Scout Notes

Should FPL managers sell Aubameyang ahead of Arsenal’s tough fixture run?

Arsenal 2-1 West Ham United

  • Goals: Alexandre Lacazette (£8.5m), Eddie Nketiah (£6.0m) | Michail Antonio (£6.4m)
  • Assists: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£12.0m), Dani Ceballos (£5.5m) | Ryan Fredericks (£4.5m)
  • Bonus: Nketiah x3, Ceballos x2, Lacazette x1

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£12.0m) is top of the charts for Fantasy Premier League transfers out ahead of Gameweek 3, with over 250,000 FPL bosses having offloaded the Gabon international since last Saturday’s deadline.

Modest returns in the opening two Gameweeks is one reason for the exodus but Arsenal’s upcoming fixture run is arguably the single biggest contributing factor, with the Gunners now facing five fixtures against sides who finished in the top half last season.


In nine meetings against these five clubs last season, Aubameyang delivered just two goals and one assist.

Even a player who consistently boasts one of the best goal conversion records in the division would struggle with his underlying numbers in these games: the premium midfielder managed only two shots on target (scoring both, naturally) and averaged less than one effort in the box per appearance.

Top half last season doesn’t necessarily mean top half this season, of course, and the jury is still out on a Sheffield United backline without the services of Dean Henderson (£5.5m).

Liverpool’s high defensive line was exposed by Leeds in Gameweek 1, meanwhile, and Aubameyang put Manchester City to the sword in the FA Cup semi-final in July.

Still, the fact remains that the Gunners’ Gameweek 3-7 opponents were all in the top six for fewest goals conceded in 2019/20.

Aubameyang will almost certainly bag at least one attacking return, maybe even a handful, in his upcoming five matches, but is he likely to outscore the premium assets from the other ‘big six’ clubs over the same timeframe?

And in how many of these fixtures would we realistically captain the Gabon international?

On paper, a premium midfielder exchange seems to be a straightforward decision – but FPL, as this weekend showed, may have other ideas.

ONE SHOT

Aubameyang was by some distance the most-captained FPL asset of Gameweek 2, with over two million Fantasy managers handing him the armband.

One solitary assist for Alexandre Lacazette‘s (£8.5m) opener was all that he could muster, with the Frenchman nodding home his teammate’s cross after just 24 minutes.

The expected avalanche of points failed to materialise as both player and club struggled to carve out chances, with Aubameyang’s only shot of the match coming from distance in the 90th minute.

There was mitigation for his own display though.

Aubameyang had cultivated a good understanding with Ainsley Maitland-Niles (£5.0m) and Kieran Tierney (£5.5m) down the left flank recently and he was without both of his comrades at the Emirates, with the former benched and the latter succumbing to an injury in the warm-up.

Bukayo Saka (£5.5m) and Sead Kolasinac (£4.9m) came into the side and although Saka “assisted the assister” for both of the hosts’ goals, the rapport simply wasn’t there between the left-sided trio for much of the game.

TIERNEY UPDATE
One statistic to rule them all

Mikel Arteta acknowledged a disjointed performance from his troops after full-time, saying:

I think we were a little bit lucky in certain moments, but we found a way in the end to win it and that’s the mentality I want from the team, to always believe that we can do it until the last moment, even when we have difficult games where suffer and make it very difficult for ourselves in certain positions.

But in the end, it’s three points and that’s what we’re here for. We will take some big notes because there are a lot of things to improve.

It’s very strange because we were talking with the staff today that they had their best week in terms of decision making, quality and execution with the ball by far since I joined the club, but then in the first 15 minutes, they gave the ball to the wrong colour too often. We need to improve on that and we know that we still have a lot of work to do here, but at least they kept trying and nobody tried to hide.

On Tierney’s injury, the Arsenal boss added:

Kieran is fine. He had a little muscular discomfort in the last few days. He tried today and worked in the warm-up but he wasn’t feeling comfortable today.
 
