Pro Pundits

The emerging FPL trends concerning Calvert-Lewin, Vardy and Fernandes

Seven-time top 10k finisher Zophar delves into our Premium Members Area to assess three well-owned FPL assets and reveals his Gameweek 11 team.


As I recoil from the sight of three Aston Villa players in my team who are suddenly without a fixture in Gameweek 11, I figured I would share some observations on some trends I have noticed over the past few weeks. 

Calvert-Lewin’s decline

The arguments for and against using a Wildcard in FPL Gameweek 3 1
1,187 Comments Post a Comment
  1. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Cant decide what to do...have 1ft and 0m itb

    Martinez
    Chilwell James Lamptey -- Lewis Mitchell
    Kdb Bruno Son Grealish -- Burke
    Dcl Kane Watkins

    A: Grealish + Mitchell >> Jota + Dallas (-4). Field 10, improves bench but tough to get Salah in gw12 unless i take take out two big hitters for a hit

    B: Grealish >> Jota + 0.6m for KDB >> Salah (c) next gw. But means only 9 starters this gw

    C: Grealish + Kane >> Salah + Bamford (-4). Also means only 9 starters this gw but gets Salah. too risky selling kane before a derby? Means a weaker bench as compared to option A

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A, but not a big fan of any of the options

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      B

  2. Bobby_Baggio
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Afternoon all. Stuck on what to do and need some help. 1FT + 0.7m ITB. No city 🙁

    McCarthy
    Justin - Coufal - Chilwell
    Bruno - Son - Jota - Hamez
    DCL - Kane - Vardy

    Kilman - Stephens - Konsa

    A) Hamez > Mahrez
    B) DCL > Adams
    C) Anything else
    D) Save

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      a

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        not worried by his gametime?

        1. RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Sure, save an option

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A or D

    3. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A

    4. Bobby_Baggio
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      cheers all

  3. Kikofraeuropa
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Martinez (Forster)
    Chilwell, Coufal, Kilman, (Konsa, Mitchell)
    Bruno, Salah, Torres, Rodriguez (Grealish)
    Kane, DCL, Brewster

    A) Konsa --> KWP
    B) Rodriguez --> Mahrez and KWP for a -4?
    C) save ft

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      b

  4. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    A) Martinez to McCarthy or Meslier
    B) Save

    Martinez
    Zouma, Taylor, Lamptey
    Salah (c), Bruno, Bissouma, Zaha
    Vardy (VC), Kane, DCL

    Steer, Balbuena, Mitchell, Grealish

    0.3 in the bank
    1 FT

    1. claretparrot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      B. Unless you think you'll end up shipping Martinez before the DGW comes around to even it out

    2. Carefree Crew
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      B the rest of your team looks good to carry you this week. Plenty others in worse situation than you, taking hits with not guarantee it will pay off.
      2FTs next week has value too.
      Martinez 2 X DGW & positive fixtures still to come anyway.

  5. Drop Dead Tsimikas
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Could use the community's help. Just as I recovered some last week, the cancellation hit me with Grealish out and flags on Kane and Robbo aren't making the situation any better, considering my bench is wafer-thin. Any thoughts (and prayers :D) appreciated:

    Mendy
    Robbo - Chilwell - Cancelo - Kilman
    Jota - KdB (c) - JWP - Bruno
    Bamford - Kane

    Martinez - Brewster - Mitchell - Grealish

    I'm not totally opposed to spending, either, given I'm at 3.5M and who the hell cares anymore.

    1. Pacer.
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Time to deal with the defence maybe. Kilman, Cancello, Mitch is more than likely at least one nailed too few

      1. Drop Dead Tsimikas
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        I'm inclined to give Cancelo one more try, but yeah, he's probably not my best route into City's defense (is anyone, really?)

