Football Index

How Tuchel’s arrival at Chelsea could impact Football Index assets


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The notion of ‘new manager bounce’ is readily applied to teams, but less so when it comes to individual players.

But one of the more interesting aspects of the arrival at Chelsea of Thomas Tuchel will be whether he can bring out the best in a number of under-performing players.

If he can, there should be a few moves to make on Football Index (FI).

If you’re new to ‘The Football Stockmarket’, it’s a real-money betting platform where you can buy and sell footballers.

On Football Index you buy shares in individual players whose value can rise or fall depending on their performance both on the field and in the media.

I’m actively using FI this season with more than a nod to FPL, seeing which aspects of each game marry up, and which don’t.

One of the more tragic sub-plots of the FPL season so far has been the form (or complete lack of it) of Chelsea striker Timo Werner.

The German started the season in around a third of all squads and, despite not scoring in the league since a Gameweek 8 mauling of Sheffield United in early November, he’s still in 11.6%.

And while not the only reason for the demise of coach Frank Lampard, he is that sorry story’s poster boy.

Lampard, after all, gave him 15 straight starts (and 1,393 minutes) to adapt to the Premier League and he responded with four goals and five assists.

Those struggles didn’t go unnoticed on FI, where Werner’s share price, which had peaked at £5.99 in early September, dropped to a chastening £1.36 late last week.

But that new manager bounce is presumably now kicking in, with the striker currently trading around the £1.80 mark.

Chelsea, like every club with a European string to their bow, have an insanely busy month ahead, with two games a week from now until the end of February.

If – and it’s big one – Tuchel can help Werner find some form, his value can only rise further, although that September high is a long, long way off.

Having said that, FI’s decision to ditch in-play dividends from early next month should encourage traders to return to the longer game that it originally was.

And further down the road is the European Championships – a competition that any number of Chelsea stars will be involved in. That should boost their attractiveness in FI in terms of share value and dividend output (both media and match day), so getting in early on key Blues assets looks sustainable.

Werner has produced a £0.93 dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Another recent signing, Hakim Ziyech (£1.26), is a lot further down the FI value chain and brought in a mere £0.12 in dividends over the past year.

But his price is also on the move upwards, as are most of the Chelsea squad’s valuations in recent days.

Lampard failed for a number of reasons, most notably for struggling to find the right team balance from a squad rich in attacking talent.

Tuchel will, of course, face the same challenge and it will be interesting to see how the younger players fit into his personal master plan considering his recent admission that he chose more experienced options to face Wolves as he felt them better-equipped to deal with a new manager.

What doesn’t seem in doubt, however, is that there is a lot of FI value waiting to be tapped into at Chelsea.

Their domestic fixtures are generally favourable until the middle of March, with Champions League action to further sweeten the deal.

Timing, as ever, will be vital for FI traders, but sooner looks wiser than later.


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654 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Stormbringer22
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Yay or any?

    Vardy + Soucek > DCL + Sterling(C) -4

    Raz becomes Son in 23

    1. jimmy.floyd
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Y

    2. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yay

    3. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks both

  2. Cali
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Trying to figure out what to do here.

    Martinez, Forster
    Stones, Dias, Coufal, Dallas, Kilman
    Salah, Bruno, Son, Gundo, Soucek
    Bamford, Antonio, Brewster

    8.3M ITB

    A) DCL for Brewster (bench Bamford or Soucek)
    B) A and Dallas to Digne/Trent (-4)
    C) Bamford to DCL + Soucek to Mane (-4)

    Other ideas? Thanks!

    1. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A. Bench Bamford

    2. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B

  3. jimmy.floyd
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Play one
    A DDG
    B Johnstone

    Play one
    A AWB
    B Cresswell

    1. faux_C
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A
      B

    2. Pukki Party
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      BB

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      AA

    4. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B + A

    5. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      BB

  4. Pukki Party
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Martinez
    Cancelo Robbo Holding
    Salah Son Bruno Coufal
    DCL Bamford Adams

    Ramsdale Taylor Ayling Anguissa

    A) Anguissa to Gundogan (means keeping Holding with bad fixtures and playing Adams)
    B) Anguissa, Adams to Gundogan,
    Antonio -4

    C) Holding, Adams to Stones, Richarlison -4 (play Soucek, Rich to Antonio in 23.)