We believed that he was going to be fit but during the warm-up, in the last 10 minutes, he said he wasn’t feeling OK. We had to make a decision. We were prepared just in case and Kola came on and had a good game.

ANTONIO BACK AMONG THE GOALS

After an anticlimactic Gameweek 1, Michail Antonio (£6.4m) was back on the scoresheet at the Emirates.

Encouragingly, he was occupying the sorts of areas that led to his purple patch of form after lockdown ended in June.

His 44th-minute goal from a Ryan Fredericks (£4.5m) cross came from inside the six-yard box and he had an excellent chance to add to that tally after the break, failing to make proper contact on an Arthur Masuaku (£4.5m) delivery from close range.

Antonio then hit the bar with a header midway through the second half and saw a goalbound shot blocked in the subsequent melee.

West Ham’s awful upcoming fixture run will put many FPL managers off but few players could compete with Antonio’s underlying stats after lockdown ended and there were encouraging signs that he could recapture that form on Saturday.

MOYES GOES 3-4-3

With Mark Noble (£5.0m) injured, David Moyes called on Arthur Masuaku (£4.5m) to replace him and turned to a 3-4-3 for the trip to north London.

While Jarrod Bowen (£6.4m) and Tomas Soucek (£5.0m) were not at their best, Masuaku was excellent in a left wing-back role and West Ham delivered a much-improved display following their poor performance in Gameweek 1 – something to perhaps consider for those targeting assets who play the Hammers in weeks to come.

Moyes’ troops registered twice as many shots as their hosts, with their goal not coming under much threat after Lacazette’s opener – that is, until a lapse in concentration allowed Dani Ceballos (£5.5m) to set up Eddie Nketiah (£6.0m) for Arsenal’s late winner.

Moyes said of his side’s display:

We were massively improved from last week. We made chances, played well, wanted to be as good as we could. But ultimately we are playing a form team. I am disappointed that we have not come away with a point at least.

Arsenal XI (3-4-3): Leno; Holding, Gabriel, Kolasinac; Bellerin, Ceballos, Xhaka, Saka (Luiz 89′); Willian (Pepe 64′), Lacazette (Nketiah 77′), Aubameyang.

West Ham United XI (3-4-3): Fabianski; Diop, Ogbonna, Cresswell; Fredericks, Rice, Soucek, Masuaku (Anderson 85′); Bowen (Yarmolenko 83′), Antonio, Fornals (Haller 87′).

Members Analysis


FPL Lessons Learned from Gameweek 2

3,517 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Muchentuchel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    The last years you could always beat the casuals easily if you acted fast in the beginning and took advantage of price changes. Early wildcards were very powerful and could help you to get a good team value. As it is now, it's just no fun and no fairness anymore. Everyone has days to improve his team and the risk of making an early transfer is not rewarded anymore.

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      The game is still about points. Every season, you have more money than the top 50 but does it really matter?

      1. Muchentuchel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        I can understand the argument, but I played with a team value of 107m last year and that allows you to build a much stronger team.

        1. noquarternt
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 6 months ago

          maybe you need to become better at the game instead of moaning about changes that affect everyone equally?

          1. Muchentuchel
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 6 months ago

            Don't think it has anything to do with 'becoming better' at the game.
            In FPL there are different ways to success. For me it was always very useful to have a high team value.

        2. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 6 months ago

          Sounds like it's just a more expensive team, not one that scored well for the price.

  2. Pukki Blinders
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Anyone still going with Sterling after that performance?

    1. Flair
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Absolutely.

    2. Tiki-Taka
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      didnt score 12 goals so he's a bad option

    3. Bushwhacker
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Yup

    4. Dirty Harry
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Over KDB?

      1. Pukki Blinders
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        Yep

  3. noahzark22
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    A -4 got me here
    Button, Ryan
    Mitchell, Justin, Robertson, Alexander-Arnold, Walker-Peters
    Zaha, Podence, Son, Salah, Soucek
    Davis, Vardy, Kane

    Captain Kane?

