Metrics

How Wildcarding top 10k FPL managers have prepared for Double Gameweek 19

A significant portion of Fantasy Premier League managers inside the top 10,000 overall rankings re-shaped their squads for Gameweek 16.

9.3% of those deployed the first Wildcard at the last chance of asking for the final Gameweek of 2020 – with Mohamed Salah (£12.6m) very much a key figure.

Thanks to the data on LiveFPL.net, we can analyse which other assets played a part in this squad shuffle, especially thinking of the upcoming Blank and Double Gameweeks.

Firstly, we can see that, as the Gameweek 16 deadline passed, 92.0% of top 10k managers had used the first Wildcard.

That means that just over 8.0% of those at this level proverbially ‘wasted’ it by leaving the chip unused.

Could that indicate a degree of inactivity even among the top 10k, or were there that many managers happy enough with their existing squad not to need it. Imaging that luxury is enough to make anyone envious.

As you can see from the bar chart above, we can see that, after 16 Gameweeks, 5.0% of the top 10k achieved their lofty rank without the use of even one chip.

64.6% have deployed one, almost certainly the Wildcard based on the rule of probability, while the relative lack of managers to have used more than that suggests we should see plenty Triple Captains, Free Hits and Bench Boosts when the Blank and Double Gameweeks come around.

As mentioned already, Salah was the key man on top 10k Wildcards, selected by 95.9% of these managers, the most of any asset.

He is marginally more popular than Bruno Fernandes (£11.1m) and Patrick Bamford (£6.5m), included in 95.8% and 94.6% of top 10k Wildcard squads respectively.

Despite blanking in five of the last nine Gameweeks, Son Heung-min (£9.7m) is not far behind the trio in terms of Wildcard support, chosen by 88.0% of these managers. 

Back-to-back home matches against newly-promoted opposition are sure to have influenced that decision, as well as a fixture in Blank Gameweek 18, taking Spurs to Villa Park.

Midfield is certainly an area where the top 10k have been as unanimous as possible in terms of selection, Tomáš Souček (£5.1m) selected by 70.2% of Wildcarders at this level ahead of a Double Gameweek line-up of Burnley (home) and West Bromwich Albion (home).

Apart from Bamford, the top 10k were less emphatic in the overall choices up-front. It is certainly noteworthy that Harry Kane (£11.0m) was considerably less popular in these Wildcard squads than Son with 55.7% inclusion.

Also interesting is the fact that Che Adams (£6.1m) has picked up the support of 41.7%, the value offered by a striker facing Leicester (away) and Leeds (away) in Double Gameweek 19.

Premium defenders struggled to get much of a look-in for top 10k Wildcarders, none of the top-five most-fashionable assets in this position costing more than £5.0m at the time of writing.

James Justin‘s (£5.0m) remarkable powers of recovery have helped him start and play 90 minutes in every match for Leicester this season, even between Gameweeks 15 and 16.

The top 10k have cottoned onto that, especially those Wildcarding, 62.0% choosing him ahead of a Double Gameweek 19 line-up of Southampton (home) and Chelsea (home).

Charlie Taylor (£4.5m) and Stuart Dallas (£4.7m) are in just shy of 60% of top 10k Wildcard squads, with Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) and Kyle Walker-Peters (£4.8m) also extensively included.

In terms of what these selections mean for future chip planning, the fact that so many popular Wildcard assets are Double Gameweekers indicates the Free Hit could receive extensive attention in Blank Gameweek 18.

In terms of how that compares with the template for the rest of the top 10k rank bracket, there are some notable exclusions.

Jack Grealish (£7.8m) is in 53.8% of squads at this level but did not feature in the Wildcard template.

The same goes for Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£8.0m), currently owned by 62.8% of the top 10k.

Meanwhile, it is clear that the Wildcarders at this level used the chip to bring their defence in line with the overall template, the same five players appearing in each matrix we have compared.

Finally, Salah is the most dangerous asset in the top 10k for Gameweek 16, backed by 54.3% for the captaincy.

That brings his effective ownership at this level to 142.8%, 46.1 percentage points higher than the second-placed in that category: Manchester United midfielder Fernandes.

It is also interesting to note how the stock of Spurs attackers has fallen, especially in the captaincy debate.

A home meeting with Fulham stood out to many as a key game for those in possession of Son and Kane – less so now.

Spurs’ own slump is likely a contributing factor as well as Fulham’s improved defensive displays.

As a result, Kane and Son were captained only by 19.8% and 13.5% of the top 10k respectively.

Statistics taken from LiveFPL.net.

