Spot the Differential

Jesus a tempting differential for Manchester City’s post-Gameweek 32+ fixture swing

Once again differentials had a lot of success in Gameweek 31+.

The likes of Eddie Nketiah (£4.4m), Christian Pulisic (£6.9m), Matt Ritchie (£5.3m) and one of last week’s selections, James Justin (£4.7m), all delivered for their owners, suggesting there is still value to be found.

This time, we focus on three low-owned picks, all of whom have an ownership of 5% or less, who we like the look of for Gameweek 32+ and beyond.

Jarrod Bowen

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW32+ – 36+ fixtures: CHE | new | BUR | nor | WAT

Jarrod Bowen (£6.4m) has enjoyed a promising start to life at West Ham United.

Having arrived at the London Stadium in January from Hull City, where he registered 16 and six assists goals in 29 Championship appearances this season, Bowen does not look out of place in the Premier League.

He’s now started four back-to-back matches for the Hammers, scoring his first goal on his first start against Southampton in Gameweek 28, and went close on Tuesday against Tottenham Hotspur, with one effort blocked and another rattling the post.

Following a second consecutive defeat, David Moyes’ side remain precariously above the relegation zone on goal difference alone.

However, until they were forced to chase the game at Spurs, they were well drilled and limited their opponents to just a few chances, and the return of Sébastien Haller (£6.8m) from a hip problem could give them a sharper edge going forward.

Despite a tricky tie against Chelsea on Wednesday, the Blues will have played twice since the Hammers last played a game, and the real appeal lies in Bowen’s fixtures to follow, which includes promising home matches against Burnley, Watford and Aston Villa.

With a crucial run of games coming up, 23-year-old Bowen can make a real impact, and could be a bargain at just £6.4m.

Gabriel Jesus

  • FPL ownership: 3.8%
  • Price: £9.6m
  • GW32+ – 36+ fixtures: LIV | sou | NEW | bha | BOU

With Sergio Agüero (£11.7m) facing a lengthy spell on the sidelines, Gabriel Jesus (£9.6m) looks set to profit, which hands FPL managers an intriguing, and potentially explosive differential for the run-in.

Ahead of last night’s match against Chelsea, Pep Guardiola revealed the Brazilian forward was carrying a knock which prevented him from starting, but having appeared from the bench in the second half, he should be fit and raring to go when Liverpool visit on Thursday.

This campaign has felt a lot like previous ones for Jesus – almost half of his appearances have come from the bench, yet he has still racked up 18 goals in all competitions, and has the second highest xG per 90 of players who have registered 200+ minutes. Whilst it can be difficult to draw strong conclusions from that data (he doesn’t start as many of the big games as others), it does demonstrate his ability to get into good shooting positions.

Like Bowen, this is a move with fixtures from Gameweek 33+ in mind, when the highest ranked team Manchester City will face is Newcastle United in 13th.

Jesus has never been able to hold down a spot in the City starting XI due to the brilliance of Agüero, but now has seven Premier League matches to impress, and although it’s unlikely Guardiola will start him in every game until the end of the season, he will certainly get more chances, and could be an ideal gamble for those willing to roll the dice.

Abdoulaye Doucouré

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £5.6m
  • GW32+ – 36+ fixtures: SOU | che | NOR | NEW | whu

27-year-old midfielder Abdoulaye Doucouré (£5.6m) joined Watford from Rennes in 2016 and has been one of their most consistent performers since.

Whilst he’s been coached by five different managers during that time, some of his best performances have arrived this season when playing in a more advanced midfield role. Manager Nigel Pearson pushed the Frenchman further up the pitch in his first match in charge, and he’s largely stayed there, registering three goals and three assists.

Doucouré was close adding to his tally in Gameweek 30+ against Leicester City, when he missed a great opportunity to open the scoring, and despite dropping to the bench last night, the feeling amongst supporters is that it was purely for rotation purposes, bearing in mind it was Watford’s second game in five days.

