Metrics
18 July 2020 2444 comments
DavidMunday815 DavidMunday815
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Just under a third of Fantasy Premier League managers inside the top 10k are preparing to use their Free Hit chip on the final day of the season.

With 2.6% of them deploying it for Gameweek 37+, that brings the total usage of that chip at this level to 68.9% with one round left to go.

That means 31.1% are saving the Free Hit for Gameweek 38+, a sizeable number and certainly enough for significant change to take place in the top 10k on the final day of the campaign.

Meanwhile, an additional 2.2% of managers at this level will be lining up with a completely brand new squad on Sunday, considering that’s how many of them are yet to play their second Wildcard.

As well as a large number of top 10k line-ups expected to fluctuate between the final two Gameweeks of the season, there will be a noteworthy number of Triple Captains in play.

2.5% of them used the enhanced armband for Gameweek 37+, bringing the total for the season to 91.7%. Therefore, 830 managers from the top 10k are likely to be heading into the final day of the campaign with their skipper armed with a Triple Captain chip.

What all of those numbers boil down to is that 54.3% of top 10k managers have no exhausted their chip supply for the 2019/20 season.

It means that 45.7% of them will have the ability to deploy one on the final day of the season.

As already mentioned, this is a significant portion of the top 10k managers, which could lead to plenty of rank changes in the upper echelon.

Bringing things back to Gameweek 37+, it is the Manchester United attack that will determine the narrative of this season’s penultimate round of action.

Bruno Fernandes (£9.1m) has amassed the highest level of support ahead of West Ham’s visit to Old Trafford, 35.8% of the top 10k managers handing him the armband.

The Portuguese international has now broken the 100-points mark after just 12 games in a Manchester United shirt, which is probably why the top 10k see him as the more reliable option.

However, those who have backed Anthony Martial (£8.5m) can feel relatively secure going into Gameweek 37+ too. The Frenchman has delivered in every home match since the Premier League restart, averaging 16 points per game in that time. The fact that just over 30% of the top 10k made the same decision to captain him, they are somewhat protected in that respect too.

Fernandes and Martial are the only two players to boast more than 100% effective ownership at this level for Gameweek 37+, on 131.9% and 100.8% respectively.

Despite proving unfortunate to blank in his last two outings, Mohamed Salah (£12.5m) has only convinced 7.6% of the top 10k to back him for the captaincy.

However, those who felt confident enough to do so will probably enjoy how few managers handed Salah the armband. Considering how poor Chelsea’s defence has looked on the eye recently, there does appear to be an opportunity for the Egyptian’s backers to make up real ground if he delivers the big haul he has been promising in recent weeks.

Martial’s increasing popularity in the top 10k can be spotted by his showing in the Free Hit squads at this level.

The Frenchman was chosen by 95.1% of such managers, more than Fernandes (91.3%) and more than any other player in any other position.

The Free Hitters were big fans of Manchester United, with Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£5.5m) and Marcus Rashford (£8.9m) both making it into this matrix of most popular assets chosen on them.

They were clearly put off by Manchester City’s awkward FA Cup schedule though. Despite a favourable trip to Watford, Kevin De Bruyne (£10.7m) is the only Citizen to be given serious consideration by the top 10k Free Hitters this week.

Gabriel Jesus (£9.8m) has suffered a similar fate in the overall ownership at this level.

He was the third-most-popular forward in the top 10k for Gameweek 36+ but has dropped out after the latest deadline.

Replacing him in the template is Raúl Jiménez (£8.1m). The Wolves forward netted against Burnley and faces a Crystal Palace defence that has conceded 15 goals since the Premier League returned.

Outside of that switch, there has not been a tremendous amount of fluctuation in the template between the two most recent Gameweeks, perhaps suggesting that some top 10k managers are holding a free transfer ahead of the final round of the season.

In midfield, Christian Pulisic (£7.4m) has dropped from 50.5% to 32.9% ownership at this level, leapfrogged by Salah, although the Egyptian only rose from 43.12% ownership to 43.2%.

The only other relatively major change is in defence, where Serge Aurier (£5.1m) has replaced Wan-Bissaka in the top-five, the right-back perhaps suffering as managers try to realign how they are tripled-up on Manchester United assets.

Stats taken from LiveFPL.net

  1. tucaoneo
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    I feel KDB must go if I want to get Salah. Not sure if Salah plays though.

    1. zotter
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      V Newcastle? Should do

    2. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Can’t fathom Salah not playing against Newcastle, ditching De Bruyne before Norwich could sting though.

  2. Rashers
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    One last throw of the dice next weekend barring injuries for a -8

    KDB, Doherty and DCL to Dilva, Robertson and Auba

    1. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Wouldn’t do that for -8.

