Spot the Differential

Cheaper Lacazette can match Aubameyang on final day of 2019/20 season

Gameweek 38+ offers FPL managers a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

Since the restart, we’ve tipped the likes of Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m), Kieran Tierney (£5.3m), Michail Antonio (£7.1m), David Silva (£7.5m), Junior Stanislas (£5.8m), Jay Rodriguez (£5.7m) and Gabriel Jesus (£9.9m), all of whom we like this week, but this time, our final three selections for the 2019/20 campaign are very much in the punt category.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less. 

Alexandre Lacazette

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £9.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: WAT

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.2m) has had to bide his time at Arsenal this season, but in recent weeks has finally started to find some form.

It’s now five attacking returns for the Frenchman since the restart, all of which have arrived following Mikel Arteta’s decision to switch to a 3-4-3 formation in Gameweek 31+.

The new approach has provided more balance, and despite Lacazette often dropping deep to link play, he’s still managed to accumulate four big chances during that run, which is the same amount as team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.9m), despite fewer minutes.

Since the change to a back-three, only five teams have scored more goals than Arsenal, which is an ominous sign for their opponents on Sunday, Watford. To add to their worries, the manager-less Hornets have given up more big chances than any other side since the restart, conceding seven goals in their last two games, and realistically need to avoid defeat to harbour any hopes of securing Premier League safety.

Despite Arsenal being out of the running for a Europa League spot via their league position, Arteta will still be demanding a response having lost 1-0 to Aston Villa on Tuesday night, and whilst Aubameyang remains the popular pick, if funds are needed elsewhere, Lacazette is worth a look.

Gylfi Sigurdsson

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £7.3m
  • GW38+ fixture: BOU

While Gylfi Sigurdsson (£7.3m) has underwhelmed for much of the season, a change in system by Everton boss Carlo Ancelotti in Gameweek 37+ may give the Icelandic international an opportunity to finish strongly. 

Since the Italian’s appointment in December, when selected, Sigurdsson has had to operate in a 4-4-2, either as part of a central midfield duo, or out on the left flank, neither of which he has looked particularly comfortable in.

However, on Monday night at Bramall Lane, Ancelotti switched things up after a dismal run of results, playing both André Gomes (£5.2m) and Tom Davies (£5.3m) behind Sigurdsson, who operated as a number 10, in a 4-2-3-1.

Suddenly, Everton’s captain on the night was finding himself in good positions between the lines, and went on to create three chances, and lay on an assist for Richarlison’s (£8.2m) winner. 

He actually could have scored himself too, had Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£6.1m) been more aware of his team-mate’s position.

Everton will finish the season in 11th or 12th spot, and entertain second bottom Bournemouth on Sunday, who need three points and other results to go their way to stand any chance of staying up.

There is no doubt Sigurdsson looks more comfortable in his natural position behind the forward, and with a share of set-pieces and penalties, could be an intriguing differential for the final round.

Trézéguet

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: whu

Winger Trézéguet (£5.2m) has taken time to settle in the Premier League, but is now well on his way to becoming a Villa Park hero, having scored three vital goals in as many games.

The Egyptian has often rotated with Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) this season, with neither player offering any kind of consistency, but since the restart, Trézéguet ranks first amongst teammates for big chances with five, and against Arsenal on Tuesday night, was the most advanced player in a claret and blue shirt. Finally, he’s starting to deliver on that early season promise he showed against the Gunners back in September. 

Now out of the relegation zone for the first time in five months, Villa’s destiny is in their own hands when they face West Ham United at the London Stadium on Sunday, and you get the feeling they’ll need to score, having failed to keep a Premier League clean sheet on the road all season. 

To do that, they may well have to rely on wide players Trézéguet and Jack Grealish (£5.9m), with both of their forward options, Mbwana Samatta (£5.1m) and Keinan Davis (£4.2m), struggling in front of goal.

The positive for Villa is they have momentum, having picked up seven points from the past nine available, and despite inconsistencies throughout the season, Trézéguet is now stepping up, and could be a nice differential for those on the lookout for a budget midfielder.

4,295 Comments Post a Comment
  1. jonnybhoy
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Vardy to Jesus worth the -4pts

    1. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      no

  2. King Kun Ta
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Start Ings or Greenwood?

    Martinez (Ryan)
    Doh AWB Bardsley (Robinson Holgate)
    KDB Sterling Bruno Pulisic Antonio
    Jesus ???

