Spot the Differential

Fit-again Laporte among the differentials for FPL Double Gameweek 30+ and beyond

It’s Double Gameweek time in Fantasy Premier League and with just nine rounds of fixtures to go, finding a stand-out differential now could play a vital role in final mini-league standings.

This time, two of our picks have Double Gameweeks to enjoy, whilst the third spot is reserved for a budget midfielder whose pre-lockdown stats caught the eye of several of our Scouts.

As always, all three options we have picked out as differentials have an FPL ownership of 5% or less.

Aymeric Laporte

→ How many FPL points did Aymeric Laporte register across Manchester City's three Double Gameweeks?
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: ARS + BUR | che | LIV | sou | NEW

With Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m) injured for most of the season, Manchester City have often looked vulnerable defensively.

His absence led to Fernandinho’s (£5.1m) deployment at centre-back, and whilst the Brazilian has impressed in his new role, neither Nicolás Otamendi (£4.9m) nor John Stones (5.3m) have looked particularly convincing alongside him, with frequent lapses of concentration.

Laporte took part in a training match at the Etihad Stadium last Thursday, and it’s likely he’ll take his place as first-choice centre-back against Arsenal.

His return will be a huge boost to City, who have missed his pace and ability to play out from the back and initiate attacks from deeper positions. He’s left-footed too, so brings much-needed balance to the backline, and Guardiola’s team look far more assured when the 26-year-old plays.

In fact, the Citizens have kept five clean sheets in Laporte’s seven league starts this season, and notably, they are unbeaten this season with him in the starting XI.

City will move seven points clear of third-placed Leicester City with a win over Arsenal and have won their last six matches against the Gunners in all competitions.

The second part of their Double Gameweek sees them take on Burnley, who they comfortably dispatched 4-1 in the reverse fixture back in December.

Whether Laporte lines up alongside Fernandinho, Otamendi or Stones, he is a strong under-the-radar pick and if he gets two starts, a repeat of his 2018-19 Double Gameweek heroics could be on the cards.

Oliver McBurnie

Lundstram
  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: avl + new | mun | TOT | bur | WOL

Before football ground to a halt in March, Yorkshireman Oliver McBurnie (£5.7m) was beginning to realise his potential.

The striker had become a regular at Bramall Lane, starting seven consecutive league games, which saw the Blades collect 14 points.

Whilst he could only deliver a solitary goal during that run, his numbers were encouraging. In fact, only four forwards registered more shots in the box between Gameweeks 22-29, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to score more, with an xG of 3.04.

McBurnie also sits top amongst all forwards this season for headed goal attempts per 90, and with Sheffield United’s opponents in Gameweek 30+, Aston Villa and Newcastle United, both looking vulnerable defending crosses, he could be the Blade to benefit.

Sheffield United are seventh in the table and chasing Champions League football. A win at Villa Park will move them up to fifth, and ahead of their two road trips, it’s worth noting they’ve only lost two of their 13 away matches in the Premier League this season, with those defeats coming against Liverpool and Manchester City.

Whilst it’d be a surprise to see any Sheffield United forward lasting the full 90 minutes in both Double Gameweek fixtures, McBurnie has featured in all but two of their league matches this term, and having upped his performance level in 2020, now could be his time to shine.

Ondrej Duda

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: SOU | EVE | ars | BHA | wat

Attacking midfielder Ondrej Duda (£4.7m) joined Norwich City from Hertha Berlin in January, after falling out of favour with then-boss Jurgen Klinsmann.

Having started every league game since his arrival as a no. 10, he has just a solitary assist to his name, but the stats suggest he should have had more.

Since making his Canaries debut in Gameweek 23, the Slovakia international has created 15 chances – that’s six more than teammates Emiliano Buendia (£6.0m) and Todd Cantwell (£4.7m). In fact, amongst all midfielders, only James Maddison (£7.5m), Kevin De Bruyne (£10.6m) and Jack Grealish (£6.4m) have registered more.

Over the same period, he’s taken eight shots, which is equal to Buendia and trumps Cantwell, suggesting attacking returns could be imminent.

Norwich are six points adrift of safety but have a favourable run-in. They don’t face anyone currently higher than ninth until the last three games, and return to Carrow Road having won their last match against Leicester City. They have now won two and drawn two of their previous five home matches, with their only defeat in that run coming against Liverpool.

Up next is a Southampton side who had lost their last three away matches in all competitions before football was suspended, conceding at least three goals on each occasion, whilst their backline allowed more big chances than all teams bar Aston Villa over the last six Gameweeks.

Selected in just 0.1% of FPL squads, differentials don’t come much bigger than £4.7m midfielder Duda, and we’re backing him to deliver.