    D) Anguissa, Adams to Gundogan, Antonio

    1. jimmy.floyd
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      D

    2. Indpush
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      D

    3. Pukki Party
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks guys

  5. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Rashford/Brewster to Son/DCL for -4 and bench Saka?

    1. No Professionals
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      just rashford to son and play saka

    2. Pukki Party
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yes from me

    3. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Just Brewster to DCL

    4. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Cheers! Could also do Saka to Son

  6. Scholes Out For Summer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Is a -8 overkill at this point with these moves?

    Alioski --> Digne (replaced Mitchell in the starting 11)
    Raphinha --> Barnes
    Brewster --> DCL (Could be Kane instead of Brewster out as well)

    1. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I like those moves mate

    2. cravencottage
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      just 1 and 3

  7. Nightcrawler
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Guys opinions please

    A) Lewis ----> Cancelo (play maguire)

    B) Vardy ----> DCL (play maguire)

    C) both for -4 bench maguire..

    1. jimmy.floyd
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      C

    2. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      C

    3. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      C

    4. Pedersen
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      C

  8. DAZZ
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Kane > DCL -8? Or play Mitchell?

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Play Mitchell

    2. Pedersen
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Play Mitchell if price drop is not a concern

    3. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      What are the other transfers?

    4. Voodoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Play Mitchell.

  9. Vovhund
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Should I do:
    Kane+Raphinha to DCL+Mane with this team?:

    Johnstone-McCarthy
    Cancelo-Stone-Justin-Coufal-Dallas
    Salah-Bruno-Gündo-Soucek-Raphinha
    Kane-Antonio-Bamford

    1. Shark Team
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      yes but i prefer Jrod or Maddison/Barnes over Mane for the foresseable future

      1. Vovhund
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks, but I don't see any of them outscoring Mane

  10. The Left Duke #3
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    G2G lads or have I got the bench all wrong?

    Martinez
    Cancelo Stones Justin
    Salah Son Gundogan Bruno Soucek
    DCL Antonio
    (Forster / Bamford Dallas Coufal)

    1. Shark Team
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Bamford over Soucek imo

      1. The Left Duke #3
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        I'm thinking Soucek for set pieces v Lpool with no CB's. Playing Justin in DF then so Bamford on the bench seems logical to me......until it all goes pear shaped lol

    2. Jet5605
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      G2G.

      Soucek could hurt Liverpool's weak central defence

      1. The Left Duke #3
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        This is my thinking. Soucek and Antonio against Lpool with no CB's.....and I'm a Pool fan lol

        1. Jet5605
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Moyes is turning West Ham into his old Everton so this should be like a derby for you! 🙂

          1. The Left Duke #3
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Ya just hopeful our attack kicks on from Spurs. A 4-3 with a Salah hatty, Antonio brace and Soucek goal would be perfect 😉

  11. Shark Team
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Can see Walker starting for sure tbh. Let's see if Cancelo plays LB or something else happens

  12. AD105
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Need to bench 2 this week:

    A) Dallas (Lei)
    B) Coufal (Liv)

    1) Bamford (Lei)
    2) Antonio (Liv)

    1. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A1

    2. Pedersen
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Bench B 1

  13. vincentwsho
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Dallas / Coufal worth a -4?

    1. vincentwsho
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Dallas / coufal to Digne worth a -4?

      1. Jet5605
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Not worth a hit. Just play Dallas and hope he does something

    2. Jet5605
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Definitely not

    3. Pedersen
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Requires signed scoring more than 6 pts to be worth it. Do you believe?

