Spot the Differential

Fit-again Laporte among the differentials for FPL Double Gameweek 30+ and beyond

It’s Double Gameweek time in Fantasy Premier League and with just nine rounds of fixtures to go, finding a stand-out differential now could play a vital role in final mini-league standings.

This time, two of our picks have Double Gameweeks to enjoy, whilst the third spot is reserved for a budget midfielder whose pre-lockdown stats caught the eye of several of our Scouts.

As always, all three options we have picked out as differentials have an FPL ownership of 5% or less.

Aymeric Laporte

→ How many FPL points did Aymeric Laporte register across Manchester City's three Double Gameweeks?
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: ARS + BUR | che | LIV | sou | NEW

With Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m) injured for most of the season, Manchester City have often looked vulnerable defensively.

His absence led to Fernandinho’s (£5.1m) deployment at centre-back, and whilst the Brazilian has impressed in his new role, neither Nicolás Otamendi (£4.9m) nor John Stones (5.3m) have looked particularly convincing alongside him, with frequent lapses of concentration.

Laporte took part in a training match at the Etihad Stadium last Thursday, and it’s likely he’ll take his place as first-choice centre-back against Arsenal.

His return will be a huge boost to City, who have missed his pace and ability to play out from the back and initiate attacks from deeper positions. He’s left-footed too, so brings much-needed balance to the backline, and Guardiola’s team look far more assured when the 26-year-old plays.

In fact, the Citizens have kept five clean sheets in Laporte’s seven league starts this season, and notably, they are unbeaten this season with him in the starting XI.

City will move seven points clear of third-placed Leicester City with a win over Arsenal and have won their last six matches against the Gunners in all competitions.

The second part of their Double Gameweek sees them take on Burnley, who they comfortably dispatched 4-1 in the reverse fixture back in December.

Whether Laporte lines up alongside Fernandinho, Otamendi or Stones, he is a strong under-the-radar pick and if he gets two starts, a repeat of his 2018-19 Double Gameweek heroics could be on the cards.

Oliver McBurnie

Lundstram
  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: avl + new | mun | TOT | bur | WOL

Before football ground to a halt in March, Yorkshireman Oliver McBurnie (£5.7m) was beginning to realise his potential.

The striker had become a regular at Bramall Lane, starting seven consecutive league games, which saw the Blades collect 14 points.

Whilst he could only deliver a solitary goal during that run, his numbers were encouraging. In fact, only four forwards registered more shots in the box between Gameweeks 22-29, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to score more, with an xG of 3.04.

McBurnie also sits top amongst all forwards this season for headed goal attempts per 90, and with Sheffield United’s opponents in Gameweek 30+, Aston Villa and Newcastle United, both looking vulnerable defending crosses, he could be the Blade to benefit.

Sheffield United are seventh in the table and chasing Champions League football. A win at Villa Park will move them up to fifth, and ahead of their two road trips, it’s worth noting they’ve only lost two of their 13 away matches in the Premier League this season, with those defeats coming against Liverpool and Manchester City.

Whilst it’d be a surprise to see any Sheffield United forward lasting the full 90 minutes in both Double Gameweek fixtures, McBurnie has featured in all but two of their league matches this term, and having upped his performance level in 2020, now could be his time to shine.

Ondrej Duda

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: SOU | EVE | ars | BHA | wat

Attacking midfielder Ondrej Duda (£4.7m) joined Norwich City from Hertha Berlin in January, after falling out of favour with then-boss Jurgen Klinsmann.

Having started every league game since his arrival as a no. 10, he has just a solitary assist to his name, but the stats suggest he should have had more.

Since making his Canaries debut in Gameweek 23, the Slovakia international has created 15 chances – that’s six more than teammates Emiliano Buendia (£6.0m) and Todd Cantwell (£4.7m). In fact, amongst all midfielders, only James Maddison (£7.5m), Kevin De Bruyne (£10.6m) and Jack Grealish (£6.4m) have registered more.

Over the same period, he’s taken eight shots, which is equal to Buendia and trumps Cantwell, suggesting attacking returns could be imminent.

Norwich are six points adrift of safety but have a favourable run-in. They don’t face anyone currently higher than ninth until the last three games, and return to Carrow Road having won their last match against Leicester City. They have now won two and drawn two of their previous five home matches, with their only defeat in that run coming against Liverpool.

