Spot the Differential

Cheaper Lacazette can match Aubameyang on final day of 2019/20 season

Gameweek 38+ offers FPL managers a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

Since the restart, we’ve tipped the likes of Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m), Kieran Tierney (£5.3m), Michail Antonio (£7.1m), David Silva (£7.5m), Junior Stanislas (£5.8m), Jay Rodriguez (£5.7m) and Gabriel Jesus (£9.9m), all of whom we like this week, but this time, our final three selections for the 2019/20 campaign are very much in the punt category.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less. 

Alexandre Lacazette

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £9.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: WAT

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.2m) has had to bide his time at Arsenal this season, but in recent weeks has finally started to find some form.

It’s now five attacking returns for the Frenchman since the restart, all of which have arrived following Mikel Arteta’s decision to switch to a 3-4-3 formation in Gameweek 31+.

The new approach has provided more balance, and despite Lacazette often dropping deep to link play, he’s still managed to accumulate four big chances during that run, which is the same amount as team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.9m), despite fewer minutes.

Since the change to a back-three, only five teams have scored more goals than Arsenal, which is an ominous sign for their opponents on Sunday, Watford. To add to their worries, the manager-less Hornets have given up more big chances than any other side since the restart, conceding seven goals in their last two games, and realistically need to avoid defeat to harbour any hopes of securing Premier League safety.

Despite Arsenal being out of the running for a Europa League spot via their league position, Arteta will still be demanding a response having lost 1-0 to Aston Villa on Tuesday night, and whilst Aubameyang remains the popular pick, if funds are needed elsewhere, Lacazette is worth a look.

Gylfi Sigurdsson

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £7.3m
  • GW38+ fixture: BOU

While Gylfi Sigurdsson (£7.3m) has underwhelmed for much of the season, a change in system by Everton boss Carlo Ancelotti in Gameweek 37+ may give the Icelandic international an opportunity to finish strongly. 

Since the Italian’s appointment in December, when selected, Sigurdsson has had to operate in a 4-4-2, either as part of a central midfield duo, or out on the left flank, neither of which he has looked particularly comfortable in.

However, on Monday night at Bramall Lane, Ancelotti switched things up after a dismal run of results, playing both André Gomes (£5.2m) and Tom Davies (£5.3m) behind Sigurdsson, who operated as a number 10, in a 4-2-3-1.

Suddenly, Everton’s captain on the night was finding himself in good positions between the lines, and went on to create three chances, and lay on an assist for Richarlison’s (£8.2m) winner. 

He actually could have scored himself too, had Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£6.1m) been more aware of his team-mate’s position.

Everton will finish the season in 11th or 12th spot, and entertain second bottom Bournemouth on Sunday, who need three points and other results to go their way to stand any chance of staying up.

There is no doubt Sigurdsson looks more comfortable in his natural position behind the forward, and with a share of set-pieces and penalties, could be an intriguing differential for the final round.

Trézéguet

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: whu

Winger Trézéguet (£5.2m) has taken time to settle in the Premier League, but is now well on his way to becoming a Villa Park hero, having scored three vital goals in as many games.

The Egyptian has often rotated with Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) this season, with neither player offering any kind of consistency, but since the restart, Trézéguet ranks first amongst teammates for big chances with five, and against Arsenal on Tuesday night, was the most advanced player in a claret and blue shirt. Finally, he’s starting to deliver on that early season promise he showed against the Gunners back in September. 

Now out of the relegation zone for the first time in five months, Villa’s destiny is in their own hands when they face West Ham United at the London Stadium on Sunday, and you get the feeling they’ll need to score, having failed to keep a Premier League clean sheet on the road all season. 

To do that, they may well have to rely on wide players Trézéguet and Jack Grealish (£5.9m), with both of their forward options, Mbwana Samatta (£5.1m) and Keinan Davis (£4.2m), struggling in front of goal.

The positive for Villa is they have momentum, having picked up seven points from the past nine available, and despite inconsistencies throughout the season, Trézéguet is now stepping up, and could be a nice differential for those on the lookout for a budget midfielder.

4,295 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Will J 256
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Salah and Greenwood or Martial and Ings?

    1. pitstop1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Mo

    2. azamn013
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Salah & Greenwood for me

    3. FeverPitch
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      First one

    4. Reckoner
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Close. I predict a Salah brace, and Martial and Ings a goal each 🙂

      1. Will J 256
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers guys

    5. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      2nd

  2. azamn013
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Jesus or DSilva - who is likely to score more, assuming they both start?

    1. MTPockets
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Jesus

      • Reckoner
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        I hope Jesus, too 🙂

      • JfA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Dilva will get more points, get Kane if you can.

        1. Salah’s Sonnet
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Kane not worth it imo

    2. camarozz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Chasing. Rival has Kane.

      Would u go Jesus over Kane in a city triple up? Will babe Auba too in the hope I can gain..

