Pro Pundits

How to use teams’ specific weaknesses to pick the right FPL assets

Despite selling Jamie Vardy (£10.3m) for a hit on Friday, Gameweek 12 turned out to be a pretty good one for me.

After taking my second minus four of the season to accommodate Mohamed Salah (£12.3m), I returned a total of 70 points and as a result, now sit 202,736th overall, with my Wildcard still intact.

So, as focus turns to Gameweek 13, I’m going to have a look at where teams have been conceding most of their chances from this season, in the hope of identifying one or two transfer targets for the Christmas period. 

I’ll then have a closer look at some of the players who stood out, and also discuss plans going forward.

WHERE TEAMS CONCEDE THE MOST CHANCES FROM

Using data from the Premium Members Area, I’ve had a look at where each team is most susceptible to conceding chances. This is something I like to keep track of during the season, in an attempt to find out which fantasy options can exploit those weaknesses. 

2,522 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Puyol Pants Up
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Hey lads, what to do?

    Johnstone, 4.0
    Chilwell, Lamptey, KWP, Dallas, Targett
    KDB, Salah, Grealish, Bowen, Riedeweild
    Kane, DCL, Bamford

    1 FT, 1.8 itb

    Thinking Johnstone has to go as he has [mci, AVL, liv, LEE] is it worth making a GK transfer or is it better to bank in this situation? Johnstone vs MCI is a 1 pointer maximum 🙁

    1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      He could do well against Villa and Leeds, I also wouldn't say a 1 pointer is a guarantee against City as City are still yet to hit peak form and he will likely make a lot of saves... but similarly they could get thrashed. Do you have other plans for the FT or for 2 FTs next week if you roll it?

      1. Puyol Pants Up
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Hmmm, judging from next GW's fixtures I don't think I would need 2 FT's unless an injury occurs

        1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Go for it then I'd say if you feel the need, you could similarly just upgrade your 4.0 keeper to a playing 4.5/4.6 keeper, I know a lot of people here think one is enough but injuries can happen and even forgetting that I think having a choice each week is only a good thing especially on weeks like this

    2. The Senate
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Johnstone May well be a save machine in the coming weeks - if you have your WC intact I wouldn’t sell him now, otherwise I’d maybe go for Martinez.

      No Bruno could be dangerous but it’s a long way for Bowen+1.8 to go and I wouldn’t want to lose Kane now!

      1. Puyol Pants Up
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah, I feel like Kane could 'cover' bruno since most either have one of Kane/Bruno so im not too worried about that. I don't have my WC. I'm thinking of bringing Emi in yeah, has BUR wba CRY coming up as well as a possible DGW soon. Johnstone should make alot of saves but they could get wacked for 6 any game which worries me..

  2. The Senate
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Im a little concerned some of my players may no-show and my bench isn’t great - anything worth using my 1FT on? 1.2 ITB
    Leno
    Chilwell Telles Justin
    Salah Bruno Son Mahrez Grealish
    DCL Adams
    (Mitchell Reguilon Brewster)

    1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Worried about Mahrez?

      1. The Senate
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Yes and Telles (and Bruno but no way am I selling)

        1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Bruno? Bruno gonna play man

          1. The Senate
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Hope so, he’s got my armband - just looks like the prime time to rest him

            1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              3 years, 3 months ago

              Maybe you're right.

    2. The VAR Team
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      save for me

    3. lugs
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Brewster is a waste of space, so maybe upgrade him to Welbeck or Decordova-Reid so you will always have a good first sub

  3. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Repost lads, sorry

    Martinez,Button
    Chilwell,Justin,KWP,Coufal,Mitchell
    KDB, Mahrez,Bruno,Jota,Bissouma
    Werner,Vardy,Che Adams

    Would you make these moves over the next few GW's, 2FT, 0.8 ITB, something else? Appreciate it.

    GW13: Werner&Jota>Bamford&Greenwood
    GW14: Vardy&Bissouma>Wood&Mane(-4)
    GW15: Nothing at all
    GW16: Mahrez>Son

    1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Werner is the big problem, could you do him to Kane and Jota to someone like Soucek or Lookman? Or Jota to Son and Werner to Wilson or someone around the 6m mark?

      1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        I could do Werner to Bamford?

        1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          That sounds good, over the course of a few weeks he's certainly likely to haul a few times

    2. The Hoff
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I wouldn’t get Greenwood (how much will he play) or Mane (Salah just a better FPL player as on penalties/always outscores Mane over a season). I’d just focus on getting 2/3 out of Banford/Salah/ Grealish.

      What would you do in my position (below)?

  4. The VAR Team
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Unsure about this: B would allow me to finally get rid of the nightmare that is Semedo

    A) Jota > Bowen
    B) Semedo Jota > Coufal Zaha (-4)

    1. The Senate
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      If you still have WC intact A, otherwise B

  5. JasonG123
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Masuaku to Coufal/Taylor or save FT?

    Masuaku is on my bench (have Robbo, Dias and Chilwell) but if I save FT then I’ll have Bissouma as my only playing bench player.