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1,903 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Orion
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Giroud on 3 baps

  2. Right In The Stanchion
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Chelsea will always be a small club.

    1. Brehmeren
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      One more time?

    2. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Prefer the no where to hide posts

    3. Seanigula
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Look down...that small?

  3. Canarinha
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Too much of a rotation risk... kinda like Jesus-Kun situation

    Tammy/Giroud rotating way too much

  4. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    No Palace
    No Leicester
    No Chelsea
    No Villa

    Had KDB & Cancelo to come tonight!

    Boo (... and Chelsea didn't even win!)

    1. diesel001
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Good results for you today then, other than perhaps a Chilwell assist.

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah - low-key content.

    2. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      hang in there.

  5. Pukkipartyy
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    We ppl are so sure Newcastle vs Liverpool to be canceled? I tought they would play if they can field enough players. Ofc if there is bad outbrake, but thats at the City team no at NEW or LFC.

    1. Salarrivederci
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I guess it's panic galore at the moment.

      Son benched, Kane benched, Liverpool off. It is all madness in here 😀

      1. George Sillett
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        It's a load of speculation based on no fact whatsoever.

    2. Brehmeren
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Nobody is sure of that.

    3. Canadian Football
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      They will play.

    4. Baines on Toast...
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Liverpool have a lot of squad immunity anyway

      1. Pukkipartyy
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        So do Newcastle?

        1. Brehmeren
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Yes?

    5. Bushwhacker
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      There’s nothing to suggest it will be canceled

  6. zotter
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Sorry if this has been discussed at length....

    But with Covid on fire I seriously think the valid option is

    A. Use FH18
    B. Use BB19

    You will get plenty of pop up options to use TC where you don’t have time to plan

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Will you get to fully use the BB?

      1. Here's Tom with the We…
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Was planning to bb19, not sure I will now.

      2. FPL Daniel
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        BB during Spring after the vaccine me thinks

  7. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Anyone on bb taking a punt on Johnson at West Ham? Most people I’m talking to think he’ll carry on starting

  8. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Good news

    LMS safety score currently 0

    https://www.livefpl.net/LMS

    1. Duke Silver ☑
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      😆

    2. Don Kloppeone
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Not for me - I’m on -1 from 1!

    3. Jdpz
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      What is lms?

    4. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Update : safety score is 1 after autosubs 🙂

      1. Don Kloppeone
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        You’re killing me 🙁

    5. FPL Daniel
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I am still in it

    6. WE GO FOR IT
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Good. I have exactly that many. 1 pointer Brewster coming in as well. So, I'm accounted for auto subs as well

    7. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      do you have a link to the GW LMS scores so I can check if I can join ?

    8. Basil1977
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      why wasn't that the score after gw 1 where i went out

    9. FER FUSCH AKE
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      On 1 point.

  9. Deer-in-headlights
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Which looks best for free? Thanks.

    A. Grealish > Son
    B. Grealish > Raphina, bank the cash.
    C. DCL > Vardy

  10. R.C
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    This is gonna be another one of those low scoring week eh

    1. Joey Tribbiani
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Yep that Martinez 3 pointer could be a huge haul

  11. Salarrivederci
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Cup starting next week right? 😀

    1. Don Kloppeone
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Ha if only

  12. Bielsa Murderball
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Where can I find my opponent for the Cup?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      It's qualifying this GW.

      1. Bielsa Murderball
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        oh okay...first season here 🙂

    2. KnightSlayer
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Got to qualify first this week

  13. Whiskerz
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Who plays cb for Liverpool in place of matip during the dgw do we think?

    1. MSTRKRFTSMN
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Probabky matip - it’s a month away

      1. Whiskerz
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        I read he's probably out for the season

    2. Canadian Football
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Williams?

    3. Old Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Hendo????

    4. Dr Van Nostrand
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Probably a new CB signing

    5. WE GO FOR IT
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I would've said Vestergaard but he got injured. They will surely be looking for a new player.

  14. Pedersen
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Who to get instead of grealish? Zaha, or El Ghazi? Got 7.8m to buy for

    1. james 101
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Maddy?

    2. jdp219
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      2FTs, 0.3itb. Probably FH in gw18.
      1) Kilman > Taylor & roll the other?
      2) Kilman, KDB > Stones, Son
      3) Forster, KDB > Meslier, Son (bench McCarthy vs. Pool in 17)

      McCarthy, Forster
      Chilwell, Targett, KWP, Coufal, Kilman
      Salah, KDB, Bruno, Grealish, Soucek
      DCL, Bamford, Wilson

      1. jdp219
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Oh, wow. Big reply fail. Apologies.

  15. Don Kloppeone
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    All 3 of my targets between now and GW19 BB (Johnstone, Soucek, Taylor) look to be rising tonight! What a pain - really would rather not be forced to take a -8 this early!

