Spot the Differential

Signing Cancelo a week before fixture swing can give FPL owners the edge

Fantasy Premier League managers could turn to Manchester City, Aston Villa or Crystal Palace to replace their Liverpool defenders for Gameweek 9.

Key members of the Reds’ back-line leave teams in their droves following the international break, so we have used this week’s Differential column to identify three exciting replacements; all of whom we think have the ability to deliver points at both ends of the pitch over the forthcoming weeks.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

João Cancelo

Cancelo stars for City as Sheff Utd's weak right-side bodes well for Chelsea
  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW9-13 fixtures: tot | BUR | FUL | mun | WBA

João Cancelo (£5.4m) endured a tough first season in England, but is now starting to shine.

Since making his first Premier League start of the campaign in Gameweek 5, the Portugal international has amassed 24 FPL points, averaging six per game. In that time, he has registered two clean sheets and, despite only providing one assist, has created more chances than any defender in the entire division.

Having performed as a right full-back in his first appearance against Arsenal, he has since been deployed on the left in Benjamin Mendy’s (£5.9m) absence. It remains to be seen what will happen when the Frenchman returns from injury, but given Cancelo’s excellent form, it is hard to see an immediate route back into the team.

Since losing 5-2 to Leicester City back in September, Manchester City have conceded just four goals in nine games in all competitions, keeping five clean sheets. While many FPL managers will be looking at Gameweek 10 as the optimum time to invest in their backline, there could be value in going a week early, given Matt Doherty’s (£5.8m) positive coronavirus (COVID-19) test, and the fact most of Tottenham Hotspur’s chances tend to be conceded from their right-side.

Manchester City’s left-back problem has been a theme throughout Pep Guardiola’s time at the club, but the recent form of Cancelo has perhaps provided a solution. Consistency will now be the key to retaining his place, but if he can do that, it’s hard to envisage him being a differential too much longer. 

Matt Targett

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW9-13 fixtures: BHA | whu | NEW | wol | BUR

Matt Targett (£4.5m) has been a solid performer for Aston Villa since joining from Southampton in 2019, making the left-back spot his own.

A product of the Saints academy, he has played a key role in a defence that has already kept four clean sheets in seven attempts this season, and perhaps doesn’t get the praise his performances often deserve.

The Englishman is yet to miss a single minute of league action so far, and with Jack Grealish (£7.5m) regularly drifting infield in front of him, plenty of space often opens up for him to attack. He’s got a good delivery too, which he showed in flashes against Arsenal last time out, when he provided the cross that was turned in by Bukayo Saka (£5.3m) for Villa’s first goal in their 3-0 win.

Interestingly, the 25-year-old scored his first goal for the club when he netted an injury time winner against this weekend’s opponents, Brighton and Hove Albion, back in October 2019.

This time, with Tariq Lamptey (£4.8m) likely to surge forward for Albion and support their attack, Targett could have his hands full defensively on Saturday, but at the same time, gaps could appear if space is left in behind. That has certainly been the case so far this season, with the Seagulls giving up 17 of their 42 chances down their right-flank, compared to just nine from the left. 

Still priced at just £4.5m, Targett offers the cheapest route into Villa’s defence, and could be a solid set and forget option given their appealing fixtures.

Patrick van Aanholt

  • FPL ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW9-13 fixtures: bur | NEW | wba | TOT | whu

Having just returned from a long-term injury, Patrick van Aanholt (£5.4m) looked back to his best against Leeds United before the international break.

The Dutchman supplied an assist and carried plenty of goal threat, registering three shots in the box. Determined to get forward at every opportunity, his attacking runs created space for Eberechi Eze (£5.8m) and Wilfried Zaha (£7.4m) to thrive and gave them a cutting edge which has been missing without him in the team.

In his absence, Tyrick Mitchell (£4.1m) has impressed, but it was evident against Leeds just how much they’ve missed the 30-year-olds attacking nature, which leads us to think he’ll retain his place in the starting XI come Monday.

Despite often struggling in attack, Crystal Palace have had a bright start to the season. They sit eighth in the table, and looking at the run of games coming up, they have the potential to pick up points given the struggles of goal-shy Burnley and West Bromwich Albion, and to a slightly lesser extent Newcastle United.

In Gameweek 8 there were signs of progress. The expectation now is that results should pick up, and with the possibility of goals and clean sheets, at least in the short term, van Aanholt could be a nice pick-up for those in search of a differential currently owned by just 0.7% of FPL managers. 

1,986 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Ohh1454
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Is Wilson > Watkins worth a hit ?

    1. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      For a hit no. And I believe Wilson may be fit to play.

    2. Karan14
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Not for me. Newcastle have good fixtures after this week and Bruce said Wilson has a chance of starting this week.

      1. tafrère
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        I'd say they have good fixtures for GW12-13-14. Not sure Palace and Villa away are considered good fixtures for this Newcastle team.

        Anyway, I don't think it's worth a hit neither. I own Wilson myself and happy to keep him on my bench for this week. I could use my 2nd free transfer to ditch him but 2 FTs will be handy next week I reckon.