  4. Flair
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Figuring out the three City players is tough. Losing one of Sterling, KDB, Foden, Jesus is a difficult ask.

    1. Sandesh_
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Im going sterling kdb foden

      1. Flair
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        Yeah, I may do similar. Not sure on Foden though.

        1. Sandesh_
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 6 months ago

          One of barnes or foden for me...taking risk on foden with decent bench

    2. Bushwhacker
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Foden will rotate massively.

      1. Flair
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        He's 6.5...

  5. trafalgarlaw
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Marcal got injured ?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Walked off so wait for presser.

  6. Muchentuchel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Fixed prices. FPL is dead. Any other nice football manager games?

    1. Pukki Blinders
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Nonsense

    2. noquarternt
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      haha

  7. dark91
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Anyone knows why all games from gameweeks 4-11 will be played in one day at the same time?

    1. Flair
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      They won't, just that TV schedule hasn't been determined yet.

      1. dark91
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        Ah ok fair enough, makes much more sense now thanks

  8. dark91
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Doesn't look like it. KDB and Saiss rose for example

    1. dark91
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Reply fail to KICKANDRUSH

      1. Muchentuchel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        Saiss rising after causing a pen?
        And what's the matter with Hamez?
        They made this game a complete fraud.

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 6 months ago

          What does the penalty have to do with anything?
          He's not injured or suspended.

        2. Don Van Vliet
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 6 months ago

          If every member on here had a price, you'd have lost at least 0.2 by now mate.

          1. Don Van Vliet
            • 10 Years
            3 years, 6 months ago

            Kickandrush, that is. Not TM.

            1. Muchentuchel
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              3 years, 6 months ago

              Yes, my master

  9. davies
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Make sense to save FT next week and go into the break with 2FT’s?

    1. Flair
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Depends entirely on your team and judgement of fixtures

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Could miss out on easy points if you do.

    3. BenDavies
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Might do the same barring any new developments, which probably will occur given this start to the season.

  10. Ayew Holding Mee Cork
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Is Zaha a trap?

    1. dark91
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      He has history of being a fantasy troll, that is all I can say

    2. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      I'd probably prefer finding 0.5 for James.

    3. Bushwhacker
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Only after the transfer deadline.

  11. Gabbiadini
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Thoughts on this WC without TAA...?

    Martinez*
    Castagne* | James* | Saïss*
    Salah | KDB* | Son* | Rodriguez*
    Werner | Ings | Bamford*

    Steer | Mitchell | Buur | 4.5*

    1. Joggers Nipple
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Nice team

    2. tokara
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      I sold ings this wc

      U convinced?

      1. Gabbiadini
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        yes, good fixtures and the way we (Southampton) are defending we will need to score goals to get points.

    3. Pavsboot
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Feel like I'd have Jimi ahead of both Werner/Ings. Could easily see his next 4 fixtures being goal fests.

      1. Pavsboot
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        Like the defence though. I reckon those 3 defintely provide enough value to make going with out TAA ok if a bit risky.

  12. Joggers Nipple
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Morning, currently on a -4 to get this

    Mc Carthy
    TAA Sais Dier Taylor
    James Salah KDB ASM
    Werner Martial

    Steer Mitchell Bissouma Vasilev 1.5M ITB

    A- Hold
    B- One more hit for Vassilev to Mitro (-8 for the week)
    C WC with Vassilev, Mc Carthy, ASM and may Dier out

    Thanks

  13. john25
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Hey guys, best mid for up to 5.6m? Podence? (is he nailed on with Semedo signed?), Klich? Costa? Anyone else?

    Cheers

    1. Joggers Nipple
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Klitch safer pick, Podence more upside/ risk?

    2. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      I’ve gone for podence because of fixtures

      1. john25
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        You think he’s nailed on for the next 5-6 GWs with Wolves signing Semedo?

