Scout Betting

The Fantasy Flutter: Betting odds on the weekend’s Premier League action


Sponsored by bet365


And so, the November 2020 international break is over: let us never speak of it again.

Still punch-drunk from Friday’s onslaught of team news updates, we’re swapping FPL flags for a flutter as we turn attention away from our injury-ravaged Fantasy squads and have a small punt on the weekend’s action.

Every Saturday morning, we combine our love of underlying stats with sheer gut instinct as we pick out a few sensibly staked bets on the upcoming top-flight fixtures.

The odds featured in this piece are all provided by our official sportsbook partner, bet365.

Please gamble responsibly and always remember: when the fun stops, stop.

The Fantasy Flutter: Betting odds on the weekend’s Premier League action 2

LEICESTER PIG OUT (ON GOALS?)

Let’s put things in perspective: even an injury-hit, under-strength Liverpool side will still give most teams a run for their money.

A club doesn’t go 63 home league matches unbeaten without having something about them and Jurgen Klopp’s troops have coped admirably without the likes of Trent Alexander-Arnold, Jordan Henderson, Mohamed Salah and Virgil van Dijk in the past.

They’ve seldom had to manage with all of them being absent at the same time, however, and there’s no question that Sunday’s clash on Merseyside gives Leicester City a better-than-usual chance of ending their winless 20-year run at Anfield.

The Foxes are no mugs, either: top of the table after eight Gameweeks, they have already beaten Manchester City and Arsenal on their own soil in 2020/21.

And so bet365’s enhanced odds on a Leicester City win of any scoreline at 3.90 (up from 14/5) does catch our eye this weekend.

Jamie Vardy – 4/1 to open the scoring, if you’re asking – is the usual source of goals from the Foxes.

But the absence of the usual personnel down Liverpool’s right flank is worth thinking about. Who deputises for Alexander-Arnold? Will there be adequate cover in front of the stand-in full-back? And without the threat of Mohamed Salah to push them back, will Leicester’s left-sided players attack with more abandon?

It could be Harvey Barnes operating from that flank at Anfield but it was set-piece specialist James Maddison in Gameweek 8.

As well as the usual first goalscorer odds (it’s 9/1 for the England international), there are other markets of note.

Maddison is 11/10 just to have a single shot on target (or more), while an assist from the playmaker is 4/1.

Maddison has already created five chances and supplied as many accurate crosses in just 270 minutes of football this season – both totals that are unsurpassed by any of his teammates, despite the fact many of them have had over twice as much game-time.

SPURS OF THE MOMENT

Harry Kane and Son Heung-min, the two highest-scoring assets in FPL this season, are both suffering net transfer losses ahead of Gameweek 9, with Son dropping in price on Saturday morning.

The main reason? A tough upcoming fixture run, starting with a clash with Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City.

As a result of the tricky-on-paper match, Spurs and their players are available at some attractive odds.

When was the last time that Kane, who has had more shots than any other Premier League player this season, was available at 5/1 to score first?

And Son, the division’s joint-top goalscorer, can be backed at 8/1 to break the deadlock.

While it can be hard to second-guess who will open the scoring in any given game, the bet365 first goalscorer market gives punters the opportunity to bet each way on their players, as one would in a horse race – the details of which are below.

Each Way First Goalscorers

Place an Each Way First Goalscorer bet on any Soccer match.

If your player scores at any time during the game in 90 minutes play, we will pay you out at 1/3 odds for unlimited places.

An outright Spurs win is 29/10 with bet365 and, if you’re looking for an even better price than that, bet365’s enhanced odds sees that tip over to 4.10.

The Lilywhites have been more conservative of late, scoring just four goals in their last three games.

And City have struggled to hit top gear this season: no more than two goals have been scored in any of their last five league fixtures.

So with Jose Mourinho potentially getting ready to turn the engine off on his Leyland Swift somewhere in the region of Spurs’ 18-yard box, 11/8 for under 2.5 goals at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium mightn’t be a bad shout.

TWO ON THE BOUNCE FOR CZECH?

We had some joy backing Tomas Soucek a fortnight ago – and we’re placing more faith in him again today.

West Ham take on Sheffield United on Sunday and the Blades have allowed more headed chances than any other top-flight club this season.

That’s a stat which could bode well for Soucek given that he sits top among FPL midfielders for headed opportunities.

The Czech international is 17/2 to score first against the Blades.

Elsewhere in the Premier League, Burnley v Crystal Palace doesn’t scream ‘goalfest’.

Burnley are looking a bit more solid with their first-choice centre-back pairing now fit and available, securing clean sheets in two of their last four games and largely frustrating Spurs in Gameweek 6.

They themselves have scored only one goal in the last six Gameweeks, however.