Up next is a Southampton side who had lost their last three away matches in all competitions before football was suspended, conceding at least three goals on each occasion, whilst their backline allowed more big chances than all teams bar Aston Villa over the last six Gameweeks.

Selected in just 0.1% of FPL squads, differentials don’t come much bigger than £4.7m midfielder Duda, and we’re backing him to deliver.

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2,800 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Diddizz
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Which FH-team is better - 1 or 2?

    1: Leno - Stevens, Baldock, Egan - Salah, De Bruyne, Mahrez, Grealish - Agüero, Auba, Jiménez - Bench: Button, Lascelles, Guendouzi, Kilman

    2: Leno - Stevens, Baldock, Lundstram - Salah, De Bruyne, Sterling, Grealish - Agüero, Auba, Nketiah - Bench: Button, McCarthy, Simpson, Kilman

    1. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Don't get Salah.

      Titanic waste of budget. Everton - Liverpool in the league in the last 3 encounters:
      0-0
      0-0
      1-1

      1. Diddizz
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Yes, but I have very high team value and I can afford all other important players in midfield and upfront, so why not?

        What would you do with the team if you took Salah out? Alonso, Doherthy, TAA?

  2. Alli
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Ramsdale or Reina?

    1. Sarri-ball
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Im going ramsdale only because got targett and dont fancy double villa

  3. Jet5605
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Who to start:

    A Targett
    B Lascelles

    1. Sarri-ball
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A) purely for double

  4. Sarri-ball
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Last call a or b

    A) jesus/taa
    B) aguero/gomez

  5. Ady87
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Has Sterling done something recently to justify his place? His attacking returns per lockdown were non existent. I’ve got him, but would I be better with Mahrez/Pepe over him and Barnes for example?

    1. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Boiling down to Mahrez v Sterling for some

      Heard one person say he’ll be motivated because of his BLM stuff which seemed rather far fetched

      1. Ady87
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        He’s definitely got a hatty in him at any moment which is worth the gamble if guess, there was a time when I wouldn’t have dreamed about going without and I’ve had my fingers burnt by Mahrez at least 3 time’s in recent memory. Can see this pondering going right to the deadline

    2. FPL_DON
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Its a tough one, a lot (including myself) seem to just have a gut feeling

  6. Victor Moses
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Doherty + Mahrez or Laporte & Fernandes for BB30+ then W/C31

    1. Chandler Bing
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      DM

  7. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    1) Is it worth Downgrading Doherty > PVA to upgrade Egan > Stevens. It’s tight but I think yes. Two full backs better imo

    2) Is it worth downgrading Taa > Lascelles to upgrade Mahrez > Raz? I think Sterling is nailed for both games

    1. Baps hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      N
      N

  8. Chandler Bing
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Which set of players?

    A. Sterling, Jota
    B. Mount, Kun

  9. Nespinha
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    final BB draft - 0.1ITB

    Henderson, Reina
    Walker, Lascelles, Stevens, Egan, Targett
    Grealish, Sarr, KDB (C), Fernandes, Saka
    Auba, Aguero, Jimi

  10. Chief Break-Everything
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    GTG? BB

    Ederson Hendo
    TAA Lundstram Egan Lascelles Targett
    KDB Fernandes Mount Grealish El Ghazi
    Aguero Jiminez Pukki

  11. KingRichud
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Norwood or Saka

    1. KingRichud
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Henderson and Saka or Leno and Norwood is the actual dilemma

    2. disarrays11
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Norwood, Saka isn't going to start both gws, 1 at best

  12. FF Dirtbag
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Decided. Saka it is.

  13. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Just saw the rumours!
    Egan, Lundstram and Baldock it is for the Sheffield triple up then

    1. Baps hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Source?

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Is Basham still due to start?

      1. Tempestic
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        yeh, believe so

    3. OverTinker
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      why not stevens for Egan??

  14. WorldCup82
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    BB Activated, with WC ready for Wk 31
    I'm up 10 pts in my H2H league

    Reina Leno
    Stevens Lundstram Egan Targett
    Sterling KDB(c) Grealish Cantwell
    Kun(vc) Abraham

    Combinations I'm looking at for the rest:
    A. Doherty Mount Jimenez (25/27 possible total games)
    B. Boly Saka Aubameyang (27/27 possible total games)
    C. Doherty Pepe Nkeitah (27/27 possible total games)
    D. TAA Saka Jimenez (26/27 possible total games) and won't lose 0.3 in value

    Which would you pick and why? Am I missing someone that I should try to fit in? Thanks again for looking!