      1. Pedersen
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Digne... Damn autocorrect

  14. No Professionals
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Johnstone
    Dias Stones Dallas
    Salah Fernandes Son Gundogan(c) Soucek
    Bamford Antonio

    Steer Kane Mitchell Coufal

    Pretty set on getting DCL for a hit. who would you take out?

    A) Kane (bench Bamford)
    B) Bamford (keep Kane on bench and hope for a miraculous recovery in next week or so)

    1. Iwantmorepointsthanks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A)

    2. Vovhund
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Kane out - and get him back GW23, if he's fit

  15. Baines on Toast...
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Worth a hit for DCL in for Kane, or play Wilson?

    1. Jet5605
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Play Wilson

  16. Scots Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    What to do here? Was originally planning triple City defense, but tempted by Gundogan after last week.

    Martinez / Johnstone
    Stones / Cancelo / Holding / Coufal / Dallas
    Bruno / Salah / Maddison / Grealish / Soucek
    Kane / Bamford / Antonio

    Kane -> DCL
    Soucek -> Gundo

    for - 4 good moves?

  17. Besaid_Auroch
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Striker options this week seem like form vs fixture. In form Laca and Antonio up against the top of the table, while snoozers DCL and Werner could come back to life with easier games. Can't decide and no one seems worth a hit. Anyone else just going 4-5-1 and sorting out Kane next week?

    1. Iwantmorepointsthanks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      hm, not 4-5-1 for me, but considering other move (see post below) and sort out Kane next week

  18. Iwantmorepointsthanks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    A) Kane --> DCL
    B) Brewster --> DCL (sort out Kane next week)

    1. Pompel
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I'm leaning towards B (Bobby Reid getting the boot from me). Kane could be back next GW

  19. Voodoo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Does anyone else think that Kane’s injury may not actually be that bad? He was playing on and only came off after going in at half time. Perhaps it was just as a precaution?

    Any thoughts?

    1. _Ninja_
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Jose said he was injured twice, he played on after the 1st ankle went but couldnt after the other ankle went. I think he's out this weekend. Next week spurs have 2 league games in 2 days. I'd be surprised he played them both if at all.

      1. Iwantmorepointsthanks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Problem is you can't trust Mourinho.
        According to him Son was supposed to be out a while early in the season and we know what happened.

    2. OneDennisBergkamp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I think he misses 1 game and is back for Chelsea

      1. Iwantmorepointsthanks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        most likely

  20. Sultan-Gemy2121
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    several questions this week striking my mind...

    1- Barnes or Maddison
    2- Get Digne for -4 or he might get benched
    3- Captain the safe choice (gundo, DCL) or take the risk and captain barnes or digne

  21. cigan
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Which one out of these would you prefer?

    A) Vardy > DCL
    B) Lowton > Cancelo
    C) both for -4?

    I kinda see B as a priority with all my cheap defenders having tough games (vs. Liv, Che, Mun). But any forward against Newcastle feels so tempting right now (who do I bench in that case tho? Bamford?)

    Also, would you play Martinez or Johnstone?

    Martinez (Johnstone)
    Robbo Dias Coufal (Lowton Holding)
    Bruno Son Barnes Gundogan Saka
    Bamford Antonio (Vardy*)

  22. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    what you all doing with Kane?

    1. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Will start him, Bamford first on bench

      1. Iwantmorepointsthanks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        same plan

        1. OneDennisBergkamp
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          eating the price drops then?

          1. Iwantmorepointsthanks
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            yes, within reason. Maybe he will pull off a KdB hahaha

  23. Avery
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Salah in | Soucek out for a -4 worth it?
    thanks

  24. Scots Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Kane -> DCL
    Soucek -> Gundo OR Holding -> Dias (Triple City defense)

    For minus 4 good moves?

  25. fplfansss
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    GTG?

    McCarthy
    Cancelo, Stones, Targett
    Son, Bruno, Salah, Gundo, Soucek
    Bamford, DCL