    1. The VAR Team
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Wouldn't spend a transfer on that

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      You'll probably be fine for this week but if you have no other plans for the FT then might as well go for it as he'll have to go either way

    3. The Senate
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Roll ft

  6. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Captain KDB or Bruno?

    United have an extra 2 days rest

    1. Warby84
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I swapped tonight to Fernandes

      1. SuperG
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        You swapped KDB out...

        1. Warby84
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          I have both and keep swapping between them..

  7. Drogba Legend
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Save FT, Son out, or Son and DCL out for a hit? Maybe even drop Robbo to someone?

    Mendy
    Robbo - Chill - Dallas - Dias
    KDB (C) - Son - Grealish - Salah
    Bam - DCL

    Steer - Giroud - Stephens* - Douglas*

    A) Save
    B) Son > Rash, Bowen (allows me to do DCL > Kane next GW), Mahrez or Torres
    C) Son + DCL > Bruno + 6.5 forward (-4)
    D) Son + Robbo > Bruno + Stones/Mendy/Cancelo (-4)
    E) Son + Giroud > Bruno + De Cordorva Reid (-4)

    Cheers!

    1. The Hoff
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Definitely A. Son in great form, not worth a hit and there’s no one in his price bracket worth getting without a hit. What would you do in my position (below)?

      1. Drogba Legend
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Bruno not worth the hit?

    2. Bram
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      D

  8. The Hoff
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Would be very grateful for your input... what would you do?

    1. Vardy/Jota to Wilson/Bruno
    2. Vardy/Jora to Welbeck(!)/Bruno
    3. Vardy/Jota to Watkins/Bruno
    4. Vardy/Jota to any of the above/Grealish
    5. Something else entirely

    Martinez
    Roboo/Dias/Cancelo
    Salah/KdB/Jota/Soucek
    Vardy/DCL/Bamford

    McCarthy/ Alioski/Bissouma / Kilman

    0.5ITB

    At some point one or both of the transfers will become Son/Kane

    1. The VAR Team
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      1

    2. Drogba Legend
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      1 short term, 3 long term

      1. SuperG
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        This

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Think you want Vardy for Everton game so I would play Alioski and carry- but from your other choices 1

      1. The Hoff
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks all! Would like Vardy for Everton game, but I think Bruno could have a much higher ceiling. Everton may lose but probably won’t concede more than 2. Leeds high line against Man U could be a goalfest

    4. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Probably c as you don't have grealish.

    5. Bram
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      1

  9. Pepeye
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Torres deffo for tomorrow, Gundogan or Foden will start. Back 5 probably unchanged although Laporte a possibility. Fernandinho makes way

    1. gers23
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Does this mean no Mahrez?

    2. Tomsk
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Wouldn't surprise me if Torres, Foden, B Silva, Gundogan all start. Maybe Mahrez on bench. Also would expect one or two changes at back. No one apart from Ederson and maybe De Bruyne safe.

    3. MGMT
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Source?

  10. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Lads , two options.

    A.Jota and Vardy to Bruno and Adams for a hit
    B. Save and do it for free tomorrow after deadline.
    If I save the team is
    McCarthy
    Lamptey Chilwell Dallas Coufal
    Salah KDB(c) Grealish
    Kane Vardy Bamford

    Jota Kilman Stephens
    So no playing subs but I think my first 11 will play.
    Thoughts.

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I would carry. Think Everton good fixture for Vardy

      1. DA Minnion (Former great)
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        I'm leaning that way. But Bruno is tempting.

    2. The Hoff
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Definitely don’t take a hit. Either get a playing defender for Kilman (will need one over Christmas at some point) and miss out on Bruno or save FT. What would you do in my position (above)?

  11. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Will Jota’s price fall tonight?

    1. The VAR Team
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      weirdly he's stuck at -90 with only one arrow. could fall though...

    2. YEAH PITCH!
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Don't think so

  12. Muscout
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    A) Best Kilman replacement 4.4m or under? Need to strengthen the bench
    B) Sterling or Salah this week only? Have KDB and Cancelo

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      C Taylor and Sterling

  13. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Do I need to release cash from one of my starting 11 to improve bench for busy Xmas schedule? If so what would you suggest?

    Martinez
    James Dias Chilwell
    Salah KDB (c) Bruno Son Grealish
    Bamford Watkins

    Forster Lewis Brewster Mitchell

    1. CheesyZoot
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Chilwell > Dias

      Happy with KDB captain or tempted by Bruno?

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        I have Dias- yes happy with KDB - 50/50 choice so gone with gut feeling

        1. CheesyZoot
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Oops, didn't see Dias in there, think it's time for bed

          Chiwell > Coufal would free up a lot

    2. Bram
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I wouldn't worry too much you have a playing sub and 1pt if really in bother Brewster

  14. ooooo
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Pick one
    A) Zaha + Robbo
    B) Bowen + Robbo
    C) Son + 5.1 max def(have Lamptey,Dallas and Coufal)

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A

    2. Drogba Legend
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      B for me

    3. Mortal.Swinbat
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      C for me
      Can you not stretch to R.James for 5.2?
      If not look at Stones 4.8, KWP/Vest from SOU (4.6 & 4.8), Taylor from Burnley (4.4) or Dier (5.0)

      I wouldn’t want to miss out on Sob

      1. ooooo
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Hmm starting to think Robbo + Jota to Stones + Son for free sounds good.

