Pro Pundits

How I plan to deal with FPL fixture swing in Gameweek 10

Fantasy Premier League managers should keep a keen eye on the upcoming swing of fixtures in Gameweek 10.

This is where advanced planning becomes so important. Looking ahead is always vital for a Fantasy manager but it is difficult when those plans involve getting rid of in-form premium players.

That’s the dilemma that I’m facing over the next couple of weeks with Harry Kane (£10.9m) and Son Heung-min (£9.6m). 

Without potential bad news around Neal Maupay (£6.5m) and Tariq Lamptey (£4.7m) starting, I’m happy with my team for this week.

andy-article

But going forward there’s big decisions to be made with some key fixture swings. This is what Tottenham Hotspur fixtures look like after the West Brom game:

andy-article 1

Until Gameweek 16 I don’t see a single fixture where I’d look to captain a Spurs player. Even when they play Crystal Palace (away) in Gameweek 12, there’s the option of Mohamed Salah (£12.4m) against Fulham (away).

No-one can doubt that the pair have been in form, with 142 FPL points between them so far this season. But that has coincided with a relatively easy fixture run, and as shown above it’s about to get a bit more difficult.

I don’t always buy into the common FPL thought process that if you’re not captaining an expensive player they shouldn’t be in your team, but in this case they are blocking me investing into other teams with great fixtures, predominantly Manchester City. It may be worth considering a plan to get them in.

Manchester City Attack

How De Bruyne and Sterling compare as FPL assets for 2020/21?

I am a little bit worried about the Man City attack. They’ve averaged 1.31xG per match so far this season. You can see how low this is compared to their usual high standards from previous seasons:

  • 2019/20 – 2.48
  • 2018/19 – 2.24
  • 2017/18 – 2.11

We are looking at a much smaller sample size so far this season, and it’s worth noting they’ve played some tougher games in Wolves, Leicester, Leeds, and Arsenal. But something isn’t quite right.

The fixtures from Gameweek 10 look appealing though, and are perfect to start increasing the number of goals they’re scoring. Not many people would bet against City doing extremely well and it’s worth thinking now about how you might get them in.

andy-article 2

In fact if you couple a Raheem Sterling (£11.6m) or Kevin De Bruyne (£11.5m) with Salah or Sadio Mané (12.0m) you get this captaincy rotation:

  • GW10 Man City vs Burnley (home)
  • GW11 Man City vs Fulham (home)
  • GW12 Liverpool vs Fulham (away)
  • GW13 Man City vs West Brom (home)
  • GW14 Man City vs Southampton (away)
  • GW15 Liverpool vs West Brom (home)
  • GW16 Liverpool vs Newcastle (away)
  • GW17 Liverpool vs Southampton (away)
  • GW18 Man City vs Brighton (home)
  • GW19 Man City vs Crystal Palace (home)
  • GW20 Man City vs West Brom (away)

In Gameweek 16 you might want to consider Spurs players again, but we can probably re-assess that closer to the time. Either way I know I want to give De Bruyne or Sterling a chance, and I don’t think many people would argue against them turning on the style during this fixture run. 

Man City Defence

Cancelo stars for City as Sheff Utd's weak right-side bodes well for Chelsea

With the most clean sheets last season, City still aren’t usually a team we often consider when buying a defender. But when a lot of FPL managers (including myself) are looking to keep Salah, it becomes difficult to triple up on attack, and with the above fixtures there is a lot of clean sheet potential.

Looking at the defender attacking potential over the season so far one defender in particular stands out – João Cancelo (£5.4m).

andy-article 3

Only four defenders have created more chances so far this season, and when you consider he’s played just three matches it’s impressive to have created on average three chances per game already.

As always rotation will be a concern, especially when Cancelo has been playing left back. City have Oleksandr Zinchenko (£5.5m) who can play there as well as Benjamin Mendy (£5.9m) when he’s back from injury.

Given Cancelo’s performance levels he deserves to keep this spot, but we know that’s not how it necessarily works under Pep.

If you wanted to go a little safer there’s Rúben Dias who’s just a little more expensive at £5.5m and Kyle Walker (£6.0m) who has also been playing really well this season. I’m not sure how much of my savings I would put on them being completely nailed, but they feel a safer bet than Cancelo.

However, if you want to take a risk and go for the big points then Cancelo could be the one.

Cheap Forwards

For a lot of people who might be looking to move cash from Kane into midfield with Sterling or De Bruyne it will be worth looking at the abundance of cheap forwards we have the option of choosing from.

For now my main strategy is not to change this position too often. They’re all performing well and will likely continue to tick over during the medium to long term and there’s probably bigger transfers to priortise. Here’s how they’ve gotten on so far:

andy-article 4

Patrick Bamford (£6.0m) is the one that sticks out to me so far, Leeds are creating plenty of chances for him. None of the forwards listed have taken more shots in the box.

He has blanked three times in the last four Gameweeks however, because of trickier fixtures against Man City, Wolves and Leicester. The upcoming fixtures don’t get much easier either and I think for me I’d be looking at bringing him in closer to Gameweek 12.

