Spot the Differential

Barkley’s goal threat makes him a value alternative to Grealish in Villa midfield

Gameweek 22 is almost upon us after a quick turnaround, so let’s have a quick look at some more differential options for the midweek fixtures and beyond.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Aston Villa, Leeds United and Chelsea, all of whom found the back of the net last weekend.

As always, to qualify, the player must have a Fantasy Premier League ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Ross Barkley

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW22-26 fixtures: WHU | ARS | bha | LEI | lee 

Ross Barkley (£5.9m) returned to Aston Villa’s starting XI last month, having missed seven league games through injury.

Despite initially looking a bit off the pace, he is now back to full fitness and announced his return to form with a goal in Saturday’s 1-0 win at Southampton.

The 27-year-old got his Villa Park career off to a flyer when he scored in his first couple of games, but hobbled off just seconds into Gameweek 9 with a hamstring injury. In his absence, manager Dean Smith moved talisman Jack Grealish (£7.7m) into more of a central role, with Anwar El Ghazi (£5.6m) and Bertrand Traoré (£5.9m) on the flanks. Villa lost just two games during that period, and the wide players impressed, but Barkley was reinstated as soon as he returned to fitness, highlighting his importance to the team.

Since making his debut, Barkley has created 2.24 chances per 90 minutes, which ranks 12th amongst all midfielders who have played for over 500 minutes. That is some way behind Grealish’s league-leading total of 3.36, but he is shooting more often than his colleague, taking 2.81 shots per 90 minutes, compared to his captain’s 2.21.

Villa now sit ninth in the table with games in hand over most teams above them. The fixtures are appealing too, especially their away schedule, which sees them take on Brighton and Hove Albion, Leeds United, Newcastle United and Sheffield United before the end of March. That’s important, given that only Manchester United and Leicester City have taken more points on the road so far this season.

Grealish remains the headline pick in Villa’s midfield, but if funds are tighter, Barkley is a viable alternative and could offer real value in the coming weeks.

Jack Harrison

  • FPL ownership: 2.1%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW22-26 fixtures: EVE | CRY | ars | wol | AVL

Jack Harrison (£5.4m) has been in fine form of late, with three goals in his last five league appearances.

Following his strike at Leicester City, he has now been directly involved in nine goals this season, and the numbers suggest it won’t be long before he’s into double figures.

The 24-year-old, who is on loan from Manchester City, has already created 36 chances for his team-mates this term. Amongst midfielders, only Grealish, Bruno Fernandes (£11.4m), Kevin De Bruyne (£11.8m), Mason Mount (£6.8m) and Pedro Neto (£5.8m) have managed more. His goal threat is on the up too, having registered more goal attempts, shots in the box and big chances than colleague Raphinha (£5.4m) over the last six matches.

His positioning sees him supply Leeds’ width on the left, but after Leicester switched to a 3-4-3 in the second-half on Sunday, Marcelo Bielsa responded by moving Harrison into the forward press. That in turn meant he found himself in more central areas than usual, which is something to keep an eye on going forward. It’s also worth noting that he is a firm favourite of Bielsa and is rarely omitted from the starting XI. In fact, he’s now played the full 90 minutes in seven of his last eight league appearances.

Harrison is one of the Whites’ most important players and now, in a really good moment, could be an effective differential for Gameweek 22 and beyond.

Marcos Alonso

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.6m
  • GW22-26 fixtures: tot | shu | NEW | sou | MUN

Marcos Alonso (£5.6m) returned to Chelsea’s starting XI under new manager Thomas Tuchel on Sunday, and took full advantage of the opportunity with a goal and 14 FPL points.

Making his first league start since September, the 30-year-old operated as a left-sided wing-back in a 3-4-3 shape, a role he has previously excelled in for the Blues. He finished the match with two shots in the box, six penalty area touches and three crosses, while amongst team-mates, only Mount had more touches in the final third. It’s also worth noting he took two of Chelsea’s four corners during the game.

As we pointed out last week when tipping up Antonio Rüdiger (£4.5m), change is inevitable under a new manager, especially with Tuchel’s reputation for tactical flexibility, but if they are to continue using a similar shape in the coming weeks, it raises the appeal of their wing-backs, who will naturally get into more advanced positions in the box. 

A move for Alonso this week does carry risk, knowing that Ben Chilwell (£6.1m) is also pushing for a start, but there is a lot of upside too, given the Spaniard’s potential for big hauls. Will he now become first-choice? It’s impossible to say, but if Tuchel does opt to regularly use a back-three system, he’s certainly put forward a strong case.

804 Comments Post a Comment
  1. stu92
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Morning all. Which 2 to start from here? Suffering from having squad depth!

    1) Bamford
    2) Targett
    3) Soucek
    4) Rafinha

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      The Leeds lads

      1. LAMELA_AND_CONSUELA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Is Raphina ready to play?

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Think so. You’ll get soucek if not.

