Spot the Differential

Fit-again Laporte among the differentials for FPL Double Gameweek 30+ and beyond

It’s Double Gameweek time in Fantasy Premier League and with just nine rounds of fixtures to go, finding a stand-out differential now could play a vital role in final mini-league standings.

This time, two of our picks have Double Gameweeks to enjoy, whilst the third spot is reserved for a budget midfielder whose pre-lockdown stats caught the eye of several of our Scouts.

As always, all three options we have picked out as differentials have an FPL ownership of 5% or less.

Aymeric Laporte

→ How many FPL points did Aymeric Laporte register across Manchester City's three Double Gameweeks?
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: ARS + BUR | che | LIV | sou | NEW

With Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m) injured for most of the season, Manchester City have often looked vulnerable defensively.

His absence led to Fernandinho’s (£5.1m) deployment at centre-back, and whilst the Brazilian has impressed in his new role, neither Nicolás Otamendi (£4.9m) nor John Stones (5.3m) have looked particularly convincing alongside him, with frequent lapses of concentration.

Laporte took part in a training match at the Etihad Stadium last Thursday, and it’s likely he’ll take his place as first-choice centre-back against Arsenal.

His return will be a huge boost to City, who have missed his pace and ability to play out from the back and initiate attacks from deeper positions. He’s left-footed too, so brings much-needed balance to the backline, and Guardiola’s team look far more assured when the 26-year-old plays.

In fact, the Citizens have kept five clean sheets in Laporte’s seven league starts this season, and notably, they are unbeaten this season with him in the starting XI.

City will move seven points clear of third-placed Leicester City with a win over Arsenal and have won their last six matches against the Gunners in all competitions.

The second part of their Double Gameweek sees them take on Burnley, who they comfortably dispatched 4-1 in the reverse fixture back in December.

Whether Laporte lines up alongside Fernandinho, Otamendi or Stones, he is a strong under-the-radar pick and if he gets two starts, a repeat of his 2018-19 Double Gameweek heroics could be on the cards.

Oliver McBurnie

Lundstram
  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: avl + new | mun | TOT | bur | WOL

Before football ground to a halt in March, Yorkshireman Oliver McBurnie (£5.7m) was beginning to realise his potential.

The striker had become a regular at Bramall Lane, starting seven consecutive league games, which saw the Blades collect 14 points.

Whilst he could only deliver a solitary goal during that run, his numbers were encouraging. In fact, only four forwards registered more shots in the box between Gameweeks 22-29, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to score more, with an xG of 3.04.

McBurnie also sits top amongst all forwards this season for headed goal attempts per 90, and with Sheffield United’s opponents in Gameweek 30+, Aston Villa and Newcastle United, both looking vulnerable defending crosses, he could be the Blade to benefit.

Sheffield United are seventh in the table and chasing Champions League football. A win at Villa Park will move them up to fifth, and ahead of their two road trips, it’s worth noting they’ve only lost two of their 13 away matches in the Premier League this season, with those defeats coming against Liverpool and Manchester City.

Whilst it’d be a surprise to see any Sheffield United forward lasting the full 90 minutes in both Double Gameweek fixtures, McBurnie has featured in all but two of their league matches this term, and having upped his performance level in 2020, now could be his time to shine.

Ondrej Duda

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: SOU | EVE | ars | BHA | wat

Attacking midfielder Ondrej Duda (£4.7m) joined Norwich City from Hertha Berlin in January, after falling out of favour with then-boss Jurgen Klinsmann.

Having started every league game since his arrival as a no. 10, he has just a solitary assist to his name, but the stats suggest he should have had more.

Since making his Canaries debut in Gameweek 23, the Slovakia international has created 15 chances – that’s six more than teammates Emiliano Buendia (£6.0m) and Todd Cantwell (£4.7m). In fact, amongst all midfielders, only James Maddison (£7.5m), Kevin De Bruyne (£10.6m) and Jack Grealish (£6.4m) have registered more.

Over the same period, he’s taken eight shots, which is equal to Buendia and trumps Cantwell, suggesting attacking returns could be imminent.

Norwich are six points adrift of safety but have a favourable run-in. They don’t face anyone currently higher than ninth until the last three games, and return to Carrow Road having won their last match against Leicester City. They have now won two and drawn two of their previous five home matches, with their only defeat in that run coming against Liverpool.

Up next is a Southampton side who had lost their last three away matches in all competitions before football was suspended, conceding at least three goals on each occasion, whilst their backline allowed more big chances than all teams bar Aston Villa over the last six Gameweeks.

