Spot the Differential

Pogba and Alli differential United and Spurs options for Gameweek 31+ onwards

The return of the Premier League, and Fantasy Premier League, saw several intriguing mid-price differentials emerge with double-digit hauls, including Matt Ritchie (£5.3m), Allan Saint-Maximin (£5.4m), Stuart Armstrong (£5.2m) and one of our Gameweek 29 selections, Phil Foden (£5.1m).

Suddenly, there’s no shortage of low-owned picks to consider for those willing to think outside of the box.

This time, we focus on three assets who we like the look of for Gameweek 31+ and beyond, all of whom have an ownership of 5% or less.

Dele Alli

  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £8.3m
  • GW31+ to 35+ fixtures: WHU | shu | EVE | bou | ARS

Having missed Friday’s 1-1 draw with Manchester United through suspension, Dele Alli (£8.3m) is back for Tottenham Hotspur’s home clash with London rivals West Ham United.

The feeling amongst supporters is that he will replace Erik Lamela (£5.7m) in Spurs’ starting XI and will line up in his favoured no. 10 role, behind Harry Kane (£10.8m) in a 4-2-3-1.

Alli’s resurgence at the time of Jose Mourinho’s appointment in November saw him go on a run of four goals and three assists in seven league matches. In fact, no teammate has scored more goals (six) or provided more assists (four) for Spurs in the Premier League since, whilst his 12 big chances over that period is more than any other midfielder.

His ability to both create and score is appealing, and the hope is now that he can kick on and finish the season strongly.

Spurs sit nine points behind Chelsea in fourth, and four points behind Manchester United in fifth, which could be enough for Champions League qualification depending on Manchester City’s appeal against their impending ban.

Whilst many are looking to Son Heung-min (£9.7m) as their Spurs differential of choice this week, Alli is flying under the radar, and with nine goals in all competitions already this season, it surely won’t be long before he’s into double figures.

Paul Pogba

  • FPL ownership: 3.7%
  • Price: £8.3m
  • GW31+ to 35+ fixtures: SHU | bha | BOU | avl | SOU

At his best, there is no doubt that Paul Pogba (£8.3m) is one of the most talented midfielders in the world. The question for FPL managers is, how consistently can he show it?

The 27-year-old has endured a stop-start campaign due to a string of injuries but returned on Friday night with an eye-catching cameo. In just over half an hour at Spurs, he completely changed the course of the game and won the equalising penalty after some neat footwork. The stats were telling: 95% pass competition, two out of two take-ons completed, four ball recoveries, one assist and one shot.

Whilst debate rages about his inconsistencies and off-the-ball contributions, what no-one can doubt is his ability. Amongst midfielders who have played over 500 minutes this season, he ranks seventh for chances created per 90, and his passing and dribbling ability will be a key weapon for United when trying to unpick deeper-lying defences.

The Red Devils are now unbeaten in 12 games across all competitions, and with Bruno Fernandes (£8.7m) adding some much-needed creativity and invention further forward, they are starting to look good again.

We suspect we may see Pogba from the start against Sheffield United and, if he can repeat what he showed on Friday night going forward, he can be a key figure as United battle for a place in the top four.

James Justin

  • FPL ownership: 0.4%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW31+ to 35+ fixtures: BHA | eve | CRY | ars | bou

James Justin (£4.7m) has had to wait patiently for his opportunity since joining Leicester City for £6m plus add-ons last summer but with first-choice right-back Ricardo Pereira (£6.3m) out until October after rupturing his anterior cruciate ligament, the 22-year-old is set for a run in the first team.

In Saturday’s 1-1 draw at Watford, Justin provided an exciting glimpse of his potential. Amongst teammates, only James Maddison (£7.5m) had more final third touches, whilst he also created two chances and won seven of his eight tackles. It was a composed performance, in what was just his third Premier League start.

The young English full-back, who can play on either flank, is a forward-thinking, energetic and hard-working player, and whilst he doesn’t offer the same level of attacking threat as Pereira, his performance at the weekend suggests he should do well for bonus.

Leicester are now only three points clear of fourth-place Chelsea and while they still look odds-on to secure Champions League football, Brendan Rodgers has to make sure his side don’t take their foot off the gas during the run-in.

The Foxes are unbeaten in their previous five encounters when facing Brighton and Hove Albion and head into the match as heavy favourites.

