Spot the Differential

Fit-again Laporte among the differentials for FPL Double Gameweek 30+ and beyond

It’s Double Gameweek time in Fantasy Premier League and with just nine rounds of fixtures to go, finding a stand-out differential now could play a vital role in final mini-league standings.

This time, two of our picks have Double Gameweeks to enjoy, whilst the third spot is reserved for a budget midfielder whose pre-lockdown stats caught the eye of several of our Scouts.

As always, all three options we have picked out as differentials have an FPL ownership of 5% or less.

Aymeric Laporte

→ How many FPL points did Aymeric Laporte register across Manchester City's three Double Gameweeks?
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: ARS + BUR | che | LIV | sou | NEW

With Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m) injured for most of the season, Manchester City have often looked vulnerable defensively.

His absence led to Fernandinho’s (£5.1m) deployment at centre-back, and whilst the Brazilian has impressed in his new role, neither Nicolás Otamendi (£4.9m) nor John Stones (5.3m) have looked particularly convincing alongside him, with frequent lapses of concentration.

Laporte took part in a training match at the Etihad Stadium last Thursday, and it’s likely he’ll take his place as first-choice centre-back against Arsenal.

His return will be a huge boost to City, who have missed his pace and ability to play out from the back and initiate attacks from deeper positions. He’s left-footed too, so brings much-needed balance to the backline, and Guardiola’s team look far more assured when the 26-year-old plays.

In fact, the Citizens have kept five clean sheets in Laporte’s seven league starts this season, and notably, they are unbeaten this season with him in the starting XI.

City will move seven points clear of third-placed Leicester City with a win over Arsenal and have won their last six matches against the Gunners in all competitions.

The second part of their Double Gameweek sees them take on Burnley, who they comfortably dispatched 4-1 in the reverse fixture back in December.

Whether Laporte lines up alongside Fernandinho, Otamendi or Stones, he is a strong under-the-radar pick and if he gets two starts, a repeat of his 2018-19 Double Gameweek heroics could be on the cards.

Oliver McBurnie

Lundstram
  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: avl + new | mun | TOT | bur | WOL

Before football ground to a halt in March, Yorkshireman Oliver McBurnie (£5.7m) was beginning to realise his potential.

The striker had become a regular at Bramall Lane, starting seven consecutive league games, which saw the Blades collect 14 points.

Whilst he could only deliver a solitary goal during that run, his numbers were encouraging. In fact, only four forwards registered more shots in the box between Gameweeks 22-29, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to score more, with an xG of 3.04.

McBurnie also sits top amongst all forwards this season for headed goal attempts per 90, and with Sheffield United’s opponents in Gameweek 30+, Aston Villa and Newcastle United, both looking vulnerable defending crosses, he could be the Blade to benefit.

Sheffield United are seventh in the table and chasing Champions League football. A win at Villa Park will move them up to fifth, and ahead of their two road trips, it’s worth noting they’ve only lost two of their 13 away matches in the Premier League this season, with those defeats coming against Liverpool and Manchester City.

Whilst it’d be a surprise to see any Sheffield United forward lasting the full 90 minutes in both Double Gameweek fixtures, McBurnie has featured in all but two of their league matches this term, and having upped his performance level in 2020, now could be his time to shine.

Ondrej Duda

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: SOU | EVE | ars | BHA | wat

Attacking midfielder Ondrej Duda (£4.7m) joined Norwich City from Hertha Berlin in January, after falling out of favour with then-boss Jurgen Klinsmann.

Having started every league game since his arrival as a no. 10, he has just a solitary assist to his name, but the stats suggest he should have had more.

Since making his Canaries debut in Gameweek 23, the Slovakia international has created 15 chances – that’s six more than teammates Emiliano Buendia (£6.0m) and Todd Cantwell (£4.7m). In fact, amongst all midfielders, only James Maddison (£7.5m), Kevin De Bruyne (£10.6m) and Jack Grealish (£6.4m) have registered more.

Over the same period, he’s taken eight shots, which is equal to Buendia and trumps Cantwell, suggesting attacking returns could be imminent.

Norwich are six points adrift of safety but have a favourable run-in. They don’t face anyone currently higher than ninth until the last three games, and return to Carrow Road having won their last match against Leicester City. They have now won two and drawn two of their previous five home matches, with their only defeat in that run coming against Liverpool.

