Pro Pundits

How to use teams’ specific weaknesses to pick the right FPL assets

Despite selling Jamie Vardy (£10.3m) for a hit on Friday, Gameweek 12 turned out to be a pretty good one for me.

After taking my second minus four of the season to accommodate Mohamed Salah (£12.3m), I returned a total of 70 points and as a result, now sit 202,736th overall, with my Wildcard still intact.

So, as focus turns to Gameweek 13, I’m going to have a look at where teams have been conceding most of their chances from this season, in the hope of identifying one or two transfer targets for the Christmas period. 

I’ll then have a closer look at some of the players who stood out, and also discuss plans going forward.

WHERE TEAMS CONCEDE THE MOST CHANCES FROM

Using data from the Premium Members Area, I’ve had a look at where each team is most susceptible to conceding chances. This is something I like to keep track of during the season, in an attempt to find out which fantasy options can exploit those weaknesses. 

2,522 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Uncle Gamst
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Is this the way to go, dependent of news of rest/rotation?

    Salah (TOT, cry) > Fernandes (she, LEE) GW 13 & 14

    Fernandes (lei, WOL) > Salah (WBA, new) GW 15 & 16

    I have KdB, Son and Kane

    Thanks

    1. HammersXI
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      That's a very risky approach tbh. I rather have both Salah and Bruno during this run. Liverpool do not rly have the players to rotate now esp after the dropped points. Would consider removing Son instead if u have kane

      1. Uncle Gamst
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks for reply 1.1 short of that unfortunately would have to be Kane out and a -4 to do Son > Bruno and lose 0.2 on Son.

        Or KdB to Bruno

    2. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      No. I think it's a waste of two transfers, they'll prob do similar points. Fixtures are very fickle this season.

      1. Uncle Gamst
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks for responding, so stick with:

        Son, Salah, KdB (C), Soucek
        Bamford, DCL Kane

        1. GreennRed
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          I think so. I have Bruno myself but no KDB or Salah. It's tempting to have a blockbuster midfield, some seem keen to take hits to fit KDB, Salah, Bruno and Son in there but it could hinder the remaining 7 starters. Maybe 3 of them with likes of Grealish, Zaha, Soucek or fodder and 3 forwards is a decent alternative.

          1. Uncle Gamst
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Agreed, it's swings and roundabouts with the 3 premium midfielders. Think your front 7 could do better than that this GW as Spurs are going to park the bus and hit Liverpool on the break. Salah might struggle

  2. HammersXI
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Pissed that I am now priced out from getting Bruno in a -4 move. Does this -8 make sense in the long run?

    Martinez ( Forster)
    Coufal James Lamptey (Lewis Justin)
    Grealish KDB (C) Salah Son (Alzate)
    Vardy DCL Bamford

    0.6m ITB

    Thinking of doing this move for -8
    Alzate + Vardy + Justin -> Bruno + 4.3 Striker + Dallas

    Thoughts?
    Could have done Alzate + Vardy till about an hour ago. Don't mind getting rid of Justin due to his fixture

    1. SC not pearls before swine
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Would you captain Bruno over KDB this week? If no, I'd probably wait another week. If yes, maybe.

      1. HammersXI
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah I am considering it tbh.

        It's more of what happens if Bruno scores tons of points against Sheff. His away form is hard to ignore

        1. SC not pearls before swine
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Yeah, I get it. I think my instinct would be to be conservative and wait, but making the move could obviously pay off. But Bruno + Dallas vs Vardy + Justin + 8 (Or I guess 4 if you're doing it next week but still) is a pretty tight bet on a single week. The captaincy makes it easier to claw back the points. Although if you captain Bruno and Kevin hauls that might be counterproductive.

          1. HammersXI
            • 11 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            I was so conservative I missed the chance to do an easy -4 with Bruno rising today.

            Yeah that's the thing. I'm not intending to play Justin tbh or even so Dallas. So it's just Vardy + 8 vs Bruno which now doesn't seem smart.

            I'm more inclined to captain Bruno over KDB tho. So that too changes things like you said. ugh decisions....

      2. HammersXI
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        If I do -8 this gwk I will be saving a FT the following week.