  14. kobewan
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Vinagre starting next GW?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      If Marcal is injured.

  15. Flair
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Dropping Liverpool defense may not be that asinine... hmm. If I can go for Digne + Semedo and upgrade elsewhere, it could work out. Then bring both in from GW10 onwards.

  16. TheDragon
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Objectively, given fixtures, this looks quite decent for GW3? 0.5 ITB

    McCarthy
    TAA, Davies*, KWP, Mitchell
    Salah, KDB, Son, ASM*
    Werner, Martial
    4.0 | Justin, Davis, Bissouma

    What do you think?

    A) Good to go
    B) If ASM confirmed injured -4 to get Trossard/ Podence/ Klich/ Costa?
    C) ASM & Davies -> Saiss & 5.5m (-8)
    D) Wildcard as obv a few other ‘issues’ (Bissouma, Double saints defence)

    1. Joggers Nipple
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      b

    2. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      I don’t think any of those options in b are worth the hit.

      1. TheDragon
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        What if ASM is confirmed out though - I barely have a bench so would have to play Justin or Davis (Max 1 point likely)

  17. Winners900
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Ahh, missed the pricerise on KDB:( Someone else?

    1. Pukki Blinders
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Yep, Sterling it is then

    2. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Mahrez? Bruno?

  18. Henryyy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Thoughts on my WC much appreciated

    Martinez 4m
    TAA Digne Lamptey Saiss Mitchell
    Salah KDB Son Podence 4.5m
    Jimenez Mitro DCL

    0.3m ITB

    Cheers

    1. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      It’s good. Which 4.5 mid?

      1. Henryyy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        Burke

    2. Joggers Nipple
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Like it all aside from Digne

      1. Henryyy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        Why are you not a fan of Digne?

        1. Joggers Nipple
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 6 months ago

          I would want clean sheets as well as attacking returns and that is not happening, imo, with that defense and Pickford

          1. Henryyy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 6 months ago

            Cheers JN

  19. fplchampzzz
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Is Bale added into the game yet? Seems to take longer than usual.

    1. Flair
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      FPL Towers having a shocker

    2. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Nope

    3. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Won't be playing for ages so hardly an issue.

      1. fplchampzzz
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        It's more for my draft league.

  20. steven8991
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Zaha and Willian are the best two traps of FPL

    1. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Zaha has been unplayable

      First name on my WC team

    2. TheDragon
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Hopefully DCL, Bamford & Mitrovic will get added to that list!

      You are 10000% correct on Willian

    3. Pavsboot
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Dunno about Zaha. Good form + great fixtures for awhile (Everton/Chelsea certainly aren't the most defensively sound teams around).

  21. Pukki Blinders
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Mccarthy Steer
    TAA Justin Taylor Ayling Lewis
    Auba Salah Barnes Soucek Bissouma
    Werner Martial DCL

    This surely not worth a WC is it? No wolves my only real worry. Auba > Sterling this week I think.

    1. BenDavies
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      No its not worth a WC. Auba to KDB/Sterling and youre set

    2. TheDragon
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Those of us with the ‘big’ front 2 of Werner and Martial have been heavily punished so far by them blanking and all the cheaper options going huge.

      We get the points back this week... let’s go!

      1. Bleh
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        Think this is Martial’s last chance for me as I can see Jimi doing better than him over the next 5. He was absolutely abysmal against Palace as were the rest of his team.

