Tips

The Complete Guide to Scout’s tips and advice for FPL Gameweek 38+

It’s here: the final day of the season! Soon all the tinkering will stop and the rollercoaster ride will begin. Strap yourselves in! 

Welcome to the Fantasy Football Scout Guide to Gameweek 38+. Today’s deadline is at 15:00 BST, one hour before all ten matches kick-off.

The basics first: check the team news. Neale watches all the press conferences throughout the season and will have a sense for how each Premier League manager might approach their last game.

His predicted line-ups and notes contain the most up-to-date information about each team. Make sure your picks or potential transfer targets are included in his best-guess starting XIs. We might get some early team news but it helps to be prepared as much as possible beforehand.

There are a number of different ways to approach Gameweek 38+ and what you choose to do may depend on your overall rank and mini-league situation.

Mark Sutherns, for instance, hasn’t enjoyed his best campaign despite climbing the ranks since the resumption. And he revealed on the FPL show that Christian Pulisic will be his captain because he needs something different to break into the top 100k.

But this isn’t a recommendation that all FPL managers do the same, as Mark himself admitted a safe pick would be a Manchester City player such as Raheem Sterling or, perhaps, Kevin De Bruyne. In the conclusion to his Captain Sensible article, David wrote:

Sterling is clearly the most promising asset from Guardiola’s squad based on his last four performances. No Citizen can match him for big chances or shots on target during that period as he has rediscovered his clinical edge and an impassioned desire to hit 20 or more goals in the Premier League this season.

– David, Captain Sensible

Not only is Sterling in good form but he faces a team in bad shape. Norwich City have conceded 54 shots in the box over their last four matches; only Brighton have been worse. 

It’s easy to understand why so many are considering Pep Guardiola’s troops. To add fuel to the fire, Pep himself revealed that scoring goals will be a motivation for his players:

Every game there has to be a target, a focus, a desire to win the game, and maybe, scoring 100 goals is one of the reasons why.

– Pep Guardiola

The Citizens are currently on 97 goals for the season. So, is everyone tripling up on the former champions?

We’ve had five articles from our Pro Pundits this week: Zophar, Sam, Az, Holly, and Lateriser12 and they all have three City players in their teams.

Likewise Neale, who is preparing his Free Hit team, and Andy, who isn’t on a Free Hit but will have three City attackers.

using-the-top-10000-ownership-to-increase-your-fpl-rank-andys-article 9

On the Scoutcast, Az unveiled an alternative Free Hit team, one without Aubameyang, while both Joe and guest Aleksander will have two City attackers. Aleksander is currently third in the world and is debating whether he goes all out to win FPL – which means picking some differentials – or playing safe and trying to hold onto the bronze medal.

And in his regular review, TheFantasyFreÆK explained how he favours the City front three

It seems only Mark will have one City player as he considers swapping Willian for David Silva

Who knows where the points are going to go, it’s a bit of a lottery isn’t it?

– Mark Sutherns, FPL Show

But there are plenty of opportunities this week for captain and transfer options with a number of enticing match-ups. 

Newcastle, as Neale outlined on the Team News video, are down five of their recognised six centre-halfs, while David described them as being “among the most obliging defences of the last four matches”.

Good news for Liverpool and perhaps Mohamed Salah, who has, according to expected goals, been “the ‘unluckiest’ player in the Premier League from Gameweek 30+ onwards when we factor in both the quality of his chances and the execution of his shots”.

As Pro Pundit Holly notes:

[Salah’s] top for shots (21), shots on target (12) and shots inside the box (19), so ignore him at your peril.

– Pro Pundit Holly
 1

On the Breakfast Club, Neale explained that Mané’s aerial ability could lead to points against the Magpies. Steve Bruce’s side have conceded the most headed chances since the restart, which is consistent with their performance all season. 

There could be a lot of joy in the air for Liverpool.

– Neale, Breakfast Club

Crystal Palace are another side who are expected to struggle, with injuries across their backline. Good news for Harry Kane:

Not only are the Eagles giving up a host of high-quality chances, Spurs’ centre-forward has been steadily improving his total of big chances and shots on target over the last four.

– David, Captain Sensible

Kane’s teammate Son Heung-min was mentioned by Aleksander on the Scoutcast, and Johnny Orphan, currently 53rd in the world, has an interesting theory that the Eagles’ current right-back Joel Ward is a weak link in their defence.