Looking at Leicester’s next five opponents, the highest-ranked team is Crystal Palace in ninth, and with Justin now the cheapest route into their backline, he could be a nice differential for those in search of a budget defender.

Double Gameweek 30+ FPL Lessons Learned

915 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Jönny
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    @HENNING5 / JASON_NI / SOTO AYAM – Thanks for the replies on the below post... got distracted so didn't get to reply!

    Consensus seems to be I'm missing Bruno, which I was a bit worried about. But just fancy the differential potential of Alli/Rich this week. Am trying to claw my way up some mini-leagues. (Foden helped this week!)

    JÖNNY11 Years23rd Jun 2020 11:00
    Free-hitting this week... how does this look?

    Pope
    TAA, Doherty, Digne
    Mane, Richarlison, Alli, Son
    Jimenez, Rashford, DCL

    Nothing on the bench or in the bank.

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Don’t like the Alli or Pope picks. Rest are great

      1. Jönny
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        R.E. Pope – not even just for this week? Could be persuaded to another keeper just for this week (at his price or cheaper!)

        Alli I am set on: looking for some risky, high potential midfielders for one week only..

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Kasper?

        2. Andy_Social
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Burnley seem to be in a bit of bother with contracts and injuries. I'd steer clear myself. If the money's there, Patricio or Dubravka seem to be in much better shape. Not that keen on Alli either, or triple Toffees, but maybe that's just me.

    2. thegaffer82
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I'd move heaven and earth to get Bruno personally.

      I'd prefer him to all of your other MFers - even Mane, as I think Pool will rotate more after they've sewn up the league.

      1. Jönny
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        This is just for a Free Hit this week. I do want Bruno ultimately...plan to bring him in next week.

        I do realise it's a risk going without this week though - his goal contribution is ridiculous.

  2. lordkippe
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    A : Doherty & Alli
    B : Saiss & Son

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Ouch. B? Very tough one that mate

    2. Hect.OR 98th
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      same dilemma, consensus from good folk earlier was B

    3. Cesc Pistols
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I'm doing Doherty and Bergwijn due to the former's attacking threat. Wolves' fixtures are too nice to ignore -- especially when Spurs haven't been convincing.

    4. Saïss Doesn't Mat…
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      oooh that's tufff.... probably b

  3. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Best option?

    A) Pope, Aurier, Kiko, Mane, Son, Guendouzi

    B) Patricio, Maguire, Holgate, Salah, Alli, Saka

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B is better in every option except Son

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        I know, it’s to Alli or to Son... feel that the difference between them might not be that big.

        Alli: 8 goals, 6 asssts
        Son: 9 goals, 9 assists, but played forward some games in Kane’s absence

        1. x.jim.x
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          I'm in the same boat - could do with the money saved from having Alli, but Son is a captain option. Alli won't be on pens anymore either.

          1. RamaJama
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            3 years, 10 months ago

            Agree in pens and captain. But also have Jimmy, Rashford, kdb, Salah and Bruno to captain

    2. Jönny
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      For this week, or for long term? Are you needing to play all of them?

      I think there are holes in both... but on balance I'd go B.

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers, long term.

        Saka and Holgate will be rotated.

        1. Jönny
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Not sure about that rotation over the next 5... consider a Newcastle defender instead of Holgate?

          1. RamaJama
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            3 years, 10 months ago

            Have Lascelles too in the rotation

  4. Mortal.Swinbat
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Would you do

    Aguero, Grealish & Lundstrum
    For
    DCL, Son & Doherty

    -8?

    Or just 2 of the above for a -4

    Team is

    Nyland
    TAA, Lascelles, Saiss
    Salah, KDB, Bruno, Grealish
    Jiminez, Aguero, Ayew

    Leno, Lundstrum, Egan, Duda

    (Yeah I have injuries and non starters all over the place, took some DGW risks)

    Or I could FH?

  5. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Best keeper?

    A. Martinez+0.3m
    B. McCarthy

    TAA • Doherty • Lascelles
    Salah • Son • KDB • Bruno
    Jimenez • Rashford • DCL
    (3.9, Holgate, Kiko, Guendouzi)

    1. Totti
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      how soon will leno comeback from injury?

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Good question, perhaps someone else knows this also?

