Spot the Differential

Cheaper Lacazette can match Aubameyang on final day of 2019/20 season

Gameweek 38+ offers FPL managers a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

Since the restart, we’ve tipped the likes of Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m), Kieran Tierney (£5.3m), Michail Antonio (£7.1m), David Silva (£7.5m), Junior Stanislas (£5.8m), Jay Rodriguez (£5.7m) and Gabriel Jesus (£9.9m), all of whom we like this week, but this time, our final three selections for the 2019/20 campaign are very much in the punt category.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less. 

Alexandre Lacazette

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £9.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: WAT

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.2m) has had to bide his time at Arsenal this season, but in recent weeks has finally started to find some form.

It’s now five attacking returns for the Frenchman since the restart, all of which have arrived following Mikel Arteta’s decision to switch to a 3-4-3 formation in Gameweek 31+.

The new approach has provided more balance, and despite Lacazette often dropping deep to link play, he’s still managed to accumulate four big chances during that run, which is the same amount as team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.9m), despite fewer minutes.

Since the change to a back-three, only five teams have scored more goals than Arsenal, which is an ominous sign for their opponents on Sunday, Watford. To add to their worries, the manager-less Hornets have given up more big chances than any other side since the restart, conceding seven goals in their last two games, and realistically need to avoid defeat to harbour any hopes of securing Premier League safety.

Despite Arsenal being out of the running for a Europa League spot via their league position, Arteta will still be demanding a response having lost 1-0 to Aston Villa on Tuesday night, and whilst Aubameyang remains the popular pick, if funds are needed elsewhere, Lacazette is worth a look.

Gylfi Sigurdsson

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £7.3m
  • GW38+ fixture: BOU

While Gylfi Sigurdsson (£7.3m) has underwhelmed for much of the season, a change in system by Everton boss Carlo Ancelotti in Gameweek 37+ may give the Icelandic international an opportunity to finish strongly. 

Since the Italian’s appointment in December, when selected, Sigurdsson has had to operate in a 4-4-2, either as part of a central midfield duo, or out on the left flank, neither of which he has looked particularly comfortable in.

However, on Monday night at Bramall Lane, Ancelotti switched things up after a dismal run of results, playing both André Gomes (£5.2m) and Tom Davies (£5.3m) behind Sigurdsson, who operated as a number 10, in a 4-2-3-1.

Suddenly, Everton’s captain on the night was finding himself in good positions between the lines, and went on to create three chances, and lay on an assist for Richarlison’s (£8.2m) winner. 

He actually could have scored himself too, had Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£6.1m) been more aware of his team-mate’s position.

Everton will finish the season in 11th or 12th spot, and entertain second bottom Bournemouth on Sunday, who need three points and other results to go their way to stand any chance of staying up.

There is no doubt Sigurdsson looks more comfortable in his natural position behind the forward, and with a share of set-pieces and penalties, could be an intriguing differential for the final round.

Trézéguet

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: whu

Winger Trézéguet (£5.2m) has taken time to settle in the Premier League, but is now well on his way to becoming a Villa Park hero, having scored three vital goals in as many games.

The Egyptian has often rotated with Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) this season, with neither player offering any kind of consistency, but since the restart, Trézéguet ranks first amongst teammates for big chances with five, and against Arsenal on Tuesday night, was the most advanced player in a claret and blue shirt. Finally, he’s starting to deliver on that early season promise he showed against the Gunners back in September. 

Now out of the relegation zone for the first time in five months, Villa’s destiny is in their own hands when they face West Ham United at the London Stadium on Sunday, and you get the feeling they’ll need to score, having failed to keep a Premier League clean sheet on the road all season. 

To do that, they may well have to rely on wide players Trézéguet and Jack Grealish (£5.9m), with both of their forward options, Mbwana Samatta (£5.1m) and Keinan Davis (£4.2m), struggling in front of goal.