A Clarets clean sheet is 7/4 if you’re looking for a reason to watch what could be a good advert for the six o’clock news on the other side; a Palace shut-out, as it happens, is exactly the same price.

Bore Draw Money Back

Refund for any Soccer game that finishes 0-0 at bet365.

Applies to losing pre-match bets on any Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time or Scorecast markets. Bet restrictions and T&Cs apply. New and eligible customers only.



For all the latest Premier League odds, visit bet365 and build your personalised football bet. 

732 Comments Post a Comment
  1. burnhilla
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Are there any 3.9 defenders that could drop in the near future?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      No

  2. drughi
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    That KDB rise was so annoying, had everything planned now my moves must involve hits next week

    1. pablo discobar
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      He was on negative like -30%. Total fixing from fpl

    2. beric
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Yeah so irritating

    3. Tango74
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I know we all wait for injury new but why wait till last last minute?

  3. andres
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Wc Team, not sure about the defence..

    Could swap martinez/kilman => maccarthy, targett but that would mean i have to bench targett ocasionally...

    Martinez (forster)
    Kilman Chilwell PVA (cancelo mitchel)
    Ziyech Grealish kdb bruno (soucek)
    Vardy DCL Watkins
    0.0 itb

    1. Black Knights
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Martinez best keeper. I’d personally downgrade Chilwell to improve kilman and Mitchell. If you go to James you could get Coufal and Lamptey instead?

      I’ve gone Dias, Cancelo, Coufal, Lamptey, C Taylor with Martinez, McCarthy.

      1. andres
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Chilwell so good though!

        1. Black Knights
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Is he? City, Leicester, Arsenal, spurs in the next 10. And leeds, Villa, Everton. And wolves and WHU.

    2. WE GO FOR IT
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I like McCarthy and Targett better.

      1. Black Knights
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        But then you have to play McCarthy and then have City, Liverpool, Leicester, United, Arsenal twice in the next 12.

        Might get save points but Martinez can get saves and clean sheets.

    3. Homer21
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      G2G

  4. ZeBestee
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    I have decided to have fun; and use my FH chip.

    Fabianski
    Chilwell Cresswell PVA (AWB, Dallas)
    Rashford Bruno Ziyech Grealish (4.5)
    Richarlison Werner (C) DCL

    Anyone is welcome to shred this team apart or offer thoughts. No Pool, but Jota interests me.

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I like Cresswell (see below) but would sooner double up on Villa defence than WHam.

      Otherwise looks good. PVA is either a very big hit or a very big miss!

      1. ZeBestee
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks, how will u rate this team out of 10 for the gw

        1. Mufc202020
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Looks like a solid team, how much in the bank??

      2. Mufc202020
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Have to disagree on this. Sheffield United love not scoring goals at the minute and could easily see Brighton scoring against a villa side likely to attack and who have conceded 7 in their last 3 games.

    2. Homer21
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Not sure about Rash in there, maybe Rodriguez instead, but other than that , go for it

  5. Ha.
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Martinez (Ryan)
    Chilwell, Cresswell, Lamptey, Mitchell (Dallas)
    Ziyech, Grealish, Bruno (c) (Salah, Bissouma)
    Kane, DCL, Watkins

    Any hits required?

    1. Karan14
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I would have done Salah to KDB for a hit.

      1. Ha.
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Yep that’s what I’m not 100% sold on yet

    2. ZeBestee
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      U think Mitchell starts?

      1. Ha.
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Not sure, but he either plays 90 or 0

        1. ZeBestee
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          G2g then. Gl

    3. PL Ball
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      If you comfortable with keeping Salah, then no hits required.

      1. Ha.
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Next price rise doesn’t affect me and so I have a bit of time to decide

  6. b91jh
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Currently on wc and would spend 2ft on gw12 to bring Salah back. Means I got one extra ft before gw12. Should I take a punt on Telles (could escape in two weeks) or just stick on Cancelo?

    1. Vlekz
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Offensive punt looks sexier. I am punting on richalison

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Could be a good call.

    2. Karan14
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Thoughts on these transfers for a -8 next week?

      OUT: Kane, Son & Saiss

      IN: Aguero/Vardy, KDB & Cancelo/Dias

      Will captain the two attackers I get in GW10 & 11.

      1. WE GO FOR IT
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Could work. I'm doing Son to KdB next week as well.
        Kane to Vardy for a hit is in my thoughts but I prefer to keep one Spurs player. So, I would probably end up keeping Kane. Vardy is tempting. But I have too much value attached to Kane. Have him since GW1.

        1. Karan14
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          I have 0 value in Kane so I'm pretty tempted to take punt on Vardy(c) next week.

