Scout Betting

The Fantasy Flutter: Leeds and City to pay the penalty?


Sponsored by bet365


Every Saturday morning, we combine Fantasy football with a flutter as we put a small wager or two on the weekend fixtures.

Focusing exclusively on the Gameweek 4 matches, we’ll be turning to the vast array of data available in our Premium Members Area to inspire a few sensibly staked bets this weekend.

The odds featured in this piece are all provided by our official sportsbook partner, bet365.

Please gamble responsibly and always remember: when the fun stops, stop.

MISFIRING MAGPIES

Unsurprisingly bottom of the shots on target table this season are Newcastle United, who have mustered only three such efforts – and scored from all of them.

The Magpies were indebted to a controversial penalty award in Gameweek 4 in order for them to salvage a point from their clash with Spurs, while they were comprehensively outplayed by Brighton on home soil a week before that.

Only West Bromwich Albion (0.66) are averaging fewer big chances per match than Newcastle (1.00) among Premier League clubs this season.

Burnley are next up for Steve Bruce’s side, with the Clarets recording clean sheets in both meetings with the Tyneside club in 2019/20.

The return of James Tarkowski should help solidify a backline that hasn’t yet recorded a shut-out this season but who kept 15 of them in the campaign just gone.

The Clarets are 15/4 with bet365 to win to nil, with a 1-0 Burnley victory priced at 8/1.

For some reason, bet365’s Bore Draw Money Back offer sprung to mind when we saw this fixture…

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FLOUNDERING FULHAM

Backing against the Premier League whipping boys isn’t big or clever – but who knows, it might be profitable.

Fulham have conceded at least three goals in all three of their Premier League fixtures to date and even did so again in the EFL Cup in midweek, going down 3-0 to Championship side Brentford.

A wounded Wolves outfit are up next for Scott Parker’s beleaguered troops, who will also be without arguably their stand-out performer at the back (an injured Kenny Tete) when they make the trip to Molineux.

Nuno Espirito Santo’s side seldom seem to put teams to the sword and have scored four or more goals only once in their 79 Premier League fixtures since promotion was sealed in May 2018.

Three goals is within their grasp, however: they have managed this on a further nine occasions since they came back up from the second tier of English football.

With uncertainty raging over who will start for Santo’s troops this week, there is at least the knowledge that Raul Jimenez is a ‘nailed’ presence in attack.

The Mexican started 37 of Wolves’ 38 league games in 2019/20 and played a part in 50% of the goals that his club scored when he was on the pitch.

A Jimenez goal at any time in a 3-0 win for Wolves over Fulham this weekend is 13/1 with bet365, with the Jimenez anytime/Wolves 3-1 combo available for 18/1.

SPOT-KICK SURRENDERERS

There has been much talk of penalty awards since the 2020/21 campaign got underway, with a whopping 20 of them arriving in the first 28 fixtures of this season – as many as we had in the first nine Gameweeks of 2019/20.

A softening of the handball rule could come into place this weekend but it won’t stop all of the contentious awards; the one that Spurs conceded last weekend, for instance, would still have been given.

A remarkable eight of the 20 penalties that have been awarded have come in matches involving Leeds United and Manchester City – who just happen to meet each other this weekend.

Bet365 are offering 6/4 for any penalty to be awarded in this game, with the Whites 6/1 to score from the spot and City at 5/2.

Backing the sides to miss from 12 yards returns 20/1 and 10/1 respectively.

SUPER SIX?

This seems like one of those Gameweeks that is too good to be true: your FPL team looks great on paper, there is an abundance of captaincy choices and the fixtures are favourable.

It’s at this point where the universe usually intervenes – but that won’t stop us from going for broke with our sixfold of home wins.

All of the above are matches in which the home side is odds-on to win in Gameweek 4 – and an accumulator not only returns 15/1 with bet365, it also comes with a 15% bonus on top of that.

Soccer Accumulator Bonus

Up to 70% bonus for accumulators on a wide range of selected leagues and competitions. Applies to pre-match accumulators of 3+ selections on standard Full Time Result, Both Teams To Score or Result/Both Teams To Score markets only.

Bonus percentage is dependent on number of selections. Bonus capped at £100k and applied to returns. Bet restrictions and T&Cs apply. New and eligible customers only.


For all the latest Premier League odds, visit bet365 and build your personalised football bet. 


Odds subject to fluctuation. 18+. Gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org#ad


1,896 Comments Post a Comment
  1. nolard
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Wolves looked a bit out of sorts in the last game.
    Also, City was disjointed. Ings takes his goals well, but not convinced about the Saints overall in providing chances.

    1. nolard
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Sorry, comment fail on my own previous post.