Watford need a reaction against Southampton on Sunday and will want to be safe by Gameweek 37+ when they face a Manchester City side who have beaten them 6-0 and 8-0 in their previous two encounters.

You get the feeling the Hornets’ season will be defined by their next three home matches, which sees them take on Norwich City and Newcastle United after the Saints.

The task of avoiding relegation won’t be easy for Watford but they have enough quality to survive and, whilst many FPL managers will turn to Ismaïla Sarr (£6.3m), Doucouré is an interesting, cheaper alternative who has the ability to thrive.

FPL Lessons Learned from Gameweek 31+

612 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Buck The Trent
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Is he nailed on?

    1. Pep Roulette
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      No. I think Sterling is a better pick if you're looking for a differential!

    2. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      No. Would rather have Mahrez.

    3. antis0cial
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Far from it.

    4. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      To be fair, I did write that it was unlikely he'd start every game till the end of the season, and whilst I like Sterling + Mahrez a lot, their ownership numbers (16.3% and 9.8%) prevent me from including them in Spot the Differential.

      Also think Foden can do well, but I included him in GW29!

      1. The Ejiptian King
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Posted about both Jesus and Bowen recently, thanks for making me feel less crazy about considering the latter especially. I think if they do stay up then he's gonna have to be the one scoring the goals.

  2. Pep Roulette
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    FH team. Thoughts?

    Martinez
    Doherty Alonso Aurier
    Salah KDB Son Martial
    Auba(c) Jiminez Nketiah

    XX Lamptey Robinson XX

    1. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Good. Would captain Jimi myself.

      1. Pep Roulette
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Yes, he is a great option! But I think Auba is due now!

    2. Oscar Slater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Personally, I'm avoiding the Liverpool/Manchester City game as I think it will now be a little flat and so I'm avoiding the likes of KDB & Salah. Pepe's not in their class but if he played Norwich at home every week he'd cost 12m!

      1. Pep Roulette
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        I'm also avoiding City & Pool players. But can't risk to go without Salah & KDB. Highest scoring players of highest scoring teams! Not doubling up on their attack or defence though for this week.

    3. waltzingmatildas
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Like it. Worried about Son's positioning?

      1. Pep Roulette
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        It was worrying. But I feel he'll pop up with a goal or assist as he always does.

  3. manu4life99
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Help appreciated on improving this WC team!

    Martinez
    TAA Aurier Doherty AWB
    Sarah KDB Martial Pulisic
    Rash Jimi

    Ederson,Lasc,Nketiah,Foden

    1. Motty FPL
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Nice team. Do you have BB left? If not then bench is fine, if you do then bench looks thin, not likely starters

    2. Motty FPL
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      would also add bench may come in useful when city and pool rotate regardless of bb

  4. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Wouldn't touch him with a barge pole.

  5. Cruz88
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Can't decide who to bench:

    A) DCL (leicester defence is the best away from home over the last six)
    B) Traore (might not start, but against villa if he does. Not as prolific away from home)
    C) Sarr (better at home, watford fighting relegation but haven't been great recently)

    1. Nightcrawler
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Traore easily

    2. waltzingmatildas
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Hmm, I'd lean towards A

    3. Pinturicchio10
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Traore for me. Never liked him as a fantasy player to be honest.

        1. Nightcrawler
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Yes hes not capable of hauls like the other two

      • D.Glynn
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        I currently have DCL on my bench. B see below

      • antis0cial
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        A

      • yosim
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        going A myself

    4. Tomskipow
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Mane to Martial now that Liverpool are on the beach???

      1. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Doesn't sound like Pool are letting off. They also have nothing else to play for so can go for PL records.

        1. Nightcrawler
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Exactly this whol post title beach pool is such nonsense if anythibg theyll play with no handbrakes now

          1. Well you know, Triffic
            • 13 Years
            3 years, 9 months ago

            Don;t think it's nonsense.