      1. Reckoner
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        If Jesus starts and doesn't at least match Kane tomorrow, well...... If chasing, then surely go for it.

    3. TeddiPonza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Current team:
      Martinez
      Pieters Long X
      Sterling Dilva Martial X
      X Kane X

      What combo is best on FH?

      A. TAA Salah Greenwood Auba
      B. TAA Antonio Jesus Auba
      C. 4,3m def (not Burnley) Salah Mahrez Auba
      D. Digne Salah KdB Ings

      Thanks...

      1. JfA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Why not Burnley?

        1. TeddiPonza
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Currently on double up. No 4,3 op available

    4. Cheeto__Bandito
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Chasing in mini-league, should I just go Kane over Sterling (who rival will have) or hope rest of my team outscore them

      1. azamn013
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Depends how far behind you are. If over 25-30 points to make up, then you have to differentiate with Kane over Sterling

    5. Totti
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      what to do with that lot?

      pope
      TAA doherty kiko
      Salah KDB Mahrez bruno martial
      wood greenwood

      4.0 jimenez fernandez holgate

      A) TAA and martial -> 4.9 sterling (-4)
      B) bruno and martial -> sterling and grealish or 6.1 (-4)
      C) KDB and martial -> sterling and D.silva
      D) other suggestion

      1. TeddiPonza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        V

      2. TeddiPonza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        C

    6. yer old da
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Which trio?

      A. Branthwaite and Bruno
      B. Aurier and Ings

      1. Will J 256
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        B

      2. azamn013
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        B

      3. pitstop1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Duo?
        B

      4. Reckoner
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Trio?

        B for this duo 🙂

    7. Alli
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      This FH GTG?

      Pope
      TAA - Aurier - Pieters
      Mané - Sterling - Dilva - Martial
      Kane - Jesús - Greenwood

      Martin - Saka - Lamptey - Thomas

      1. Alli
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Or Sterling, Aurier, Saka > KDB, Egan, Antonio and start Antonio instead of Gwood?

        1. boroie
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Definitely not this. Unless you’re chasing.

    8. AD2110
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Who would you rather have?

      A) Auba, Son, Antonio
      B) Kane, Mahrez, Martial

      1. boroie
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        B

      2. Victor6359
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        A

      3. EvertonSteve1983
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        A i think. Can you mix the two? Kane, Son, Antonio?

        1. AD2110
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Yeahh just not sure on a double up on spurs if went A

    9. acidicleo
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Advise please:

      A) Ings + Salah ( - 4)
      B) Kane + Martial

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        So Close

      2. azamn013
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        B

    10. FeverPitch
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A) Dilva and KDB
      B) Stanislas and Sterling (c)

      Would captain either Mo or Dilva if I went A

      Thanks

      1. Victor6359
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        A

        1. FeverPitch
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Thanks

    11. Will J 256
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Hi guys. Chasing an important ML victory. Is this FH draft GTG:
      Pope
      Trent, Aurier, Pieters
      Salah, Sterling, D Silva, Mahrez, Pulisic,
      Kane, Greenwood

      Would really appreciate your feedback

      1. JfA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Doesn't get better than that.

    12. RobinKerr1987
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Points predictions for the following? Want a differential Captain to chase down the 10 point deficit in our cash league:

      Son
      Salah
      Vardy
      DSilva

      Currently leaning towards Son for skipper. Team is as follows:

      Ederson
      Tarkowski, Aurier, Alexander-Arnold
      Son, Martial, David Silva, Salah, Foden
      Ings, Vardy

      Bench: Martin, Greenwood, Doherty, Saïss

      1. Traction Engine Foot
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        9
        10
        6
        12

    13. Chucky
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Captain who
      A) Salah
      B) Vardy
      C) Martial

      Chasing top 10k... currently 14k...

      1. boroie
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        A

        1. Chucky
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          thanks

      2. Tonyawesome69
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        got to be Salah, he could have a field day

        1. Salah’s Sonnet
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          if he knows how to shoot this time lol

      3. acidicleo
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        A

      4. Chucky
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        cheers all. appreciated...

      5. Traction Engine Foot
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        A

      6. JfA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Salah, Salah. Salah, he's going to twenty point haul tomorrow 🙁

    14. boroie
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A - Salah, Sterling, Ings
      B - Fernandes, Sterling, Kane

      1. yer old da
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Why didn’t you just write Salah and Ings or Fernandes and Kane? 🙂

        1. boroie
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Haha I realised my mistake and repaired it two comments down. Which would you go for?

      2. Victor6359
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        B

    15. More Cowbell
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Hi all, quick vote please:
      a) Guendouzi > Silva (-4) & Jimi first sub
      b) Play jimi (and risk it with a fully dead bench!)

    16. boroie
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A - Salah & Ings
      B - Fernandes & Kane

      1. Chucky
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        A

    17. camarozz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      An awful lot of teams have Mahrez in it?? His minutes have been very irratic?
      Not concerned?