If I had to bring one in now (taking into account I already own Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.7m) then it would probably be Callum Wilson (£6.5m) who has the short to medium term fixtures to keep up his current points scoring.

I still look at the cheap forwards at £6.5m or less and prefer them to the midfielders at the same price. That’s why my long term strategy is to go with two of them up front alongside Calvert-Lewin and to pump more money into midfield. At least until I realise I should never have sold Kane.

LESSONS LEARNED FROM FPL GAMEWEEK 7

1,012 Comments Post a Comment
  1. King Kohli
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Jesus a great differential replacement if Ings is injured?

    1. Brosstan
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      only if Kun is out

  2. davies
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Do we think Vardy will rise in price before GW10?

  3. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Zouma rising tonight?

    1. Pedersen
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Think so

  4. ElliotJHP
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    9 goals in 14 Europa games last year for Jota, loves these European nights.

  5. Babelcopter
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    I'm gonna resist temptation and get Jota in after the City game.

    1. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Yeah, I agree.

      Gonna ship out TAA or Robbo now to maybe get Jota for Foden or Podence for gw9.

      1. Babelcopter
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        I have 2ft. Gonna ship out Saiss and bank 1ft. 2ft after the international break might get handy

        1. BeWater
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          I'm going to do something similar. Zouma in for Doherty and then 2FTs over the break to assess.

  6. Pep Roulette
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Hey fam! How should I use my 1 FT (0.4 ITB) for one week punt. WC in GW9.

    McCarthy
    TAA Robbo Dallas
    Salah Son Havertz Foden Podence
    Kane(C) DCL

    Button Mitchell Davis Ferguson

    1. Seanigula
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Foden to Fornals, Havertz to Ziy, TAA to Chilwell/Zouma

    2. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      WC in 10 instead.

    3. FPL Daniel
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Easy. Bring Bale

  7. R.C
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Sterling to Jota or KDB?

    1. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Sterling to Jota is a crazy move imo.

    2. FFSbet.com
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Keep

    3. Limbo
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Hold

    4. The Mandalorian
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Jota

    5. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Madness. Unless you are joking of course ?

    6. Seanigula
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Sterling to Dele Alli, he’s due for a huge haul

  8. Oooo Matron
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Coufal or Masuaku?

    Lots of hype around Coufal, but Masuaku seems to have better attacking stats. Is it case of Masuaku (quantity) over Coufal (quality)?

    1. chilli con kone
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Coufal is safer

  9. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Zouma/Chilwell double up or get one of Cresswell/Coufal alongside one of them?

    1. JamTart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I'm going Coufal and one of the others

    2. HashAttack
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I've gone with Zouma, Chillwell and Coufal

  10. Pedersen
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Will jota rise twice before next gw? Got 2 ft and no transfer to make otherwise. Would like the extra money later. He would replace Jrod who might fall too

    1. chilli con kone
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I dont think so but could be close

    2. Flair
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      No

    3. Babelcopter
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Keep Jrod

      1. Seanigula
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Keeping him would take some balls

  11. chilli con kone
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    RP.

    Is it likely the first wildcard would have expired by the time of the DGWs for City, Utd, Vills, Burnley?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Yes

  12. JamTart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    After this GW:
    A - Zouma, KdB/Sterling
    B - Chilwell, Aguero/Jesus

    1. chilli con kone
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      A

  13. JONALDINHO
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Cancelo looks like a great option if he keeps his position

    1. The 12th Man
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Or Dias

      1. Limbo
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Yeah. Dias + Laporte seems to be peps preferred PL CB pair (for now).

      2. Flair
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        or both

        1. The 12th Man
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          I’m considering Coleman,Saiss >> Dias,Cancelo over the coming weeks.

          1. Flair
            • 3 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            Could be great

    2. Flair
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      He could be a great option even if he doesn’t

      1. Flair
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        As in, even with slight rotation he’s still worth it.

  14. King Kohli
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Best Ings replacement?
    A. Werner
    B. Jesus
    C. Martial
    D. Bamford

    Have DCL & Maupay. Giving Maupay another week, if he doesn't start will get Antonio for him.

    1. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      B could be gold if Aguero is out for some time.

    2. Steirish
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      A

  15. timawflowers
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Play hames or foden this week?

    1. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Hames if fit.

  16. Digital-Real
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Jota price rise already!

    1. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      All the noobs ain't it. That's the problem with so many playing the game

      1. Digital-Real
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        ziyech and grealish forgotten!

        1. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Yer. People get over excited and lose control. People bringing him in mid game.

  17. R.C
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    I remember when Jota scored a hattrick last season in EL and then went on a dry run.

    Same case again or this won't repeat as it has to do with playing him with Pool players?

    1. Garth Marenghi
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Liverpool teammates makes a difference.
      Will Jota start though?

  18. Now I'm Panicking
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Trump wins!

    1. Now I'm Panicking
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Judd Trump 6-3 against David Gilbert in the quarter finals of the Snooker Champion of Champions tournament in Milton Keynes.

      1. The 12th Man
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Come on Jimmy

        1. Now I'm Panicking
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Carter?

          1. The 12th Man
            • 10 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            Get...

    2. Seanigula
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Still 90 minutes until the first polls close on the East Coast

    3. Ógie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Looks good for him looking at how Flordia is going.