Selected in just 0.1% of FPL squads, differentials don’t come much bigger than £4.7m midfielder Duda, and we’re backing him to deliver.

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2,800 Comments Post a Comment
  1. FOO FIGHTER
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Getting closer and closer. Is everyone ready 😀

  2. Gandalf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Feel like Arsenal players a bit of a trap so forming a FH team without them. Also Sterling such a form player so may take a while to get going (albeit could easily backfire). Any changes to the following?(0.6itb)

    Henderson
    Doherty Alonso Lundstram
    KDB Mahrez Mané Grealish
    Aguero Jiménez Pukki

    4.0 Egan Saka Simpson

    1. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Alonso + Jiménez > TAA + Jota maybe?

  3. Henning
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    1. Saiss and Martial( already have Fernandes)

    2. Doherty and Mount

    1. Amey
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      2

      1. Henning
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Thanx

    2. mojoindojo
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      2

      1. Henning
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Thanx

  4. gomez123
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Who to be EL CAPITANO
    A)Kun or B) Kdb

    1. Keep Calm and Play On
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Poll says b

  5. Eat my goal!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Who replaces O’Connell in the back line?

    1. JonP
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Not sure, I already have Egan too so cant just switch...

    2. Amey
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      There is one midfielder playing reverse oop or one 4.0m guy

      Lets wait for the Rockstar buddy

      1. Eat my goal!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Yeah - can’t help but feel it’s a bit like city losing Laporte- massive impy

        1. Eat my goal!
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Impact

    3. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Jagielka?

      1. Boss Hogg
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        If anyone has piled on the pounds during lockdown it’s big Phil.
        Bet he’s about 16 stone now.
        😉

    4. Connor's Calling
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Robinson according to the SHU forums

    5. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Robinson, IMO. Can't see it being Retsos.

      1. avfc82
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        ... or Stevens could possibly fill in.

  6. CONNERS
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Play safe with Egan or gamble on Lund?

    1. Boss Hogg
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Gamble.

    2. HurriKane
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Safe

    3. CONNERS
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Cheers both, looks like a coin toss.

  7. Boss Hogg
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Bargain basement pick for this week please...

    a. Jack Robinson
    b. El Mohammedy

    ??!

    1. soup natsi
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      a

  8. BNMC
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    O'Connell being injured is going to affect Sheffield quite heavily. They're such a systematic team that losing a key player will hurt them.

    1. kysersosa
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      True, but will it hurt them enough against Villa and NUFC?

    2. Herman Toothrot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Just sold all my Sheffield assets for a - 8

      1. Party time
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Hahaha

      2. ebb2sparky
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Perhaps but feels like you’re trying to convince yourself rather than others

      3. waddles mullet
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Read about how they train under Wilder though. Not just the first 11 that know the system. For every player there is another that can step in. Sure, they'll miss him, but they're also extremely well drilled as a squad.

    3. SHOWSTOPPERRR
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Guys fleck yellow flagged???

      1. kysersosa
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Injured/doubt

    4. kysersosa
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Never ever in the history of football have we ever been so excited for Villa vs Sheffield United.

      Glad we are back, best of luck to everyone.

      1. Boss Hogg
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Excited, definitely.
        Wanting a 0-0, also definitely!

        1. kysersosa
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Couple of Aston Villa bottom scrapers in your team?!!

    5. Ronny Sandstone
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Is BB a good idea for 38/last gw of the season? - leaning towards the idea of loading my team with cheap bench players gradually over the weeks, Greenwood, Saka, Nikita etc in the hope they'll get a run out at the end

    6. Munny Man
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Here’s my BB team. Any thoughts who I could replace Mount with?
      0.4 in the bank.

      Henderson. Reina
      TAA. Doherty. Lundstram. Egan. Fernandez.
      KDB. Mahrez. Grealish. Mount. Cantwell.
      Aguero. Jiminez. Abraham

      1. Bambi
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Mount --> El-ghazi and fernandez --> upgrade?

        1. Munny Man
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Yes, a Fernandez upgrade could be an option.
          Thanks

    7. doy
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Hit my trfs and then Fleck's yellow flag popped up, argh annoying!

      1. Eddie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        If only we had unlimited transfers.

        1. doy
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          It's still annoying man, I was set on my team!

          1. Eddie
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            3 years, 9 months ago

            I know, I'm just being a douche. Good luck with last minute tweaks.