        1. mrelpea
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          I swapped in Cancelo for Dias this GW. I know he won’t get as many assists, chances etc but he’s the same price and is one of the first choice centre halves, so will play most games (can see him being rested for one game over festive period). Not the sexiest move, granted, but would avoid potential drop in price on cancelo (hes around 75 at the mo)

  6. BEEZUS
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Is KdB worth the extra 3m, plus a hit, over Mahrez?

    1. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Long term yes.

      1. BEEZUS
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        How long is long term? I still have my WC which I will use around GW14 / GW15

    2. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Yes if you are planning to keep for long term

      1. BEEZUS
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        How long is long term? I still have my WC which I will use around GW14 / GW15

        1. Holmes
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Long term for me is set and forget as long as fixtures don't get tough or injury happens.

          Since you have WC, Mahrez is worth a shot as long as you are making good use of 3m

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      naaa, don't think so, Mahrez could also haul again

    4. Pacer.
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Comparing one player who is yet to come close to living up to his top end Premium tag with one player who is a big rotation risk

      Hard to compare because in 2-3 games time is entirely possible there could be a firesale on KdB and Mahrez could have hauled you a big total in a short space of time. On the other hand KdB could pick up and Mahrez could sink.

      There is no certainty with either of these.

      The only guarantee is that KdB is more likely to play and will be at worst, mediocre.

    5. mrelpea
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Yes

      1. mrelpea
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Mahrez is a rotation risk, KDB isn’t

  7. Don Kloppeone
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Lost on last page

    Think I’m sticking despite no GK or playing subs to ensure 2FT to bring in Salah and make other changes next week. G2G or need to make a move?

    1FT 0.5itb
    (Martinez)
    Robbo, Chilwell, KWP, Cresswell
    KDB (C), Bruno, Ziyech
    Vardy, DCL, Bamford
    (Forster) (Grealish, Stephens, Branthwaite)

    GL all!

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      G2G

      1. Don Kloppeone
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks mate GL

  8. SHOWSTOPPERRR
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Guys Martinez grealish robbo owner here. Anyone spotted robbo in training?? Klopp didn't gave anything I guess so it is a big decision for me this week whether to keep robbo or not.

    Martinez *
    Robbo* chilly lamptey kwp
    Son Bruno ziyech son
    Vardy dcl bam

    4.0 grealish dallas bissou

    1ft 2.6itb

    A) son to Kdb free
    B) robbo grealish to 5.3m defender and Kdb -4

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A

    2. Don Kloppeone
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I have all 3 and not making any moves. Too much risk and would rather have the 2FT!

    3. Carefree Crew
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A
      Form, fixtures, Captain option, no hit all positives.

      Robertson & Grealish you'd probably want back I'm guessing, & he's not been confirmed out so likely to play.

  9. trinzoo
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Martinez / 4.0
    Chilwell / Lamptey / KWP / Coufal / Dallas
    KDB / Bruno / Son / Grealish / Bissoum
    Kane / DCL / Wilson

    1FT, 0.7 ITB

    Martinez to Mendy or play without keeper and have 2 FT next week.

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Would save, good team

    2. Fpl_Juggernaut
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Save

  10. Offside Trapattoni
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Any insight on whether Saiss can crack the XI this weekend? In a bit of a defensive bind with no Villa..

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      None of us can offer any genuinely useful insight on that, sorry.

  11. b91jh
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Would Ziyech outscore Mahrez this week?

    1. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Who knows.

      1. b91jh
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Based on intuition.

        1. The Ejiptian King
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          What's yours?

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Not very likely if Mahrez starts. But this season you never know...

    3. Carefree Crew
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Recent form & fixture would suggest probably not.
      Mahrez rested although Ziyech only came on late second half.
      I hope Ziyech hauls but think Mahrez more likely to score after his hat trick.

  12. Plagued by indecision
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Really stuck here and don't know what to do. Had intended to save the FT and hope Foden plays, but if anyone has any better ideas that would be great. 1 FT, 0.1 ITB

    McCarthy (Button)
    Justin / Lamptey / Chilwell (Davies* / Mitchell*)
    Son / Fernandes / Podence / Foden (Grealish)
    DCL / Werner / Vardy(c)

    Thanks for any advice.