Meanwhile, Watford’s recent poor form will give encouragement to those backing Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette. The latter was selected by Pro Pundit Tom Freeman as one of his three differentials this week.

[The Hornets’] 13 big chances conceded over the last four matches is the same number as Palace and Norwich but means giving up one every 2.7 shots in the box.

– David, Captain Sensible

Seven of those big chances conceded were against Manchester City, it has to be said. 

Tricky Calls

We might feel reasonably confident in predicting wins for City, Liverpool, Spurs and Arsenal but a number of matches are much harder to call.

Take Chelsea v Wolves, for example. Both teams need to get a result to fulfil their European ambitions. The boldness of Mark’s decision to hand Pulisic the armband is highlighted when we consider the strength of the opposition defence: 

Five big chances conceded by Wolverhampton Wanderers since the restart, which is the lowest total in the division. No club has conceded fewer goals (four), shots in the box (16) or efforts in the box (41) than Wolves from Gameweek 30+ onwards.

– Neale, Big Numbers

And Manchester United’s trip to Leicester City is another game with a lot potentially riding on the result – a place in the Champions League could be at stake.

Their recent schedule afforded Ole Gunnar Solskjær’s men very little time to recover between matches, which may well have contributed to some tired-looking performances. However, as Az warned on the Scoutcast, taking out United players could hurt given their huge ownership levels. 

But, equally, this could be a very cagey match as a draw will be good enough for both teams should Wolves beat Chelsea.

Go cheap at the back?

With many managers looking to invest in appealing attacking assets, identifying cut-price defenders with clean sheet potential could be key to Gameweek 38+ success.

So Chris Wood’s comments ahead of Burnley’s match against Brighton were music to our ears:

As a team, we’ll be fighting like hell for [Nick Pope]. He’s an outstanding goalkeeper. Hopefully, we can get him one more so he can get his hands on the Golden Glove.

– Chris Wood

Not only do Burnley offer several cheap defensive options but there’s also the chance they could produce some attacking returns too:

36 chances conceded by Brighton and Hove Albion from their right flank since the restart. Only relegated Norwich City have allowed more opportunities to be created from that zone than the Seagulls… Erik Pieters could potentially exploit that weakness when the two sides meet on Sunday, then.

– Neale, Big Numbers

Since replacing Bernd Leno in goal in Gameweek 30+, Emiliano Martinez has saved 83.3% of the shots on target he’s faced. At £4.4m, he could help enable more expensive options further forward.

And Southampton have the fifth-best chance of recording a clean sheet according to the latest odds supplied, as ever, by G-Whizz. Alex McCarthy, Jack Stephens and Kyle Walker-Peters are all sub-£4.5m options for our squads.

Enjoy the final day

Lateriser12 reminded us that we should try to have fun, and one way of doing that is by playing the game our way:

… you still need to make well informed decisions that are based on stats and the eye-test and on the correct side of probability. The point is that you have to be happy you made the right choice for your playing style, regardless of the outcome.

– Lateriser12

In his article this week, he quoted former community member Eunuch Jelly, who defined what made playing FPL so enjoyable for him:

If you keep your eye on the ball, you can set yourself up for hours of enjoyment at the expense of your rivals. I urge you to transcend points and find the true heart of the game, where those who take a different path can mock others for a few minutes on the weekend and be the real champions of the game.

– Eunuch Jelly

Whether it’s getting one over on a rival or reaching a certain rank, FPL is a game which unites us all.

And speaking of the Fantasy community, here’s your chance to get more involved with the site by joining the Scout Network.

Be it a cool tool, a video channel, amazing tech skills or anything else in between, we want to hear from you.

Community Competitions

For an update on all FFS Mini-Leagues and Community Competitions – including the winners of both the Head-to-Head league and Last Man Standing – please click here to read the latest round-up.

The Head-to-Head fixtures for Gameweek 38+ can be found below:

Use the drop-down menus to show your league and division. To find out which league and division you are in (although you probably know by now!), follow the instructions on the main Head-to-Head page.

May your arrows be green!