The positive for Villa is they have momentum, having picked up seven points from the past nine available, and despite inconsistencies throughout the season, Trézéguet is now stepping up, and could be a nice differential for those on the lookout for a budget midfielder.

4,295 Comments Post a Comment
  1. IRBOX ⚽
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    What’s my best move here lads to finish off this aberration of a season. Hoping to sneak into top 200k after being 2 million after GW21. 1FT, 0.6 ITB

    Pope
    TAA Maguire Cresswell
    Sterling KDB Pulisic Foden Martial
    Rashford Wood

    Fab DCL Egan Doherty

    a) Doherty > VVD/Digne
    b) Foden > 5.

    1. IRBOX ⚽
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Sorry
      b) Foden > Grealish/JWP
      c) something else for a hit

    2. Tsparkes10
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Looks decent mate, tricky to get Kane, Son or anyone in. Wait for team news, If Foden is out maybe do Doh, Foden to Pieters, Dilva?

  2. OleBall
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Last one... A or B

    A)
    Martinez
    TAA-Aurier-Pieters
    Sterling(c)-KDB-Dilva-Salah
    Ings-Kane-Greenwood

    B)
    Pope
    TAA-Aurier-Pieters
    Sterling(c)-Mahrez-Martial-Pulisic
    Jesus-Ings-Kane

    1. Two Popes and a Gazza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B.

  3. davies
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    GTG lads?

    Pope
    TAA Aurier Pieters
    Salah (vc) KDB Bruno Mahrez Martial
    Jesus (c) Ings

    Reina Greenwood Saiss Taylor*

    Cheers.

    1. IRBOX ⚽
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Good. Jesus captain is interesting, not for me with him likely to play 60-65mins

  4. FPL_DON
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Sorry guys rookie question, but would rather wait to pull the trigger on transfers but my hand may be forced....

    if i bought fernandes at 8.6 and he drops from 9.1 tonight - do i lose any value?

    Any help hugely appreciated!

    1. Ruinenlust
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      No

      1. FPL_DON
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        thanks mate, appreciate it

    2. Traction Engine Foot
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      No your selling price will be the same

      1. FPL_DON
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        legend, thanks mate

  5. Look at his face!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    FH teams- Ings or Jesus?

    1. A-L
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Ings and would rather triple up on City midfield

  6. SuperMane Returns
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    How's she looking for GW 38 folks?

    Patricio
    TAA/Doherty/Tarkowski
    Martial/Fernandes/Sterling(c)/Dilva/Pulisic
    Vardy/Wood

    Subs:Alonso/Greenwood/Femenia

  7. michudagawd
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Pope
    TAA Dunk Doherty
    Sterling (c) KDB Puli Bruno Martial
    Rashford Ings

    Button - Stephens Boly Brewster

    1 FT, 1.2 itb

    Thoughts on Bruno + Rashford to Dilva + Kane for a hit?

    1. Two Popes and a Gazza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      -4?
      I'd do it.

      1. michudagawd
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Yeah -4.

  8. Qaiss
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Can anyone else smell a Vardy Party today?

    1. IRBOX ⚽
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Unlikely

      1. Qaiss
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        I hope they do beat Man U tbh. Vardy will be up for it

    2. Traction Engine Foot
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Gets 1 I think

  9. Tsparkes10
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    On a FH... 4 ahead of Rival who has a bb, his premiums as Salah, Jesus, KDB, VvD and TAA. This look okay? Tempted by Mahrez, Robo and Son

    Martinez
    Taa Pieters Aurier
    Salah Kdb Dilva Sterling Martial
    Greenwood Kane
    (Martin, Branthwaite, Connolly, Williams)

    1. Kun Tozser
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      What’s his bench?

      1. Tsparkes10
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Nothing amazing, Pieters, Ramsdale, Grealish and guendouzi

  10. FOO FIGHTER
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    CHE only 2 clean sheets in the last 8 since the restart.

    I have Patricio an Doherty.