        2. Studs Up
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Tv is irrelevant if u think vardy will score more than kane

      2. Emp
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        like the first two not sure on the defensive guess it depends whom would come on for saiiss...

        1. Karan14
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          My defence is a joke mate.
          Need to upgrade one of Saiss, Kilman or Mitchell asap as even Lamptey has tough fixtures on the horizon. I feel Cancelo is that type of a defender who could outscore that -4 in one week.

      3. King Kohli
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Good moves with Vardy & Cancelo

      4. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        What if Spurs beat City?

        1. Karan14
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Then I will probably just get one of Vardy or KDB and Cancelo.

    3. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Big cyber attack on Man Utd

      Imagine the scenes if the game got postponed

      1. The FPL Units
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        It won't be

      2. PL Ball
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Stone already said game will be unaffected.

    4. aleksios
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Morning all.Best option here? 1ft 0.9itb.

      --Martinez
      --Robbo--Chilwell--KWP--Lamptey
      --Grealish--JRod--Bruno
      --Kane--Bam--DCL

      --Nyland--Mitcell--Salah--Burke.
      a) Mitchell to Coufal.
      b) Salah to Mane/KDB.
      c) Save ft.

      Thanks all.

      1. Bad Kompany
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        B or c. I’d probably do c but b could work out well if you want to play aggressively

    5. lekalatch
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Foden out for Jota for a -4?

      1. Bad Kompany
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Probably not for a hit

      2. LegendMoon
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        yeah go for it!!!

      3. Mufc202020
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        No

      4. The Knights Template
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Talk about not learning the lesson.

    6. EmreCan Hustle
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      DCL or Bruno captain?

      I am very tempted to go with DCL, but Bruno will be very popular.

      Thoughts?

      Thanks.

      1. Bad Kompany
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Bruno

      2. Emp
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        bruno easiely

      3. EmreCan Hustle
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks for knocking some sense into me. Clearly overthinking things. Cheers.

      4. The Knights Template
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        DCL

    7. Bad Kompany
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Why is everyone going KDB over Sterling?

      1. EmreCan Hustle
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Penalties, bps and overall involvement.

        1. Bad Kompany
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Any worries that he will be off pens after the miss even though he made quite a few before?

          The one thing in sterling’s favor is that he tends to do best against the whipping boys and they have some great fixtures coming up

      2. Black Knights
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        More nailed, on pens, knows how to pass, run, and kick ball properly.

    8. King Kohli
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      How am I looking?

      Martinez
      Chilwell Konsa Coufal
      Sterling Bruno(c) Son JRod
      Vardy Dcl Bamford
      Steer Anguissa Kilman Mitchell

      1. Bad Kompany
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Gtg. Good luck mate. Better hope Everton get back on form

        1. King Kohli
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Hoping Everton hit their early season form again.
          GL to you too.

    9. Oggle22
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Martinez
      Kilman Konsa Chilwell Mitchell
      Son Rashford Ziyech Zaha
      Kane Wilson

      Steele Brewster Mitchell Salah

      A) Wilson to Watkins g2g
      B) Salah and Wilson to Bruno and Watkins
      C) summat else?

      Cheers

      1. fridge
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        If you have 1FT I would just do Salah > Bruno

    10. Erez Avni
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I trying to understand what to do with Wilson....

      Martinez
      Chilwell Robo KWP (justin mitchell)
      Son Grealish Ziyech Bruno
      DCL Jimenez Wilson

      A. Wilson to werner for a hit
      B. Wilson to richarlison for a hit
      C. keep

      1. zotter
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Only sell for hit if that move is something you want for medium term. Otherwise that player is gonna have to get six just to break even

        I would say no as you might want to stack funds to get some city

    11. burnhilla
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Would you captain Vardy or Salah GW12 if you had both?

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Vardy (BHA) or Salah (ful) - Salah easily

      2. zotter
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Worry about that then !! Probably salah if pushed

        1. burnhilla
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          It affects my transfer plans. Whether I will get Salah back for GW12 or not.

      3. Bad Kompany
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Depends on how they do in the weeks leading up to it. I’d lean salah right now

      4. Karan14
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Salah

      5. BobbyDoesNotLook
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Salah easy

        1. BobbyDoesNotLook
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Better fixture and more reliable.

    12. fridge
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Morning early risers, anything worth a -4 below or good to go?

      McCarthy
      Chilwell. Taylor. Lamptey
      Bruno (c) Son. Ziyech. Zaha
      Kane. Jiminez. DCL

      4.0. McCarthy. Dallas. Douglas

      1. Emp
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        g2g

        1. fridge
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Ta

      2. Mufc202020
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        G2G unless you can be tempted to bring in Vardy aganist a weak Liverpool defence for Kane who’s got a tough few games ahead, also I imagine mourinho will be very defence aganist Man City.

