Spot the Differential

Pogba and Alli differential United and Spurs options for Gameweek 31+ onwards

The return of the Premier League, and Fantasy Premier League, saw several intriguing mid-price differentials emerge with double-digit hauls, including Matt Ritchie (£5.3m), Allan Saint-Maximin (£5.4m), Stuart Armstrong (£5.2m) and one of our Gameweek 29 selections, Phil Foden (£5.1m).

Suddenly, there’s no shortage of low-owned picks to consider for those willing to think outside of the box.

This time, we focus on three assets who we like the look of for Gameweek 31+ and beyond, all of whom have an ownership of 5% or less.

Dele Alli

  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £8.3m
  • GW31+ to 35+ fixtures: WHU | shu | EVE | bou | ARS

Having missed Friday’s 1-1 draw with Manchester United through suspension, Dele Alli (£8.3m) is back for Tottenham Hotspur’s home clash with London rivals West Ham United.

The feeling amongst supporters is that he will replace Erik Lamela (£5.7m) in Spurs’ starting XI and will line up in his favoured no. 10 role, behind Harry Kane (£10.8m) in a 4-2-3-1.

Alli’s resurgence at the time of Jose Mourinho’s appointment in November saw him go on a run of four goals and three assists in seven league matches. In fact, no teammate has scored more goals (six) or provided more assists (four) for Spurs in the Premier League since, whilst his 12 big chances over that period is more than any other midfielder.

His ability to both create and score is appealing, and the hope is now that he can kick on and finish the season strongly.

Spurs sit nine points behind Chelsea in fourth, and four points behind Manchester United in fifth, which could be enough for Champions League qualification depending on Manchester City’s appeal against their impending ban.

Whilst many are looking to Son Heung-min (£9.7m) as their Spurs differential of choice this week, Alli is flying under the radar, and with nine goals in all competitions already this season, it surely won’t be long before he’s into double figures.

Paul Pogba

  • FPL ownership: 3.7%
  • Price: £8.3m
  • GW31+ to 35+ fixtures: SHU | bha | BOU | avl | SOU

At his best, there is no doubt that Paul Pogba (£8.3m) is one of the most talented midfielders in the world. The question for FPL managers is, how consistently can he show it?

The 27-year-old has endured a stop-start campaign due to a string of injuries but returned on Friday night with an eye-catching cameo. In just over half an hour at Spurs, he completely changed the course of the game and won the equalising penalty after some neat footwork. The stats were telling: 95% pass competition, two out of two take-ons completed, four ball recoveries, one assist and one shot.

Whilst debate rages about his inconsistencies and off-the-ball contributions, what no-one can doubt is his ability. Amongst midfielders who have played over 500 minutes this season, he ranks seventh for chances created per 90, and his passing and dribbling ability will be a key weapon for United when trying to unpick deeper-lying defences.

The Red Devils are now unbeaten in 12 games across all competitions, and with Bruno Fernandes (£8.7m) adding some much-needed creativity and invention further forward, they are starting to look good again.

We suspect we may see Pogba from the start against Sheffield United and, if he can repeat what he showed on Friday night going forward, he can be a key figure as United battle for a place in the top four.

James Justin

  • FPL ownership: 0.4%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW31+ to 35+ fixtures: BHA | eve | CRY | ars | bou

James Justin (£4.7m) has had to wait patiently for his opportunity since joining Leicester City for £6m plus add-ons last summer but with first-choice right-back Ricardo Pereira (£6.3m) out until October after rupturing his anterior cruciate ligament, the 22-year-old is set for a run in the first team.

In Saturday’s 1-1 draw at Watford, Justin provided an exciting glimpse of his potential. Amongst teammates, only James Maddison (£7.5m) had more final third touches, whilst he also created two chances and won seven of his eight tackles. It was a composed performance, in what was just his third Premier League start.

The young English full-back, who can play on either flank, is a forward-thinking, energetic and hard-working player, and whilst he doesn’t offer the same level of attacking threat as Pereira, his performance at the weekend suggests he should do well for bonus.

Leicester are now only three points clear of fourth-place Chelsea and while they still look odds-on to secure Champions League football, Brendan Rodgers has to make sure his side don’t take their foot off the gas during the run-in.

The Foxes are unbeaten in their previous five encounters when facing Brighton and Hove Albion and head into the match as heavy favourites.

Looking at Leicester’s next five opponents, the highest-ranked team is Crystal Palace in ninth, and with Justin now the cheapest route into their backline, he could be a nice differential for those in search of a budget defender.

Double Gameweek 30+ FPL Lessons Learned

915 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Ci Siamo
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Hi guys, do you think it is fairly safe to settle on this Free Hit team? Rate my team has it at 61.75 point prediction:

    DDG
    Boly - VVD - TAA
    Richarlison - Mane - Son - Sarr - Bruno
    Rashford - Jimmy

    Bench: Fodder but playing

    1. JBG
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Looks good.

  2. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    DCL and Richarlison overkill on a free hit?