Up next is a Southampton side who had lost their last three away matches in all competitions before football was suspended, conceding at least three goals on each occasion, whilst their backline allowed more big chances than all teams bar Aston Villa over the last six Gameweeks.

Selected in just 0.1% of FPL squads, differentials don’t come much bigger than £4.7m midfielder Duda, and we’re backing him to deliver.

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2,800 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Hitmonlee
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Which combo would you prefer for this week only:

    A) Doherty, Mount & Rash
    B) Trent, Mount & Jiménez

    Thoughts appreciated!

    1. Ceebes
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B.

    2. Bielsa's Bucket
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B

    3. Loftus cheeky nandos
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B, for this week

  2. Hits Central
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    No one here thinking of punting Jesus as their differential ?

    1. Jafooli
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      He’s my main striker 😆

      1. La Roja
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Condolonces mate, nailed on for 2 pointer DGW

        1. Jafooli
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          I’ll take it 😛

        2. Tinmen
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Guaranteed to start at home to Burnley If he doesn’t start Vs Arsenal. Gonna be more than 2 points I’m afraid

          1. La Roja
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 10 months ago

            Guaranteed? How?

            Aguero could start both and play around 60 mins each

            Nothing is guaranteed when manager is Pep

            1. Jafooli
              • 12 Years
              3 years, 10 months ago

              Jesus’s contract has a clause about starting at least one game in the first two after a pandemic.

            2. Tinmen
              • 10 Years
              3 years, 10 months ago

              You don’t honestly believe that Aguero will start the first 2. Cmon man

    2. Niho992
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Thinking to choose him ahead of Aguero

    3. FPL_DON
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Wouldn't dare

    4. jmcclory123
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Definitely a good differential - hard to overlook the holy trio of Aub, Jiminez and Aguero though

    5. Hitmonlee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Not really

      1. Hits Central
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        I think he will both be used equally with Aguero and I certainly see him scoring. I’m behind in my mini league so I’ll be taking the punt.ahikst everyone else is on Aguero.

    6. JelliedSpark968
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Absolutely

  3. Danstoke82
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Which second Villa midfielder alongside Grealish?

    A) McGinn
    B) El Ghazi

    Thanks in advance

    1. lilmessipran
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B

    2. DMP
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B

    3. Tempestic
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B for me, unless we get leaks saying McGinn definitely starts. The managers comments about him put me off

    4. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B - McGinn benched apparently...

    5. jmcclory123
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B, managers already said McGinn will have limited minutes

    6. Bielsa's Bucket
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I wanted A, but I've gone B myself for safety

    7. JelliedSpark968
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B

  4. Threat Level Midnight
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    A. Jesus/Egan
    B. Jimmy/Mendy (or Laporte but I have a gut feeling Mendy will have an attacking return)

    Henderson
    TAA-Egan-Stevens-Doherty
    KDB-Bruno-Grealish
    (K)un-Auba-Jesus

    McCarthy-Saka-Doug Luis-B Williams

  5. FPL_DON
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Which one with KDB and Kun
    A) Sterling
    B) Auba

  6. Tempestic
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    For BB, Wc next gw:
    Auba, El Ghazi
    Or
    Mane, Nketiah

    If I pick A, I lose 0.4 on Mane if I want him back on WC..

  7. Dele
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Starting to question if Saka even gets minutes...

    1. Threat Level Midnight
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Why’s that

    2. Tempestic
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I’m not sure he will. Prefer Duda

  8. DF
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Henderson
    Doherty TAA Alonso Lund Stevens
    Grealish KdB
    Aubameyang Aguero Jesus

    Free Hit
    Just back on post covid. Is this team about template for the FH?

    1. Threat Level Midnight
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Pretty much

  9. Cahill
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    hi guys, quick one;

    if I FH does my team revert to the one I have right now (after making changes in lockdown) or back to the team I had when football stopped?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      The one in GW38.

      1. Cahill
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        thx mate - FH so 🙂

    2. Tempestic
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      The one in gw38, before unlimited transfers but after the slow wildcard (if u did one)

  10. Loftus cheeky nandos
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone know what the updated info on O’Connell and fleck are?

    1. Netley Lucas
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Rumours are that O'C is out for weeks but Fleck just 1 game.

  11. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Final decision...: best option here folks??