    I have to start Patricio but I am wondering if I should not go Doherty instead of Greenwood? Doherty is looking dangerous. Means only Jesus up top though. Still want to do Bruno to Son so with that change it will look like this.

    Pat
    TAA Dunk Aurier Doc
    Mo Raz Dilva Tony Son
    Jesus

    Or Greenwood instead of Doc?

    1. Tsparkes10
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Greenwood for dunk imo

      1. FOO FIGHTER
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Nah. I want to play Dunk.

      2. waldo666
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        This.

  11. Duffy Dunk
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Which is your favourite attacker for gw38, from each one of LIV, MCI, MUN, TOT ?
    Mine currently are Salah, Sterling, Martial, Kane.

    1. michudagawd
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Yeah those 4 I think.

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Son instead of Kane for me.

    3. Tsparkes10
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Agree

    4. ZimZalabim
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Mane, Mahrez, Martial, Moura

    5. ZimZalabim
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      salah, sterling, shaw, son

  12. jdp219
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    On the West coast of the US. Unlikely I am getting up that early for team news and/or lineups. Probably need to do this tonight. If I'm honest, leaning toward 3.

    1) Vardy, Bruno > Kane(tc), Dilva
    2) Vardy, Bruno > Wood, Sterling(tc)
    3) Vardy, Pulisic, Bruno > Wood, Sterling(tc), Dilva (-4)
    4) Vardy, Pulisic, Doherty > Kane(tc), Dilva, Pieters (-4)

    Pope
    TAA, Doherty, Aurier
    Salah, KDB, Pulisic, Bruno
    Vardy, Greenwood, Jimenez

    1. Tsparkes10
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      2

      1. jdp219
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks

    2. A-L
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

      1. jdp219
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks

    3. jdp219
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Well, then. More definitive than I've received so far. (may have asked this a couple times in a couple different ways)

      1. A-L
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Yeah just prefer Sterling for a haul but wouldn’t -4 hit. Could you do Doherty to Brandon Williams to fund Sterling instead of Vardy?

        1. jdp219
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          I like where your head's at. I didn't think of that. Unfortunately, can't. I have nothing in the bank. Still 0.6 needed.

    4. Two Popes and a Gazza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      2 might be the safer choice, but 3 is the romantic one.

      1. jdp219
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        I'm protecting a 31-point ML lead. Guessing that's 2, then.

      2. jdp219
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Main concern is rival has his FH. Surely he will have Raz and Dilva.

  13. ZTF
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Trying to make up 20pt on someone with a FH. Would you get Dilva or a hail mary in someone like Richarlison

    1. Tsparkes10
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Risk it, go with Rich

    2. yalala
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      (C) Son

    3. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Avoid Everton.

      1. ZTF
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Everyone else will be, that’s the point 😉

        1. TheSteel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Unnecessarily big differential if chasing one guy. Get Dilva (if he doesn't have him) and captain him.

          1. ZTF
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 8 months ago

            He’s on a FH so will likely have him. There is one other guy in between (about 5 in front) but I’m confident if I get past, I get past him

  14. yalala
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    (C) Son anyone?

    1. A-L
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I’m feeling a goal and assist

    2. TheSteel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I like it. You chasing?

      1. yalala
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        61k OR, maybe this gets me to 50k

  15. Lav
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    GTG? (c) correct?

    Martinez
    TAA Bardsley Pieters
    Salah Raz(c) KDB Martial DSilva(vc)
    Kane Ings

    Button Branthwaite

    1. Lav
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Connolly & Williams to round out bench.

    2. Tsparkes10
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Exact same on my Fh mate, but Aurier, greenwood over Bardsley, Ings atm

      1. Lav
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Fair. Considering Diop or Johnson in defense over one of Bardsley / Pieters. Could be a late move.