    2. Uncle Gamst
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Everton aren't the tightest defence and can see Vardy scoring, Together with the -8 it eats into any points Fernandes will score.

      Roll the FT and do it for -4 next week.

      1. HammersXI
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Okay thanks man. Picturing not having Bruno vs Sheff just scares me. I don't not think their game against Leeds is going to be as easy as what the fixture rating puts it out to be.

        Good point on the Everton defense. In that case would you play Justin over Coufal / James / Lamptey this week? I mean he could still start if Lamptey is out

        1. Uncle Gamst
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Probably over Coufal as Palace always good for a goal nd Justin gets forward

  3. bigdip
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    1 FT with 1.8itb.

    Mccarthy (Forster)
    Cancelo Justin James (Taylor Lewis)
    Bruno SON Sterling (c) Soucek (Gordon)
    Vardy DCL Wilson

    A) Son & DCL to Salah & Bamford for -4 hit
    B) Keep FT and do A next GW for free
    C) Keep FT and do Sterling & Vardy to Salah & Kane for free next GW

    1. Nay08
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      C

    2. Lucky Z
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      C looks ideal

  4. C_G
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Should I:

    A) play KWP or Lamptey
    B) do Jota ---> Gross on FT and play him
    C) Jota & Wilson ---> Gross & Bamford (-4)

    1. HammersXI
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Lamptey.
      Not keen on B / C. I wouldn't take out Wilson for Bamford for now.

      1. C_G
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        I meant Watkins not Wilson, sorry!!

        1. HammersXI
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          If Watkins.. Hmm I will hold for a week.

  5. C_G
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    post above fail!!

    Should I:

    A) play KWP and Lamptey
    B) do Jota ---> Gross on FT and play him
    C) Jota & Watkins ---> Gross & Bamford (-4)

    1. Reeker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I don't think bringing in Gross is a good move but I'm interested what your plan is for Jota if you don't make that move for next week

    2. Luton_Fan
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A

  6. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Mendy
    Chilwell, Cancelo, Targett
    Salah, KDB(c), Bruno, Grealish
    DCL, Bamford, Giroud

    Soucek, Coufal, Justin

    All set ?

    1. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Looks good. I like your Giroud pick. Maybe consider fodder mid and defender for extra cash after this GW.

      1. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Preparing for DGW already

        1. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Planning of using BB in DGW

          1. Live Lad
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Which are the teams with DGW in 19? Thanks.

            1. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
              • 6 Years
              3 years, 3 months ago

              Still not clear

    2. Drogba Legend
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Similar to mine, I think you're fine. Thoughts on mine below?

  7. Drogba Legend
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Save FT, Son out, or Son and DCL out for a hit? Maybe even drop Robbo to someone?

    Mendy
    Robbo - Chill - Dallas - Dias
    KDB (C) - Son - Grealish - Salah
    Bam - DCL

    Steer - Giroud - Stephens* - Douglas*

    A) Save
    B) Son > Rash, Bowen (allows me to do DCL > Kane next GW), Mahrez or Torres
    C) Son + DCL > Bruno + 6.5 forward (-4)
    D) Son + Robbo > Bruno + Stones/Mendy/Cancelo (-4)
    E) Son + Giroud > Bruno + De Cordorva Reid (-4)

    Cheers!

    1. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Maybe C

      But not bad at all with saving FT

      1. Drogba Legend
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers

    2. Scratch
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      None of the suggested moves look particularly good so A

      1. Drogba Legend
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers

    3. Boberella
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Not really that keen on the options listed as I'd hold Son, but there's not much point having Giroud in your team if you're not gonna play him.

  8. Live Lad
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    What are the teams having DGW in in 19?
    Thanks!

    1. Scratch
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      West Ham vs WBA moved from GW18 to a DGW 19. More TBA within the next week or two

  9. FPL Alaska
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Best Man City defender?

    1. Scratch
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Dias the most assured starter but nobody is completely safe.

    2. FortunesAlwaysHiding
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Walker

  10. Scratch
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    This is probably not answerable but do we know when we'll have an idea of how GW 18 & 19 blanks and DGWs look? I have a FT burning a hole in my pocket but I'd love to have this info first and it's only a month away.

