Pro Pundits

How I plan to deal with FPL fixture swing in Gameweek 10

Fantasy Premier League managers should keep a keen eye on the upcoming swing of fixtures in Gameweek 10.

This is where advanced planning becomes so important. Looking ahead is always vital for a Fantasy manager but it is difficult when those plans involve getting rid of in-form premium players.

That’s the dilemma that I’m facing over the next couple of weeks with Harry Kane (£10.9m) and Son Heung-min (£9.6m). 

Without potential bad news around Neal Maupay (£6.5m) and Tariq Lamptey (£4.7m) starting, I’m happy with my team for this week.

andy-article

But going forward there’s big decisions to be made with some key fixture swings. This is what Tottenham Hotspur fixtures look like after the West Brom game:

andy-article 1

Until Gameweek 16 I don’t see a single fixture where I’d look to captain a Spurs player. Even when they play Crystal Palace (away) in Gameweek 12, there’s the option of Mohamed Salah (£12.4m) against Fulham (away).

No-one can doubt that the pair have been in form, with 142 FPL points between them so far this season. But that has coincided with a relatively easy fixture run, and as shown above it’s about to get a bit more difficult.

I don’t always buy into the common FPL thought process that if you’re not captaining an expensive player they shouldn’t be in your team, but in this case they are blocking me investing into other teams with great fixtures, predominantly Manchester City. It may be worth considering a plan to get them in.

Manchester City Attack

How De Bruyne and Sterling compare as FPL assets for 2020/21?

I am a little bit worried about the Man City attack. They’ve averaged 1.31xG per match so far this season. You can see how low this is compared to their usual high standards from previous seasons:

  • 2019/20 – 2.48
  • 2018/19 – 2.24
  • 2017/18 – 2.11

We are looking at a much smaller sample size so far this season, and it’s worth noting they’ve played some tougher games in Wolves, Leicester, Leeds, and Arsenal. But something isn’t quite right.

The fixtures from Gameweek 10 look appealing though, and are perfect to start increasing the number of goals they’re scoring. Not many people would bet against City doing extremely well and it’s worth thinking now about how you might get them in.

andy-article 2

In fact if you couple a Raheem Sterling (£11.6m) or Kevin De Bruyne (£11.5m) with Salah or Sadio Mané (12.0m) you get this captaincy rotation:

  • GW10 Man City vs Burnley (home)
  • GW11 Man City vs Fulham (home)
  • GW12 Liverpool vs Fulham (away)
  • GW13 Man City vs West Brom (home)
  • GW14 Man City vs Southampton (away)
  • GW15 Liverpool vs West Brom (home)
  • GW16 Liverpool vs Newcastle (away)
  • GW17 Liverpool vs Southampton (away)
  • GW18 Man City vs Brighton (home)
  • GW19 Man City vs Crystal Palace (home)
  • GW20 Man City vs West Brom (away)

In Gameweek 16 you might want to consider Spurs players again, but we can probably re-assess that closer to the time. Either way I know I want to give De Bruyne or Sterling a chance, and I don’t think many people would argue against them turning on the style during this fixture run. 

Man City Defence

Cancelo stars for City as Sheff Utd's weak right-side bodes well for Chelsea

With the most clean sheets last season, City still aren’t usually a team we often consider when buying a defender. But when a lot of FPL managers (including myself) are looking to keep Salah, it becomes difficult to triple up on attack, and with the above fixtures there is a lot of clean sheet potential.

Looking at the defender attacking potential over the season so far one defender in particular stands out – João Cancelo (£5.4m).

andy-article 3

Only four defenders have created more chances so far this season, and when you consider he’s played just three matches it’s impressive to have created on average three chances per game already.

As always rotation will be a concern, especially when Cancelo has been playing left back. City have Oleksandr Zinchenko (£5.5m) who can play there as well as Benjamin Mendy (£5.9m) when he’s back from injury.

Given Cancelo’s performance levels he deserves to keep this spot, but we know that’s not how it necessarily works under Pep.

If you wanted to go a little safer there’s Rúben Dias who’s just a little more expensive at £5.5m and Kyle Walker (£6.0m) who has also been playing really well this season. I’m not sure how much of my savings I would put on them being completely nailed, but they feel a safer bet than Cancelo.

However, if you want to take a risk and go for the big points then Cancelo could be the one.

Cheap Forwards

For a lot of people who might be looking to move cash from Kane into midfield with Sterling or De Bruyne it will be worth looking at the abundance of cheap forwards we have the option of choosing from.