    1. JBG
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Read a stat on twitter that Richarlison only has 2 goals against "weaker teams" this season, but it's Norwich so.. Should be ok.

  3. BIG TONES
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Cheeky punt on Son (c). Anyone with me?

  4. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    My ML rival doing TC on Vardy

  5. Wılly
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    xxx
    TAA Doherty xxx (Lascelles 3.9)
    Mane KDB Son Bruno xxx
    Jiminez DCL xxx

    A. Martinez, Rashford, Boly (Guendouzi)
    B. DDG, Martial, Holgate (Nketiah)

  6. Fpl-king
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Not seeing much Love for Auba

    I’m currently on my WildCard. Should I be looking to ship him out you think?

    1. gers23
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      im keeping. He has Saints and Norwich then he is gone.

  7. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Mmmm Pool mid or Sterling ? Razza could even play up front

    1. thegaffer82
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Pool mid, until I see the Sterling of old

    2. Pep Roulette
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Raz if you're chasing

  8. afsr
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    GTG or buy anyone for a hit? No WC, only Bench Boost left

    McCarthy
    TAA, Doherty, Holgate
    KdB, Salah, Bruno, Barnes
    Rashford, Jimenez, Jota

    Button, Saka, Williams, Alonso

    1. afsr
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Forgot to mention 3.7 ITB and 0 FT

    2. Mr. Funny Name
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Gtg

    3. Juza
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      jota > dcl

  9. pokern1nja09
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Salah or Mane for captain?

    1. Dele
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Salah

  10. thegaffer82
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    How's she looking? WC team all done... I think!

    ..............DDG - 3.9
    TAA - Saiss - Lascelles - Holgate - 3.9
    KDB - Mane - Bruno - Son - Saka
    ......Jimi(c) - DCL - Rashy

    0.2 ITB

    Thumbs up or thumbs down?

    1. JELLYFISH
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      V similar to mine so thumbs up from me

    2. yer old da
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Thumbs almost up, but held back by the lack of Doherty. Saiss doesn’t really cover him. I’m in the same boat and downgrading Son to Bergwijn to afford him.

    3. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      As good as any

  11. yer old da
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    A or B?

    A. DDG and Bergwijn
    B. Martinez and Alli

  12. manu4life99
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    GW31 only who scores more

    A) Schmeichel AWB Richie Mane DCL
    B) Dubravka Aurier Justin Son KDB

  13. smix
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    GTG on WC ?
    Chasing so wanted a couple of differentials in there. Also, no KDB in squad for next couple of games

    DDG
    TAA Doherty Ritchie
    Mane Richarlison(c) Fernandes Son Traore
    DCL Jimenez
    3.9 Holgate Nketiah CTaylo

  14. Gowiththeflow
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Too much heavy fire in the midfield??

    FH Team

    Martinez
    TAA / Doherty / Aurier
    Salah / Bruno / Pogba / KdB / Son
    Vardy / Jimenez

    Thoughts? Thank you!!

    1. Mr. Funny Name
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Not at all, good team

      1. Gowiththeflow
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks!!

    2. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Looks good. Aurier a better option than AWB?

      1. Gowiththeflow
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Maybe not but i'm trying to balance the team. Don't want triple UTD... but on the other hand not plenty confident on Spurs. Thanks!

    3. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Downgrade Aurier and upgrade that shocking goalkeeper.

      1. Gowiththeflow
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        "shocking keeper" is a nice definition 🙂

        Maybe you're right but it's not an easy downgrade on that price range...

        Thanks!!

    4. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      martinez not a good option on FH
      otherwise i'd go pogba to richarlison

  15. Big Ronnie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Justin or Saiss?

    DCL or Sarr?

    1. thepuntmaster
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Saiss and DCL

  16. iL PiStOlErO
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    So Burnley gets trashed yesterday and suddenly many people thinks Martinez is better choice then Pope. Its a trap guys. Burnley will be solid, they have good schedule. And Ars is just a mess.

    1. Fit_to_drop
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Neither of them is a good choice IMO. With Patricio, Dubravka, Foster,Guiata available Im not sure why people would pick any of the two of them.

      1. iL PiStOlErO
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        If Burnley knows something then thats defending and they play against weaker teams now. Yesterday was their first game after the break so ok it didnt looked good but it wont be the case in next few game weeks.

    2. Make Arrows Green Again
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Agreed. Leno was only a decent pick because of all the saves. That Arsenal defence is a mess, especially with those injuries. Until we know that Martinez is a save machine, I won't be touching him.

    3. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Currently on a Nyland/Martinez combo. With 102 TV something has to give so whatever I pick up in saves will have to do.

      1. iL PiStOlErO
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Thats because of your situation so I understand but who can tell yes, maybe he turns up to be a save machine, they will both certainly have a lot of job in every game.