  2. Zlatan F.C
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Are these sound moves and with the a hit?

    A) Podence and Salah > Rashford and Ziyech
    B) Play safe and just do Salah to Fernandes/Rashford

    2.5m in the bank 1FT

    Martniez
    Robbo Chilwell Lamptey Saiss
    Podence Son Grealish Fornals
    DCL Kane

    Forster Salah Brewster Ferguson

    1. Zlatan F.C
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A) for a hit
      B) FT

      1. Botman and Robben
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        B

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

  3. Botman and Robben
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    I will have to get rid of Maupay after this GW. Who to go for up to 6.5?

    A. Watkins
    B. Bamford
    C. Antonio...if fit
    D. Other?

    1. Pegboy
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A or B, as Antonio looks very dicey to be fit.

  4. Bobby_Baggio
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Draft league question please. Would you transfer out Semedo to one of the below?

    A) PVA
    B) Lampety
    C) Fuchs
    D) Targett

    1. Amey
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

    2. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

    3. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Do you have to transfer him out? I think he's fine to keep.

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        dont have to just like PVA or Lamp

  5. Miguel Sanchez
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Captain:

    A) Rashford (WBA) - was first choice but slight concerns over if he's fully fit
    B) Werner (new)

    1. King Kohli
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. Not again Shirley
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Newcastle defence ok plus Werner may play on wing again if Abraham plays would deter me from captaining Werner

  6. Ha.
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Who scores more this week?

    A. Lamptey
    B. KDB (-4)

    1. drughi
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      b

  7. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    I’m not sure I’ll sleep tonight getting excited about my 100 point game week

    1. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I had one last week. Made the IB much more bearable than looking at a score of 34 for two weeks 🙂

  8. Camzy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Play 1:

    A) Foden
    B) Lamptey
    C) Mitchell

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      C

    2. Pukki Blinders
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A

      1. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        haha. 3 different answers. great.

        I knew it was going to be hard but come on...

    4. Debauchy
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A

    5. Babelcopter
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A

    6. Brosstan
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A, and sell him immediately if this is even a question...

      1. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        I intend to get rid unless he somehow starts and does great. I want him to be good so bad but 3 benchings in a row is really discouraging.

        1. Debauchy
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Im benching this week but holding awhile longer. Got Watkins in for his last benching so not much damage done , yet

    7. Rinseboy
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      think I'm playing A
      B first sub and C second sub

    8. _Ninja_
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A

    9. Jebiga
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Never bench Lamptey !

    10. Blitzar
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A
      ( I'd always choose an attacking player)
      U still opting for Rashy as (C) ?

      1. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Yes I think so. He'll either start or not play. Grealish VC.

        1. Blitzar
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Roger that..

    11. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

  9. Pukki Blinders
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Telles or double City defence?

    1. Amey
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      City double up

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Telles and Cancelo - Dias seems to have a very low ceiling given he hasn't taken BPS in recent 1-0 wins where Cancelo has taken the BPS over him

      1. Pukki Blinders
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Straight off the fpl wire hey... yeah only problem is that they'd both be rotation problems and can't really afford that going into Christmas

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Rotation risk is the price you pay for the higher ceilings I guess. Would be unfortunate for Cancelo and Telles to both be benched in the same GW.

          1. Pukki Blinders
            • 4 Years
            3 years, 5 months ago

            Yep though a non playing 4.0 defender in my team doesn't help that

    3. ElChapo
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Telles

      1. jimbo90
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Telles and Cancelo

  10. Make United Great Again
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Sorry for the repost

    Martinez
    Mitchell Chilwell Coufal
    Son Bruno(c) Rashford Grelish Ziyech
    Kane DCL

    Steer, Brewster, Ayling, Johnson.

    Next week:
    1. Son & Brewster > Bissouma & Vardy (C) (3-4-3)
    2. Son & Kane > KDB & Vardy(C) (3-5-2)

    G2G?
    A.Yay
    B. Nay

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      1A

    2. Max City
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I like Kane, so it's 1

      1. Make United Great Again
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers!

    3. ppv
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      2

  11. I SPEAK ENGELS AND DRINK GI…
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    A) Keep Kane for one more GW and save FT
    B) Kane -> Vardy

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. Bobby_Baggio
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A

    3. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A

  12. Kizza_10
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Which do you guys prefer ?

    Son & Saiss out

    In:
    A. KDB & Kilman
    B. B.Fernandes & Creswell

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

    2. Max City
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

  13. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Defence: Chilwell, Justin, Taylor, Mitchell

    A) Cancelo
    B) Cresswell
    C) PvA

    Cancelo seems the best pick but with Mitchell and Justin likely benched going forward I’m not 100% convinced a not-100% certain starter is the right play? High upside though..

  14. tafrère
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    I don't understand why so many people are wildcarding this week ? Surely GW10 is a much better time to do it ? Fixture swing for the likes of KDB/Vardy/Cancelo, and more news on Salah.

