Pro Pundits

My Free Hit draft for FPL Double Gameweek 30+

As the Fantasy Premier League Double Gameweek 30+ deadline edges ever closer, I am feeling more confident about my latest draft.

As you know, it has been a strange few months. So strange in fact I now own three Manchester United players but only two from Liverpool.

I made the most of the slow Wildcard over the last few weeks, bringing in players who had good overall fixtures left, although in hindsight the decision to play the fixtures in the same order was a pretty obvious outcome, and one I didn’t think much about.

With £2.0m in the bank my team is flexible enough, at least from Gameweek 31+ onwards.

andys-pp-article

The only chip I have left is Free Hit. While I’m quite happy with this side for Gameweek 31+ (as happy as anyone can be not knowing how teams and players are going to react to the long break, and who might be in form), I’m not so happy about it for Gameweek 30+. There are not enough Double Gameweek players for my liking.

As there aren’t any more Double Gameweeks planned I don’t see a great reason for holding the Free Hit chip with only nine Gameweeks to go and that’s why it will be activated before Wednesday’s 5pm deadline. Here’s how the current draft looks.

andys-pp-article 1

There’s some players that have been in every single draft so far, they’re the more obvious picks, lets get them out of the way first:

Sergio Aguero (£11.8m) has scored 16 goals already this season, that’s the same as Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) in 849 fewer minutes. There’s naturally concerns about the Argentinian getting two starts but I’m hoping the temporary five substitute rule may actually help teams like Manchester City have a more consistent starting XI that they can manage the minutes of easier. 

Kevin De Bruyne (£10.6m) was the first name in my team. From a pure FPL point of view he’s finally shown us what he can do while being fully fit for the season. He looks on course to smash his previous record season tally of 209 points and if anyone outside of Edersen (£6.0m) has a chance of starting twice, it’s De Bruyne. He’s top for minutes played by an outfield Manchester City player in 2019/20.

Aston Villa are not a team I’m looking to load up on players from. They’re very generous when it comes to conceding goals and I can’t get excited by many of their attackers. Jack Grealish (£6.4m) has to be in though. He’s had a good season with seven goals and seven assists and I’d expect him to continue as the main points scorer in the team. No midfielder at his price or under has scored more points, and he represents good value going into this week.

I see some concerns from people about having Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£11.m) in their teams, but he’s been so consistent again this season whether playing as a centre-forward, or in a wider position. I can’t look past him when he has two games, even if one of them is against Manchester City.

The bench is Emiliano Martínez (£4.2m), Matt Targett (£4.4m), Jamaal Lascelles (£4.3m), and Ondrej Duda (£4.7m). I’m hopeful that I won’t have to rely on it this week.

John Lundstram (£4.9m) is currently missing from the team mostly due to fears of him having not won his place back completely from Sander Berge (£4.8m). The two goals he scored during a behind closed doors game has piqued my interest again though. I’m really hoping for early teams news that will let me swap him for John Egan (£4.6m). Lundstram has five double-figure hauls already this season. That’s four more than all of the other Sheffield United defenders combined. One start and a bench appearance in the other game could be enough to see him outscore the other options, and I, for one, am sick of being punished by ‘The Lord’.

With 10 clean sheets already this season I see the appeal of triple Sheffield United defence. My slight concern is whether there will be some rustiness to shake off which may lead to a few more goals than normal as players get up to speed. Dean Henderson (£5.3m) is also the goalkeeper who has prevented the highest expected goals at 4.4. You can view that from two ways – he’s a great goalkeeper, or at some point, he may not be able to keep preventing the number of good quality chances that the defenders are allowing. The triple up is an all eggs in one basket approach and I’m currently looking to avoid.

My third Sheffield United slot goes to Oliver McBurnie (£5.7m). I’ll be honest, this is a hard sell and you’d probably be better off without him, especially considering he has just four goals in 1,428 minutes of football. Around Gameweek 22 he started getting regular starts and minutes, although in the seven game period until the end of the season still only managed one goal. But there were some encouraging underlying statistics in that time. 

Elsewhere in the side, Raheem Sterling (£11.7m) gets one of the midfield slots. For the first 29 Gameweeks, I think it’s fair to see he’s flopped considering his hefty price tag. He’s scored fewer points than Riyad Mahrez (£8.5m) having played considerably more minutes.

I am encouraged by the fact he has the second-highest expected goal involvement for all players this season. It hasn’t gone right for him in terms of actual points so far but at some point I’d expect it to click. The enforced break, and the potential return of Leroy Sané (£9.3m) could really help him too. This is a player with over 32 and 35 attacking returns in the last couple of seasons. This year he has 13 and if there’s anyone that is going to come back and be the opposite of the rest of the season I’m putting my money on Sterling. 

