Tips

The Complete Guide to Scout’s tips and advice for FPL Gameweek 11

Welcome to the Fantasy Football Scout Guide to Gameweek 11 ahead of today’s 11:00 GMT deadline.

That deadline has shifted back from Friday following the postponement of Aston Villa’s fixture against Newcastle United, leaving many wondering what to do with the likes of Jack Grealish (£7.7m) and Callum Wilson (£6.5m).

Writing in his Pro Pundit column, Az outlined two ways managers might look to deal with their absent players: a conservative approach of ensuring their benches are strong, or going for the jugular – trying to juggle heavy hitters and squeeze out as many points as possible during this busy period.

But with several premium-priced assets to choose from, how do we go about nailing those heavy-hitters?

Holy Trinity

On the Scoutcast this week Joe spoke about the ‘Holy Trinity’. No, he wasn’t referring to Best, Law and Charlton, or indeed Gerrard, Lampard and Ronaldo, but current mega-midfielders Kevin De Bruyne (£11.7m), Bruno Fernandes (£10.9m) and Mohamed Salah (£12.2m). 

– ‘Holy Trinity’ discussed on this week’s Scoutcast

Focusing on the penalty-taking trio, it’s Bruno Fernandes who has the best expected goal involvement over the last four matches – even when penalties are excluded. 

As Pro Pundit Lateriser noted his “underlying numbers have shot up”.

Writing in the Scout Notes for Manchester United’s victory over Southampton, David Wardale highlighted the formation change that has seen Fernandes play further forward:

Solskjaer handed starts to Greenwood and Donny van de Beek and the latter again impressed in the balanced role that caught the eye in the Champions League last week. That role – a mix of defensive shield and midfield conduit – allows Fernandes further attacking freedom.

– David Wardale, Scout Notes

Against the Saints, the Portuguese topped the charts for goal attempts with six, and over the last four Gameweeks no player has taken more shots (17).

I really do feel that Fernandes has done enough to make him immune from any form of “hokey-cokey”. If you don’t have him, he’d be the one that I’d look to get in before he’s out of reach.

– Az

The other member of the ‘Holy Trinity’ benefiting from a double pivot is De Bruyne. 

Kevin De Bruyne is shooting a lot more than he did last season. In the last two Gameweeks, he has accumulated nine goal attempts, five of which were inside the box. Last season he averaged 2.8 goal attempts and 1.2 shots in the box per appearance. If Guardiola persists with two defensively minded midfielders behind a more advanced De Bruyne, that might make him an even better asset than before.

– Lateriser

The consensus this week has been that if you are going to own one City player, then it should be the Belgian. Over the last four Gameweeks he’s clearly outperformed his colleagues in Pep Guardiola’s side, as Joe and David highlighted on the Captaincy video

But, at the risk of chasing points, could Riyad Mahrez (£8.3m) offer an alternative for those struggling to squeeze in so many heavy-hitters? 

Against Burnley not only did the Algerian impress with his goal threat – nobody took more shots and all five were inside the box – but his creativity stood out too:

In a stunning show of all-round potential, Mahrez was also an exceptionally persistent creator in Gameweek 10. His six key passes was the most of any at the Etihad Stadium and four more than De Bruyne.

– David, Scout Notes

Willing to take the risk of ending up with egg on his face, Az is set to add Mahrez to his team for the visit of Fulham. Referencing Pep’s recent quotes about wanting his players to score more goals, the moustachioed Pro Pundit outlined his thinking on the Scoutcast:

From what I’m reading from Pep though, it just seems to be a bit different this year, it seems like he’s kind of trying to stamp his authority a bit more and trying to get a bit more from the players – who’ve had a pretty poor start to the season.

And, like you said Karam, I’m surprised Mahrez has started so many games considering he hasn’t really looked that great or scored that many goals, but for this Fulham match – he’s rested again tonight [in the Champions League] – there’s there’s absolutely no doubt in my mind that he plays against Fulham.

So I think at least for this game Mahrez is a good option over De Bruyne if you don’t own him.