      1. Gnu
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Still too early to call, it's flipping by the minute still.

        1. Ógie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          As the early tally's have been showen he has come into even money from 2/1 before polls closed.

          The wind is blowing favorably for Trump for sure.

          1. Gnu
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            The bookies odds have swung sharply.
            Polls haven't revealed anything major yet.

            1. Ógie
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              3 years, 4 months ago

              I am calling it now for Trump GNU.

              1. Gnu
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                3 years, 4 months ago

                That's fin Ogie.
                However if you said you were voting Trump I'd would say you'd be going straight to hell, 1st class, one way 🙂

                1. Gnu
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 14 Years
                  3 years, 4 months ago

                  *fine*

                  1. Ógie
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 11 Years
                    3 years, 4 months ago

                    Lucky i don't have a vote then. 😉

                    You should be more tolerant of people who have a different world view than you have GNU,i thought that was what the left is supposed to be about.

                    1. Seanigula
                      • 14 Years
                      3 years, 4 months ago

                      Trump is doing better then expected, but it may come down to the final state to be decided, Pennsylvania. Interesting so far, given how much Biden was ahead in every poll.

                      1. Ógie
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 11 Years
                        3 years, 4 months ago

                        There is a clear trend emerging now that the Dems cannibalized their game day vote with postal ballots.

                        As the game day votes come in it is showing well in favor of Trump.

                        I think now it only a question of how much he will win by?
                        I am pretty sure he is going to get above 300 electoral collage votes as it stands.

                      2. Gnu
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 14 Years
                        3 years, 4 months ago

                        Nothing 100% clear here but how do you feel this comment has aged in 20 hours? 😉

                    2. Gnu
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 14 Years
                      3 years, 4 months ago

                      This isn't about the left.Tolerance is why this vile excuse for a human being is in power. Simple as that, history is there to learn from our mistakes, these are being ignored.

    4. wulfrunian
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Jeezz Jarvish!!!

  19. Feed tha Sheep
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Better transfer this week?

    A. Saiss > Chilwell
    B. Foden > Ziyech/Grealish/Ward-Prowse

    1. Babelcopter
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      A

    2. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Focus on the weakness. Saiss > Chilwell.

  20. ExpressoMySonny
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Is there any news on Mat Ryan? Is it time to transfer out or wait one week and cop the 0 and upgrade elsewhere.

  21. The Mandalorian
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Jota price rise tomorrow

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Tonight

  22. Pompel
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Need to find £0.1 :
    Is Balbuena (£4.4m) similarly nailed as Coufal (£4.5m) ?

    1. Black Knights
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I got Balbuena. Moyes’ team likes him so he’s a sure starter I think. Can get his head on a set piece too.

      1. Pompel
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Txs, might go with him then, cs's are the bead and butter in that price range after all

  23. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Do Saiss to Zouma tonight?

    Got no Chelsea defender.

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Hold out if you can

  24. Niho992
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Jota scored hatty in UCL and his price rising. Crazy lol. People buying him before game vs City away where he will be benched. Bunch of casuals

    1. Brosstan
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      The same """managers""" who bought Rashford last week

  25. JollyGoodYellows
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Have the exact money to do TAA + Bissouma > Zouma + Grealish tonight. Should I go ahead or wait?

    1. Party time
        3 years, 4 months ago

        No. I am also in the same boat but I think Trent will haul a lot after the IB. Nice differential option to have. Matip also back in training, surely Trent will have more points than any sub 7m midfielder imo...

      • Party time
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Find another way to bring in Zouma/ Chilwell imo... Liverpool will keep cs at some point & Trent will explode

      • The Mandalorian
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Klopp just asked if Jota starts against City, he just scratched his nose and smiled. Anybody know what that means?

        1. Party time
            3 years, 4 months ago

            It means Pep is stunned

          • tiger
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            itchy nose?

          • Seanigula
            • 14 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            It means Origi will start

          • Big boy Bowen
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            Has to start after this form, surely

          • 1984 TC
            • 3 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            Nose was probably itchy and a bit ticklish at the same time

        2. MikeLowrey
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          First transfer is looking like Pulisic to Zaha. What to do next?

          A) Roll FT
          B) Trossard to Joys (hope for some price rises)

          1. MikeLowrey
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            Jota not Joys!!

        3. toonstar
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Have 2 FT this weekend. What to do with Pulisic and Maupay. Keep or sell?

          1. FPL Daniel
            • 14 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            Wait for news and decide on Friday

          2. Garth Marenghi
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            Wait til Friday

          3. Seanigula
            • 14 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            sell Pussylic, he’s going to a constant problem of injured/is he ready to start yet?

          4. toonstar
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            Cheers for the replies. Will just hold off till Friday.

        4. FPL Daniel
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Anyone figured out when is the best time to play the WC in UCL fantasy? GW5 or GW 6?

        5. tafrère
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Lol but Jota isn't even starting PL games right ?

          1. Seanigula
            • 14 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            No, but is he any worse then Foden?