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2,800 Comments Post a Comment
  1. reo19uk
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Stong rain and Hail again in Manchester hopefully wont effect the City match!

    1. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      not another City postponement that would be the forth this season (two weather, one Coronavirus and one cup final).

    2. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      No chance

  2. nadman89
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    hows everyone feeling about samatta ? \
    a) sarr + greenwood

    b) samtta + duda

    both greenwood and duda benched

  3. abaalan
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    BB team, with value tied up in TAA (no one else), would you:
    A) TAA, Cantwell, Jimenez
    B) Targett, Bruno Fernandes, Abraham

    Any reason Abraham woudnt be nailed?

    1. Tcheco
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

  4. Tcheco
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    A. Jimenez

    B. McBurnie

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

  5. Better Call Raul
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Start Samatta or TAA?

    1. KingRichud
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      DO NOT leave TAA on bench

    2. Catastrophe
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      TAA

    3. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Maybe this is a trick question?

  6. Parm
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Getting a bit crazy so i'll lock my bench boost in, good luck all.

    Reina, Leno;
    TAA, Lundstram, Alonso, Egan, Stevens;
    Sterling(c), de Bruyne, Grealish, Buendía, Ceballos;
    Agüero, Aubameyang, Jiménez.

    1. Catastrophe
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Good luck. Looks good (prefer Cantwell & Mount to Buendia & Ceballos but fun differentials I guess 🙂 )

  7. Catastrophe
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Little nervous about Aguero game-time. Likely going KDB(c) regardless. Which combo do you prefer (on BB)?

    A) Aguero, Doug Luiz, Egan, Lundstram (Ederson, McCarthy)
    B) Abraham, Mahrez, Egan, Lundstram (Ederson , McCarthy)
    C) Abraham, Mahrez, Egan, Laporte (Leno, McCarthy)
    D) Abraham, Mahrez, Lundstram Walker (Henderson, McCarthy)
    E) Jota, Mahrez, Egan, Laporte (Leno, Henderson)

    Currently on A.

    Cheers

    1. BoomXhakaLaca1
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      If you're nervous over Aguero's time surely you're nervous of Mahrez' time too?

      1. Catastrophe
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Sure but there's a 3.3M difference between them 🙂

        I would be equally nervous about Aguero, Sterling & Mahrez to be honest.

        1. BoomXhakaLaca1
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          I am going Aguero anyway

          1. Catastrophe
            • 13 Years
            3 years, 9 months ago

            You certainly won't be the only one 🙂 to be fair the frustration at owning him benched will be nothing compared to not owning him starting...

  8. BoomXhakaLaca1
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    For those getting rid of TAA this week do you plan to get him back? The value you lose is a lot if you've had for a long time

    1. abaalan
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      In this conunderum….very tempted to get rid, but not sure if I would get back in for the run in.

  9. FPL Mentor
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    1) Reina, Egan, Basham, Jimenez

    2) Henderson, Doherty, Targett, McBurnie

    1. Catastrophe
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      1

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      1

  10. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    repots - G2G?

    McCarthy
    AWB, VVD, Lunds
    Salah, Grealish, KDB, Fleck, Bruno
    Kun, Jimenez

    Pope, Jota, Lascelles, Williams

    Still have FH & BB available. No WC.

    Thoughts welcomed.

    Cheers

    1. FPL Mentor
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Fleck not a doubt?

      1. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        yep he's been in my team a while now so taking a punt to keep. Thoughts?

    2. BoomXhakaLaca1
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Fleck is a risk as everyone is saying he may not play. I don't think you need Jota and Jimenez because if they blank it'll cost you.

  11. Maddi Son
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Leno, Henderson
    Alonso, Stevens, TAA, Laporte, Doherty
    KDB, Cantwell, Mount, Fernandes, Grealish
    Jota, Aguero, Pukki

    Defence heavy but still think this looks pretty balanced. What ya recon?

    1. FPL Mentor
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Stevens > Lund

      1. Maddi Son
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Just done that, good shout tbh

    2. No Totti No Party
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      2 nor is too much 4 me, otherwise looks good

  12. FOO FIGHTER
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Will we hear from FPLRockstar???

  13. The Left Duke #3
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    BB team locked and loaded. WC GW 31. FH down the road.

    Leno Hendo
    TAA Egan Lundstram Saiss Targett
    KDB (vc) Mahrez Grealish DouglasLuiz Saka
    Aguero (C) Aubameyang Abraham

    Any thoughts or switches? 0.0m ITB

  14. mattyb09
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Which option for FH this GW?

    a) Kun Jota Egan
    b) Jesus Jim Baldock

    1. Catastrophe
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

    2. Bruno Commando
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

    3. mattyb09
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      That's who I've currently got. B is enticing though since I expect Jesus to play just as much if not more than Kun in the 2 games...But going without Aguero is very risky today.

