Tips

The Complete Guide to Scout’s tips and advice for FPL Gameweek 38+

It’s here: the final day of the season! Soon all the tinkering will stop and the rollercoaster ride will begin. Strap yourselves in! 

Welcome to the Fantasy Football Scout Guide to Gameweek 38+. Today’s deadline is at 15:00 BST, one hour before all ten matches kick-off.

The basics first: check the team news. Neale watches all the press conferences throughout the season and will have a sense for how each Premier League manager might approach their last game.

His predicted line-ups and notes contain the most up-to-date information about each team. Make sure your picks or potential transfer targets are included in his best-guess starting XIs. We might get some early team news but it helps to be prepared as much as possible beforehand.

There are a number of different ways to approach Gameweek 38+ and what you choose to do may depend on your overall rank and mini-league situation.

Mark Sutherns, for instance, hasn’t enjoyed his best campaign despite climbing the ranks since the resumption. And he revealed on the FPL show that Christian Pulisic will be his captain because he needs something different to break into the top 100k.

But this isn’t a recommendation that all FPL managers do the same, as Mark himself admitted a safe pick would be a Manchester City player such as Raheem Sterling or, perhaps, Kevin De Bruyne. In the conclusion to his Captain Sensible article, David wrote:

Sterling is clearly the most promising asset from Guardiola’s squad based on his last four performances. No Citizen can match him for big chances or shots on target during that period as he has rediscovered his clinical edge and an impassioned desire to hit 20 or more goals in the Premier League this season.

– David, Captain Sensible

Not only is Sterling in good form but he faces a team in bad shape. Norwich City have conceded 54 shots in the box over their last four matches; only Brighton have been worse. 

It’s easy to understand why so many are considering Pep Guardiola’s troops. To add fuel to the fire, Pep himself revealed that scoring goals will be a motivation for his players:

Every game there has to be a target, a focus, a desire to win the game, and maybe, scoring 100 goals is one of the reasons why.

– Pep Guardiola

The Citizens are currently on 97 goals for the season. So, is everyone tripling up on the former champions?

We’ve had five articles from our Pro Pundits this week: Zophar, Sam, Az, Holly, and Lateriser12 and they all have three City players in their teams.

Likewise Neale, who is preparing his Free Hit team, and Andy, who isn’t on a Free Hit but will have three City attackers.

using-the-top-10000-ownership-to-increase-your-fpl-rank-andys-article 9

On the Scoutcast, Az unveiled an alternative Free Hit team, one without Aubameyang, while both Joe and guest Aleksander will have two City attackers. Aleksander is currently third in the world and is debating whether he goes all out to win FPL – which means picking some differentials – or playing safe and trying to hold onto the bronze medal.

And in his regular review, TheFantasyFreÆK explained how he favours the City front three

It seems only Mark will have one City player as he considers swapping Willian for David Silva

Who knows where the points are going to go, it’s a bit of a lottery isn’t it?

– Mark Sutherns, FPL Show

But there are plenty of opportunities this week for captain and transfer options with a number of enticing match-ups. 

Newcastle, as Neale outlined on the Team News video, are down five of their recognised six centre-halfs, while David described them as being “among the most obliging defences of the last four matches”.

Good news for Liverpool and perhaps Mohamed Salah, who has, according to expected goals, been “the ‘unluckiest’ player in the Premier League from Gameweek 30+ onwards when we factor in both the quality of his chances and the execution of his shots”.

As Pro Pundit Holly notes:

[Salah’s] top for shots (21), shots on target (12) and shots inside the box (19), so ignore him at your peril.

– Pro Pundit Holly
 1

On the Breakfast Club, Neale explained that Mané’s aerial ability could lead to points against the Magpies. Steve Bruce’s side have conceded the most headed chances since the restart, which is consistent with their performance all season. 

There could be a lot of joy in the air for Liverpool.

– Neale, Breakfast Club

Crystal Palace are another side who are expected to struggle, with injuries across their backline. Good news for Harry Kane:

Not only are the Eagles giving up a host of high-quality chances, Spurs’ centre-forward has been steadily improving his total of big chances and shots on target over the last four.

– David, Captain Sensible

Kane’s teammate Son Heung-min was mentioned by Aleksander on the Scoutcast, and Johnny Orphan, currently 53rd in the world, has an interesting theory that the Eagles’ current right-back Joel Ward is a weak link in their defence.