            With next season around the corner they can have a huge advantage over City, Chelsea and United by giving their key players a prolonged rest. Whilst the aforementioned clubs will need to play their full strength teams in the league and champions league.

            Also allows Klopp to use the youngsters and squad players.

            I'm not saying we won't see Salah and Mane again, rather we may see them sparingly e.g. 1 game a week.

      2. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Too soon to decide on LIV assets

    5. waltzingmatildas
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      GTG?
      Henderson
      TAA Doherty AWB
      KDB Son Bruno Martial Mount
      Jimenez Nketiah
      (Leno DCL Lund Egan)

      Captain tbc!

      Next week thinking Mount - Mahrez

      1. g40steve
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Only Trent with S&M chasing golden boot?

        1. waltzingmatildas
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Made a call couple of weeks ago - think there may be rotation. But it is a risk I'm not sure on!
          Would be quite easy - Son and Leno to Salah and Martinez.
          Will see how Son does this week, if he is still out wide, then easy choice

    6. pablo discobar
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      GK Foster
      DEF TAA, Maguire, Doherty 
      MID Salah, KDB, Son, Fernandes
      FWD Rash, Jimmy, DCL

      Subs Pope, Holgate, Jorghinio, Lascalles

      DCL to Niketeh and Jorghinio to Pulisic?

      Cheers

      1. D.Glynn
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        I like three sound of those moves

    7. MYNAMEISBigtopmark.sman
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Null and void?

      Now you are going to believe...

      YNWA

      1. Nightcrawler
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        I dont think pool fans have to stoop down to mocking trolls

        1. MYNAMEISBigtopmark.sman
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Celebrating my man and long may it last!!!!

    8. Neo-Viper
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Bruno to Martial

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Find another way to get Martial if you want him. Too sideways and what do you do if/when Bruno outscores Martial one week?

      2. antis0cial
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        No

      3. g40steve
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Sideways, if Bruno scores heavily movement will be opposite direction

      4. Tomskipow
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        I’m going with both. Just brought Martial in. I wouldn’t take Bruno out..

      5. Neo-Viper
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers guys for clearing my mind!!

    9. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Good morning. Any thoughts on what are the best GWs to play TC chip......currently looking at GW 33 on Salah v Villa but LFC have now won the title..........however this will be the first game back at Anfield as champions ??? any other week other than the last GW.

    10. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Think that Son could score big this week and I don’t have him

      1. g40steve
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Same, cannot have them all!

    11. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      On BB. GTG?

      Pope
      TAA Saiss Boly
      Salah KDB Fernandes Saka
      Auba DCL Jimi(C)

      Martinez Cathcart Sarr C.Taylor

    12. D.Glynn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Looking for advice on who to bench.

      Who's joining Robinson, pick 2.
      A) Sarr
      B) DCL
      C) Lascelles
      D) Ayew

      Thanks

      1. antis0cial
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        CD

        1. RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          This

    13. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      With the FA Cup, forget BB?

      Best C?

      Pope,
      Trent, Doherty C, Aurier, Boly
      Salah, KDB, Fernandes,
      Jimmy, Rashford, Vardy

      McCarthy, Barnes, Sarr, Taylor

      .2 itb

      1. BNMC
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        I'm on Rashford at the moment.

        1. g40steve
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Switching between Doherty, Rashford & Salah.
          Got burned by Bruno 🙁

    14. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Stephens+Fleck to AWB+Martial for -4?

      1. Neo-Viper
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Do it

      2. james 101
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        I’m personally focusing on pure attacking assets for Man U

        But still, those are nice moves mate

    15. Tomskipow
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I’m going with both. Just brought Martial in. I wouldn’t take Bruno out.

      1. Neo-Viper
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Already Tripled up. Awb and Rashy.

        so it has to be Bruno. Not worth?

        1. Tomskipow
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Sounds like you’ve got it well covered with what you’ve got. I’d stick.

    16. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      How does this look? Cost me -12. Sitting at 223k so might as well go balls to the walls now.

