Spot the Differential

Barkley’s goal threat makes him a value alternative to Grealish in Villa midfield

Gameweek 22 is almost upon us after a quick turnaround, so let’s have a quick look at some more differential options for the midweek fixtures and beyond.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Aston Villa, Leeds United and Chelsea, all of whom found the back of the net last weekend.

As always, to qualify, the player must have a Fantasy Premier League ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Ross Barkley

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW22-26 fixtures: WHU | ARS | bha | LEI | lee 

Ross Barkley (£5.9m) returned to Aston Villa’s starting XI last month, having missed seven league games through injury.

Despite initially looking a bit off the pace, he is now back to full fitness and announced his return to form with a goal in Saturday’s 1-0 win at Southampton.

The 27-year-old got his Villa Park career off to a flyer when he scored in his first couple of games, but hobbled off just seconds into Gameweek 9 with a hamstring injury. In his absence, manager Dean Smith moved talisman Jack Grealish (£7.7m) into more of a central role, with Anwar El Ghazi (£5.6m) and Bertrand Traoré (£5.9m) on the flanks. Villa lost just two games during that period, and the wide players impressed, but Barkley was reinstated as soon as he returned to fitness, highlighting his importance to the team.

Since making his debut, Barkley has created 2.24 chances per 90 minutes, which ranks 12th amongst all midfielders who have played for over 500 minutes. That is some way behind Grealish’s league-leading total of 3.36, but he is shooting more often than his colleague, taking 2.81 shots per 90 minutes, compared to his captain’s 2.21.

Villa now sit ninth in the table with games in hand over most teams above them. The fixtures are appealing too, especially their away schedule, which sees them take on Brighton and Hove Albion, Leeds United, Newcastle United and Sheffield United before the end of March. That’s important, given that only Manchester United and Leicester City have taken more points on the road so far this season.

Grealish remains the headline pick in Villa’s midfield, but if funds are tighter, Barkley is a viable alternative and could offer real value in the coming weeks.

Jack Harrison

  • FPL ownership: 2.1%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW22-26 fixtures: EVE | CRY | ars | wol | AVL

Jack Harrison (£5.4m) has been in fine form of late, with three goals in his last five league appearances.

Following his strike at Leicester City, he has now been directly involved in nine goals this season, and the numbers suggest it won’t be long before he’s into double figures.

The 24-year-old, who is on loan from Manchester City, has already created 36 chances for his team-mates this term. Amongst midfielders, only Grealish, Bruno Fernandes (£11.4m), Kevin De Bruyne (£11.8m), Mason Mount (£6.8m) and Pedro Neto (£5.8m) have managed more. His goal threat is on the up too, having registered more goal attempts, shots in the box and big chances than colleague Raphinha (£5.4m) over the last six matches.

His positioning sees him supply Leeds’ width on the left, but after Leicester switched to a 3-4-3 in the second-half on Sunday, Marcelo Bielsa responded by moving Harrison into the forward press. That in turn meant he found himself in more central areas than usual, which is something to keep an eye on going forward. It’s also worth noting that he is a firm favourite of Bielsa and is rarely omitted from the starting XI. In fact, he’s now played the full 90 minutes in seven of his last eight league appearances.

Harrison is one of the Whites’ most important players and now, in a really good moment, could be an effective differential for Gameweek 22 and beyond.

Marcos Alonso

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.6m
  • GW22-26 fixtures: tot | shu | NEW | sou | MUN

Marcos Alonso (£5.6m) returned to Chelsea’s starting XI under new manager Thomas Tuchel on Sunday, and took full advantage of the opportunity with a goal and 14 FPL points.

Making his first league start since September, the 30-year-old operated as a left-sided wing-back in a 3-4-3 shape, a role he has previously excelled in for the Blues. He finished the match with two shots in the box, six penalty area touches and three crosses, while amongst team-mates, only Mount had more touches in the final third. It’s also worth noting he took two of Chelsea’s four corners during the game.

As we pointed out last week when tipping up Antonio Rüdiger (£4.5m), change is inevitable under a new manager, especially with Tuchel’s reputation for tactical flexibility, but if they are to continue using a similar shape in the coming weeks, it raises the appeal of their wing-backs, who will naturally get into more advanced positions in the box. 