Meanwhile, Watford’s recent poor form will give encouragement to those backing Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette. The latter was selected by Pro Pundit Tom Freeman as one of his three differentials this week.

[The Hornets’] 13 big chances conceded over the last four matches is the same number as Palace and Norwich but means giving up one every 2.7 shots in the box.

– David, Captain Sensible

Seven of those big chances conceded were against Manchester City, it has to be said. 

Tricky Calls

We might feel reasonably confident in predicting wins for City, Liverpool, Spurs and Arsenal but a number of matches are much harder to call.

Take Chelsea v Wolves, for example. Both teams need to get a result to fulfil their European ambitions. The boldness of Mark’s decision to hand Pulisic the armband is highlighted when we consider the strength of the opposition defence: 

Five big chances conceded by Wolverhampton Wanderers since the restart, which is the lowest total in the division. No club has conceded fewer goals (four), shots in the box (16) or efforts in the box (41) than Wolves from Gameweek 30+ onwards.

– Neale, Big Numbers

And Manchester United’s trip to Leicester City is another game with a lot potentially riding on the result – a place in the Champions League could be at stake.

Their recent schedule afforded Ole Gunnar Solskjær’s men very little time to recover between matches, which may well have contributed to some tired-looking performances. However, as Az warned on the Scoutcast, taking out United players could hurt given their huge ownership levels. 

But, equally, this could be a very cagey match as a draw will be good enough for both teams should Wolves beat Chelsea.

Go cheap at the back?

With many managers looking to invest in appealing attacking assets, identifying cut-price defenders with clean sheet potential could be key to Gameweek 38+ success.

So Chris Wood’s comments ahead of Burnley’s match against Brighton were music to our ears:

As a team, we’ll be fighting like hell for [Nick Pope]. He’s an outstanding goalkeeper. Hopefully, we can get him one more so he can get his hands on the Golden Glove.

– Chris Wood

Not only do Burnley offer several cheap defensive options but there’s also the chance they could produce some attacking returns too:

36 chances conceded by Brighton and Hove Albion from their right flank since the restart. Only relegated Norwich City have allowed more opportunities to be created from that zone than the Seagulls… Erik Pieters could potentially exploit that weakness when the two sides meet on Sunday, then.

– Neale, Big Numbers

Since replacing Bernd Leno in goal in Gameweek 30+, Emiliano Martinez has saved 83.3% of the shots on target he’s faced. At £4.4m, he could help enable more expensive options further forward.

And Southampton have the fifth-best chance of recording a clean sheet according to the latest odds supplied, as ever, by G-Whizz. Alex McCarthy, Jack Stephens and Kyle Walker-Peters are all sub-£4.5m options for our squads.

Enjoy the final day

Lateriser12 reminded us that we should try to have fun, and one way of doing that is by playing the game our way:

… you still need to make well informed decisions that are based on stats and the eye-test and on the correct side of probability. The point is that you have to be happy you made the right choice for your playing style, regardless of the outcome.

– Lateriser12

In his article this week, he quoted former community member Eunuch Jelly, who defined what made playing FPL so enjoyable for him:

If you keep your eye on the ball, you can set yourself up for hours of enjoyment at the expense of your rivals. I urge you to transcend points and find the true heart of the game, where those who take a different path can mock others for a few minutes on the weekend and be the real champions of the game.

– Eunuch Jelly

Whether it’s getting one over on a rival or reaching a certain rank, FPL is a game which unites us all.

And speaking of the Fantasy community, here’s your chance to get more involved with the site by joining the Scout Network.

Be it a cool tool, a video channel, amazing tech skills or anything else in between, we want to hear from you.

Community Competitions

For an update on all FFS Mini-Leagues and Community Competitions – including the winners of both the Head-to-Head league and Last Man Standing – please click here to read the latest round-up.

The Head-to-Head fixtures for Gameweek 38+ can be found below:

Use the drop-down menus to show your league and division. To find out which league and division you are in (although you probably know by now!), follow the instructions on the main Head-to-Head page.

May your arrows be green!