    Ta lads and GL tomorrow!

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      No doubt- Ings

    2. UnitedFan
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Ings

    3. King Kun Ta
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Thanks for the feedback!

    4. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      ings

    5. JfA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Got to be Ings, although I've got Greenwood so here's hoping 😀

  3. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Phil Foden- if confirmed he is on bench as expected would you

    A Take hit and get D Silva funded by 1 Doherty to Bardsley or 2 Bruno to Antonio
    B Bench and play Nketiah v Watford ( if confirmed he starts)
    C Play and be confident he will play around 30 minutes and get good points against a tiring Norwich

    1. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A, Bardsley.

  4. Wılly
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Foden to Dilva, or Vardy to Kane worth a (-4) ?

    1. BOATIES FC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I'm toying with Vardy to Kane - 4 I'm not convinced still

  5. how now brown cow
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    So which game tomorrow is going to be the bonkers meaningless goalfest? There's always one.

    1. JabariParkersEyelid
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Pool and City are both meaningless games so those 2.

  6. FPL Maldini
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Kane is being slightly edged to Auba on here but what about this situation?

    a) Son and Kane

    b) Son and Auba

    1. jonnybhoy
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      b

  7. The Big Larsbowski
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    One needs to leave. Pulisic, Antonio or Ings?

    1. Will J 256
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      This may sound crazy but Antonio personally

    2. how now brown cow
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Reluctantly antonio

    3. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Tough sales, maybe Pulisic. Unless you think West Ham have headed straight to the beach.

    4. JfA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I'd flip a three sided coin 😮

  8. UnitedFan
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    FH draft looking ok?

    Martinez
    TAA - Pieters - Bardsley
    Sterling - KDB - Dilva - Martial - Antonio
    Kane - Ings

    Button - Greenwood - Mings - Webster

    Maybe Bruno + Mahrez + extra cash over Sterling + Dilva?

    1. Maddocio
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I like it, I currently have Auba over Antonio otherwise the same

    2. MGD
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      How can you afford TAA with this team :O

      I have the same but Aurier...

    3. JfA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Antonio>Soucek KDB>Salah

  9. Rivers
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Saka will start?

  10. Morthau
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    C=
    A. MAHREZ
    B. JESUS
    C. DSILVA.
    1p behind in ML

    1. TheDragon
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B 😮

    2. Klip Klopp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    3. frenchfries
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I would choose DSilva

  11. Winners900
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Pick one please.

    A) Antonio & Kane
    B Salah & Calvert

    cheers!

    1. Winners900
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      it can also be Wood instead of Calvert

    2. wildnothing
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

  12. TheDragon
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    A) Mahrez & Kane
    B) KDB & Son

    It’s impossible to decide!!!

    1. Winners900
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    3. JabariParkersEyelid
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      It's A.

    4. frenchfries
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    5. FPL Pillars
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Depends who starts 🙂

  13. stevowigan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Where’s the best place to find the any leaked team news before the deadline? On a FH so very keen to find it!!

    1. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Twitter.

      But it'll most likely be posted here if the site doesn't crash

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Here

    3. JfA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      There was a site mentioned today on the breakfast club but I never caught it?

  14. Klip Klopp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Vardy to Kane or Fernandes to D.Silva?

    1. BOATIES FC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I've done B for free and I'm wavering over A for - 4

    2. JfA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I've done Fernandes to Sterling, couldn't afford Vardy to Kane for a hit. Shall I start Vardy or Giroud?

  15. _Ninja_
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Who scores more?

    A Vardy Greenwood +4
    B Ings Dilva

    1. Klip Klopp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

  16. Dynamic Duos
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    A,B or C?

    A) Mahrez and Aurier , the back line TAA Alonso Aurier(Long on bench)
    B) Dilva and VVD, the back like would be TAA Alonso VVD(Long on bench)
    C) Son and Aurier, the back line would be TAA Long Aurier

    1. TheDragon
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

  17. LLoris
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Who should I bring in?
    A) Aurier
    B) Tarkowski

    Everyones saying Aurier but he does't keep CS

    1. JabariParkersEyelid
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I'm considering doubling both defences.

    2. FPL Theorist
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Aurier has 4 CS out of 8 since the restart.

  18. Will J 256
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Which draft do you prefer. Having a few headaches!
    1: 3-4-3
    Pope
    Trent, Aurier, Pieters
    Salah, Sterling, Mahrez, D Silva
    Kane, Greenwood, Ings

    2: 3-5-2
    Pope
    Trent, Aurier, Pieters
    Sterling, Mahrez, D Silva, Martial, Pulisic,
    Kane, Ings (Greenwood benched)

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Stick to the differences, Salah could haul.