    2. Amey
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Pessimistic !
      😛

    3. jc001
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Agree but Leeds, West Brom and Fulham ship goals

    4. Nightrain_
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Wolves and City are the type of teams that will rebound fast under great and experienced manager but Saints, they have statistics of only getting zero or 1 goal at home based on last season's performance and your doubt about the chances to Ings should convince you to hand the band to KDB

  2. Oldie99
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    WC team please rate - would you downgrade semedo/castagne in order to upgrade the front 8 at all? 0.2 ITB

    McC (Steer)
    Trent Semedo Castgne (Lamptey Dunne)
    Sterling Salah Barnes Tross Foden
    Jimi DCL (Brewster)

    1. Amey
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      G2G

    2. jc001
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      What about jota instead of foden?

      1. Oldie99
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        I’ve thought that but are we just doing that for 1 game? With the IB

        1. jc001
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Yeah prob just one game for jota. Could be the same for foden, I don’t know how long Jesus is out for

  3. Taegugk Warrior
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Martinez
    Robbo,Saiss,James
    Salah,KDB,Hamez,Klich,Barnes
    DCL,Jimenez

    Peacock-Farrell justin Brewster Mitchell

    G2g...?

    1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      G2G

    2. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Sell Hames for Foden.

  4. WE GO FOR IT
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Ryan | McCarthy
    TAA | Doherty | KWP | Lascelles | Ferguson
    Salah | KdB | Greenwood | Podence | Bissouma
    Kane | Mitrovic | Adams

    1FT 0.9 itb

    Any suggestions?

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Kane! Loving it

      Hate that KWP sight but good luck anyway

  5. davies
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    On wildcard...

    A) KDB Cooper
    B) Sterling Taylor

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

    2. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

    3. Aubamewho
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Penalty taker for me.

  6. jdp219
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Decided to hold on to Son so I can avoid the hit. But where to put him? Smartest thing seems to be third bench spot (and where he's been all week).

    Or do I gamble and start him on the off chance Mou has been pulling our legs all week?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Play him

    2. Bruin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Start him

    3. Brosstan
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      start him of course..

  7. Old Man
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    I'm expecting goals from both sides at the KP tomorrow - at least 3 or more in total.

  8. Valar(Keith)
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Please for the love of God nobody take that 15/1 bet above. It's one of the worst I've ever seen.

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I thought it looked quite tempting but calling 3 results is hard enough...

      1. Valar(Keith)
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Exactly. 6 is impossible. There will be a couple of draws in there. Southampton+Wolves winning at around evens maybe.. but 6 results. If it works then fair game. But it's literally a coin toss at that point

    2. Valar(Keith)
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      People actually going to lose real money on a fantasy football website now. Bit dangerous setting this precedent

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Yeah - the number of articles endorsing this sort of thing has been over the top in the last month or two.

      2. Beard of Zeus
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Agree. The site has become proliferated with betting content in no time at all. It's a slippery slope, and articles like the above which appear to encourage outside bets are destructive.

    3. skodaole2
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      If you take each game separately seems likely to have this result but all six combined will happen once every two years or even less.

    4. Zalk
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Lost some faith in FFS with this article. Poor decision to promote a betting company like this.

  9. ben1321
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    I have Timo Werner, Ings and Mitrovic.

    Should i drop Werber for jimenez?

    1. Meinhoff
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Yes, if for free

    2. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Nope

  10. Bubbles1985
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Squad

    McCarthy

    TAA Doherty Justin

    Soucek Podence Diang Sterling(c) Salah

    Werner(v) DCL

    Nyland Mitro Saliba Douglas

    I have 2.5itb and 1ft

    Planned on Doherty>Robbo long term but thinking about Mitro>Ings this GW?

    Need Saliba gone too but not essential until I WC.

    Cheers!

  11. finnish92
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Captain Salah or Jimenez?

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Salah

    2. aborg
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      If you think Salah will score all the goals since Mane not around, then captain him...otherwise Jimenez is a good option.

    3. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      S

    4. lugs
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      jim

    5. Aubamewho
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Salah

  12. Lucackadoodledoo
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Start Klich or Lamptey?

    1. Meinhoff
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Klich ofc

  13. TAB
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Best 4.5 or Below Mid ?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Stephens and treat yourself to the 0.1

      1. TAB
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Thank you

  14. aborg
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    My toughest decision so far this season. I've been with Mane all along and since it will be silly to bench a 12.0m player I was thinking to play my WC now instead of next week, since I also have another 3 players to take care of (vinagre,shaw, Egan). KDB is in my team. Should I:

    A) Switch Mane to Sterling to add fire power for this high scoring game against leeds and transfer back to Salah/Mane after Intl break ?
    B) Switch Mane to Salah since Salah might snatch all the goals now
    C) Do not play WC and just Bench Mane?
    D) Take a hit to transfer out Mane for Salah or Sterling?
    E) Other?

    Your help will be very useful to me to help me confirm my decisions. Thanks.

    1. Vpan
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      D) Keep your WC for intl break and take a hit for Sterling

      1. aborg
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks Mate. I will just try not to watch Salah play in the meantime 🙂

    2. Aubamewho
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A or D

  15. Salah(c)
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Scored really badly last gw but I’m not sure if I should transfer anyone out

    Pickford macey

    Vvd Justin Mitchell ayling saiss

    Podence salah(c) sterling foden hamez

    Kane Jimi Brewster

    What would you change with this lot? Thanks in advance

    1. SomewhatPleasing
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I'd take 2 FT's into the break.

  16. Roy Rovers
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Who gets the C?

    A - Ings
    B - Jimmi
    C - KDB

    1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      C

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A

    3. Roy Rovers
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      ....and I was leaning to B!!!

    4. SomewhatPleasing
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Check the poll if you want the views of the masses.