        1. Pukki Blinders
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 6 months ago

          Agreed, would only remove on a free though definitely not worth a hit

      2. Pukki Blinders
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        That’s the way keep faith!

  22. Gabbiadini
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Werner, Zaha and Lamptey/Justin bench
    or.
    Werner, Rodriguez and Mitchell bench

    Strongly thinking B as I need Everton cover and have a backline of Castagne, James and Saïss (4.5 or Mitchell rotation is fairly similar)

  23. kobewan
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    RMT

    McCarthy(Ryan)
    TAA/Justin/Saiss/KWP(Vinagre)
    KDB/Hames/Salah/Son(Bissouma)
    Mitro/Werner(K. Davis)

    0.3 ITB should be have been 0.5 ITB
    Werner is due for a breakout game and WBA is just the game(hopefully)

    Cheers

  24. All about the galacticos
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Is there a fiddle?
    Werner, has double the transfers out than any striker, yet immune to price drops?
    If werner doesn't go down this week but wilson, martial or vardy do, its a clear con!
    he's also has double the absolute transfers out as ings, whose had a price dropped.
    I work as a statistician and this clearly looks like a fiddle, can anyone convince me otherwise?

    1. aleksaa2
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      New players that came into the leauge during this transfer window are locked for a price drop, I guess.

      1. All about the galacticos
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        Dont buy that argument. llana, ziyech, rodrigo? and many other new players in this window who've price have dropped

    2. Harry the Hack
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      double the absolute transfers as ings, but also double the ownership.
      You're a fiddle.

      1. All about the galacticos
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        dropped from 55% ownership in GW1 to 35%.
        double the transfers and proportionally same.
        get a calculator bud

        1. Harry the Hack
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 6 months ago

          you do know wildcard transfers don't count towards changes yeah? How many Werner outs were wildcarding? Mine was.

          1. All about the galacticos
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 6 months ago

            I know that about WC transfers not having impact. Based on all things being equal, which is all that we can go on, were a higher majority of Ings/son transfers out on non-WC? the numbers for Werner seem much higher if all considered equal. If all WC then understandable, but so many? that's all i'm questioning. Btw, have you come across a datasource (on website/app) that holds that kind of info on WC and non-WC transfers? on a week by week, or better day by day.

  25. PepSala
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Which draft would you pick? Losing my mind here

    1.
    Steer Martinez
    TAA Saiss Taylor Mitchell Justin
    Salah KDB Podence Klich Anguissa
    Jesus Jimmy Bamford

    2.
    Steer Martinez
    TAA Saiss Taylor Dunne Mitchell
    Salah KDB Son Zaha Klich
    DCL Jimmy Brewster

    1. Bleh
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      1 but not a huge fan of the Leeds attacking double up. Would downgrade Jesus to upgrade one of Klich or Bamford.

    2. tokara
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      2, more balance

  26. Man Chest Hair United
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Any reason Mahrez didn’t feature today?

    Do we think he is first choice when fully fit?

    Wanted to have him and Jesus instead of KDB due to team structure.

    Is Foden a better punt that mahrez?

    1. Flair
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Hasn't trained much.

      Started like 1 of the last 5, so it seems like Foden is preferred.

      Yes, 2M cheaper.

    2. nerd_is_the_werd
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Was recently diagnosed with COVID.
      But I think he would want to start against former club Leicester hence the likely rotation.

  27. nerd_is_the_werd
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Will Kane increase in price before GW3 starts?

    1. nerd_is_the_werd
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      On that topic...
      Kane or Werner?
      Bit worried if Werner blanks against WBA, he will probably drop in price (although that was meant to happen this week).

      1. All about the galacticos
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        i think werners held by too many managers in scout towers to get price drop

      2. Pukki Blinders
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        Can’t play the game based on fear of price drops, Werner a much better option

      3. tokara
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        Kane for me

        Chelsea goals w be spread across ... Not impressive so far.

    2. nerd_is_the_werd
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Thanks for the feedback!

      True, Werner is a cheaper option and may be an all-round better player. Yet to score this season though.
      Kane has scored lots of goals in the past and on penalties, lower ownership also.

  28. Sz21
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Rushed my transfers which I am not happy about.
    Fingers crossed they don't burn me now.

    Foden (over Podence) + Sterling (over KDB) were my other options.
    Hoping to begin sorting defensive issues next week.