    13. Who Ate All Depays?
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Any changes worth for a hit with 1.5m itb?

      Leno
      Justin, Balbuena, Chilwell
      Bruno, Rashford, Son, Ziyech
      Kane, DCL, Wilson
      (Macey, Mitchell, Lewis, Reed)

      1. fridge
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Looks good

    14. el polako
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Since this season been branded by many as a "season of casual" should not bother looking at any underlying stats (shots from outside box, chances created, chances conceded etc) and just simply check points score in home games for Grealish vs Bruno Fernandes ?

      1. Black Knights
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        I feel like any time people don’t do well, they say it’s a season for the casuals. It’ll level out eventually.

      2. Bad Kompany
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        That one poster has called it that for the past 3 years. People just say that as an excuse

        1. Homer21
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          This

    15. zotter
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Couple of questions if I may

      Best captain from

      A. Werner
      B. Grealish
      C. Dcl
      D. Rodriguez

      Bench two of

      1. Dallas
      2. Klich
      3. Lamptey
      4. Brewster
      5. Kwp

      Thanks

      1. Bad Kompany
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        I actually quite like A. Bench Dallas for sure. Other one is tight

    16. Ci Siamo
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Which is a wiser move?

      A) Son to KDB (-4)

      B) Kane to Vardy (-4)

      C) Hold Son and Kane this week

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        C

      2. zotter
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        C

      3. Karan14
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Make both those moves for -4 next week.

      4. fridge
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Wiser is C

    17. Captain Vantastic™
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      How's it looking guys?

      Martinez

      Chilwell. Robertson. Digne.

      Grealish. Bruno(c) Zaha. Son

      Kane. DCL. Bamford

      Subs: McCarthy. Mitchell. Justin. Stephens.

    18. Ci Siamo
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Is Fabinho injured too?

    19. corderz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Anyone else thinking of Hamez captain or have I just not had enough sleep?

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Not great away from

        1. corderz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Yeah but Fulham though.....

    20. Emp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Please choose an option from gw9-12( home fixture capitalized)

      A. Son (MCI), Kdb (BUR,FUL,mnu)
      Bamford(ARS,eve,che,WHU)

      B. Ziyech ( new, SPURS, LEEDS, eve)
      Werner ( new, SPURS, LEEDS, eve) ( -4)

      B is for an additional hit, please just ignore captaincy implications with or without kdb as it gets too complicated I would only be looking then to bring in city cover at home to wba gw13.

    21. Weilong7
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      ziyech, grealish or even zaha for son?
      can bring in 2 if i decide to change salah too..
      2FT

      thanks

    22. JY84
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Is it a danger to go without any Chelsea attackers for the nx few weeks??? My current WC squad is:

      Martinez
      Coufal Cancelo Kilman
      Grealish Zaha KDB Bruno
      DCL Watkins Werner

      Still got 2m remaining... Tempted to put Vardy in my squad for Werner but that wld leave me with no Chelsea attackers for tis week... I cld upgrade Zaha to Ziyech too but tis would also leave me with insufficient $$ to get Salah back into my squad.... Wat do u all think??

    23. JurgenRodgers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      -12 done

      Steer - Button
      TAA - Chilwell
      Salah - Fernandes (C)
      Trossard - Grealish

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Good luck

      2. Karan14
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        You should recover that -12 this week only.

      3. PL Ball
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Steer - Button?

      4. sminkypinky
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        I took a -8 for
        Kane, Trossard, Podence -> Bamford, Grealish and Bruno. Worth it imo...

        But! Would you still take a hit for Salah -> Ziyech / KDB / Mane etc? I didn't and am playing Kwp atm.

      5. Abaddon
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Wow. Steer to Button. A transfer i thought i never would see. What did that enable?

        1. sminkypinky
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Grealish i bet

          1. Abaddon
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            Of course. Let’s hope Jack perfoms then

    24. Sanchit
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      What to do with Son and Kane?
      A. Son to Ziyech?
      B. Kane to Werner?
      C. None

      Everytime I try to look at stats for who to bring in instead of these two, I actually end up thinking it's criminal to sell them. Kane has 15G+A in 8 games!

      1. sminkypinky
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        You are spot on!

        I took Kane out for a hit but it made my other moves possible which imo bettered my team as a whole and the three brought in will imo collectively score more tha Kane and them two twats I had before.

        Base your action on logic and if you decide keeping is the best course of action, stick with it no matter how unpopular it is here.

    25. b91jh
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Should I go Jrod over Ziyech for two weeks and then get the latter at GW11?

      1. b91jh
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        On wc*

      2. Mufc202020
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        do you have any chelsea or Everton players already?