        1. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          I'm more worried about Arsenal replacing him really. May well get Ederson in on 2FTs in a few weeks anyway.

  17. Mr. Funny Name
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    On WC;

    A) Aubameyang, Kabasele & Martinez
    Or
    B) Rashford, Maguire/Ritchie & Pope

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B

    2. thepuntmaster
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B

    3. Werner Bremen
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B. Not Auba again please

  18. Emah3
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Maguire (3rd defender) and Guendozi (5th midfielder) or Lascelles and Saka?

    0 ITB, 4th and 5th def are Kiko and Simpson.

  19. Ruinenlust
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Will Guendouzi be banned?

    1. JBG
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      No

    2. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      At the end no. He is ok.

    3. FPL Pillars
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      No it’s confirmed that he will not face any action

    4. Mr. Funny Name
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      No retrospective action

  20. Muller Reus Corner
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Best replacements for Grealish and Aguero for GW32+ and beyond?

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Bruno and Jimenez

      1. Muller Reus Corner
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Already got them, anyone else?

        1. iL PiStOlErO
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Sonny and Rash

        2. JBG
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Martial and Ings.

          1. Muller Reus Corner
            • 3 Years
            3 years, 9 months ago

            Thanks. Is going triple united attack a good move? I already have Bruno and Rashy.

  21. Atimis
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Thoughts on this WC team?
    Maybe KDB over Mahrez? Mane over Salah?

    DDG/Martin
    TAA/Doherty/Saiss/Holgate/Lascelles
    Salah/Son/Mahrez/BrunoF/Foden
    Rash/Jim/Ings

  22. Wakanda
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    is KDB still an essential ?

    1. FPL Pillars
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Highest at FPL scorer. If he’s on the pitch he’s essential.

      Pep only knows that 😆

      But I would still have him yeah

    2. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Yes but I'm playing without him one gw.

    3. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Yes

  23. pranavs9
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    can Liverpool players be avoided all together? Palace is defensively sound and the game after is City. Once they have won the league they will rotate heavily. Worth picking players for 1-2 gameweeks especially with tight fixtures?

    1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I’m thinking of selling Salah, only having TAA bad maybe get VVD in

    2. thepuntmaster
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      This is my dilemma at the moment. Was sure having one was a must for the Palace game if a win meant winning the title, not so sure now

    3. pranavs9
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      thanks all

    4. Easy Cheesy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      But villa after. I’m going to take changes and then assess after gw33. Either could score big in two out of the next three imho

  24. thepuntmaster
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Good morning all! Any thoughts on this side for next gameweek?

    DDG (SHU)
    TAA (CRY) - Saiss (BOU) - Lascelles (AVL)
    Sterling (che) - KDB (che) - Maddison (bha) - Grealish (new)
    Jimi (BOU) - Rashy (SHU) - DCL (nor)

    Nyland - Lundysram - Cantwell - Egan

    Was thinking of getting Salah in for Grealish this week ahead of a potential haul against Palace but now second guessing that....

    A) Sterling > Salah (-4)
    B) Maddi > Fernandes (-4)
    C) Saiss > Doherty (-4)
    D) Nothing

    Will be making B and C next week if I don't this week I imagine

    1. Mr. Funny Name
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Hold and go as planned next week

  25. Tempestic
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    I made my first wildcard about a week ago and now it looks template. I'm trying my best to find other ways around it and trying to make sure I have differentials to back but its proving difficult, struggling to see past it atm.

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Cause template is always template for a reason. I am also trying to find some nice differentials but just dont feel good about the way the team is looking then. If you find something good let me know...

      1. Tempestic
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Yeh its tough isnt it. I can do as much tinkering as I want but i always just end up back at the template

        1. iL PiStOlErO
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          I feel ya. Same here. Also my TV is not that good but enough to have 90% of template.

    2. Rover
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Sometimes it's about making one key decision to break the template. And that will allow you to look elsewhere for differentials. For example, no Aguero/Auba for GW30+ (then go triple City mid), or no Pool for GW31+ (then go double United, double Spurs in attack)

  26. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Vardy or Rashford on a FH?

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Yes

    2. Totti
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      rash

    3. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Sorry meant Rash, haha.

  27. Pep Roulette
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    No Rockstar today

    1. FPL Pillars
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      We have to settle for inaccurate leaks then

      1. Pep Roulette
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Yeah. Maybe Sam Martin could help!

  28. GloryBXI
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Money no issue and have Bruno as united attacking coverage. Who would you rather?

    A) Rashford
    B) Vardy

    1. thepuntmaster
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B if you have Fernandes

    2. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B, spread the risk

    3. JELLYFISH
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      C) Jesus?

  29. barton fc
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Best option for fh?

    A) bergjwin + lascelles
    B) DCL + soyuncu

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

  30. Dele
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Worth losing KDB for the next 2 fixtures?

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      No