A move for Alonso this week does carry risk, knowing that Ben Chilwell (£6.1m) is also pushing for a start, but there is a lot of upside too, given the Spaniard’s potential for big hauls. Will he now become first-choice? It’s impossible to say, but if Tuchel does opt to regularly use a back-three system, he’s certainly put forward a strong case.

804 Comments Post a Comment
  1. JELLYFISH
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Re Barkley - As a Villa fan I personally rate Traore as a better fpl prospect. Barkley is too injury prone for me while you sense there is more to come from Traore who is eager to make the RWF position his own.

    1. R.C
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Traore can't finish

      1. JELLYFISH
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Don’t be daft....he’s scored some quality goals for us this season

    2. Salan
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Agree. For investing a Villa player, I would put Grealish / Watkins / Traore over Barkley. Understand it is differential, but to me, it's an unnecessary differential.

      1. Andy_Social
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        I've got Barkley as my 8th mid/fwd. He sat on my bench for his 8 points last GW and is first bench again. If he gets injured he goes, but just now he's a convenient squad member. If I had Traore, he'd also be the 8th choice.

    3. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Yeah, fair shout mate, and I did stick Traore in recently, just think Barkley might outscore him now, but ideally, they’ll both do well.

  2. R.C
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    No pressers today?

  3. R.C
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Can City keep clean sheets against these teams?

    LIV (A)
    TOT (H)
    ARS (A)
    WHU (H)
    MUN(H)

    1. Bubz
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

      1. Andy_Social
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        It's City. I'm intending to bench Salah next week, Bruno when the derby comes round.

    2. bench boost for every gamew…
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Yes they can. But its not West brom and shu so double up is not for me.

  4. rubberdignerapids
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Good to go?

    Johnstone
    Cancelo, Stones, Robbo
    Salah, Bruno, Son, Gundo
    Wilson(c), Bamford, Antonio

    Subs: McCarthy, Coufal, Mitchell, Lookman

    4.4 itb, 0 FT

    1. DGW blindness is for Kinnea…
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Template = good

      1. tbos83
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        I would cap Salah

  5. MoSalalalalalalalalah
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Would taking out Chilwell for another Chelsea defender be a good move?

    1. FantasyClub
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I think just sit and wait first, I’ve got Chilwell too

    2. Salan
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I would not touch any Chelsea players (not only defenders) until their formation is almost settled.

      1. Andy_Social
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Tuchel is notorious for tinkering with formations as well as personnel. I'm going to suck up 'Tuctation' like I do 'Peptation' - at the back anyway.
        I went with Chilwell and RJames on my GW20 WC. Next week I'll lose James and the week after Chilwell if they seem peripheral. That gives me 2 games to see if Chilwell will get enough gametime.
        As it is, the CBs look more nailed - Rutiger, Tilva and Azpi.

    3. bench boost for every gamew…
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      If you nail the 90 minute guy every week then maybe? Is that Silva perhaps? Azpi?

  6. kysersosa
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Anything glaring reaching out here? Not gonna lie and a few successful weeks and a 2mil rise in rank, I’m at a loss!

    Martinez

    Cancelo, Targett, Justin
    (S)alah, Gundogan, Grealish, Bruno,
    Wilson, Bamford, Antonio

    2FT, 7.8m (!) ITB

    Any advice appreciated.

    1. rubberdignerapids
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Who is on your bench?

      1. kysersosa
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Doh! Soucek, Dallas and Mitchell.

        1. rubberdignerapids
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Maybe upgrade Mitchell to Rudiger and start him ahead of Targett- can see Chelsea keeping a cs with Spurs playing so poorly and not keen on a Villa defence double for this week

        2. The Ilfordian
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Great team. Mitchell is the only doubt but only if absolutely no other priorities. Are you keeping money for Kane (or KDB return)? If not, you could look at a second City defender or Liverpool. Possibly upgrade Soucek (e.g. Raphinia or Barnes) but with a good run of fixtures, that might go wrong.