            1. doy
              • 6 Years
              3 years, 9 months ago

              Haha cheers boss, you too!

    8. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      BB30 + WC31 team

      Henderson
      TAA Egan BashamTargett
      KdB Pepe Grealish El Ghazi
      Auba Kun

      Ederson Soy Barnes Nketiah

      0.2 itb

      2 questions:

      1. Soy+Basham to Lund+Saiss?

      2. Who to cpt? KdB or Kun?

    9. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A or B here? B with McCathy or another 4.5m?

      A. Hendo+Saiss+Stevens
      B. 4.5m keeper+Doherty+Egan

      1. Boss Hogg
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        B with Ramsdale.

      2. Traction Engine Foot
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        A

      3. Pep Roulette
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        B for sure. Reina?

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Thanks. Alongside Targett? Or should I change Targett to Lascelles or similar?

    10. Pep Roulette
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Bottomed

      No WC remaining! FH for later!

      Have Kun & KDB already. Would you go without Liverpool mids and get Sterling?

      1. Eddie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        No WC? No, I'd stuck with Pool.

      2. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Keep Mané / Salah then if it means a hit. Reckon above Pep?

    11. Connor's Calling
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Fleck doubts have put a spanner in the works, albeit SHU forums seem more confident on him than OConnell. Assuming it's not worth the risk, what would you go with:

      A) Henderson / Doherty / El Ghazi

      B) Reina / TAA / Norwood

    12. Chief Break-Everything
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A) El Ghazi & Pukki
      B) Cantwell & Jota for this BB Team

      Ederson Hendo
      TAA Lundstram Egan Lascelles Targett
      KDB Fernandes Mount Grealish ______
      Aguero Jiminez _______

      Ta in advance

    13. aidmata
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Nearly there (I think) - any help with the final two spots appreciated:-

      Leno Henderson

      Egan Basham Saiss TAA Targett

      Sterling KDB Mount Grealish (xxx)

      Aguero Nketiah (xxx)

      A) Pepe + Jota
      or
      B) Cantwell + Auba

      Cheers guys

      1. luke25
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        A) seems like more potential and also a nice differential

    14. french holiday
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Lord Lundstram show tonight?

      1. iL PiStOlErO
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Thats killing me right now

    15. UpTheCherries
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      BB team with FH/WC left in hand:

      Henderson McCarthy
      TAA Lundy Egan Targett Doherty
      Salah Mahrez KDB Saka Fernandes
      Aguero Nketiah Jimenez

      Thoughts would be very much appreciated 🙂

      1. tm370
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Saka seems a dodgy play and Nketiah is very risky too. One game, probably away to City, doesn't promise many points.

        If you have a WC in hand, probably to be played next week, then I would go with a double GWer in goal over McCarthy.

    16. tm370
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      RMT please - repeatedly being ignored!

      Ederson,
      Trent, Baldock, Lundstram, Egan
      Mount, Grealish, KDB (C),
      Aubemeyang, Aguero, Samatta.

      Leno, Duda, Sarr, Doherty

      BB this week and wildcard next.

    17. SADIO SANÉ
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Fleck flag when nothing confirmed? Casuals delight as usual

      1. Walcoff life
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        agree...

    18. Champions League Varane
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Which and why?.

      Vardy Tony McCarthy D.Luiz Lund.

      Auba Barnes Cantwell Egan Reina

    19. Walcoff life
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A) Ederson + Ozil (really want city defence)
      B) Leno + Mahrez

      1. luke25
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        B)

    20. Eat my goal!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Grealish has become more appealing!

      1. Walcoff life
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        always was

    21. Hig1990
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Thoughts on this BB team? 0.2 ITB

      Reina/Leno
      TAA, Lascelles, Lund, Egan, Basham
      Bruno, Sterling, KDB, Grealish, Mount
      Jimmy, Aguero, Nketiah

      1. Walcoff life
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        solid. Reina might not play

        1. Hig1990
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Can't see Reina not playing in Heaton's absence. Played the last 6 games before the break..He is in there for save points

    22. wulfrunian
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Evening all!Do you have Ben Crellin's fixture spreadsheet link?

    23. Babelcopter
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      i feel like auba is a trap that's gonna blank both games

    24. Tabbara
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Thoughts on this BB
      Henderson Leno
      Alonso/Doherty TAA Saiss Lundstram Taylor
      Grealish KDB Sterling Norwood Cantwell
      Aguero Auba Nketiah
      Thx

      1. Walcoff life
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        nice, like the Alonso pick