TopMarx Fan of Fantasy Football and Monty Python. "Archimedes out to Socrates, Socrates back to Archimedes, Archimedes out to Heraclitus, he beats Hegel. Heraclitus a little flick, here he comes on the far post, Socrates is there, Socrates heads it in! Socrates has scored! The Greeks are going mad, the Greeks are going mad! Socrates scores, got a beautiful cross from Archimedes. The Germans are disputing it. Hegel is arguing that the reality is merely an a priori adjunct of non-naturalistic ethics, Kant via the categorical imperative is holding that ontologically it exists only in the imagination, and Marx is claiming it was offside. Follow them on Twitter

3,847 Comments Post a Comment
  1. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Last minute mane and Trent to sterling and laporte. Wow that was exciting.

  2. Reggie Nainggolan
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Lol did the website crash for others too

    1. Pep bites Kun
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Yep

  3. Nomar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Last minute cap change. Salah to Silva (TC).

  4. The-Red-1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    I have no idea what team I have lining up for me. I hit make transfers but might have missed the deadline

    1. L S P
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      i did Salah/Nketiah out for Auba/Keita but I think Auba's first on the bench.

      oh boy

  5. sminkypinky
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Salah to Sterling (c) -4 last minute. Hope Raheem starts and not the other way around. 😆

    1. amitmishr
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Have captained sterling too. No Liverpool asset, so not much concerns there

  6. Rt505
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Last minute Salah to Son transfer for a hit. Right call?

    Annoyingly have Foden first sub but I don’t think Salah will get zero mins

    1. Limbo
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I think Salah gets 30

    2. Tempestic
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      same! also did Kiko> robbo and benched TAA!

  7. Limbo
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Just need to hope rival didnt act on that tweet.

  8. OLEgend
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Big news Nketiah benched...

  9. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Fake account

    He's reverted it back.

  10. Salah’s Sonnet
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    SO GLAD THIS IS THE END TODAY, season well and truly a compelte waste!

    1. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      This

  11. Nightcrawler
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Wow couldnt find the pool line up

    Salah and DCL both in my team now...

  12. BobbyDoesNotLook
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Foden starts. Lucky for non-FHers. Finally my Mahrez start guessing luck ended. Scared seeing Kdb, Jesus and Foden start - owned all of those before FH. Not the only on this boat though 😀

  13. Don Kloppeone
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Had time to change TAA > Robbo but left Salah in

    🙁

    Hope Klopp gives him enough time to come on and haul...

    1. Amey
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Sh.t

      1. Don Kloppeone
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        That’s one way of putting it....

        There goes the FH advantage!

        1. Amey
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          M sorry bro

    2. Hits from the Bong
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Same boat buddy. Good luck

      1. Don Kloppeone
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        You too mate

  14. Brehmeren
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Started Mahrez and benched Foden. Luckily it's all over in a few hours.

  15. wanVwan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Salah and Mahrez LOL

  16. ElliotJHP
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Chaos.

    Martial out and back in within 80 seconds after Spion Kop news.

    Welcome Nico X

  17. Sasquatch Slayer
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    And we’re back

  18. OverTinker
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    I have no defender to come for TAA and instead I did Salah to KDB for a hit. Seems stupid but lets see.

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Trent will come on.

  19. have you seen cyan
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Feck Salah benched, what the fck line up is that. Pool will probably lose

  20. Fishy
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    No salah no mahrez no willian.....

  21. Zilla
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    13/15 on BB, hopefully cameos from Mahrez and TAA

  22. Long ago I drew a walrus
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Splitting headache after that mess

  23. Jafooli
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Lingard benched, my sources were correct again 😎

  24. FPL Blow-In
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Sold AWB and Vardy to TAA and Ings for a hit. F***ing typical

  25. mad_beer ✅
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    GW38 chaos. You got to love it!

    1. sminkypinky
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Agree. Chased by 1 point. Not even sure how many now after that pandemonium.

  26. Sif
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Eurgh! City I can deal with but that Liverpool team...

  27. Feanor
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    I benched Salah and started Ings at 9:59am local time.

  28. df34
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Couldn’t make my free hit team couple of mins before deadline , FF went back to home page when I pressed free hit button. Very annoying

  29. Shultan
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Bonkers last 10 minutes! All my FH had salah, took him out

  30. Twisted Saltergater
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    This doesn't bode well...