For now my main strategy is not to change this position too often. They’re all performing well and will likely continue to tick over during the medium to long term and there’s probably bigger transfers to priortise. Here’s how they’ve gotten on so far:

andy-article 4

Patrick Bamford (£6.0m) is the one that sticks out to me so far, Leeds are creating plenty of chances for him. None of the forwards listed have taken more shots in the box.

He has blanked three times in the last four Gameweeks however, because of trickier fixtures against Man City, Wolves and Leicester. The upcoming fixtures don’t get much easier either and I think for me I’d be looking at bringing him in closer to Gameweek 12.

If I had to bring one in now (taking into account I already own Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.7m) then it would probably be Callum Wilson (£6.5m) who has the short to medium term fixtures to keep up his current points scoring.

I still look at the cheap forwards at £6.5m or less and prefer them to the midfielders at the same price. That’s why my long term strategy is to go with two of them up front alongside Calvert-Lewin and to pump more money into midfield. At least until I realise I should never have sold Kane.

LESSONS LEARNED FROM FPL GAMEWEEK 7

1,012 Comments Post a Comment
  1. how now brown cow
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    McGinn to Jota seems a bit too obvious

    1. fr3d
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Pretty sure no active teams have McGinn

      1. how now brown cow
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Mine has been falling in a very active way.

      2. waldo666
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Pretty sure you'd be wrong 😉

  2. Iceball
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Firmino now the new Giroud?

    1. Je suis le chat
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Hopefully Bobby and Trump will be out of a job in the morning!

    2. Bushwhacker
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I suspect Klopp is going to start using Jota as a rotation options for the front three. Each of the four will get a week off then play in turn.

    3. ivantys
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      That's an insult to Giroud. He played 1/3 of his time and almost scored same as him.

      1. Iceball
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Giroud is the best supersub, agree

    4. Brosstan
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Firmino has been the new Kuyt for years. Crap player only rated by Pool supporters

      1. JONALDINHO
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Looks like someone else who hasn’t a clue about football and stuffs their head with stats

      2. Weeb Kakashi
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Firmino isnt crap. Your comment is crap.
        Not a pool Supporter though.

  3. Flynny
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Thoughts on foden to jota - 4??

    Thanks

    1. Bushwhacker
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      If you're willing to take the risk of a non starter always in the side.

    2. OverTinker
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      your bench seems good

    3. TLF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Not for me

    4. Iceball
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      No, both could do similar at weekend but after that game reconsider

      1. Flynny
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Both rotation risks I guess

    5. Clintymints
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Not for me

  4. Simon69
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Love the Jota kneejerking boys - Keep going!

    1. ivantys
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I love the Rushford one more

  5. The Mandalorian
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Firmino does all the leg work so Salah Mane can do their thing. Jota will affect their output so be careful what you wish for.

    1. Simon69
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Exactly why Firmino will start against City.

    2. Black Knights
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Yes. I wish for a 6m Liverpool midfielder hogging all the goals so I can take out the 12m Liverpool midfielder he’s stealing the action from.

      1. The Mandalorian
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        So you're happy when Mane and Salah are no longer reliable captain picks. Good luck with that.

        1. Black Knights
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          I think you’re overstating firmino’s importance tbh. I think most people have for a while. They’re winning 4-0 without him right now.

          Plus yeah, sure. Kane, Son, Ings have all been my captain this season. KdB will likely be. Plus whoever else we can afford from not having Salah/Mane. IF this hypothetical situation ever came to me, or course.

    3. Clintymints
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Firm is the glue and why the unit was so successful in the past and present

  6. jdoyle
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    If Jota starts and scores vs City then I'm getting on the hype train.

    6.2 Liverpool mid christ

    1. Silver_and_Gold
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      6,3 🙂

    2. Baps hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      If cows could fly...

    3. Volley127
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Henderson is only 5.4!

    4. Danno - Emre Canada
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Haha I read that in a Jethro voice

  7. Nightcrawler
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    One more jota please

    The more casuals get him the funnier it will be when he gets benched this Sunday

    1. Baps hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      🙂 😉 🙂

    2. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Time for him to come off the bench and score. Again.

      1. Nightcrawler
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        If we're going by whats already happened then hes yet to score away from home

    3. Baps hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      He will still be impact sub and score one though...

  8. R.C
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Sterling to Jota, yay or nay?

    1. TLF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      No

    2. Clintymints
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Step away from the internet

  9. pablo discobar
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Bowen to jota after this gw for me. I'll still have soueck

    1. ivantys
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Why do ppl even buy Soucek who returns once in 10 games.