I’ll quickly touch on the single Gameweek players in the starting XI. As I mentioned for McBurnie and Sheffield United, I don’t think you can go wrong targeting Aston Villa’s defence for conceding goals and that’s why I’m looking at Chelsea players. It’s difficult to know exactly which side Frank Lampard will go with, but Mason Mount (£6.2m) has only failed to start three times in the league this season and with the ability to play centrally and off the left I’m hoping he’ll be given another start, although there is a lot of competition for places in that Chelsea team. 

Raúl Jiménez (£8.1m) is definitely a consideration up front instead of McBurnie but at the moment I’ve gone with Matt Doherty (£6.3m) for my Wolves player. When I look at single Gameweek fixtures in Gameweek 30+ a few stand out, and one of them is Wolves getting to play a poor West Ham side.

Jiménez is incredibly consistent and I don’t for one second think he won’t get some kind of return this week. But in a week when I’m using my final chip and am trying to improve on a poor rank I want to do something different. The Mexican has 19 attacking returns so far, but when you include clean sheets, Doherty isn’t far behind on 16. The Irish wing-back also has four double digital hauls vs Jiménez with three, so it’s not like he’s any less explosive on his day.

That trio of McBurnie, Mount and Doherty is about the only part of this team that’s now fully locked in. That could be any combo of Sheffield United, Chelsea or Wolves player, and I’d even be tempted by an Arsenal defender instead of Leno to go for something even more different.

But for now I’m trying not to overthink. I know the fixtures I want to target, and  I have a good core of Double Gameweek players I’m very happy with, alongside some calculated differntials.

We’re about to go into the unknown. We’ve heard the phrase “a new normal” a lot over the last few weeks and it’s going to apply to football as well. I’ve gone with what I know when picking this squad but the new normal could mean things are completely different, I just hope I’ve got at least some of it right. 

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4,183 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Sike
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Egan and Saka/Cantwell
    or
    Lundy and D.Luiz?

    1. FPL Elephant
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Lund - I don’t think Saka starts

      1. Sike
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Thank you

  2. Nightcrawler
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Alonso

    For 1 week

    Yay or nay?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      no too risky imo

    2. UshFPL
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I prefer Doherty at that price

      1. FPL Elephant
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Agree

  3. In a Rush
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Right I’ve had enough of this think I’m done,anyone care to have a butchers at my bench boost squad please?

    Ederson
    Baldock lundstram Stevens
    Grealish kdb(v)Barnes Mount Fernandes
    Auba Aguero(c)

    Leno Nketiah Taa Lascelles

    Cheers all and good bloody luck

    1. JabariParkersEyelid
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Looks good.

      1. In a Rush
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Nice one cheers and good luck,it must be draft 99 it’ll probably end up being the worst of the lot!

    2. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Good

      1. In a Rush
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks may you have good luck

    3. Mufc202020
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Like it

      1. In a Rush
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Glad to hear it cheers and good luck

    4. FPL Elephant
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Like it a lot - just not sure about a double ARS fwd

      1. In a Rush
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Yeah Nketiah a bit of a gamble but a good enabler when Trent scores, assists and keeps a cleanie it won’t matter!

        1. FPL Elephant
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          I’m 90% sure I’m getting rid of Trent, enables me to upgrade across the MID and FWD. One of us will be right!

    5. Drop Dead Tsimikas
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Bit of a different template. I like.

      1. In a Rush
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers pad good luck

  4. chichorito
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Play saiss(wolves) or targett (aston villa) dgw?

    1. AC Yew
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Any other Wolves in team?

      1. chichorito
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        No only saiss

    2. Lord.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Targett is OK for this week only. Saïss longer term

    3. Drop Dead Tsimikas
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Saiss.

  5. FCSB
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Oh the BB temptation has kicked in (probably out of fear of missing out), which is better:

    1. stick with FH (have a nice team to revert back to, with some TV locked in)

    Henderson
    TAA Doherty Stevens Lundstram
    Sterling KDB Grealish
    Aguero Aubameyang Jota

    2. or UT+BB

    Ederson
    TAA Doherty Lundstram Egan
    KDB Grealish Mount
    Aguero Aubameyang Jota

    Leno Lascelles Cantwell Barnes

    Thanks all much appreciated.

  6. Clem Fandango
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Who gets more points this game week?

    Lascelles (h) Sheff Utd

    Guendouzi - dgw but probably benched right? Any danger of him getting minutes?