    2. Pompel
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      1 & 3

  2. marcos11
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Captain?
    a) Salah
    b) Bruno
    c) Dias

    Start one?
    a) Bamford
    b) Gundogan

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      AA

    2. Tshelby
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      AB

    3. Hulk Smash
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A
      B

    4. Pompel
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      AB

  3. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Morning all, best move here? 1FT, 4.8m itb.

    A. Johnstone >> Martinez
    B. Soucek >> Son/Grealish
    C. Save FT.

    Johnstone
    Robbo, Cancelo, Dias
    Salah, Bruno, Gündo, Raphina
    DCL, Bamford, Antonio
    (McCarthy, Soucek, Dallas, Coufal)

    1. Tshelby
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks. I think probably A or just saving is best

    2. marcos11
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B and bench Raphinha?

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Who with? Could backfire though

    3. Pompel
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Yeah, I think it’s either A or save. Problem with A is I then can’t do Soucek/Raph to Son(c) next week. A bit short then. Would have to be with Gungod

    4. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks all. Bit mixed. Not sure Martinez is a must this week (hoping Antonio scores), so might just save up.

    5. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

  4. Tshelby
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Alot of options here..

    A) Alioski -> Dallas
    B) Adams -> Watkins
    C) Chilwell -> Justin
    D) Something else

    My team

    Martinez
    Chilwell, Dias, Stones, Coufal, Alioski
    Grealish, Salah, Bruno, sterling, Soucek
    Adams, Antonio, Bamford

    2ft
    0.5 itb

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Could go B with Wilson

      1. Tshelby
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Can't afford the straight swap

    2. Aster
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Chilwell-Cresswell

      1. Tshelby
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        You think Chilwell times done? Surely it's a situation that needs some more monitoring?

        1. CRO KLOPP
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Rotation risk, at that price,and there is a risk with City Boys too.

          1. Tshelby
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            Mmm true.. Just hate to get rid of him playing really good this season imo

    3. CRO KLOPP
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      C

  5. tbos83
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Benching headache.. thoughts?

    GTG?

    Guaita
    Dallas Stones Maguire
    Son Salah (c) Bruno Maddison Gundo
    Antonio Watkins

    Mccarthy, Bamford, Targett, Saiss

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Watkins

      1. tbos83
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Out for Bam?

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Yes

    2. marcos11
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      You going Gundo over Bamford? Currently can’t decide between them

      1. tbos83
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        I figure if Gundo starts he's a better option, and he's rested I'll get Bam anyway

  6. michaelington
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Is there no talk of postponements due to the snow?

    1. tbos83
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Interesting point - it is forecast to be heavy up north

    2. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Where is there supposed to be snow?

      1. R.C
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        UK

        1. Steve The Spud
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Manchester forecast says no snow over the next 2 days, maybe some sleet which always means nothing

          1. AC/DC AFC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            It's been snowing near Leeds for a start.

            Heavy pitch before but relaid?

            1. Steve The Spud
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              3 years, 2 months ago

              They play tomorrow, snow in the uk melts in about 5 minutes

        2. Andy_Social
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Just bring out the orange ball

      2. michaelington
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Leeds is set for heavy snow and has snowed already

        1. Steve The Spud
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          They play tomorrow and it looks completely clear, should be fine

  7. tibollom
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    hey guys, got 1 FT and a ton of money ITB (11.5m)... take a hit and get Salah in there?

    Lloris Button
    AWB Dias Mitchel CTaylor Ferguson
    SAKA Bruno Gundo Raphina Son
    Watkins DCL Bam

  8. Aster
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    De Gea

    Dias-Cancelo-Shaw (Coufal, Dallas)

    Son-Saka-Sterling-Bruno (Soucek)

    Dcl-Antonio-Wilson

    Saka to Pereira, or save FT?

    1. tbos83
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Save

  9. R.C
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    We don't have any pressers today?

  10. SpaceCadet
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    If there is no news on Mane before deadline, who will you cap?

    A. Salah
    B. Sterling

    1. Tshelby
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I'm on B

    2. marcos11
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B, rested aswell

    3. The Mantis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Currently on B, have both

    4. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

  11. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    If I don’t make a keeper change who would you play?

    A. Johnstone (she)
    B. McCarthy (man)

    1. Ibralicious
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A, unfortunately

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      She-man!

  12. Flair
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    All right, Son back on the bench. Will feel weird to be rooting against him again.

    1. OverTinker
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Who are you playing ahead of him?

    2. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Surely not

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Loads are saying it.

        His stats without Kane hold up and he'll be prominent in any Spurs show against Chelsea on Thursday.

  13. Ibralicious
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Martinez
    Dias - Stones - Dallas
    Salah (C) - Bruno - Rashford - Grealish -
    DCL - Bamford - Antonio

    (Johnstone) (Gundogan - Coufal- Bednarek) 1FT - 3.3 ITB

    A) Bednarek -> Trent (play him over Dallas)
    B) Safe FT and forget

    Cheers!