    2. waltzingmatildas
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Looks good. I'd hold

  7. Aster
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    A final verdict on Saka starting today?

    1. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Arteta said it would be 'difficult' for Saka and Tierney to return against Wolves

      1. Aster
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Yeah, but since then, Saka appeared in training.

  8. DGW blindness is for Kinnea…
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Right lads. Not a clue what to do here. Squad structure is set up for the DGWs and BB

    Martinez Mccarthy
    Dias Cancelo Cresswell Dallas Bednarek
    Salah Bruno Son Grealish Stephens
    DCL Watkins Bamford

    2ft. 0.0 itb

  9. Henning
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    1 ft and 4 m in bank
    1. Grealish in for Son
    2. Cancelo in for Stones

    Martinez
    Stones Dias Justin
    Son Barnes Salah Fernandes Gundogan
    DCL Bamford

    Areola Antonio Dallas Coufal

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I'd hold

      1. Henning
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Thanx.

    2. DGW blindness is for Kinnea…
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Save. FT will come in handy

      1. Henning
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Thanx.

  10. waltzingmatildas
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Who would I bench to get dallas into the first 11?
    Martinez
    Robbo cancelo stones
    Salah(c) Bruno son gundo
    Antonio dcl bamford
    (johnstone soucek dallas coufal)

    1. Bubz
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Stones I suppose

      1. Bubz
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        I wouldnt actually do this, but if you were intent on playing Dallas...

    2. Aster
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Why would you get Dallas into the first 11? A very low chance of a CS, a little bit higher chance of a goal, but just a little bit.

    3. DGW blindness is for Kinnea…
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      No one. This is the dilemma with defence this season. Leave him as first sub

    4. Aster
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      If you really want it...then bench Bamford to spread the risk.

    5. waltzingmatildas
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      OK cheers guys. Will just stick with what I have then. Fingers crossed!

  11. fplfansss
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Bench one
    1. DCL
    2. Antonio
    3. Gundo
    4. Son

    1. Bubz
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      If I absolutely had to, Gundo

    2. NotsoSpursy
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      4

    3. JoJoRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Son

    4. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      1 or 2

  12. Diro
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    1 FT, 2.6 ITB

    A) Sterling > Salah
    B) DCL and Son > Antonio and Salah (-4)
    C) Cancelo and Son > Dallas and Salah (-4)
    C) Save

    Cheers !

    1. Diro
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      D) Save*

    2. NotsoSpursy
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Not c.
      If any A but Sterling I think will be in the points

  13. NotsoSpursy
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Please can you help me put these in order of importance for this GW (I need to bench 2)

    A) Dallas
    B) Soucek
    C) Son
    D) Holding.

    1. Diro
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I would say B and D but very tough

  14. Spambo
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Bench
    A) Son
    B) Grelish

    1. NotsoSpursy
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

  15. h3nh3n
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Is it completely mad that the main 3 people on my radar are Alonso, Azpiliqueta, and Linguard!

    1. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      2 just scored, not mad at all. The other one ...... well.

    2. JoJoRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Hold!

    3. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      It's 2017 all over again! I'd love the Chelsea pair to get a run - big points scorers if on form

  16. Tshelby
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    People who have Adams in their team, what are you doing with him? I want to get rid but just can't find the solution

    1. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      You'd wait for a 2FT and downgrade a mid or defender on your bench.

      1. Tshelby
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Already have my second Ft. Current team is

        Martinez
        Chilwell, Dias, Stones, Coufal, Alioski
        Grealish, Salah, Bruno, sterling, Soucek
        Adams, Antonio, Bamford

        2ft
        0.5 itb

        1. AD2110
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Adams to 4.5 and Soucek to Barnes?

    2. JoJoRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Watkins?

      1. Tshelby
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Don't know if I really want Watkins. Seems like Grealish is enough

    3. AC Yew
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Moving on for Antonio.
      How do you feel about Downgrading Sterling to Gundogan and use the cashe to upgrade Adams to Kane once back?

  17. Parsnips
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Saka > who?

    I would have 11.9 in the bank and I already have Salah Bruno Soucek Gundogan.

    1. JoJoRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Grealish ?

    2. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Should only miss one game, no?

      1. Parsnips
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Yeh. Also don’t like Arsenals upcoming games

    3. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Grealish is the obvious pick but Saka trained yesterday and is likely to play.

  18. StayoutheSpiceZone
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Would really appreciate some advice

    Next six or seven game weeks combo ...