    1. FPL Elephant
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Likely to get some minutes, especially with 5 subs. All depends on that clean sheet for Lascelles - all down to luck!

  7. Mo Mane No Problems
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Probably a stupid question, but when do price movements start up again? Have all movements over the past few weeks been voided? Or will all the changes suddenly come through at midnight tomorrow?

    1. Lord.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      5.00pm tomorrow. When GW30+ starts.

      1. FPL Elephant
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        So only transfers made after this time will affect player prices? Like at the start of a season?

  8. Liastro ⭐️
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Post your BB30+ teams below if you also have FH and WC available!

    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Henderson Leno
      TAA Lascelles Lord Egan Saiss
      Mane Mahrez KDB Grealish Barnes
      Aguero Jota Nketiah

    2. FPL_DON
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      My current draft:

      Henderson Leno
      Boly TAA Lascelles Egan O'Connell (aware of injury rumours)
      Grealish Sterling Mane KDB Cantwell
      Aguero DCL Nketiah

      Any thoughts appreciated!

      1. FPL Elephant
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        DCL is an interesting choice. Wouldn’t want him if I also had a LIV defender

    3. Sid123
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Hendon Leno
      Taa lund egan Lascelles
      Kdb sterling Grealish fernandes
      Aguero Nketiah Jimenez

      Unsure on last 2 spots

      Doherty and 4.7
      Saiss and 6.2

    4. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Not bothering with RMT no more. Just asking people for a team to copy now ? 😆

      1. Fantasy Gold
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        I don’t know who is dumber.

        Liastro asking or the people actually replying with their teams.

        1. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Yup . Maybe it's Robin in disguise

  9. JJeyy
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Mendy punt anyone?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      not for me

    2. In a Rush
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I’ve been tempted but it’s the amount of minutes issue

  10. EL tridente
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Mcburnie a good option?

    1. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I can see why most will say no, but I like him, and I'm pretty sure he'll be in my eleven tomorrow.

      1. EL tridente
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Same here. Fancy him Way more than Samarra

        1. EL tridente
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Samatta

    2. JJeyy
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      yes

    3. In a Rush
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Would have him over Samatta he was in my team this morning

  11. Misunderstood Genius
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Lundstram (c) if Fleck is out

  12. vanillasky639
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    after lots of tweaking, I have the core of my team sorted but the remaining players come down to two options:

    A) Grealish, Abraham and Harvey Barnes

    or

    B) Son, Martinelli and Mount

    Which is stronger for this gameweek?

    1. AC Yew
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A for sure

    2. FPL Elephant
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

  13. UshFPL
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    G2G? WC not available and have money itb to upgrade Sterling to Salah/Mane next week

    Ederson
    Doherty TAA Stevens
    Sterling (c) KDB Bruno Grealish
    Rashford Pukki Jimenez
    (Button Douglas Justin Lascelles)

    1. FPL Elephant
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      If this is a BB squad, surely you have a playing GK?

      1. UshFPL
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Not a BB squad, don't think I can stretch my budget for a sub GK that will only play this week and is then hard to shift

  14. SuperMane Returns
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Hi all, Would you rather Salah or Mane in a BB as a SGW player?

    Thanks in advance 🙂

    1. Eat my goal!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Mane - salah might not be fully fit

    2. FPL Elephant
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      As above - Mane safer option

  15. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    is hanley still nailed ? he is the rug that ties the room together in my team 🙂

    1. SADIO SANÉ
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Might not be, rumours of a potential 4.0 sheff u though

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        robinson ?

        1. SADIO SANÉ
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Hm should know 15 mins before deadline

    2. Athletic Nasherbo
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      He could be the covid player...never know. I think he starts. Been impressive for Norwich since his return. Long-term not so sure. Has competition.

  16. Sike
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    (C)
    Kdb
    Kun

    Who and why?

    1. AC Yew
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I mighy just toss a coin to decide tbh

    2. FPL Elephant
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      KDB - more minutes

  17. Pulisic 4 President
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    A) Jesus and Bruno Fernandes
    B) Sterling and Pukki

    Which combo will score more points for *this gameweek*

    1. Eat my goal!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

      1. Pulisic 4 President
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Reason?

        1. Eat my goal!
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Fancy Bruno to do well against a spurs defence that’s struggled all season

          Jesus will likely get a Burnley start and maybe a few minutes against a tired arsenal

    2. FPL_Devil
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

  18. Beavis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    GW 30 only:

    A: TAA, Mahrez, Mcburnie
    B: Basham, Sterling, Mcginn?