  11. Johan Queef
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Is Cavaleiro worth considering? He's got crazy XG stats and has looked dangerous (but he might just be a bad player!)

    Need to move Ziyech on but maybe I'm overthinking and should just get a Soucek/Bowen.

  12. tabby98
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    What should I do here please help?

    Mccarthy, (Nyland)
    Chilwell, Reece James, Justin, KWP (Mitchell)
    Salah, KDB, Grealish, Pulisic (Stephens)
    DCL, Vardy, Bamford

    0.3itb 1ft

    1. Cojones of Destiny
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      puli to bowen

  13. Alisson WondHaaland
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Best transfer? (2FT)

    A) Vardy + Bowen to Welbeck + Bruno
    B) Vardy to Martial
    C) Vardy to Jesus
    D) Vardy + Bissouma to Brewster + Rashford (Switch to 3-5-2)

    1. Scratch
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Don't like any of those tbh

      1. Alisson WondHaaland
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Tbh same, it just feels like I have nothing to do with my FTs

        1. Scratch
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          IF you've absolutely nothing to do then just ship PF to Forster. Or tidy up Ferguson since you may be relying on a bench when teams are playing 2 games in 3 days.

          1. Alisson WondHaaland
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Might do Ferguson to Douglas for 0.1, 3rd bench is basically never needed anyway

  14. MidTableFantasy
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Debating to get KDB or not... which would you prefer?

    A) Grealish + Werner (+ Riedwald bench fodder)
    B) KDB + Soucek (+ Brewster bench fodder)

    Current team:
    Martinez
    Chilwell Justin Walker
    Salah Bruno Grealish Son
    Werner Bamford DCL

    1. 007 [RoboKlopp]
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      B

  15. ClaireT
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    What should I do with this team, any help appreciated!

    Martinez, Forster
    Dallas, James, KWP, Coufal, Lamptey
    Son, Bruno, Salah, Grealish, Bissouma
    Watkins, DCL, Bamford

    3.6 itb, 1ft

    1. Scratch
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Grand team. Son to KDB/Sterling obviously a decent shout but depends if you've planned to use that money elsewhere in the next couple weeks.

      1. ClaireT
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Thank you 🙂 If I do the Son to KDB/Sterling move this week - which 3 would you say to bench from the rest of my team? 🙂

        1. Scratch
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Tricky to choose your best 3 defenders, go with your gut it's more fun.

  16. bigdip
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    1 FT & 1.8mn itb.

    Mccarthy (Forster)
    Cancelo Justin James (Taylor Lewis)
    Bruno SON Sterling (c) Soucek (Gordon)
    Vardy DCL Wilson

    A) Son & DCL to Salah & Bamford for -4 hit
    B) Keep FT and do A next GW for free
    C) Keep FT and do Sterling & Vardy to Salah & Kane for free next GW

    1. Luton_Fan
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      C

    2. Scratch
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Agree with all 3 options, very tricky to pick one

  17. Cto
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Do we think Mahrez will play? I have him and thinking of shipping.. mates calling me crazy. Stinks of a benching to me though

    1. Letsgo!
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I think mahrez totally suit to start this game, surely he get smth already.

  18. Luton_Fan
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Jota replacement under 6 ?

    A. Soucek
    B. Lookman
    C. Raphinha (already have bamford)

    Tia

    1. bigdip
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A

    2. Baron Saturday
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I'm also looking at a < 6 mid, but leaning toward Dendonker to free up some extra funds, or go with Eze based on stats alone.

      Of the above I'd go A.

  19. bigdip
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Start 3 defenders:
    A) Cancelo
    B) Justin
    C) James
    D) Taylor
    E) Lewis

    1. Luton_Fan
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A, b, c

  20. bigdip
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Captain choice:
    A) Sterling
    B) Bruno
    C) Vardy

    1. Luton_Fan
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Bruno

    2. 007 [RoboKlopp]
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Bruno

  21. Alisson WondHaaland
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Which punts do you think might be worth it?

    A) Aguero
    B) Martial
    C) Rashford
    D) Jesus
    E) F. Torres

    1. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Rashford the only one more than 60% nailed

  22. Dthinger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Was going to save my transfer but now I’m worried that my bench is Kilman Neco Brewster. I should deal with that right? So...Kilman to...