    1. Pep bites Kun
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Save the FT. We could also surmise that Werner may be rested with Pulli back, but we don't know, so we play the best hand possible with the knowledge we have. Put out your best 11 every week for the fixture, don't overthink, just plan forward 😉

  13. HashAttack
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    "... there are not a lot of reasons I could mention in this moment to say he will not start against Wolves"

    I have no idea what Klopp means!.. Sounds like he has no reason not to start Kelleher but might not start him

  14. beetlejuice
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    I'm lost here

    Martinez | Steer
    Cancelo | Chilwell | Justin | Dallas | Mitchell
    Salah | Son | Fernandes | Grealish | Romeu
    Vardy | Bamford | DCL

    1FT, 0.2 ITB

    I am thinking to do Cancelo + Grealish > Lamptey + Mahrez
    I am planning to buy Grealish in 2 GWs after Wolves game and will pay 0.1 more only (bought him at 7.4)

    What you reckon? Thanks!

    1. Fpl_Juggernaut
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Don't sell grealish, just do cancelo to dias/rjames

      1. beetlejuice
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        and ignore City fixtures?

        1. RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Think your players can keep up with a city player

  15. Luton_Fan
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Chances of sterling starting?

    A. Less than 25%
    B. Between 26 and 50%
    C. Between 51 and 60%
    D. Between 61 and 75%
    E. Between 76 and 90%

    Thanks 🙂

    1. claretparrot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      B

    2. HashAttack
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A and also A for getting any minutes

    3. Carefree Crew
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      B? Less than 50/50 but really don't know.
      Torres scored last PL game (pep comments on scorers playing) subbed off in CL. Suggests
      Torres, Jesus, Mahrez (rested CL)
      but that's assuming Pep meant what he said on face value.

  16. claretparrot
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Grealish > Mahrez for free, or hold?
    Foden my only City attacker (I know, I know...)

    1. Luton_Fan
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Hold methinks

    2. beetlejuice
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I would do if you havent bought him for his base price.

  17. Goodricke
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Grealish out, so start Dallas v Chelski (Leeds have drawn 1 and won 1 of the last 21 games played in London) or Romeu v BHA (Due some kind of return after 6 blanks in a row surely)?

  18. BEEZUS
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    A) Grealish to Mahrez, no hit

    B) Kane, Reed to Brewster, KdB for -4

    Will WC in a few weeks so a fairly short term punt.

  19. bruuuno
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    What to do?

    A. Rashford Son > Raphinha KDB(c) -4?
    Salah in for free next week

    B. Rashford > Mahrez(c) for free
    Salah in for a hit next week

    1. Fpl_Juggernaut
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      B

  20. Fpl_Juggernaut
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Had 8 potential non starters hence forced into this FH team

    Sam
    Reece Andrew tariq Benjamin
    Riyadh Kevin Bruno diogo
    Jamie timo

    Any changes to make it better ??
    0itb

  21. BEEZUS
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    When is the last GW to play a WC?

    1. Zimo
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Before GW16 starts

    2. Carefree Crew
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Think it's 16? Not 100% sure. That's from memory.

      1. Zimo
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        U r correct. 28 December is last day before it expires

  22. Carefree Crew
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Sterling?

    A) 0 minutes, benched
    B) Comes on for 20-30 minutes
    C) Starts

    Pep spoke positively about him in today's presser. "Very important player for us." Etc.
    I'm only fielding 10 players with no GK. Have both Foden & Sterling as risks, only playing sub is Coady (liv).

    0FT & £0 ITB so I can't even transfer to KDB for minus 4.

    1) Considering Sterling to Bruno for a hit, but nervous it could backfire.
    2) Could do Sterling & Foden to Bruno & Jota for minus 8.

    Thoughts appreciated please.

