aguero Auba in my team.

        Similar situation ?

        1. dunas_dog
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Yes- see below and welcome your view

    4. AC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      1

  5. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Which team do you prefer? If B Jota or Pukki?

    A
    Henderson
    TAA Egan Lundstram Doherty
    Sterling KDB Grealish
    Aguero Aubameyang Abraham

    B
    Henderson
    TAA Lundstram Doherty
    Sterling KDB Grealish Mount
    Aguero Aubameyang Jota /Pukki

    1. jdp219
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

    2. Pulisic 4 President
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B w/ Pukki and someone other than Mount?

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks. Why not Mount? Certain to play with Jorginho on 1 match ban and been playing well in friendlies

        1. Pulisic 4 President
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Rumors he has been playing deeper because of Jorginho ban, + return of Pulisic.

    3. FCSB
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I like the SHU triple up in A but I suppose B gives Wolves attack plus Chelsea attack with Mount

  6. No Kane No Gain
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Is Reina not nailed to start?! Seen a few comments doubting his chances.

    1. hogree
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Yeah as a Villa fan, I'd be sceptical personally - still favourite though I think

    2. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      from what i ve been reading he s not safe to start no

  7. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    doherty or mount ? for this gw only. thanks

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      one more? thanks 🙂

      1. Mufc202020
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Doherty

    2. Firminooooo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Doherty

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        thank you

  8. swanseag55
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Quick question would you rather TAA and Sarr or Alonso and Bruno?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      taa and sarr. alonso might not start

      1. swanseag55
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Ok thanks. Just one more combination question - would you rather Basham, Bruno and Jota or Stevens, Sarr and Jiminez? Trying to get Bruno in but at what cost.

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          no wc i take it.

    2. SuperMane Returns
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Jack Army! Fellow Swan here. Id say TAA/Sarr.

      1. swanseag55
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers fella and what about my question above

        Ok thanks. Just one more combination question - would you rather Basham, Bruno and Jota or Stevens, Sarr and Jiminez? Trying to get Bruno in but at what cost

  9. Warby84
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Doherty or Laporte, plan to bring Doherty in next week.. No WC so maybe a wasted transfer?? Any advice..

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      doherty regardless

  10. Champions League Varane
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Pick 1 ON BB

    Salah,Nkeitah, 5.0 mid
    Auba,Barnes, 4.8 mid
    Vardy,Tony,4.7 mid

  11. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    What’s this gossip on Super John Fleck? Carrying a knock?

    1. Whats the Huth
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Noooooooooo

    2. STHH
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I've heard about this too. Would be bad news for my team if so!

  12. Mr. Mystic
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    (A) Lundy & Lascelles or (B) Egan & Targett?

    1. Danstoke82
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

  13. Danstoke82
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    My last decision for my BB team this week, which trio? Please help! (Already have Kun) still have my FT and WC also

    A) Sterling + Abraham + Lascelles
    B) Mahrez + Jimenez + Doherty

    Thanks in advance!

    1. Rover
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B

    2. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      a because of sterling.

    3. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

      1. Danstoke82
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers guys. Would you then WC straight after to get the two wolves guys in?

        1. Nomar
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Possibly

          I’m in the same boat, so I can pick a DGW team knowing I can FH or WC out of it next week. We only have 9 GWs left so got to activate those chips, no point not using them.

          1. Danstoke82
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 9 months ago

            It comes down to Sterling v Mahrez for me. Seeing a lot more love for Mahrez for some reason. Sterling could explode though surely?. I also cannot decide whether to hit FH or WC for the next GW as I need Man U and Wolves players

    4. Eat my goal!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B

    5. Firminooooo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B

      1. Danstoke82
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Two more votes for B. You’re convinced that Mahrez is a better bet then Sterling? That’s what it bores down to for me.

    6. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B - Having Doherty and Jiménez I think outweighs having Sterling over Mahrez

    7. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B

  14. Jimjam
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    On a FH:

    (a) Pepe + Mahrez
    (b) Sterling + Mount

    1. Rover
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

  15. Teahupo'o
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Evening gents 🙂 Been a long time.

    Would you FH this team?

    Quite a bit of value tied up in Pope TAA Doherty Salah Mane Bruno Auba Jimenez

    Pope
    TAA Doherty Stephens
    Salah Mane Bruno Sarr
    Auba Jimenez Ings

    (Button, Cantwell Williams Tanganga)

  16. Mesh
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Which 1 for this week?

    A. Laporte
    B. Azpi
    C. Alonso

    1. cuppatea78
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

    2. Danstoke82
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      If Laporte is fit then it’s a no brainer for me. City’s number 1 centreback surely?

      1. Mesh
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Yea its just Pep's comments about rotating and using the full squad.

    3. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

  17. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Does A score considerably more than B?
    A is BB whereas B is FH. Really think using the FH in the 31+ could be very handy.