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Might be something to do with the flags

      1. tafrère
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Not as many flags as people thought.

    2. Pukki Blinders
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      the 2 week break was enough to convince me

    3. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      You can get those players in a week early without a problem though

  15. Ronnies
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Any update on Brewster?

    Tnks

  16. gonzalocampos
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Good morning from Miami.

    Play Justin, Barnes or Saiss (Kilman out?)

    THX

    1. tafrère
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Good afternoon from Montpellier.

      I'd play Saiss.

  17. Edinho
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    On a WC, deciding between these two teams. What do you prefer?

    A:

    Martinez, Forster
    Chilwell, Coufal, Cancelo, Kilman, J Lewis
    KdB, Fernandes, Grealish, Jota, Ziyech
    Vardy, DCL, Watkins

    B:

    Martinez, Forster
    Chilwell, Coufal, Cancelo, Kilman, Neco Williams
    KdB, Fernandes, Grealish, Jota, Soucek
    Vardy, DCL, Werner

    1. Max City
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      a big benching issue with A

      1. Edinho
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        I know, thought about benching watkins this week and have a strong bench for the upcoming period. So you reckon B is the best option then?

    2. Edinho
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      To be clear the difference is Neco Williams, Soucek, Werner vs Jamal Lewis, Ziyech and Watkins

  18. SpaceCadet
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Kdb or Bruno?

    1. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I have just put KDB in, but only cos I have Rashford

      1. as33
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Why not Mane?

    2. Babelcopter
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Bruno if you need captain for this gw

    3. Max City
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      not sure for now.. I would personally wait for another GW to decide

  19. StayoutheSpiceZone
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Really struggling for a captain!

    A) Rashford (was him but he is a doubt and don't want a 20 minute cameo)
    B) Kane
    C) Son
    D) KDB
    E) Super Jack
    F) Hames
    G) Tammy

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I’m on E

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A - should be fine, Ole hasn't benched him the last two seasons and he sounded fine to go from the presser

      1. StayoutheSpiceZone
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        You think? Thanks. I can see him netting if he is playing for most of the match.

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Yeah - pretty sure I'm gonna go through with it and sell Salah for Rash(c)

          1. StayoutheSpiceZone
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            3 years, 5 months ago

            Ok - thanks for the inputs. Will keep the faith with Marcus!

            1. Blitzar
              • 4 Years
              3 years, 5 months ago

              I'm going with Rashy (C) too ...

  20. Jebiga
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Why ppls dumping Son and not Kane, am i missing something ? 🙂
    Its simply not logical 101% 🙂

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      It is logical

      1. Jebiga
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Please explain me

        1. Ha.
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          me

          pronoun
          1.
          used by a speaker to refer to himself or herself as the object of a verb or preposition.

          "do you understand me?"

    2. Max City
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Because Kane is better than Son

      1. Jebiga
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        LOL

        1. Jebiga
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          For me Son is at least 3x better player and will score more points than Kane

          1. StayoutheSpiceZone
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            3 years, 5 months ago

            Son is not a better player than Kane. However, I think do think Son is excellent and may score some hefty points on the counter!

    3. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Because you can't swop Kane for Bruno

      1. Jebiga
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Ah...all right then i got it

      2. tafrère
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        You can't swop Son for Vardy though.

    4. caldracula
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I agree, will sell Kane before Son but both will be gone by next GW

  21. Max City
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Who would you bench:

    a) Lamptey vs AVL
    b) Justin vs LIV
    c) Son vs MCI

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

  22. Dele
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Play Ayling or Lamptey?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Lamptey

  23. AnfieldLad
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Thoughts on whether Kilman will play? Has he been pictured in training or anything?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      No idea, could be on compassionate leave

  24. xHaTr
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Salah to KDB for -4?

    Or bench Salah and play Ayling

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      The latter, Salah hopefully back next week

    2. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Sell Salah. Two GWs without and then buy back - he will be back to around 12.0 by then anyway.

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Why out 2 weeks? Won’t he play as soon as test is negative?

        1. StayoutheSpiceZone
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          No, he has 10 days I think from the previous positive test. But, tbf, the whole testing system baffles me so maybe he will play on Sunday!

  25. g40steve
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    FPL stats site screwed?

    Salah was -90 with 400k sales, now on -89 with 750k sales !

    Going 1 million at current rate.

    1. caldracula
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Red flag slowing it down?

  26. Ronnies
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Play 1;

    A) Ayling - home to Arsenal

    B) Brewster - home to West Ham

    Cheers

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

  27. Pukki Blinders
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    So is Richarlison fit?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Seems so on the tweet

  28. DycheDycheBaby
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Salah to JRod anyone?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Naaa

  29. Pukki Party
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Best defender under 4.4?

    A) Balbuena
    B) Kilman

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

    2. Pukki Blinders
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Lewis

  30. Atimis
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Robo/Chilwell/Kilman

    with Reguilon/Mitchell on the bench

    is that def good enough for this week ?

    1. tafrère
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Yes, I wouldn't bother on a defensive transfer this week.