    A) Lewis
    B) vestergaard
    C) someone else up to 4.6

    1. Cojones of Destiny
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      b

  23. FCSB
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Martinez
    Robertson Chilwell Cancelo
    Salah Son KDB Grealish Foden
    DCL Bamford

    Forster Dallas Brewster Ferguson

    1 FT, 0.3 itb

    1. Salah >> Fernandes (for GW13/14 then back to Salah for GW15)
    2. Save FT

    Cheers.

    1. Letsgo!
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Done 1 alr

  24. De Gea is GOAT
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Repost for more opinions. Do i use FT to swap Chilwell to a City defender?

    Not so sure about the CHE double up anymore. Thanks guys

    Ryan
    Robbo Chilwell James
    Grealish Salah KDB Bruno
    DCL Bamford Reid

    Taylore Alzate Mitchell

    1. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      No

    2. 007 [RoboKlopp]
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      No

    3. De Gea is GOAT
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Thanks lads!

    4. Cojones of Destiny
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      save, i deal gk sooner or later

      1. De Gea is GOAT
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah he's definitely out next week. Who would you bring as a set and forget?

        1. Cojones of Destiny
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Marti did well for me so far, Fabs got a great potential if u can squeeze him in

          1. De Gea is GOAT
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Thank you. really appreciate it. Will be hard to get to Fabs. I do also prefer Mccarthy over Marti.

  25. Cojones of Destiny
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    chasing, my ML rivals only got Bruno, I got him and KDB surely i C KDB?!

    1. De Gea is GOAT
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      KDB for sure.

  26. Esalman
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    At this point I've switched C between Bruno and KDB several times. I have forgot who it is on now. I'm not even gonna look at my team anymore unless there's an injury.

    1. Cojones of Destiny
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      yeah that helps

  27. Slitherene
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Bench 1?
    A. Watkins
    B. Wilson
    C. Soucek

    Start 1?
    1. Lascelles
    2. Ayling
    3. Taylor

    Help needed!

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Soucek

      Taylor

  28. prateikmahendra
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Mccarthy
    Bellerin chillwel justin
    Salah DeBryne Klich Grealish
    dcl Kane wilson

    Want to do klich->zaha and bellerin to a def but only 4.1 left
    Neco williams is one option but no play time expected.
    Any other options or suggestions? (1.0 in the bank)

    1. Lucky Z
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      What is wrong with Klich vs NEW?

      1. prateikmahendra
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Nothing, I have had Klich for all season, and have been wanting Zaha for long now for the attacking threat

    2. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      You can get someone like Soucek and upgrade Bellerin to James/Dias instead

      1. prateikmahendra
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        That I can do while keeping Klich (who is on penalties as well)

  29. Lucky Z
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Mendy
    Chilwell | Targett | Dallas
    Salah | KDB (c) | B.Fernandes | Son | Grealish
    DCL | Bamford

    Forster | Reguilon | Brewster | Mitchell

    Saving FT this GW. Is it worth to fit Kane in this team with 2FTs after Liverpool? And how.

    1. Lucky Z
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      0 ITB

    2. RogDog_jimmy
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      you want to get Kane think you have to remove one of the big-hitters. does Grealish >4.5 and DCL > Kane work?

      1. Lucky Z
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        0.5 short of it. But frankly better to lose one of KDB/Salah/Bruno than DCL (consistency at 7.0) and Grealish (also 7.0 and DGWs to come)

  30. Warbling Wendy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Martinez Mccarthy
    Chilwell, Lamptey, Targett, KWP, Lewis
    Salah, KDB, Fernandes, Son, Bissouma
    DCL, Wilson, Bamford

    2FT, no idea what to do with them, 0.0m in the bank

    Wouldn't normally ask blindly for help, but the only thing I can think to do is downgrade one of the goalkeepers to the 4m understudy of the goalkeeper I keep, so I have those funds in the bank for a move I might want to make the week after. Anything jump out as a obvious weakness or a move to make?