      Patricio
      TAA Aurier Doherty Alonso
      Salah(c) Martial Mane Son Pulisic
      Rashford

      Button Nketiah Connolly Robinson

      Can't believe I still managed to have a playable bench...

      1. Pinturicchio10
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Looks good but starting from such a huge deficit I struggle to see a green arrow this week unfortunately.

          1. FOO FIGHTER
            • 4 Years
            3 years, 9 months ago

            Maybe, maybe not.

          2. Party time
              3 years, 9 months ago

              🙂

        • BNMC
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Anyone else feeling that Spurs will struggle against Sheffield? It will be a pretty drab low-scoring game, that's for sure.

          1. JELLYFISH
            • 11 Years
            3 years, 9 months ago

            I think the opposite

          2. FOO FIGHTER
            • 4 Years
            3 years, 9 months ago

            SHU are struggling. Reckon a Spurs win on the cards.

            1. BNMC
              • 4 Years
              3 years, 9 months ago

              Part of me feels like they will be tougher to beat with Egan and potentially O'Connell back.

          3. Well you know, Triffic
            • 13 Years
            3 years, 9 months ago

            Spurs will have had a longer rest.

          4. waltzingmatildas
            • 13 Years
            3 years, 9 months ago

            Possibly, Sheff have Henderson and Egan, and poss O'Connell back?
            Don't think it'll be an easy game

        • antis0cial
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          0ft 1.9 itb, good to go?

          Pope
          TAA AWB Boly
          Salah KDB Son Bruno
          Rash Jime(c) Nketiah

          Traore Lascelles Stevens

          1. Cojones of Destiny
            • 6 Years
            3 years, 9 months ago

            Nketiah wont score every game so id go with new def but overall looks gtg

            1. antis0cial
              • 7 Years
              3 years, 9 months ago

              True, but they are playing the 2nd worst defence in the league this week

        • df34
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Anyone know why H to H leagues haven’t updated yet ? Cheers.

          1. Party time
              3 years, 9 months ago

              Mine was decided by virtual coin toss...Shame!

              1. BNMC
                • 4 Years
                3 years, 9 months ago

                I was second place in mine, 1 point behind the leader - but the leader took a hit over the lockdown and lost a game which allowed me to overtake him on total score. Crazy.

                1. Party time
                    3 years, 9 months ago

                    I was 2nd place in mine with the most wins and 1 point behind. After the toss, I remained 2nd. Wish it didn’t end that way

            • whof arted
              • 3 Years
              3 years, 9 months ago

              Reckon Mahrez is the best Citeh pick for the run in

              1. g40steve
                • 6 Years
                3 years, 9 months ago

                Who would of ever thought that?

                1. whof arted
                  • 3 Years
                  3 years, 9 months ago

                  Not AVFC82 by the looks...

                  1. avfc82
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • Has Moderation Rights
                    • 14 Years
                    3 years, 9 months ago

                    Mahrez is a fantastic option, but not possible for Spot the Differential with an ownership of 9.8%, unfortunately.

              2. FOO FIGHTER
                • 4 Years
                3 years, 9 months ago

                Pretty much but is he going to start vs LFC? That is the issue...

                1. whof arted
                  • 3 Years
                  3 years, 9 months ago

                  Unsure, but I would be looking to GW33 to bring him in

            • Well you know, Triffic
              • 13 Years
              3 years, 9 months ago

              Captaincy is so tough this week with alot of the good options playing in the FA cup. For me that rules out the United players, as they could pick up injuries etc.

              1. Ajax Hamsterdam
                • 9 Years
                3 years, 9 months ago

                i m going Salah

                1. Well you know, Triffic
                  • 13 Years
                  3 years, 9 months ago

                  Yes i can see that being a good option.

                2. FOO FIGHTER
                  • 4 Years
                  3 years, 9 months ago

                  This

              2. FOO FIGHTER
                • 4 Years
                3 years, 9 months ago

                Think Ole will start fringe players in the Cup. Europe is their 1st priority.