  16. SuperMane Returns
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    How's she looking for GW 38 folks ?

    Patricio
    TAA/Doherty/Tarkowski
    Martial/Fernandes/Sterling(c)/Dilva/Pulisic
    Vardy/Wood

    Subs:Alonso/Greenwood/Femenia

    Thanks in advance 🙂

  17. Letsgo!
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Capt dsilva anyone?

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Go for it

  18. Look at his face!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Last decision on free hit:

    A- Ings, kdb, Bardlsey
    B- Jesus, martial, long

    1. Letsgo!
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Not jesus pls

      1. Look at his face!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Jesus against Norwich is mighty tempting

        1. Letsgo!
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Nah dont think so, ster mahrez kdb dsilva is more than enough

    2. KINGS
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

  19. SuperMane Returns
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Is Kane worth a -4 folks?

    1. yalala
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Yea

    2. TheSteel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Depends on rest of team and who you're selling

      1. SuperMane Returns
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Anyone else worried about waiting for last 15mins to do transfers (FPL Scarface possible leaks) and a server crash?

        1. michudagawd
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          It's possible but there aren't the same numbers playing now as there were earlier in the season so pretty unlikely I think.

  20. Letsgo!
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Pope
    Vvd aurier doherty
    Pulisic sterling(c) dsilva bruno
    Ings kane jimmy

    Gtg?
    Subs: button. Saka, awb, lascelles

    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Good Stuff

  21. Duffy Dunk
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Last price changes of the season in a few minutes...

    1. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Looks pretty uneventful, here's hoping.

  22. Bring back Rafa
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    FH team, advice appreciated

    A) KDB, Antonio, Bardsley (3rd Burnley)
    Or
    B) Mahrez, Martial, Aurier

    1. TheSteel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A for me

  23. FDMS All Starz
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    In order of highest to lowest, which are the most popular picks on FH teams here?

    A) Martial
    B) Pulisic
    C) Ings
    D) Antonio
    E) Son

    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      My ratings
      D) Antonio
      E) Son
      A) Martial
      C) Ings
      B) Pulisic

  24. melvinmbabazi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Thoughts on what to do this week? I have 1FT and 0.2 ITB , No FH, Only have KDB as city coverage and want more

    Martinez, (Martin)
    TAA, Doherty, Tark, (J.Robinson, Ngakia)
    Mane, KDB, Bruno, Martial, (Guendouzi)
    Vardy, Jimi, Greenwood

    Thanks

  25. Muscout
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    A) TAA, Sterling, Greenwood
    B) Azpi / 6.1m, Dilva, Auba

    1) Dilva and Auba
    2) Mahrez and Jesus

  26. iL PiStOlErO
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Keep Salah or bring Sterling(TC)??

    Already own KdB and Dilva. If I sell Salah it also allows me to do Rash to Kane/Auba for -4m, if not I am stuck with triple Utd and dont have Sterling.

    1. PepSala
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Get Kane in and TC Sterling mate. -4 is nothing when you have a triple captain chip. A clean sheet alone almost wipes out the hit

  27. KINGS
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Guys. Which one would you go for

    A) Mahrez + Jimi
    B) Sterling + Nkethiah

    1. A-L
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B - even if you had to start both

      1. KINGS
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks Pal

  28. PepSala
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    I have a 13pt lead. Who wins this?

    His team:

    Ederson
    Gomez Digne Doherty
    Sterling(c) Antonio Son Bruno
    Kane Jesus Greenwood

    My team:

    Pope
    Pieters/Tark Robbo Doherty
    KDB D.Silva Sterling(c) Martial
    Kane Ings Greenwood

    Can't decide between Pieters and Tark

    1. Two Popes and a Gazza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Looking at it, you just have to cross you fingers that Son has a bad day.

  29. Ógie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Can anyone beat 435 in Footie Invaders?

    http://www.fplstatistics.co.uk/ThreeD/SpaceInv2

    1. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      840

      1. Ógie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        😯

  30. Tsparkes10
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Rival has Salah.. I’m 4 ahead, cover or go mane?

    1. Two Popes and a Gazza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I'd cover.

    2. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Cover

    3. A-L
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Hate to say it but cover

    4. michudagawd
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Defo cover.