    A) Zaha and Ings
    B) Son and Watkins
    C) Gundo and Vardy(obv benched tonight)

    1. Diro
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      D) Zaha and Vardy if possible

      1. StayoutheSpiceZone
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        No it isn't

  19. JoJoRed
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Those with wildcard what’s the plan and why? Posters suggesting GW25?

    1. DGW blindness is for Kinnea…
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Big DGW26

    2. Rassi
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I am thinking after gw30 as I will probably have enough dgw players anyway.

    3. JoJoRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks !

  20. Origi-nal
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Play 1

    a) Phillips (LIV defender)
    b) Dallas
    c) Antonio

    1. Tshelby
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      C

    2. JoJoRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Antonio

    3. iveseenitall
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Antonio

  21. iveseenitall
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Bench
    A) Rudiger
    B) Justin

    Tottenham looked very poor on sunday so currently benching justin. Also Antonio benched over watkins and bamford?

  22. Fudgy
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Son is on my bench lol wtf

    1. DAZZ
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      That can certainly bite you mate. With ownership it isnt even worth doing, especially with Son scoring at home to Arsenal and City already.

  23. Taegugk Warrior
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    A. Son to sterling
    B. Bamford to Antonio
    C. Soucek to Grealish (Bench Bamford)
    D. Save FT

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      C or D

    2. Diro
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A or D but then if you want to take back Son, you will lose lot of money..

  24. Nate(U)dog(ie)
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Martinez
    Digne Dias Cresswell Holding
    Bruno Gundo Grealish Salah Maddison
    Antonio
    (McCarthy Justin Brewster Kane)

    Is this enough for this week? I know I need to lose Kane but can't figure out who is best, all the options I'm thinking of have caveats (Laca possibly out with concussion and Saka possibly out reduces desire to get him, Ings in side with poor form and lots of injuries, Cavani rotation risk and not many returns lately, etc. Think Ings is the best option if I had to choose but not sure if this is the week for it although MU aren't great at home. Still have the FT so should I do it or hold? Not sure who I'd drop from my starting lineup, still want to play Justin too!

    1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Also tempted to wait due to possibility of Vardy being back in one or two GWs

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Can you afford to upgrade Brewster and hold Kane?

      1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Yes but not to Ings, only to someone like Adams or Watkins

  25. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    McCarthy,
    Robertson, Cancelo, Stones,
    Salah(c), Gundogan, Bruno, Son, Soucek
    DCL, Bamford

    Forster, Brewster, Coufal, Mitchell

    1ft 4.5 itb

    Would you make any changes?

    Or GTG?

  26. Jebiga
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Is bench order right ?

    Targett, Dier, Brewster

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Yep.

  27. Muzzy87
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Top of Waivers in Draft League - who would you get?

    Odegaard
    King
    Minamino
    Kabak

    Thanks in advance!!

  28. The Final Boss
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Guys team g2g?

    Martinez
    Cancelo dias digne
    Salah bruno grealish gundo
    Dcl bamford Antonio

    4.0 Dallas bissou kwp*

    1ft 6.0m itb

    I am worried about some benchings so what about this:

    A) kwp to Rudiger free
    B) save ft

  29. AC Yew
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    1 FT Raphina to Salah best move?
    Other mids are Gundogan Son Bruno Soucek.

  30. Thomas Shelby from Birmingh…
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Son to Zaha for free or hold?

    1. TomSaints
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      It's really tempted. What would you use the freed up funds for?

      1. Thomas Shelby from Birmingh…
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Upgrading one of Watkins, Antonio or Bamford

        1. Thomas Shelby from Birmingh…
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          To Vardy

          1. TomSaints
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            Though i like this transfer!

        2. TomSaints
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Hmm, i'd hold this week. Then have 2 transfers for the weekend for some minor surgery as needed.

          1. Thomas Shelby from Birmingh…
            • 4 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            Willing to play Zaha for next 5 GWs unless he gets injured

    2. waltzingmatildas
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Hold

    3. Peteski29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Hold for this week

      1. Pat Bonner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        And next!

        1. Thomas Shelby from Birmingh…
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Yes...that's the thing..if I hold and even if he doesn't score... it'll be more difficult to sell him next week

          1. Pat Bonner
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            I think you should give him these next 2 and reassess then