      Also depends on your objectives (safer/punter)

      All valid shouts this week

      C for me.

    5. Vpan
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      C

    6. Roy Rovers
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Thanks to you all.

    7. MagicMessi
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B man you are right

  17. SomewhatPleasing
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    (A) Maupay & is Klitch for a couple of weeks:
    (B) Brewster (bench and see how he goes for a while) & Zaha

    ?

  18. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Is a bench of Bissouma,Reed and Mitchell going to be too week long term?

    1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      *weak

    2. Old Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I would say so - especially with these coronavirus stats racking up.

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A bit as Mané's recent withdrawl has shown but should be OK as long as the first two keep playing and you are only playing a 433

    4. Meinhoff
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Probably, I would find a way to get Soucek instead of one of those two mids if I was going 4-3-3

    5. Amey
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      We as fantasy managers are given limited budget and are supposed to work within it unlike fraud Pep 😛

      So having limited amount of money on bench is desirable. You'll get 2 points from them mostly when needed anyways. So as long as they keep getting 2 I'm happy

  19. Bobadoba
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    2 questions:

    1. Why is hardly anyone captaining Vardy over KDB/Salah etc?

    2. Is Son out for a hit a good idea?

    Thanks

    1. Old Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Vardy a great option.
      Son might be back after the ib. I'm keeping - have you seen his fixtures?

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      People on here don't have Vardy

      Son could even play this GW and has great fixtures from GW5 onwards. Don't lose for a hit. Think Mourinho was playing silly games last week that backfired on him.

      1. Bobadoba
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        ok thanks people

      2. Muchentuchel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        He won't play.

    3. Follyfarmer
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      1. Westham have shown signs of defensive quality recently, wheras leeds have not.

      2. I'd say no as there is a small chance he might play against a leaky manu defence.

    4. Das Boot
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      If it helps, I have Vardy (c) this week, great option but there are a few. I chose him over Werner, Salah. Mahrez.

  20. LordEllison
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    One week punt son >

    A) Barnes
    B) Mahrez
    C) Havertz

    1. TAB
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Barnes

  21. Follyfarmer
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Currently on wildcard, qhat do you guys think?

    Mcarthy
    Digne - castagne - robbo
    Zaha - debruyne (c) - fernandes - periera
    Ings - jimenez - Dcl

    Forster- lamptey - bissouma- mitchel

  22. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Am I GTG?
    Ramsdale (Fabri)
    TAA,Taylor,KWP (Dier)
    Salah,KDB(C),Hamez,H.Barnes (Bissouma)
    Mitrovic,Werner,Adams

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Yes

  23. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Ings or Salah for armband?

    Been on Ings all week! No Mane normally decent for Salah.

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      S

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Ings - stick with it

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Stick with your gut and stay with ings

    4. MagicMessi
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Abo Salah just for being the last game

  24. Catalan Rangers
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Hello!

    Mane to Sterling (-4) or play Mitrovic?

    1. Tinkermania
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Raz

    2. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Play Mitro I think
      But it's tempting if you would captain Sterling

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Sterling

    4. ZAWAd25
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Yes if you will captain Sterling

    5. MagicMessi
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      If you think Sterling will score a hatrick then yes

  25. Atimis
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Talk me out from (c) a striker vs the worst def in the league - Jim over KDB time?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      KDB ceiling is higher and Jimenez has only scored more than 1 in a few games

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Do it - almost guaranteed a return vs Fulham, but only 6 double returns in 76 games last two seasons

      1. Atimis
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Good point that

  26. ZAWAd25
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Morning all! Gtg here?

    McCarthy
    TAA Saiss Justin Taylor
    Salah Sterling(c) Barnes
    Kane Jimenez DCL

    (Nyland Mitchell Bissouma Reed)

    1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      G2G

    2. Follyfarmer
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Yep that looks a strong team to me.

    3. ZAWAd25
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Cheers!

  27. Jet5605
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Son or Havertz > KDB for a hit or let ASM or Mitchell come off the bench for Son?

  28. Viprin
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Trossard or Klich?

    1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Trossard

  29. MattysFantasyFooty
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Which one on wildcard?

    Klich or Trossard

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      T

      I'd prioritize Foden though

    2. TAB
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Trossard

  30. Von Lipwig
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Is Salah a much weaker captaincy option with Mane out? My alternatives are Ings and Jimi or even sub Salah out for KDB...

    A) Captain Salah
    B) Transfer Salah > KDB (c) (no hit)
    C) Captain Ings
    D) Captain Jimi

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Much better

    2. Follyfarmer
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      c for me

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      C

    4. TAB
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A

    5. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A