  15. tissae
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Would you go Rashford + Jimmy or Aubameyang + Sammata and loose 0.4m on Jimmy? BB 30+

    1. Exeter Gently
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A, more balanced

      1. tissae
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        But that would be double SGW vs double DGW, kinda tempting

  16. gooner_112233445566
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Who to have (already got henderson, lund, baldock and doherty)

    a) Mcburnie (will need to get rid of a sheff utd defender)
    b) jota

  17. Exeter Gently
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Prob been asked but can we still use additional WC despite free transfers this wk? I can’t see it when I log into fpl but I’m almost certain I still have it

    1. JoeSoap
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Yes you can if you still have it.

  18. Bruno Commando
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Bottomed. After 30+, which of these lot would you prefer to have?

    A) Team BB (leaving me with a pretty strong bench): Leno // Lunds // Grealish // Cantwell // Mount // Aguero
    B) Reverted team after FH: McCarthy // Lascelles // Salah // Mooy // Hayden // Rashford

    Rest of team:
    Pope // _____
    AWB // TAA // Saiss // Egan // _____
    KDB // Bruno // _____ // _____ // ______
    Auba // Jimenez // _____

  19. JoeSoap
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Any preference for this week only? Playing BB

    A. Saiss/Bruno
    B. Targett/Mahrez

    Have Aguero & KDB.

    1. gryffsonofarthur
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B

  20. CrouchDown
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Thoughts on this (low budget) BB? Will play WC next week

    Leno Henderson

    Baldock Lundstram Targett Lascelles A.Smith

    Grealish Sterling(C) McGinn KDB Mahrez

    Auba Jimenez Ayew

    1. Mino Raiola
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      IDK if I would choose Ayew.
      . Would rather have calwert or even maybe nkitia

  21. gryffsonofarthur
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Is there any weight to the leak about Sterling not starting?

    1. kamdaraji
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Hi this is pep. Sterling is starting

    2. El Presidente
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      What leak?

  22. Ninja Škrtel
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    FH team:

    Ederson
    Lund, Egan, TAA
    KDB c, Mane, Grealish, Traore
    Kun, Auba, Samatta

    wdyt

  23. takenforgranted
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Grealish Captain...?
    Plays both games, minimum 8 points vs KDB/Kun playing 1 and not hitting a goal or assist vs Arsenal...

    Maybe I've had too much coffee/crack

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Nah, Lundstram might clatter him again

      https://twitter.com/Blades_analytic/status/1036486994505949186?s=19

      1. takenforgranted
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Ooooh tasty! Lundstram Captain...

  24. Mino Raiola
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    BB team. Please rate:) WC left btw.

    Leno, Reina
    Egan, Lund, Basham, Sokratis, Saiss
    Mahrez, Bruno, KDB, Graelish, D.Luiz
    Auba, Aguero(c), Jimi

    1. DandyDon
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Good

    2. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Stopped reading at Sokratis

      1. Mino Raiola
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Fair enough:)
        Missed the good part tough...

  25. Chief Break-Everything
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Cantwell or El Ghaz?i

    I have Grealish & Pukki

    1. DandyDon
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      El ghazi

      1. Chief Break-Everything
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks. Good luck!

  26. alexh87
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    GTG??

    Leno Ederson
    TAA Doherty Stevens Baldock Lundstram
    KDB (c) Mount Barnes Grealish Saka
    Aguero Auba Jimenez

    2 questions:

    1. Ederson & Baldock/Stevens or Henderson & Mendy/Walker
    2. Saka or Duda/Cantwell

    Thanks!

  27. Top Lad Dakes.
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Why are people going Lundstram over Stevens?

    And what about Egan? Big set piece threat

    1. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Because lundstram is a lord and Stevens is a bar steward

    2. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Because he has a higher ceiling.

      That big set piece threat that Egan has yielded one assist all season...

    3. DandyDon
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I’m going Baldock over Stevens. I’d only take a punt on Lord if I was going triple Defence. Hendo and Baldock for me.

    4. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I'm going both. If I do have to downgrade either to Egan for any reason, it'll be Stevens.

      Massive ownership, seemingly likely to get minutes. Lundstram is a big asset.

  28. Tempestic
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Any news on Nyland vs Reina?

    1. FPL Pillars
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      One guy who may or may not be genuine is saying nyland starts... I am just staying clear of both

    2. Squib
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I need to know this

  29. El Presidente
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Cap dilemma: KDB playing deeper role but probably on pens VS KUN probably playing less minutes but a lot more explosive ans clinical

    Tough cookie

    1. DandyDon
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Kun for me

  30. Top Lad Dakes.
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Laporte or Doherty please? Why?