      1. pablo discobar
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        The fixtures have been bad. Expect more now fixtures have changed dramatically

        1. ivantys
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Waste of a 4th mf slot imo. Unless you get him as a fodder but still waste of 0.3-0.4

          1. St Pauli Walnuts
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            What are you basing this on exactly? This season only where he hasn't scored (though been quite unlucky not to on several occasions) in 7 games in a tough fixture run? How about extending your research beyond that. He scored 15 in 39 last season, most of them in a poor quality league sure but he scored 3 in 13 in the Premiership. He clearly has good goal threat and very nice fixtures coming up, he's a great option as a 5th mid (I've barely seen any teams where he is a 4th mid).

  10. FCSB
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Meslier
    TAA Coady Lamptey
    Salah Fernandes Jorginho Mahrez
    DCL Bamford Kane

    Forster Konsa Stephens Douglas

    2 FT, 0.7 itb

    Thinking, Jorginho >> Jota...

    But need to free up 0.4 with the other FT, any ideas?? (Konsa >> Kilman only gives 0.3)

    Thanks

  11. keefy59
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    I wish I'd got Foden/McGinn , Podence etc
    I've got the big 4 midfielders of Grealish , Salah , Son ,Jrod plus Hendricks ?
    Who should I take out ?

    1. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      For who?

      1. Ze_Austin
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Ser Diogo of House Jota

      2. keefy59
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        If Jota nails a starting place

        1. FPL_Crisis
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          He’s in super form but Bobby too important for the team so hard to see him nailed. Certainly more mins though

          1. keefy59
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            I'll see if I can find an extra £1.3m & upgrade Hendricks

    2. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      What seems to be the problem, officer?

  12. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Robertson, Podence to Chilwell, Jota?

    1. chilli con kone
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Still too early to being Jota in imo

  13. chilli con kone
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Is it likely the first wildcard would have expired by the time of the DGWs for City, Utd, Vills, Burnley?

  14. BENOIT
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Ferguson, Saiss, Jimenez ----> Chilwell, Bellerin, Wilson???

    Worth -4 . All 3 are rising in next day or so.

    1. Mr Wizard
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Yes

  15. davies
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    A) Bellerin Soucek

    B) Coufal Jota

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      C

  16. McSauce
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Why can’t TAA and salah do this at the weekend hahaha

    1. ElliotJHP
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Salah scored at the weekend

      1. McSauce
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Goal and assist. Trent assist.

        Calm yourself lad it was a joke!!

        1. ElliotJHP
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          I am a beacon of calm

  17. Black Knights
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Should I get:

    A) Son & Kane
    B) Jota & Brewster

    No brainer right?

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      .,.

  18. JONALDINHO
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Anyone considering a Salah/Mane double up considering how many goals they’re scoring?

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Too expensive

    2. R.C
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Salah + Jota

      1. JONALDINHO
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        If he’s first choice of course but if not getting him only for him to be benched every 2nd week

    3. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Awful value

    4. Do I Not Like Orange
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Not scoring enough in the league though.

    5. The Mandalorian
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      If Jota, takes some of their points both Salah Mane become overpriced and less consistent.

  19. Brosstan
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Liverpool mid triple up anyone?

    1. FFSbet.com
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Si

  20. Do I Not Like Orange
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Would've been handy if Pool could've turned in a performance like this against Sheffield Utd or West Ham.

    1. Baps hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      They defend better than Atalanta

  21. Ógie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    You would expect a Italian team to be a bit more composed in defense than Atalanta are.

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Atalanta, GA

      1. Ógie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        *Atlanta

        1. Ha.
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          ...

  22. Ógie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Jota hatty

  23. ivantys
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Hope Klopp finally realized firmino is crap and they will score more goals with jota playing. And that they are playing to win the league not to feed salah the golden boot.

  24. It’s gonna Ben Mee
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Best league in the world!

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      League of Campions

  25. Brosstan
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Another farmer team trouncing influencing FPL picks then.

    1. LarryDuff
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      You're intolerable

      1. Brosstan
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        I said the same about Rashford and United assets after Leizpig

  26. Railwayman
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    When di Firmino made a run lake that last time ? Probably back in 2018., that's why he doesn't score goals anymore...

  27. Cahill
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Did Jota just break the Internet?

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I think you need to change service provider

  28. Make United Great Again
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Firmino in the mud

  29. Don Kloppeone
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Jota using up his season’s worth of goals in a CL match

    😆

  30. FFSbet.com
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Jota making things very complicated