TopMarx Fan of Fantasy Football and Monty Python. "Archimedes out to Socrates, Socrates back to Archimedes, Archimedes out to Heraclitus, he beats Hegel. Heraclitus a little flick, here he comes on the far post, Socrates is there, Socrates heads it in! Socrates has scored! The Greeks are going mad, the Greeks are going mad! Socrates scores, got a beautiful cross from Archimedes. The Germans are disputing it. Hegel is arguing that the reality is merely an a priori adjunct of non-naturalistic ethics, Kant via the categorical imperative is holding that ontologically it exists only in the imagination, and Marx is claiming it was offside. Follow them on Twitter

3,847 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Lev Yashin
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Martinez
    Robbo, Beardsley, Pieters
    Salah, Sterling, Mahrez, Silva, Antonio
    Kane, Ings

    Martin, Greenwood, Branthwaite, Williams

    A) leave it alone
    B) Play Greenwood and downgrade who?
    C) Mahrez -> Martial

  2. Charan77
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Doherty & Rodriguez to Laporte & Wood?

  3. Rainer
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    OMG

    1. have you seen cyan
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      yes what?

  4. Nightf0x
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Martinez
    Taa bardsley long (sais lascels)
    Mane puli kdb dsilva stelring
    Green jimi (rash)

    A) Any news on this players or something?
    B) Tc who?
    C) bench 1 from the frontline, whom?

  5. Woy_is_back
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    If TAA is benched I just play Doherty or should I get better replacement?

    1. Marty McFly
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Where is the TAA benched news coming from?

    2. ZLATAN'S PONYTAIL
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Doherty is good. Unless you're on FH

      1. Woy_is_back
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Ta

    1. BrutalLogiC
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      the double underscore

      1. Duke Silver ☑
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        He's a fake right?

    2. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Very likely fake

  6. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    bruno + Ederson —> Sterling + Martinez ?

  7. BurnMyBread
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Minamino worth considering?

  8. Valar(Keith)
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    There's a serious lack of Ings mentions in any of the articles lol. Second guessing owning him.. may just go Pulisic instead

  9. Sterling Malory
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Azpi > Laporte
    Or
    Bruno/Pulisic > Dilva (which one)

  10. Maarrrr17
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Have Gomez in my FH.

    Thoughts?
    He's my only pool defence

  11. Ange Ball
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    What do I do with my Defence final place

    sure starters Digne Doherty

    A) TAA> Peiters -4
    B) Alonso > Peiters -4

    C) Play TAA
    D) Play Alonso

    Holgate injured don't have 5th Defender

  12. Lev Yashin
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Come on Ed, pedal a bit faster to keep those servers going!!

    1. ed24
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Ok

  13. Don Kloppeone
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Bench/ order correct? Anything need changing?

    0.2itb
    Pope
    TAA, Laporte, Aurier, Pieters
    Salah (v), Sterling (C), Dilva, Martial
    Kane, Ings
    (Martin) (Greenwood, Dendo, Branthwaite)

    1. Amey
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      If donkey starts in midfield he can get something. So he deserves second spot.
      Bournemouth likely scoring so i agree
      G2G

  14. Oringer7
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Joe Gomez or Aurier?

    1. COLLIN QUANER
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Aurier

  15. HNI
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Who to go pick?

    1) Son + Aurier
    or
    2) Long(BUR) + Auba

  16. BEEZUS
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    A) Antonio - no hit
    B) Silva/Mahrez with a -4

  17. Now I'm Panicking
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Servers creaking - FFS coma imminent

    1. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      She cannae take anymore captain!

  18. Ógie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    503 Service Unavailable

    She is starting to buckle under the pressure.

    1. Debauchy
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      odds stacked in the Epic one but gl fella

  19. Chucky
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    any update on sterling and salah ??

  20. have you seen cyan
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    FFS struggling hard, a sign of things to come with the FPL site
    Pythons will be a licking

  21. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    servers creeking, additional price rise for subscription next season imminent

    1. Jafooli
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      😆

  22. The_Fish
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    KDB or Mahrez...

  23. Pukki Party
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Foden and Sterling related info on FPL_Scarface twitter account for those interested.

    1. Godfrey
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      it's a fake account, watch out

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      it's the fake one I believe

    2. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      No, the real one has closed his accout

    3. juho
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      reddit folks say it's a fake account

  24. Messiah Hazard
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Too many questions. FFS crashing.

  25. Big boy Bowen
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    So any team news?

  26. Brosstan
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Lel, new Scarface account (likely fake) claiming Sterling is benched Lmao 😆

  27. Tomerick
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    And the servers are down. Good luck all!

  28. FPL FAN
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Foden and Mane --> Dilva and Mahrez ?