– Az

In this most bizarre of seasons, something quite remarkable happened yesterday – and it will have been music to Az’s ears – Pep confirmed that Riyad Mahrez will definitely start:

But what about the third member of the so-called ‘Holy Trinity’, the points-scoring machine that is Mohamed Salah?

The stats, for once, were not his friend when Liverpool took on Brighton in Gameweek 10, but that didn’t necessarily tell the whole story. The Egyptian had a goal ruled out for offside, and the eye test showed he was taking up some good positions:

A couple of early opportunities did arrive for Salah. Firstly, Jota was released down the flank in the opening minute and almost provided a tap-in for his team mate, were it not for a defender getting there first. Two minutes later, Fabinho’s (£5.4m) long pass put Salah through on goal but his left-footed shot went wide.

– Marc Jobling, Scout Notes

This week’s guest on the FPL Wire, FPL Salah, was tipping Liverpool to win by two or three goals against Wolves. Nuno Espírito Santo’s team have surprisingly poor odds of keeping a clean sheet, and could be psychologically affected by the terrible head injury to Raúl Jiménez (£8.3m). 

However for Captain Sensible Jan Sienkiewicz the shortlist for the armband contains just two names: De Bruyne or Fernandes.

For those struggling to decide between the pair, Jan examined their opponent’s defences – and he detected the odd crack in the West Ham rearguard. Against Fulham and Aston Villa in their last two home matches, the Hammers have conceded 29 shots, including five big chances. 

West Ham’s defence has arguably performed worse than the Cottagers’ over the last four matches in terms of underlying statistics.

– Jan

Reason enough to trust the renowned away form of the Manchester United talisman?

Fickle Forwards

Ahead of Gameweek 10, the stage seemed set for Jamie Vardy (£10.2m) to reward his backers with a haul against relegation-threatened Fulham. But the excitement ahead of kick-off soon dwindled as last season’s Golden Boot winner endured another frustrating outing at the King Power stadium. A solitary assist wasn’t the outcome many had hoped for.

Nonetheless the warning signs were there – his troubles at home have been well documented. But with a trip to bottom-of-the-table Sheffield United up next, is he being unfairly overlooked?

Recency bias plays a massive massive part in the way people play this game which is why I think it’s really important to delve into more than just who scored last week.

– David, Captaincy video

The contrast between Vardy’s home and away form could hardly be more stark. 

80.3% of his points have come on the road this season, an average of 10.6 points per away game, while the Blades are the only Premier League team without a clean sheet in 2020/21.

– David, Scout Notes

Timo Werner (£9.5m) wasn’t expected to thrive against Tottenham’s obdurate defence last time out but he, too, could be in for a more rewarding weekend:

Chelsea … will expect a far more open game against Leeds United next weekend, which should allow room for Werner and Hakim Ziyech, both of whom were stifled against Spurs.

– Neale, Scout Notes

Encouragingly, Werner was given a rest in midweek for the Champions League win over Sevilla, and team news aficionado Neale predicts that the German will start against the Whites. And it’s a game that is likely to suit him:

Leeds are renowned for their open style of play and aggressive approach when attempting to win the ball back, which should suit Chelsea’s own tactics, and particularly Werner. The German has already made the most of Southampton’s high-line earlier in the season and could recapture this kind of form against Bielsa’s team.

– Jan

While for Leeds, Raphinha (£5.4m) has impressed two of our Pro Pundits with his recent performances. Tom’s headline differential pick last week, the Brazilian could well find himself in his team after the Chelsea fixture.

He’s a flair player, which I love, and …  he doesn’t just stick to his wing and often moves centrally where he can link up with the midfield.

– Tom

Lateriser added:

There are signs of a huge bargain in midfield here especially given the great schedule Leeds United enjoy after their game against Chelsea.

– Lateriser

The reason for not getting him just now is the Chelsea defence – an expected goals conceded of just 1.48 over the last four Gameweeks makes them the best in the division. Ben Chilwell (£6.2m) has produced a return in every match he’s played this season, while Reece James (£5.2m) continues to impress having established himself as first choice. The latter can confidently be described as “baps-magnet”.

Of who we’d consider first-choice FPL defenders, James has the best minutes-per-BBPS average (5.1). Not just excelling in terms of chance creation and crosses, the Chelsea right-back has also performed well for net successful tackles.