    2. Cesc Pistols
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Martinez is tempting due to the price, but Arsenal won't get you cleanies, I'm afraid.

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Stick with Mc?

    3. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Pope

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Not possible and I don’t like the look of him now. Would go Foster or Dubravka/Patricio if I had more money

        1. iL PiStOlErO
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Then ok but I still think people are too harsh on Pope. It was first game after the break and it was City. He will come good in next few gw. Then just dont go Martinez. McCarthy then better. GL mate.

          1. RAFA THE GAFFA
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 10 months ago

            Possibly mate. Think for the price I’d go foster but then pope at 4.9 could be nice. GL to you too 🙂

  6. QUEN
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Jimenez or rashford

    My ML rival has Jimenez not rashford so currently on rashford as I have fair ground to catch up with

    Own Doherty and Bruno

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      What’s the gap? I’d play your own game and catch him on other differentials or captain if it’s not huge

      1. QUEN
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        It’s large Like 100 points they must be top 1k in the world I’m top 100k

      2. Jönny
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        This. Always worth remembering that differentials work in both directions!

        1. nico05
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Something I tend to forget ha ha

    2. thegaffer82
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Rashy looked rusty as fook in the first game.

      I'm having him on my WC, but he's not even in the running for captaincy.

      Jimi(c) & Bruno(v) for me. Might swap them around before deadline though

    3. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Go Rashford as differential. Not much in it tbh

  7. Cesc Pistols
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Too crazy to go without a Pool defender on WC?

    A) Patricio, Doherty and AWB
    B) Martinez, VVD and Doherty
    C) Alisson, Doherty, Saiss

    Current team:

    Patricio, Button
    Doherty, AWB, Lascelles, Holgate, 4.3
    Mane, KDB, Bruno, Bergwijn, Cantwell
    Rash, Jimenez, DCL

    1. Benditlike
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B

      1. Cesc Pistols
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks!

  8. Benditlike
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Which option?

    A) Doherty, Bergwjin/Alli
    B) Saiss, Son

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A

    2. Cesc Pistols
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A with Berg.

  9. nico05
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Would it be madness to take a punt on Pogba instead of Fernanades?

    A. Justin + Nketiah
    B. Holgate + Long?

    Thank you in advance

    1. thegaffer82
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      There's no way to sugar coat this - yes, it's madness.

      Bruno is something else.

      1. nico05
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Thank you for being honest. May I ask which option below looks better to you on w/c

    2. JabariParkersEyelid
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A.

      1. nico05
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks

  10. dezille
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    What's the general consensous on Pope after Burnley's trashing? Do they have anything to play for to warrant getting Pope?

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Some decent fixtures, city can take most teams apart

      1. iL PiStOlErO
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        This

    2. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Have him in my wc and planning to keep. One game doesnt change anything. He has good fixtures coming up, Burnley is solid and he is proven fpl value. Certainly wouldn't go for Martinez. That ars defence is horrible.

  11. JELLYFISH
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    which is better?

    a) Guendouzi, Vardy, Martin (have DDG as primary GK)
    b) Saka, Rash, McCarthy

    1. thegaffer82
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A) probably, as I like the Vardy pick

      1. JELLYFISH
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        thanks, I am leaning that way with Bruno for MU cover

    2. Totti
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A

  12. Shankly611
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    A) Rashford, Guendouzi, Ngakia, Button
    or
    B) Ings, Cantwell, Aurier, Martinez

    A gives me more firepower but B a stronger bench. This is my team as of now:

    Pope Button
    TAA Doherty Lascelles Femenia Ngakia
    Mane KDB Son Fernandes Guendouzi
    Rashford Jimenez DCL

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B

  13. Totti
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    who to have on wildcard?

    A) pope fernandez(newcastle) kiko femenia

    B) dubravka saiss ngakia

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A

      1. Totti
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        why?
        do u mind to clarify?

    2. Totti
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      option B) already owning doherty will double up wolves defenders

    3. Shankly611
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A looks better imo. Especially if you have Doherty

    4. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A much better combo with good fixtures

  14. thegaffer82
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    The team looks absolutely spot on for this week after WC (...as it should)

    Probably won't break 25 points now...

    That's always the way it seems to go in this game.