    2. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Could easily work out but KDB to Silva can backfire heavily

  3. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Played 4 man defence of Bardsley, TAA, Saiss & Egan and benched Pulisic & Antonio. Job done from Bardsley. Need similar returns from the other 3!

    1. Amey
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Man United bias ??
      Antonio benching 😉

      1. Pep Roulette
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Hahaha yes! I think we'll give him a difficult time! At least I hope so! 😛

        1. Amey
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Amen 🙂

    2. zotter
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Lol it’s fine. I benched Pulisic and Alonso as a Liverpool fan

    3. Shark Team
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I benched TAA for Pulisic as Chelsea needs to score in order to get a much needed result. While Pool concedes almost in every game Hendo doesn't start at home

  4. Vazza
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    With Foden benched for the FA Cup, was it better to play him ahead of Greenwood this week in hindsight?

    1. Fred54
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Congratulations, you've posted this on the 7th difference page now

      1. Woy_is_back
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Omg for real!? Hahaha

  5. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    C'mon Citeh!

    1. Right In The Stanchion
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Why?

      1. Rainer
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Their success is lifeless.

        Unlike Arsenal/United or Chelsea to an extent.

        1. Rainer
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Hope that doesn't come across as racist.

        2. Right In The Stanchion
          • 5 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Your piece is lifeless bro. Take it out for a walk

          1. Amey
            • 7 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            Lol

    2. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      How much did they pay you?

      1. Rainer
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Not enough by their rates.

    3. Amey
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Arsenal should win this !
      We need an easy opponent 😛

      1. Rainer
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Nope! 😉

      2. Right In The Stanchion
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Bro you’ve only ever watched United on an illegal stream. Don’t pretend

        1. Amey
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Why does that matter bdw ?
          😀

  6. Optimus.
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    With Triple captain and Freehit chips left to play for the final gameweek I will be bitterly disappointed if I don't score 100+ points 🙂 It would be the highlight in a disappointing season

    1. BOATIES FC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Can you play them both the same week then or am I biting?

      1. BOATIES FC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Lol. Definitely had me then.

    2. tucaoneo
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Hmm you can only use 1 chip per GW.

    3. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      You can use only 1, sorry to disappoint. 1 chips has been wasted

    4. Fred54
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Having more than 1 team is illegal. Reported to the relavent authorities.

    5. Tempestic
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I can’t play both tho can u?

      1. Tempestic
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        U can’t*

    6. Woy_is_back
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      U fkked up homie

    7. Amey
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Seriously two chips ?

      1. Fred54
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Don't be a fish. 😉

        1. sunzip14
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          this

        2. Amey
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Ahhhhh
          Stupid me

    8. Supertrooper
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Good luck playing both.

    9. Rolls-Royce
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      ^^

      r/woosh

      1. Debauchy
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Teeming with fish tonight

    10. sunzip14
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      The same guy who couldn't afford to transfer TAA>Pieters because of low team value 😀

    11. Athletic Dildao
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      So many bites. Well played.

    12. Rinseboy
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      loads of bites! haha amazing work

    13. Pass
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Doable and better than my team I can say. Got my BB and FH for these two GW's with CTaylor, Holgate, Aurier & Saint Max stuck in the squad.

    14. Fat Frank
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Just play the FH, Triple Captain is so overrated

    15. FPL Scoop
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Ik this is a joke but why bother lol

    16. Boywiththesoupdragontattoo
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I’m rolling all my chips to next season.

  7. FPL Daniel
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Even with a disappointing season for Mark he is overtaking Jonty tonight.

    #ClassIsPermanent

    1. Old Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      What are their IDs?

  8. zotter
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    How’s this looking? Would reshuffle if early city team news

    Free hit 38

    Martinez
    Peters. Tarkowski. Trent (4.2 4.0)
    Kdb. Salah. Dilva. Bruno (Saka)
    Jesus. Auba. Greenwood

  9. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Is Tanganga back for Spurs?

  10. how now brown cow
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Scott Carson. Forgot he was at city.

  11. El-Kloppico
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    With Dilva, KdB, RAZ, Mahrez and Jesus all starting tonight. Who do you think will play on Tuesday?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Depends on this game.

    2. Woy_is_back
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I'm hoping Sterling plays tuesday too cause cant fit him in my team

    3. OLEgend
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Hoping for Dilva to be subbed early

      1. El-Kloppico
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        i've got Dilva & Jesus. Thought on deciding on my 3rd City player between Mahrez, KdB or RAZ.

        1. OLEgend
          • 11 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Kdb

    4. Fred54
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Foden for Dilva, which worries me as I benched him. ⊙﹏⊙

    5. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Depends on who gets subbed out early. Logic dictates Silva comes out early but who knows

      1. El-Kloppico
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Dilva will play.. will be his last PL match for City

        1. threeputt
          • 16 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          or he gets a cameo to a standing ovation, ah but wait,,,,,

    6. tucaoneo
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I think KDB and Mahrez at least considering their minutes last GW.