      1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        No
        No
        Yes

    18. Steviedwex
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Bench which one
      1 ) Pulisic
      2) rashford

      Have martial

    19. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Common question but as a non Sterling owner, how would you approach captain choice?

      A) not overthink and captain Kdb for expected goal involvement
      B) one last hurrah for Dilva
      C) Salah is due and will tear Newcastle apart
      D) Kane to continue his clinical form

      I’ve been on A all week

      I’m in Aus and might not stay up for team news...

      1. Chucky
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        C. sterling will blank

        1. FPL_Crisis
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          So you expect city to share the points?

          1. Chucky
            • 10 Years
            3 years, 8 months ago

            yes,dilva might get a double digit haul..

      2. boroie
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        C

      3. Pep's Money Laundry
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        C or D

        1. FPL_Crisis
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Can they be trusted ha, Salah been quite wasteful lately

      4. JfA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        I honestly don't know how Salah is being overlooked given the chances he's been getting, how seriously bad we are and the fact that all the Man City returns will likely to be shared, Salah is going for GB against the worst Newcastle defence since Steve Mclaren???

        1. FPL_Crisis
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          I’ve captained him the last 2 so a little reluctant. Could easily be 2pts or hat trick so the upside is there. Stats wise Kdb has dropped but nothing like facing Norwich to get you back into form.
          Lots of options again this week

      5. Victor6359
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        B for me

    20. Kodap
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Captain one of the following...

      1. KDB
      2. Dilva
      3. Sterling
      4. Salah

      1. boroie
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        3 if leading
        4 if chasing

        1. dunas_dog
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          This

      2. Victor6359
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        3

    21. Infamy, Infamy
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      No idea how accurate they normally are, but Manchester Evening News is predicting Foden to start with Mahrez on bench.

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        The Brighton game they predicted KDB and Mahrez on the bench mate and they both started!! Haha

        1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          They predicted Foden would start and he was on the bench too

      2. Salah’s Sonnet
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        wouldn't believe any paper line up

      3. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        They don’t know just making prediction. But as Foden owner hope they have it right:)

    22. Pulp Minion
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Has there been some news on TAA?

      1. Salah’s Sonnet
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        what news is there?

        1. Pulp Minion
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Saw some random comment earlier saying he might be out (don't take this as true)

          I've no def subs **eeeekkkk**

          1. Bring back Rafa
            • 4 Years
            3 years, 8 months ago

            I'm confident he plays. Liverpool have had the title won since pretty much before the virus hit and from the restart they have played 9 games in 6 weeks.
            If Klopp wanted to blood Nico he could have started him in half of these games while giving TAA a full weeks rest in between. Why, would he start now?

    23. Will J 256
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Would you prefer Martial in a 3-5-2 with Kane and ings up top or Kane and Greenwood but with salah in a 3-5-2?

      1. panda07
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        probably Salah

    24. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Which of these options is the best?

      A) De Bruyne, Kane, Martial
      B) Sterling, Kane, Antonio
      C) Sterling, Ings, Son

      1. boroie
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        B

      2. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        C

      3. Bring back Rafa
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        B or C, hard to split

      4. panda07
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks all

      5. Victor6359
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Defo B for me

    25. Jukes
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Mahrez or Jesus???

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        If starting Mahrez as gets extra points being a midfielder

      2. Pep's Money Laundry
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Jesus

      3. toerag
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        jesus - 1 assist

      4. panda07
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Mahrez if confirmed to start

    26. ooooo
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Changes to FH team?
      Martinez
      TAA Pieters Aurier
      Salah Sterling Mahrez Dilva Antonio
      Kane Ings

      Button Greenwood Brathwaite 3.8.

      1. toerag
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        yes

    27. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I still can't get over that miss from Salah on a one on one with epa, can anyone explain how that even happened for a man of his class? It wasn't just a miss, it was like something off a Benny Hill show!

      Ah well, i'm keeping him for Newcastle hoping he turns up, and remembers how to shoot!

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        will you captain ?

        1. Salah’s Sonnet
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Maybe, but nah, fear in me will go Sterling

      2. Chucky
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        I think his blank against Chelsea will keep the casuals away from him, and they will all captain sterling for his blank ,while,loyal salah owners will be rewarded with a well-deserved hattie 😀

        1. Salah’s Sonnet
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Hope you're right! I'm stll capping sterling, i can't trust Salah as much right now, but hope they both do the business.

    28. toerag
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      ooh
      i just moved some people around to see what happens

      pope
      robbo bards aurier
      dilva sterling martial pusilic
      kane auba ings

      trezeguet williams branthwaite

      what do you reckon??

      1. Klopp For The Kopps 😆
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Needs Salah

        1. toerag
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          he dropped out for ings and auba

    29. Georgeyboy33
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      BENCH ONE:

      Greenwood
      Jimenez

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        That’s hard. Greenwood

      2. Victor6359
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Jim