    A) Reina, Hanley, Lundstram, Doherty, Cantwell, Richarlison, DCL, Aguero(C)

    B) Baldock, Sterling(C), Samatta, Aguero

    1. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

  18. Nomar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Team for GW30+

    Still have all my chips left. BB or TC Kun tomorrow?

    Leno, Ramsdale
    TAA, Egan, Lundstram, Otamendi, Lascalles
    Salah, KdB, Grealish, Traore, McCarthy
    Auba, Aguero, Pukki

    B

    1. STHH
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      You have to weigh up who will score more: four players on your bench or Aguero. I would say your bench is going to be Ramsdale, Lascalles, McCarthy and Traore. Realistically that will get you about 10-12 points. So, do you think Aguero will play in both matches and score two goals across the two? He got 3 against Arsenal last time he played them, and once in each of the last three games he's played against Burnley. As long as he plays...

  19. jorgenoj
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Which option?

    A) Auba + Ederson + Doug Luiz
    B) Sterling + Samatta + Henderson

    Also got Aguero + KdB

    1. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

    2. FPL Pillars
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B

  20. Rover
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    So this is my last draft for tonight. BB30+ and WC33+ is my plan. Going to let it sit until the team news leaks tomorrow afternoon. Any comments or suggestions?

    Leno Reina
    Doherty PvA Lundstram Egan Lascelles
    Sterling KdB Mahrez Bruno Grealish
    Vardy Jimenez Sharp

    Looking out for Lundy news of course, and also Villa keeper situation. Reina could become Nyland, and Sharp could become McBurnie. Armband will go to either Sterling or KdB depending on mood of gut tomorrow.

    1. Bambi
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      no auba and aguero will hurt - if either score (which is very likely) and with them being captain options it could hurt you massively

      1. Rover
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Yes, I am certain they will score. I my head I am expecting 3-4 goals between the pair which I hope Vardy, Jimenez and Sterling can make up for (since that's where the extra funds went to). I wouldn't captain either player if he were in my team (Aguero because of minutes and Auba because of reliabiity) so I am "counterattacking" by going with neither of them. Definitely acknowledge that it's a high risk, high reward approach.

        1. Bambi
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          its a risky strategy but I hope it works out for you

          1. Rover
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 9 months ago

            Cheers 🙂

  21. Bobby_Baggio
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Evening all. Would you free hit this team or use the free WC?

    Foster - McGovern
    Rico - Taylor - TAA - Saiss - Fernandez
    Salah - KDB - Saiss - Saka - Bruno
    Vardy - Auba - Ings

  22. How I met your Mata
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Max Aaron’s nailed??

    1. Bambi
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      yes, and a great option I think. NOR have something to play for and will view the SOT game as a hugely important game. Expecting them to have lots of chances and aarons is attacking

  23. hogree
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    What's this chat about Salah?

  24. cuppatea78
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Who to start?
    A) Saka (Man City/Brighton)
    B) Ings (Norwich)

    1. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B

  25. estheblessed
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Playing FH - how's this looking;

    Henderson
    Egan, Stevens, Doherty
    El Gahzi, Mount, KDB, Grealish, Sterling
    Aguero, Auba

    Reina, Nketiah, Lascelles, Taylor

  26. SuperMane Returns
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Hi all, thoughts on this punty BB team with 10 DGWers*?

    Leno*/Henderson*
    Lundstram*/Egan*/Targett*/TAA/Saiss/
    Mahrez*/KDB(c)*/Grealish*/Mount/Salah
    Nketiah*/Aguero*/Jota

    Thanks in advance 🙂

  27. HD7
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    BB team, WC next week.

    Hendo, Leno
    TAA, Laporte, -, -, -,
    KDB, Bruno, Grealish, -, Saka
    Aguero, Auba, Jimi

    A) Egan, Saiss, Targett, Mount
    B) Lund, Stevens, Lascelles, El Ghazi

  28. FPL_DON
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Be great to know your thoughts on the below BB team please guys, I've got 1.1m ITB too.

    Henderson Leno
    Boly TAA Lascelles Egan O'Connell (aware of injury rumours)
    Grealish Sterling Mane KDB Cantwell
    Aguero DCL Nketiah

    1. Jolly Good
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      O’Connel to Basham?

      1. FPL_DON
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Yeah or possibly Lund 🙂

  29. Jolly Good
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Tempted by Aguero... think he definitely starts vs Arsenal ... but probably benched vs Burnley.

    KDB is much safer captain

    1. Jolly Good
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Reply fail

    2. Eat my goal!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      And likely subbed at 70

  30. Fishy
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Maybe stick with this team?
    Leno hendo
    Taa saiss lundstram stevens lascelles 
    Kdb traore grealish mount sarr
    Auba aguero jota 
    Looking to use bb btw