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B but it’s close

  19. Sid123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Last bit then done. Who would you suggest? Thanks

    Doherty and 4.7
    Saiss and 6.2

    Rest of line up
    Hendon Leno
    TAA egan lundstrum lascelles X
    KDB sterling Grealish fernandes X
    Aguero Jimenez nketiah

    1. FCSB
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Doherty and 4.7

  20. Alli
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Should I do Sterling to Mané? I bought Mané at 11.7.

  21. Mulla
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Just logged in after months away so not up to speed.
    Transfer page says unlimited free transfers up to gameweek 30+ so why are people using their WC and FH chips now ?

    1. SADIO SANÉ
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      FH if you want to keep your team next week - no one is wc ing

  22. George Agdgdgwngo
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Why all the love for mason mount?

    Was woeful before lockdown

    1. Lord.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      He was pretty good when fit and fresh.

  23. Tabbara
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Thoughts on this BB team
    Henderson Leno
    Alonso TAA Doherty Lundstram Egan
    Grealish KDB Sterling Mount Cantwell
    Aguero Jiminez Nketiah
    Thx

    1. AC Yew
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Change Mount and you're good to go

  24. Rinseboy
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Couple of quick ones Thanks all!

    A - Tammy or Jimi
    B - Baldock or Stevens
    C - Hendo or Leno?

    TAA Doherty Lunds
    KDB Sterling Grealish
    Auba Aguero

    1. FCSB
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Jimi
      Stevens
      Hendo

      1. Rinseboy
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks mate!

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      2,2,1

    3. AC Yew
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Jimi
      Stevens
      Henderson

    4. Rinseboy
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      thanks all that's pretty unanimous!

  25. speardrops
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Hey guys, you may know me formely as Prem Fantasy Pro on Twitter - I've won the UFPL money prize, Mirror 2nd money prize place, Daily Mail top 100, Sky 23rd place and FPL 18th.

    I've changed my content to weekly, pre-deadline AMA streams on Twitch, come chill with me before the deadline!

    https://www.twitch.tv/spearmintspaff
    https://discord.gg/2fdQHgA (for our community Discord)
    https://twitter.com/SpearmintSpaff

    Would appreciate being added to the community FFS and r/fantasypl Discords if there is one too.

  26. FCSB
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Repost, as I want to put this to bed haha

    Oh the BB temptation has kicked in (probably out of fear of missing out), which is better:

    1. stick with FH (have a nice team to revert back to, with some TV locked in)

    Henderson
    TAA Doherty Stevens Lundstram
    Sterling KDB Grealish
    Aguero Aubameyang Jota

    2. or UT+BB

    Ederson
    TAA Doherty Lundstram Egan
    KDB Grealish Mount
    Aguero Aubameyang Jota

    Leno Lascelles Cantwell Barnes

    Thanks all much appreciated. 🙂

    1. Rinseboy
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      FH for sure

      1. FCSB
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks mate

  27. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    The remaining gameweeks are going to be absolute carnage. You can't really compare this to a start of a new season. A new season would see 4-6 weeks of pre season activity. Most teams have had maybe 2 games and many of those were "practice" games or 11v11 internal training games.

    I can't see anyone being match fit and it is simply ludicrous to be starting the season with this type of schedule but there you go.

    For those who can't take the heat in FPL, might be best if you step off the train now. This is going to be the wildest FPL ride of all time.

    1. SADIO SANÉ
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Callum Wilson is ready

    2. FCSB
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      FPL is carnage at the best of times, let alone now

    3. Athletic Nasherbo
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I laughed at the last paragraph...no idea why.

      A little bit over the top but yes definitely not ideal.

  28. The Count of Monte Cristo
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Those WC’ing in GW31+, will you be building a team to last the season or will you be going with triple Liverpool, double United, Spurs and Wolves?

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      won't be going triple Liverpool. I expect once they win the title we will see a few of the youngsters given a run out

  29. Pep Roulette
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Thoughts on this BB team? No WC left!

    Pope Reina
    TAA Lundy Egan Saiss Lascelles
    Salah KDB Mahrez Mount Fleck/Norwood
    Auba Jesus Nketiah

    1. FCSB
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      alternative and nice balance

  30. goriuanx
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    A) Lascelles McGinn Saka Aguero
    B) Doherty McGinn Saka Jesus
    C) Boly McGinn Sterling Nketiah
    D) Doherty Saka Sane Samatta

    KDB captain fwiw

    Thanks 🙂

    1. Rinseboy
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      damn thats tough. Mcginn puts me off most of them but A

    2. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B