                1. Well you know, Triffic
                  • 13 Years
                  3 years, 9 months ago

                  Silverware would be welcome though.

              3. Miguel Sanchez
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                3 years, 9 months ago

                Between Salah and Jimenez for me. Leaning towards Salah chasing a third golden boot.

            • PapaWengzz
              • 4 Years
              3 years, 9 months ago

              Would you bench boost with this bench?

              Mccarthy (wat) Nketiah (NOR) C.Taylor (cry) Kiko Femenia (SOU)

              1. Ajax Hamsterdam
                • 9 Years
                3 years, 9 months ago

                yep

            • MattyW
              • 7 Years
              3 years, 9 months ago

              Hi guys ... play

              a) Jota v Villa
              b) Saka v Norwich

              1. Letsgo!
                • 7 Years
                3 years, 9 months ago

                Jota

              2. Ajax Hamsterdam
                • 9 Years
                3 years, 9 months ago

                i d be tempted by Saka. your bench must be strong ?

                1. MattyW
                  • 7 Years
                  3 years, 9 months ago

                  Pope (McCarthy)
                  TAA, Saïss, Masina (Taylor) Egan)
                  Salah, Bruno, Son, Sarr (Saka)
                  Vardy Jimi Jota

            • Letsgo!
              • 7 Years
              3 years, 9 months ago

              Pope
              Vvd aurier doherty
              Mane bruno kdb bergwin
              Rash jimenez dcl

              Subs: button. Lascelles, soyun, saka

              Bergwin for pulisic? Or save?

              And capt jimenez?

            • wulfrunian
              • 7 Years
              3 years, 9 months ago

              What would you do here?

              Pope
              Alonso/Boly/Smith
              Barnes/Mount/Mane/Fernandes
              Jota/Auba(c)/Jimenez

              McMCarthy-Hayden/VVD/Taylor
              1ft 0.9itb

              a)Barnes->Sarr
              b)save
              c)something else

              1. Miguel Sanchez
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                3 years, 9 months ago

                B

                1. wulfrunian
                  • 7 Years
                  3 years, 9 months ago

                  cheers

              2. FOO FIGHTER
                • 4 Years
                3 years, 9 months ago

                Need TAA?

                1. wulfrunian
                  • 7 Years
                  3 years, 9 months ago

                  After ManCity.

              3. Letsgo!
                • 7 Years
                3 years, 9 months ago

                Barnes to pulisic?

                1. wulfrunian
                  • 7 Years
                  3 years, 9 months ago

                  I already have Mount.

                2. Belli2007
                  • 13 Years
                  3 years, 9 months ago

                  Leicester do need to pull their finger out now and score goals and so Barnes will be involved....

                  Not keen on Jimi and Jota upfront, perhaps look at upgrading Jota (consider Adama if you want 3 wolves).....how set are you on Alonso as that could be route to do this and get Rashford over a couple of gw's....

            • thepuntmaster
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              3 years, 9 months ago

              Who to start:

              A) Grealish (WOL)
              B) Egan (tot)
              C) Lascelles (bou)

              1. Sid07
                • 9 Years
                3 years, 9 months ago

                A

              2. Traction Engine Foot
                • 6 Years
                3 years, 9 months ago

                A

            • Sid07
              • 9 Years
              3 years, 9 months ago

              Thoughts on
              1) bergwin + dcl to son + nketiah (-4)
              2) save and give bergwin more week

              1. Letsgo!
                • 7 Years
                3 years, 9 months ago

                I have bergwin too, still thinking. Wanted swap for pulisic but afraid bergwin is going to do smth.

            • ChickenTikkaMoSalah
              • 8 Years
              3 years, 9 months ago

              Want to bench boost my GW32+ team. Surely the best move?

              Pope
              TAA,Doherty,Saiss
              Bruno,KDB,Sarr,Martial
              Auba,Ings,Jiminez

              McCarthy, Perez,Lascelles,Wan-Bissaka