  12. Shark Team
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Next gw free hit team:
    Martinez
    Bardsley Long Pieters
    Salah KDB Dilva(C) Mahrez Bruno
    Kane Auba

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Lol scenes when Brighton gets a jammy goal

    2. Pep bites Kun
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      The def could be stronger - subs?

  13. Scholes Out For Summer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    David Silva is going to be benched for Watford isn’t he

    1. tucaoneo
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I should hope so! Guy in my ML took a -4 for him.

    2. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      no. His last match, Pep will play him

      1. Scholes Out For Summer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Watford, not Norwich

      2. Amey
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Is that his kast Match though ?
        Fa cup CL still pending mate

      3. Pep bites Kun
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Wishlist?

  14. yalala
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Kane or Auba?

  15. Digital-Real
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    KDB looks off form

  16. DIMITRIS
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Burnly is so bad attacking that it was ridiculous to watch them. 2 man up and only thing they managed to do in the second half is to persistently cross ball into the box and hope for the best. If it weren't for their defence, they would be going to championship long time ago. I sincerly hope to see them relegated next season.

    1. Fred54
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      As a non Wood owner but Pieters' owner it was what we technically call absolute FPL **** housery.

      1. Amey
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        You .... 😀
        I'm disgusted as a Wood owner. Might sell him on FH now !

      2. DIMITRIS
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        I got for this GW Wood, hoping to get at least a goal and he delivered. But with 2 red cards for Norwich and a last second goal in first half, I thought they'll run over Norwich. Instead they just played like an amateur side... Could have done much much better.

    2. Drexl Spivey
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      It's put me off free hitting Wood in, for sure.

    3. Salarrivederci
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Good defending teams has their merit in the worlds best liga too.
      Not all teams can attack like City, United and Norwich.

      Promoted teams stay in PL thanks to an organized defensive starting. Some attack properly too, and some play more exiting ball to watch as a viewer, but those teams who can't defend are like to be relegated (except Arsenal & Chelsea)

  17. EWH2020
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Who wins?

    A)
    Saiss
    Willian
    Bruno (C)
    Rashford

    B)
    Martinez
    Sterling
    Martial (C)
    Greenwood

    1. Shark Team
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      B

    2. BeWater
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      B

  18. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Disgusting - only one goal and one bap frm Woods. And I on a - 4 for him.

    1. DIMITRIS
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      It's not his fault. McNeil and company couldn't pass a straight through ball if their life dependent on it. Cross it and pray- that's their moto.

    2. Cojones of Destiny
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      told ya mate ))

    3. BrutalLogiC
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      maybe no goal and no bap without the cards so upside

  19. Right In The Stanchion
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    How many penalties next season for Man Utd? I think 25

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      not if Fifa takes hand on VAR. PL tends to protect ManU

      1. Piggs Boson
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        United have had more goals overturned by VAR than any other Premier League side this season.

        1. Amey
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Not cool
          Cry about pens awarded !!

    2. OLEgend
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Already paid for 27

      1. Amey
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Wait a minute.
        I was told 30 !

  20. Mr. O'Connell
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Non-owner of any Burnley this season. Where my bros at?

    1. camarozz
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Biggest mistake of my season was not getting Pope.

      1. Mr. O'Connell
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        I've never picked the right keeper in 10 seasons. Nothing new.

      2. Moderately content penguin
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Think I’m down 40 gk points

        Weeks 1-29
        6 cs
        6 1 pointers
        6 3 pointers
        11 2 pointers

        Actually had a mix of Pope Guiata and Hendo. Missed all the pen saves and they all performed best in adverse fixtures

  21. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Wise Laca, close.

  22. Gringo Kid
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Jimmy to Jesus is a no brainer for GW 38?

    1. Amey
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Aye

    2. Moderately content penguin
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Means missing out on one of the midfield trio. Who have you got there?

      1. Gringo Kid
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Dont ask me that, I have KDB and Foden 🙂

  23. FPL Scoop
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    That looked onside imo

  24. Fat Frank
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Barring Aguero and Fernandinho, would you say this is City’s strongest XI?

    1. el polako
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Team to play GW38 in my opinion.

      1. Gobigorgohome
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        this too

    2. Gobigorgohome
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      yes

  25. One More Hit
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Finally my actions are relevant to an article 🙂

  26. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Auba big miss

  27. Samwise
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    happy with playing Bardsley instead of Wan Bissaka

  28. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Big game Auba...

  29. Avery
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    DSilva in for Pulisic For GW38?

    1. BrutalLogiC
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      would much rather have him yes

  30. OverTinker
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    auba big miss