    McCarthy.
    Shaw, TAA, Ayling.
    KDB, Salah (vc), Son, Podence.
    Werner (c), DCL, Adams.
    Button, Mitchell, Justin, Bissouma.
    0ft, 1.0m ITB.

  29. jia you
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Barring injuries, come deadline my wildcard will likely come down to this decision:
    A. DCL + Son
    B. Werner + Foden

    1. tokara
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      A all day

      1. jia you
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        not sure its that clear cut, Chelsea will settle and Foden could be great value long term....even short term I see Chelsea putting a few past WBA and Werner is one of Europe's top strikers (he'll def well outscore DCL)

        1. tokara
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 6 months ago

          I am not impressed w Chelsea at all, their goals will be spread out. Pretty much a team that has lots of homework to do. Just look at Havartz, totally clueless on the field. Contribute nothing. Chelsea should play Giroud.

        2. tokara
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 6 months ago

          About Foden, i dun wan to worry about whether he will play or not each week, enough fpl headaches.

          1. jia you
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 6 months ago

            fair point but I'll have two strong bench options to cover a Foden benching...cheers...decisions, decisions!

    2. nerd_is_the_werd
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      At this moment in time, A.
      If on a wildcard, you could just bring both of them in for double price rise - and then sell for profit.

      Foden is a good player but not totally convinced just yet, although he could get 30-60 mins per game and still score decently like Mahrez.

      1. jia you
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        that's a real plus being able to sell both on for profit and Werner for 0.1 less probably...0.3 banked!

    3. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      A

  30. Pukki Blinders
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    People making up all these conspiracy theories about prices... have people not thought of the fact that a tonne of people are using wildcards right now and that prices don’t change on WC, particularly considering Werner was owned by so many WCers in GW1 and even this week

    1. jia you
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      yeah it boils down to that, most (myself included) just push the WC button rather than making loads of transfers and pushing it later...nobody wants to be that guy who forgets and ends up with a -48 lol

    2. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Overthinking...

    3. All about the galacticos
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      werner 55% ownership, now 35%, 777k transfers out. no price drop?
      ings, 420k transfers out, a price drop
      antonio, 239k transfers out, a price drop
      there are others, that have drops, who've played and did nothing with lower ownership.
      maybe WC is part of that, but all things being equal without knowing, to the outsider it looks fixed
      I'm just looking at numbers, its based on an inconsistent algorithm or it's fixed?

      1. Alexis Nonsense
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        Prob just thresholds that are set, in addition to ownership and transfers in/out

    4. All about the galacticos
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      let's just do an observation this week, against martial, wilson or vardy who are highly transfered out.
      they are being transfered out in much lower numbers than werner.
      If their prices drop whilst werners stay fixed, would you think it a bit suspect?

      1. Pukki Blinders
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        kdb took an entire week to rise... Werner will drop this week definitely but the skews in price drops right now are coming from the so many active WCs.

      2. Alexis Nonsense
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        there are multiple things that make a rise/drop I think

        first consider ownership, then number of players total, then thresholds (e.g. 10%/20%30% etc.)

        Transfers in and transfers out uses different metrics as well as far ass I've read on fantasyfix.com

        1. Alexis Nonsense
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 6 months ago

          So if 700k sold him, yet 100k bought him same week, those 100k might mitigate a lot of the price drop

          In Ings case, maybe no one is bringing him in, but 400k sold

          Just a suggestion, but I think fantasyfootballfix.com had a piece on it

        2. All about the galacticos
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 6 months ago

          For that to happen, for the price drop of son and ings, the transfers out are mostly non-WC?
          Whilst werners transfers out are mostly on WC?
          Ok, I'm just questioning whether it's an algorithm, if so then fine, But it doesn't look like it's acting that way.
          For those sites you recommended, can you find number of transfers on WC versus, non-WC? and for week by week, or even day by day.
          I work as a statistical modeler, I should be able to give it a go to backwards calculate it for werner vs ings/antonio/son.