    1. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      No way I’m making any early moves this week

      1. Don Kloppeone
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        I really don’t want to either but my options will be severely limited if all rise

        1. Tango74
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          But then u could a player who match gets postponed!

          1. Don Kloppeone
            • 6 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Indeed. What a mess!

    2. FPL Daniel
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      They might not rise because of so many WC played

      1. Don Kloppeone
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Anyway to see difference between real transfers and WC on fpl stats etc?

    3. Podge
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Exact money?

      1. Don Kloppeone
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        0.1 spare

  16. Sid07
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    1) grealish to raphina
    2) grealish to son
    3) kdb to son

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      None atm.

      1. FPL Daniel
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Finally I agree with TM usual advice to do nothing

        1. Sid07
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Lol
          Grealish dropping tonight, so plan to move him out

          1. Mweene
            • 10 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Doesn’t seem a good idea to make early transfers at the moment.

            1. Sid07
              • 9 Years
              3 years, 3 months ago

              Have 2fts
              But I get your point, will hold for now

    2. Wizardh
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Grealish to Maddison

  17. camarozz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    For free with dgw19(BB) in mind.

    Macey➡️McCarthy
    Mitchel➡️Balbuena?

    1. Bielsa Murderball
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      yep, although not now

      1. camarozz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        I can wait, have exact cash but neither are rising/falling I think

  18. Zimo
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    1 from 1. (Keinan Davis :P) Am i above average?

    1. Bielsa Murderball
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I guess not ... I got 2 and a 50k red arrow

  19. KnightSlayer
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Do you think man city players will be able to play Chelsea on the 1st

    1. Wizardh
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Doubt it

    2. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      0,01% chance

    3. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      nope

  20. KnightSlayer
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    I mean the second

    1. KnightSlayer
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Sorry chelsea v man city on the 3rd

    2. Jimmers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      same answer

  21. Salarrivederci
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Saw some talk about a Man U fixture in the BGW.
    When will we know more about that?

    1. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Would of happened by now I would of imagined if it were to be moved to 18

      1. Salarrivederci
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Ye I agree, but it is a strange season though? 🙂

        Would just be perfect for my team if Man U played in 18.
        Always planned to FH 18 and TC19, but If Man U have a match I would do a -8 between now and GW18 and then a -4 before 19 and save me FH for BGW29 😉

    2. WE GO FOR IT
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Should be this week if there's any news. Can't see them scheding it within a week if it goes to next week.

  22. OverTinker
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Should I move out Dias??

  23. palace ash
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    8 per cent of the top 10k burned their first wildcard or are dead teams. Depressing!

    1. Big boy Bowen
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      An early Wildcard really benefitted a lot this season, think of the early Kane/Son/Bruno hauls so wouldn’t call it burning.
      Some of the dead teams probably just have really good XIs with Salah/Bruno perma captain

      1. OverTinker
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        GW3 wildcarders like me were the real losers. 3 city and 2 wolves instead of kane and son 🙁

      2. palace ash
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Burning as in they didn't use it. GW16 passed and they have yet to Wildcard once.

        1. OverTinker
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          ohh - most of them might be dead teams or may be over-thinkers - anyways its really weird

        2. Big boy Bowen
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Ahhh I see!

  24. nkhoughton
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Best cheap defensive teams for the dgw?

    Torn between Leeds and WHU atm I already have Chelsea and Leicester defenders

  25. CroatianHammer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Double Citeh blank = Klich and Lewis I imagine, unless it's Lamptey who recovers in time. Delighted with 3 from Martinez there, I know Mark wasn't sure of a CS but the save point was welcomed.

  26. Big boy Bowen
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Does the fplstats site show transfers in the price changes from prior to today’s deadline? Or has it reset for the new week?

  27. Fred54
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    On Amazon they aren't even talking about Everton Citeh game, where's the build up?

    1. WE GO FOR IT
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Behind clsed doors. Points will be added when they show the match on TV after a few weeks.

    2. Bielsa Murderball
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Its postponed due to Covid.

    3. Podge
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      No game to talk about

  28. Tango74
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Why people doing WC or transfers?

    High rate of games getting called off during to Covid

    1. Big boy Bowen
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Gives them something to do

  29. Flair
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Personally feeling ecstatic at that 2 pointer from Grealish, a massive haul in a GW like this

  30. Connor's Calling
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Quick reminder please- am I right in thinking that carrying 2 transfers into a FH means you lose a transfer and only have 1 after the FH GW?

    1. Fred54
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Yes.

    2. ClassiX
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Yes, correct