  15. Bobby Digital
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Agueerooo

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Don't tell me he has hauled already...

  16. Rinseboy
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Tammy Mount Bruno or Jimi this week?
    Thanks all

  17. La Roja
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Cantwell or Saka?

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Cantwell will get more minutes over the GW than Saka I feel. Tierney due to start LB.

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        So I'd pick Cantwell ^

    2. FF Dirtbag
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Norwich don't score enough for me and saka was getting good minutes before all this. Saka for me.

      1. La Roja
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        I reckon he starts vs Brighton Which is hat we need really

        1. FF Dirtbag
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Yeah I would want him for the game at his price.

  18. DMil
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone else seeing this ‘FPL Leaker’ on Twitter? What do you make of his supposed team sheets. Looks dodgy to me

    1. internal error
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      fake

    2. Rover
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I would just wait for FPL Rockstar

    3. Typo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Saw he left out Sterling, bugger that would suck for me

    4. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      We will see. He has the full lineups for every game today, says they have to submit teams by 1pm. If he's right on all 4 it would be a game-changer.

    5. otisss
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      He’s really messed with my head.

      I’m currently on Sterling and Nketiah

      But now he’s said they aren’t starting I wanna go for Mahrez and Abraham.

      What do yas reckon?

    6. FPL Xylophone
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      He starts d.silva. but ffs said this about silva: https://www.twitter.com/FFScout/status/1273007557611786241

  19. CRO KLOPP
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    BB team ( no WC,only fh left)

    Leno Hendo
    TAA Saiss Lund Egan Fernandez
    Sterling KDB Fernandes Mount Grealish
    Aguero Jimenez Nketiah

    Gtg?

  20. JONALDINHO
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    1. Stevens or Lundstraum
    2. Cantwell or Saka

  21. FDMS All Starz
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    A) Pukki and Bellerin
    or
    B) Abraham & Targett

  22. Rover
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    The only fixture this GW in which my FPL team has no representation is the Merseyside derby. So do I cower behind my couch, or sit back, relax, pop a can, and enjoy a rivalry-filled game as a neutral.

    1. The Ejiptian King
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Pop a can behind the sofa.

    2. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Itll not be a goal fest.

      I'm going TAA and that's it

  23. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    G2G?

    McCarthy
    AWB, VVD, Lunds
    Salah, Grealish, KDB, Fleck, Bruno
    Kun, Jimenez

    Pope, Jota, Lascelles, Williams

    Still have FH & BB available. No WC.

    Thoughts welcomed.

    Cheers

    1. Crump
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Fleck's an injury doubt

    2. momomaimai
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Fleck injured (ํYellow flag)

  24. FredUpAlready
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    All set for BB 31+. Gtg?
    Henderson Leno
    TAA Lundstram Doherty Lascelles Egan
    KDB Mahrez Grealish Saka Cantwell
    Aguero(c) Auba Abraham

  25. Van der Faart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    BB draft number 763

    Henderson Reina
    TAA Saiss Egan Lundy Fernandez
    KDB Mane D.Luiz Bruno Cantwell
    Jimi Kun McBurnie

    Tear it apart for me please because I'm considering just hitting the button and actually doing some work today.

  26. Parm
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    FODENNNNNNNNNN

    1. Saka Rice
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      ?

    2. Jafooli
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Assist?

  27. Mr_Barbs
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Any help appreciated. Last few places..

    A) Leno, Fernandes, Mahrez, Nketiah
    B) Ederson, Fernandes, Saka, Abraham
    C) Leno, Mahrez, Saka, Abraham

    1. Boris Bodega
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A

  28. Budgies
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Any suggested tweaks for gameweek? only £0.1m left

    Leno,
    TAA, Lundy, Egan,
    KDB (VC), Pepe, Mount, Fernandes
    Aguero (C), Aubm Jiminez

    (Patricio, Saiss, Lascelles, Leitner)

  29. Pinturicchio10
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Time to log out it's getting silly around here. Good luck all.

    • Henning
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Pick 2

      1. Lundstram
      2. Egan
      3. Stevens