    A- Sterling and Pukki
    Or
    B- Mahrez and Vardy

    Cheers!!

  12. Hog Roast Junkie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    If you had 3 SU defenders (Lund, Egan and Stevens) plus Doherty, who would you bench? (play 3,4,3)

    Or would you play all 4 and bench El Ghazi and play 4,3,3?

    1. Bielsa's Bucket
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Bench El Ghazi and play 433

  13. nico05
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    One week only team with BB how does it look please
    Hendo Reina
    Boly-TAA-Egan-Lascelles-Walker
    Salah-KDB-D.Silva-Martial-Grealish
    Long-Vardy-McBurnie
    0.5 available.
    Thank you 🙂

  14. Rainer
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Merry Christmas 🙂

    1. Jafooli
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Reported

  15. DIMITRIS
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    I don't have 2nd WC so I need to plan in advance, and with this in mind, is it better to:
    A) Go for DGW and have Grealish and Sterling
    B) Look a little bit in the future because of Grealish bad fixtures and go with Son and Mahrez?
    Mahrez and Sterling might get similar minutes, so that's why I'd pick possibly Mahrez.

  16. Bobby Digital
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    A. Aguero and ElGhazi
    or
    B. Sterling and Samatta

  17. Cahill
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    pick one:

    mcburnie
    samatta
    mcginn

  18. Mike82
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Last post from me as this is my BB team pending any late news;

    Henderson, Reina
    Walker, Lunny, Baldock, Swiss, Fernandez
    KdB (C), Grealish, McGinn, Saka, Fernandes
    Auba, Kun, Jiminez

    1. Mike82
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      saiss*

    2. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Swiss Saiss haha

  19. UshFPL
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Kane fully fit is tempting me...

    1. Kroos Kontrol
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      no need since no-one has him. With players out on long injury, it's better to be a week late than try to be a week early (since you never know if they'll perform).

  20. Jet5605
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Pick two from these. One starter and one first sub:

    A Norwood
    B Targett
    C Lascelles
    D Duda
    E Cantwell

  21. pingissimus
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    A Auba + Sarr
    B Kun + Doucore

    1. Karan14
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Would have preferred Kun & Sarr.
      I also fancy Watford against Leicester somehow.
      I'll go with B.

  22. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    I have taken Salah out of my team and still have Mane, but do I get rid of Mane too to get even more DGW strength or is no Liverpool attack too risky?

    Salah I can lose without losing and value but Mane will cost me 0.3m more to get him back so its more risky.

    Is everyone really ok with just TAA or VVD in their teams?

    1. OneDennisBergkamp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I can do Mane & Lascelles > Pepe & Laporte and its so tempting on paper!

    2. Marty McFly
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I’m losing value on Mane and Salah but I am Happy taking them both out.

  23. Mr_Barbs
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Few places left to fill. Thoughts?

    A) Leno, Fernandes, Mahrez, Nketiah
    B) Ederson, Fernandes, Saka, Abraham
    C) Leno, Mahrez, Saka, Abraham

  24. The Mighty Whites
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Really stuck who to captain out of KDB, Auba or Aguero

  25. KingRichud
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    1 week only

    A) ederson, Saka, auba
    B) Leno, Sterling, nketiah

    Have de bruyne and aguero

  26. The Red Devil
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    so, is everyone tweaking their teams as per the leaked lineups, i have mcginn who apparently is on the bench as per the twitter rumours

    1. Bielsa's Bucket
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I was forced to do O'Connell to Basham, but this allowed me to do the McGinn to El Ghazi

  27. Bullet Eder
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Have seen a couple of half-credible Twitter accounts worried about Aguero not starting tonight. Any concrete info on this, or just rumour mill in overdrive as its deadline day?

    1. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Have to live with it I suspect most of the main City options will end up with similarish minutes over the 2 games. I'm only staying on Kun/KDB/A N Other because of captain poll

  28. corderz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Rank the following Sheff defenders:

    Lundstram
    Egan
    Stevens
    Baldock

    1. No Kane No Gain
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Lundstram/Stevens
      Lundstram/Stevens
      Baldock
      Egan

  29. Niho992
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Bottomed.

    A: Jesus and Sterling(C)
    B : Kun(C) and Mahrez

  30. Forza Papac
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Remember 12 weeks ago when there was literally hours between posts