    4. Bram
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      C

  15. HellasLEAF
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    KDB or Bruno

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      For C?

      1. HellasLEAF
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        No to have in team over the near term.

        1. Bobby Digital
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          KDB with better short term fixtures

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Both! But if you can only have one then KDB

    3. The Mighty Hippo
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Kev

  16. Viper
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    A. Play KWP. Save FT

    B. Jota - > Bowen. Bench KWP

    1. Bram
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I sold Jota and am benching KWP as he's my only sub who isn't Brewster - nice fixt for KWP though ofc

  17. Tsparkes10
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Thoughts?? WC still available

    McCarthy
    Konsa Chilwell Coufal
    Son Salah Bruno Grealish
    DCL Werner Bamford
    (Nyland, KWP, Podence, Mitchell)

    A) Podence, Chilwell to Torres, Dallas (-4, bench DCL)
    B) Salah to KDB
    C) Werner, Podence to Watkins, Mahrez (-4)

    1. Bram
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Of the options B as no way I'd play Pep roulette on anyone but KDB or a def.

  18. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Okay so, which one is more likely to get rested this week and which game?

    Kdb vs Wba or vs Sou

    Bruno vs She or vs Lee

    1. popcoin
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      kdb v WBA

      1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        My guess too.

  19. The Royal Robin
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    (C)

    KDB or Bruno?

    1. CBonci
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I have both and am going Bruno. Maybe it’s the extra rest or the away form. Honestly can’t argue with either!

    2. _Ninja_
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      KDB... I think. I have both.

  20. 03farmboy
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Would you swap mahrez for Bruno this week?

    1. popcoin
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      nah

    2. Bram
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Absolutely yes

  21. popcoin
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Thoughts on Grealish's form?

    Hasn't looked too threatening in last 2 games, plus the blank week can't have been helpful for rhythm.

    Is he declining out of his purple patch, and suffering from a lack of Barkley's playmaking in the centre of the pitch? Or is Burnley at home just the game for him to return in?

    1. The Mighty Hippo
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      He'll return throughout the season, but will have some dry runs. Just keep a hold of him and look at his accrued total over the longer term.

    2. _Ninja_
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Barkley should be back by the weekend and a villa have 2 dgws to come do I would keep. He's also on pens if el gahzi doesn't play.

    3. CBonci
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I see your point but he still looks so dangerous whenever he has the ball and their fixtures are so good.

    4. popcoin
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      non-owner, by the way

  22. ooooo
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Bowen or Zaha?

  23. The Reptile
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Salah to Bruno this week.? Bruno rising tonight
    WC still available to get Salah back

    Front line of

    Son | KDB | Grealish| Salah {Anguissa}
    DCL|Bamford] Vardy

    Views appreciated

    1. Bram
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I would

  24. F_Ivanovic
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Is it a bad sign when so many are looking to transfer Mahrez out and I'm thinking of bringing him in?

    Jota > Mahrez
    Robbo > Dias

    is my plan. The other option is just Jota to Bowen or Soucek although I have no good use of the money whatsoever in the latter case. I already have KDB, Grealish and Bruno and accepted I can't get Salah in. City have an insane run of fixtures and I just think Mahrez is still great value at his price.

    1. Stupendous
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I don't think he starts tomorrow and I wouldn't be surprised if Dias rests either.

      Robbo out could seriously backfire

      Could is always the keyword though

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Lot of people like him here but I never think he's worth it, 2 returns in 11 games, he's very capable of a huge haul but he's not dependable

  25. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Really stuck with captain choice. KDB vs Bruno doing my head in

    1. CheesyZoot
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Same, leaning towards Bruno...

      Going to be an anxious wait until Thursday if KDB decides to haul tomorrow though

  26. Bartowski
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    On the rather optimistic assumption that Foden might start would you bench Zaha or Ward-Prowse?

    1. CheesyZoot
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      JWP

  27. MikeLowrey
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Martinez
    Robbo Chilwell Lamptey KWP
    Salah KDB (C) Son Grealish
    DCL Bamford

    (Forster Brewster Mitchell Jota*)

    A) Roll FT and reasses
    B) Jota to Zaha
    C) Jota to Greenwood - for a punt
    D) Jota to Torres - same as C
    E) Jota to Soucek - use funds in the coming weeks to either strengthen the bench or downgrade DEF to load up the FWDs
    F) Jota to Lookman - same as E

    1. Bram
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Probably E

  28. OptimusBlack
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Who To play ??
    A- Reguilón
    B- Lamptey
    C- Reguilón > Dias / City Defender

    1. Bram
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers

  29. ooooo
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    How nailed is Stones?

  30. Pickle juice
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Start 2 of the three :

    1.mahrez
    2. Net
    3.dcl

    Cheers

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      13

    2. Pickle juice
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      2 is neto by the way