    1. slove
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Always have to give a WC a few weeks before judging it since you're not bringing the players in for just one week, but yes the first week of a WC always appears to be its worst performance

  15. Tsparkes10
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Tempted to go without mane or salah on the wc... will wait to see what klopp says but what do we think?

    1. soup natsi
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I'm doing the same, rotation threat too high for me to commit and captain regularly

    2. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Risky business imo

    3. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Dont go that road. Not yet.

  16. Slim25
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Wc team currently.

    Foster (Button)
    TAA, Doherty, Ritchie (Aurier, Ngakia)
    Bruno, Mane, Son, Rich, Martial
    DCL, Jimi (Nketiah)

    From the following what would you do?
    A: Swap Rich & Martial for KDB & Traore
    B: Keep this team for the next two weeks and then swap Rich & Martial

    Cheers

    1. Visionaries
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B
      I'd keep

      1. Slim25
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers mate!

        Now it's just a coin flip on Foster or Pope

    2. Totti
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B

      1. Slim25
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers mate!

  17. slove
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Mount/McNeil and Robinson (SHU) or Traore and Femenia?

    1. Totti
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B

  18. Visionaries
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Best team/balance please?

    DDG
    Doh TAA, Lascelles, (Holgate)
    KDB, Bruno, Son, ???, ???
    Jimi, DCL, ???

    A Mahrez, (GDouzi), Rash 343
    B Martial, (GDouzi), Jesus 343
    C Martial, Richa, (Ayew) 352

    1. JabariParkersEyelid
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I like C.

  19. Bubz
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    How secure is Holgate's starting place?

    1. Visionaries
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      He's been starting every week for Ancelotti
      Whether due to injuries, I don't know

    2. lilmessipran
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      nailed on imo

  20. Andre_The_Giant
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Help needed! Have DCL

    A) Son & Ings

    Or

    B) Richarlison & Rash

    1. JabariParkersEyelid
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B

    2. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B

  21. juicewagz
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    My starting defence for this GW:

    Dubravka.

    AWB, Saiss, Boly, Aurier

    Do I try and squeeze Leicester cover in there? Soyuncu or Justin instead of Boly?

  22. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Can’t nail down the Gk and final midfield spot

    A: Pope + Aurier + Berg — Kiko/Kilman Bench

    B: Pope + Maguire + Sarr — Kiko/Holgate bench

    C: Ddg + Aurier + Sarr — Kiko/Holgate Bench

    D: Pope + Maguire + Mount — Aurier/Kilman Bench

  23. Shankly611
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    How do you feel about a Jimenez-Jota double up? I'm deciding between Jota, Ings and Rashford. Rash is probably the best option but he completely weakens my bench and I think that the bench could be important as there will be a lot of rotation in the upcoming gameweeks.

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Go Rash!

  24. FplBerg
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    My final FH decision...

    A) Patricio/DDG, Holgate,
    B) Dubravka, Aurier,

    ___
    TAA, Doherty, ___
    KdB, Mane, Bruno, Martial, Richarlison
    Jiminez, DCL

  25. How I met your Mata
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    A or B

    A Richie and Robinson
    B Soy and Lacelles

    1. Shankly611
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A

  26. Kenny Dogleash
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Looking at the table I think the following teams are on the beach. Thoughts?

    Everton
    Newcastle
    Saints
    Arsenal
    Palace
    Burnley
    ....and maybe even Spurs

    1. FplBerg
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I think all except maybe Southampton are still pushing for European qualification.

  27. Bobby_Baggio
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Who is the next best defender to have at Wolves after Doherty?

    1. Totti
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Saiss
      Boly

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        cheers - Would you put Patricio ahead of them two?

        1. Totti
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          yes i will

  28. Sloane426
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Salah or Mane on WC?
    Klopps comments make me think Mane will be rested and Salah starting.

    1. How I met your Mata
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      what was Klopp comments?

    2. Totti
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      last decision on wildcard

      A) degea lascelles mane
      B) pope fernandez salah

      1. Totti
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        oopps sorry mate was writing this

        what klopp said?

    3. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      The egyptian king

  29. juicewagz
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Double up on Wolves defence this week?

    Saiss, Doherty, VVD, AWB, Holgate

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Yes

  30. iL PiStOlErO
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Choose cpt:

    A) Jimmy
    B) Rash
    C) Sonny
    D) Mo

    1. Totti
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Moe