      1. JfA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Salah will seriosly haul tomorrow, as a Newcastle fan and non owner, I'm dreading it.

  19. Iggypop
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Ppl waiting on city news goin in with a couple back up plans?
    I've got sterling, kdb and foden.
    Foden benched I'll swap to d silva
    Kdb benched swap to mahrez f starts, if not d silva
    Sterling benched to mahrez
    If all start I'll do vardy to kane!!!

    1. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      yup its gonna be panic when the city news comes out

  20. Ohh1454
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Is Mings a good pick this week ?

    1. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Bardsley

    2. how now brown cow
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Not an obvious one.

  21. Ci Siamo
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Who scores more this week?

    a) Auba and Son

    b) Salah and Wood

    1. wildnothing
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Tough one. A.

  22. FPLord
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Pope Martinez
    TAA Egan Saiss Aurier Stephens
    Mane KDB Mahrez Fernandes Martial
    Jimenez Greenwood DCL 0.6

    I'm currently 18p ahead in my ML, rival has FH and I'm playing BB, so every player counts.

    A. Fernandes > Dilva
    B. Jimenez > Ings
    C. Mane > Sterling
    D. Mane, DCL > Dilva, Kane -4

    1. Federerisgod
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I’m in the exact same situation 18points up except no bb for me. I’ve done Bruno > Dilva and very tempted by Rashford to Kane for -4. Also have the money for Foden to Mahrez... I think you have to block Sterling as he’s bound to captain

  23. JURGENAUT
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    In order, which team more likely to get CS?

    A) Burnley
    B) Arsenal
    C) Sheffield
    D) Southampton

    1. For Fuchs Sake
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A
      D
      C
      B

  24. gomez123
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Chasing so D Silva or Kane El Capitano(c)

    1. frenchfries
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Kane

    2. JfA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Dilva seems the 'romantic' choice but Kane will defo double haul tomorrow.

  25. Sune
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Which option on FH?

    Martinez (Button)
    Robertson, Pieters, xxxx (Williams, xxxx)
    Salah, Dilva, Sterling, xxxx, xxxx
    Kane, xxxx (Connolly)

    A) Bardsley, KdB, Pulisic, Greenwood (Branthwaite)
    B) Long, Mahrez, Antonio, Ings (Tanganga)

  26. Dele
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    G2G?

    Pope
    TAA, Tark, Aurier
    Sterling(c), KDB, Son, Martial, Pulisic
    Jesus, Ings

    Martinez, Greenwood, Egan, Holegate

    1. frenchfries
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Very nice unless on FH

      1. Dele
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        No FH left 🙁

        1. frenchfries
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Its not bad for A no FH team. GL!!

  27. frenchfries
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Pope
    TAA Tarkowski Saiss
    Salah KDB Fernandes Martial
    Vardy Jimenez Greenwood

    Martin Lascelles Hayden Schelotto

    A) KDB+Fernandes -> Sterling+DSilva (-4)
    B) Vardy+Fernandes -> Wood+Sterling (-4)
    C) Fernandes -> DSilva
    D) Vardy -> Jesus

    Captain will be in this order whoever i get: Sterling, DSilva, Jesus

  28. dontyouknowimloko
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Who would you say is the best defender up to £6m?

    1. frenchfries
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Personally would go Aurier or Pieters this week

    2. Oscar Slater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Digne

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Tarkowski

  29. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    If Foden somehow gets a starting place, wwyd with 1FT?

    Ederson (Don't ask)
    TAA, Aurier, Wan-Bissaka
    Salah, KDB, Foden, Fernandes,
    Vardy, Greenwood, Jimmy

    Bench:Button, Saka, Egan, Ngokia

    A) Wan Bissaka —> Robertson
    B) Vardy —> Kane
    C) Jimmy —> Ings
    D) Fernandes -> Son

  30. bel24
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    A - Lacazette & Rashford
    B - Kane & Ings (-4)

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B