– Neale, Scout Notes

With appealing options in attack and defence, Fantasy managers are once again spoilt for choice. And it looks like this might be a recurring theme:

But you can’t have them all and this feels like something we are all going to have to put up with this season.

– Az

Head-to-Head Fixtures

For those interested in the Head-to-Head Leagues, the main page can be linked to here. The fixtures for Gameweek 11 can be found below:

Use the drop-down menus to show your league and division. To find out which league and division you are in, follow the instructions on the main Head-to-Head page.

Once the Gameweek starts, if you click on your opponent’s name you will be linked to their team on the FPL website.

And may your arrows be green!

TopMarx Fan of Fantasy Football and Monty Python. "Archimedes out to Socrates, Socrates back to Archimedes, Archimedes out to Heraclitus, he beats Hegel. Heraclitus a little flick, here he comes on the far post, Socrates is there, Socrates heads it in! Socrates has scored! The Greeks are going mad, the Greeks are going mad! Socrates scores, got a beautiful cross from Archimedes. The Germans are disputing it. Hegel is arguing that the reality is merely an a priori adjunct of non-naturalistic ethics, Kant via the categorical imperative is holding that ontologically it exists only in the imagination, and Marx is claiming it was offside. Follow them on Twitter

2,145 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Anything worth a -4 here?

    McCarthy
    James, Bellerin, Cancelo
    KDB, Sterling, Son, Jota
    Vardy, DCL, Bamford

    Forster, Riedewald, Targett, Douglas
    Bank 0.1m, 0FT

    1. GROBARI
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Very good team

  2. Kodap
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Next week do you think these moves would be worth it?

    Kane & Soucek > Son & Bamford?

    1. Konstaapeli
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Yes, if you play Soucek every week.

    2. Ruth_NZ
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      No.

  3. Gentle_Turks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Bruno or Mahrez for captain?

    thanks and good luck this week.

    1. Deulofail
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Mahrez due to fixture and I would presume a higher PPG in games where he starts

      1. Deulofail
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Could be wrong there. Certainly wrong based only on this season's data

    2. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Asked on previous page Mahrez seems more popular

    3. Gentle_Turks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Thanks all. I'm just slightly nervous that he might get pepped - ie: not start.

      1. Deulofail
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Pep saying he would play implied he would start, but you can never know, which is the same for everyone. I think a start is very likely though

        1. Party time
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Lol. Never trust a word from Pep.

            He could easily play as a sub

    4. Deulofail
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      With Mahrez seemingly set ot start after Pep's comments, would you captain him or KDB?

      1. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        If having a poor start certainly

        1. Deulofail
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          If wanting the most points?

      2. Konstaapeli
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        I'd still go with KDB.

        1. Deulofail
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Too late! Just switched to Mahrez!

    5. Bonus magnet
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      who scores more points this week

      podence
      neto
      bowen

      1. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Probably Bowen

      2. space mercenary
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Neto

    6. The Head-Ake
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      2FT & 1.6ITB. Don't even know what transfer is needed. Help appreciated 🙂

      McCarthy
      Lamptey | Zouma | Kilman
      Grealish | Bruno | Ziyech | Son(c)
      Werner | DCL | Kane

      Martin | Mitchell | Walker-Peters | Bissouma

      1. Hotdogs for Tea
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Werner, Kane, Ziyech & Grealish to KDB, Salah, Bamford & Welbeck for -8 😉

        Kane & Ziyech to KDB & Bamford

    7. LosBlancos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Move Cancelo for Mendy /Dias or hold?

      1. El Lobito 10
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        For free yes

        1. LosBlancos
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          But for which one?

          1. El Lobito 10
            • 6 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Dias as Mendy could rotate and is injury prone

      2. jeff09
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        In same boat, gone Dias. Watch Cancelo now play and bag a goal & assist

    8. El Lobito 10
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A. Lamptey
      B. Matip

      (To bring in)

    9. Right In The Stanchion
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Jamie Vardy

      From Sheffield, started career at Sheffield Wednesday. On pens against the bottom team in the league.

      Captain??

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        He does hated the Blades.