    1. Luton_Fan
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Im selling i think. Cant risk him not starting again.

    2. Carefree Crew
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Thanks for reply mate. Good luck!

  23. Garlana
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    I'm very close to a -12...yes...the biggest hit ive ever taken but i guess im writing this week off to get in nailed longterm glue guys. Anyone else nuking their team this week for longterm gain?

    I've got players like sterling, cancello, Martinez and no bench so i've been putting it off.

  24. Deulofail
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Anybody ever play Flamme Rouge? I just received it in the post. Very excited. Shame I have no one to play with though.

  25. focaccia
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    What to do with this team... need help! 2 free transfers and £0.5itb

    Martinez
    Cancelo - Chilwell - Justin
    Fernandes - KDB - Ziyech - Grealish
    Watkins - Vardy - DCL
    subs: Forster - Soucek - Coufal - Kilman

    much appreciated

    1. Goodricke
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      grealish and watkins to Jota or Torres and bamford

      1. focaccia
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        What about Cancelo?

        1. Goodricke
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          What about him? Pep will Pep, maybe he plays, maybe not, i haven't seen any conferences, so no idea what will happen. Put Coufal as first sub!

  26. OLLY G
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Is Bissouma still the go to 4.5m midfielder?

    Thanks.

  27. KUN_DE_BRU_YNE
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Will you transfer Rashford > mahrez(C) for a hit if there is no playing bench ?

    1. Luton_Fan
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Yep

  28. Deulofail
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Arsenal-related comedy: https://youtu.be/sd-BcBCux80?t=3376

  29. Deulofail
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Sorry for posting this during match day. I got a bit carried away. I can't not post it now. Scroll past please.

    Minimal Arsenal squad plan for 2022/23 season with only 2 transfers. Still think the quality already exists, particularly in the youth. Add a few more transfers in and just need things to gel. Many of these players could fetch a decent fee if sold too. There are also other junior players I've missed out too.

    _______ ARSENAL: Feb 2021 _______

    Leno
    AMN, Holding, Gabriel, Tierney
    Elneny, Lacazette, Partey
    Martinelli, Aubameyang, Saka

    Bench: Runarsson, Mari, Bellerin, Pepe, Smith Rowe, Nelson, Balogun

    Reserves: Luiz, Mustafi, Saliba, Chambers, Cedric, Azeez, Xhaka, Cottrell, Ceballos, Willock, Willian, Nketiah

    On loan: John-Jules

    _______ ARSENAL: Sep 2021 _______

    Leno
    AMN, Holding, Gabriel, Tierney
    Elneny, Auoar*, Partey
    Martinelli, Aubameyang, Saka

    Bench: Runarsson, Saliba*, [New RB]*, Smith Rowe, Pepe, Nelson, Balogun

    Reserve: Luiz, Mari*, Chambers, Cedric, Cottrell/Azeez, Willock, Willian, Nketiah

    Loan: John-Jules, Cottrell/Azeez*
    Released: Bellerin, Xhaka, Ceballos, Willian, Lacazette

    _______ ARSENAL: Feb 2021 _______

    Leno
    [New RB]*, Saliba, Gabriel, Tierney
    Auoar, Partey, AMN
    Martinelli, Aubameyang, Saka

    Bench: Runarsson, Mari/Holding*, Smith Rowe, Elneny, Pepe, Nelson, Balogun

    Reserve: Luiz, Mari/Holding, Chambers, Cedric, Willock, Cottrell/Azeez, Nketiah

    Loan: Cottrell/Azeez

    _______ ARSENAL: Sep 2022 _______

    Leno
    [New RB], Saliba, Gabriel, Tierney
    Auoar*, Partey, Smith Rowe*
    Martinelli, Balogun, Saka

    Bench: Runarsson, Mari/Holding, AMN*, Cottrell/Azeez/Willock, Pepe, Nelson, John-Jules

    Reserve: Luiz, Mari/Holding, Chambers, Cedric, Cottrell/Azeez/Willock

    Released: Aubameyang, Bellerin, Elneny, Nketiah, Cottrell/Azeez/Willock