        1. El Lobito 10
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          2 goals in 3 games v them. Good record

    10. The Senate
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Rashford to Mahrez (not captain) worth a hit?

    11. LSK
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Last minute no keeper jitters

      1. Right In The Stanchion
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Sold Steer to Johnson -4. Have Martinez saved for DGW whenever it come.

        Long game

        1. LSK
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Frees up a Villa spot for the doubles as well. Decent.

    12. NULL-X-VOID
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      why are people playing Grealish, there's no chance for him playing na?

      1. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Bench winkery

      2. FPL.team
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        No harm just in case. Bench player will come in.

      3. g40steve
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Not seen the latest, https://t.co/UfgZYT77nK

        1. Cak Juris
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          DGW 12 ?

      4. Cak Juris
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Still a chance, if Newcastle team are tested negative on Sunday

        1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          They'll likely still have to isolate for longer since they started isolating around last Sunday/Monday

    13. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Riedewald to start?

    14. NejiHyuuga01
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Of all the bench fodders Dunne had to drop in price to destroy any plans I had. So many 4.0 non playing but it has to be him

    15. Puntillimon
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Can’t believe KDB is only 23% owned.

      1. GROBARI
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        A lot of dead teams

      2. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        People loathe to part with other big hitters. Value tied up.

      3. TeamSteam
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Poor returns super expensive.....

    16. BraxterStockman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Who to play?

      A) C.Taylor - Everton ( H )
      B) Cresswell - Man U ( H )

      1. Pep bites Kun
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        B

    17. ooooo
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Start Coufal or Dallas?

      1. Pep bites Kun
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Coufal

    18. Pep bites Kun
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      6 mins and counting - Houston we have a problem!

    19. OverTinker
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Keep the captaincy on Sterling or switch to KDB???

      1. Orion
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Switch

      2. LSK
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        KDB

      3. Pep bites Kun
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        KDB to go safer

      4. Deulofail
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Switcheroo

      5. Erdogan
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Switch! I am on Sterling, but don’t have KDB. Sterling is a huge gamble. Could be 1 pointer could be 30 pointer.

      6. OverTinker
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks

    20. YEAH PITCH!
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Salah or Mahrez captain?

      1. Orion
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Mahrez

      2. Pep bites Kun
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Mahrez

      3. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Mahrez

    21. Jdpz
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Kane to jesus for free?

      1. Orion
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Now it’s time

        1. Jdpz
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Why? Will Kane play?

          1. Orion
            • 13 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Probably... But better fixtures for Jesus imo

            1. Jdpz
              • 4 Years
              3 years, 3 months ago

              So, sell Kane to jesus?

      2. FPL_Crisis
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Did this move

    22. Jdpz
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Will Kane play??

      1. Zimo
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        We'll find out 🙂

    23. Kodap
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Are people playing or benching grealish?

      1. FPL_Crisis
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Playing. Don’t see any harm in it

      2. Orion
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Seriously?

      3. Pep bites Kun
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Playing, but don't expect to play. Just insurance in the event the game is rescheduled this week, which is highly unlikely - null

      4. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Playing. Has a game Sunday morning for the Rose and Crown im expecting a haul

    24. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Captain
      A Jesus
      B KDB

      1. Orion
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        KDB

    25. YLK13
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Kilman to Dias or James for -4? Will hep me fund Salah next week

      1. Hypnos
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        No it won't

        1. YLK13
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Yea true, I'm half asleep... Robbo back to Kilman requires same hits... so no benefit.

      2. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Let me think.

        1. YLK13
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Lool I need coffee xD

    26. Zimo
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      2 minutessss

    27. tiger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Pants at the ready...

    28. George Agdgdgwngo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Kane on -150% to drop. Is he likely to drop tonight or is it wrong?

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Spikes like that sometimes normalise after a bit, but if he's still low decent chance he drops due to no game today.

    29. Champions League Varane
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Sterling and Grealish ➡️ Jota and KDB -4?
      1FT 0 ITB.

      1. Orion
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Do it and C KDB

    30. Eleven Hag
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      would you take a punt on Sterling's captaincy over KDB?

      1. Konstaapeli
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Nope. But it can easily work. KDB just feels safer.