  14. acidicleo
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Villa - Westham score prediction please..

    1. Ibralicious
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Villa win 1-0, Soucek own goal

    2. R.C
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      4-4

    3. Vazza
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      2-2

    4. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      2-2

    5. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      2.1 one way or the other!

  15. Vazza
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Thoughts on this team please guys

    ———--—Areola—————
    —Robbo Cancelo Dias Stones—
    Son Mane Salah Bruno Grealish
    ————-Watkins————-
    Forster, Mitchell, Brewster, Fodder

    Assuming Mane is fit to play.

    1. SNEAKY SNEAKY
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      What if he isnt. Basically no bench. I had 4 defenders out last week. benches are need this year. otherwise peachy.

  16. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Seriously tempted to do Kane to Firmino.

  17. SNEAKY SNEAKY
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Martinez,
    Chilwell, Stones, Cancelo, Coufal, Douglas*
    Son, Grealish, Bruno, Salah, Gundo.
    Watkins, Bamford, DCL.

    A Shaw(can get Kane in 2 transfer)
    B Maguire (Can Get Kane in 3 transfers).

    Would appreciate your thoughts.
    3.1m in the bank.

    1. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      gtg or do you have 2 transfers

      1. SNEAKY SNEAKY
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        1 transfer but with man city rotation and risk to Chilwell I kinda want an extra defender. Only had 1 playing last week and it hurts!

        1. LLoris
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          yeah I understand that. Your midfield look good so maybe a Chelsea Man u or cresswell

          1. SNEAKY SNEAKY
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            I'm going with Shaw over Maguire I think.

    2. Vazza
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      As a previous double defence owner, I wouldn't go near them

      They conceded against Burnley and Sheffield so they could concede against anyone

      1. SNEAKY SNEAKY
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Ah I've talked myself out of it now again. 2FT valuable in days like these.

  18. LLoris
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Pope
    Robbo Justin Stones Cresswell
    Sterling Bruno Son Soucek
    Bamford Watkins

    Bench: Vardy Dallas Anguissa
    I have 1 transfers but I want to do so many things what do you lads think I should do ?
    A) Vardy out for Antonio
    B) Vardy Son out for Antonio and Moh
    C) Save the transfer

  19. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    First sub;

    A. Dallas
    B. Soucek

    1. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

    2. marcos11
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A, playing in midfield

  20. FPL Doctor
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Start 1:

    A) Foden
    B) Antonio

  21. Thomas Shelby from Birmingh…
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    My cup fate depends on
    1) Sterling + Watkins Vs
    2) Gundo + Wilson
    Who wins?

    1. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      1 but close

    2. Tshelby
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      1

    3. R.C
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      2

  22. TAB
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Bench one

    1) Cancelo
    2) Dias
    3) Robbo
    4) Digne
    5) Maguire

    1. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      5

    2. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Digne

    3. R.C
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      5

    4. marcos11
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      5

  23. Rassi
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Minamino could do well in Saints midfield. Maybe bring him in around gw26...

    1. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      too early to tell

      1. Rassi
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Yes, that is what I mean with "could" and "maybe".

    2. Tshelby
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Yeah also looking into that

    3. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      One to watch. None of the other new boys inspire.

    4. The Mantis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      definitely one to watch, can see him doing well

  24. tibollom
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    What do you think guys, got 11.5 ITB...

    a.saka + bam to salah and wilson for -4pts
    b. saka + CTaylor to salah + cresswell for -4pts

    Lloris Button
    AWB Dias Mitchel CTaylor Ferguson
    Son Bruno Gundo Raphina Saka
    Bam DCL Watkins

  25. Snibal
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Is nobody worried about Salah's minutes? Played 3x 90 in a row and have City coming weekend..?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      He only needed 20 minutes to haul v palace so will trust him with the armband.

    2. CRO KLOPP
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Have good vc,and if comes from the bench he can do damage imo

    3. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I mean I think Klopp knows what happens when he drops him and Brighton just beat Spurs

    4. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Worried yeh, but lack of alternatives.

      1. Snibal
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        what if you had Sterling? That's who I'm considering. Mostly because he just had a rest and City usually do really well against Burnley. Really worried that this is Mo's time to have a rest. Of course he can do damage from the bench, but could also be a 1 pointer like against Burnley 2 weeks ago

    5. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      If Mané fit then yes would be a bit concerned

  26. Hulk Smash
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    If Digne flops again and Alonso starts I'm tempted to punt on him next week.

    I have a strong defence with AWB on the bench most weeks in case of a no-show, I'm wildcarding in a couple of GWs anyway and Chelsea play SHU and NEW.

    1. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      But Everton have a DGW in 24...

  27. McSauce
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Fabianski
    Cancelo Chilwell Coufal
    Salah (C) Bruno Sterling Gundy Soucek
    DCL Bamford

    Steer Adams Mitchell Ferguson

    Best 1FT for this week?

    A) Soucek --> Maddison
    B) Soucek --> Barnes
    C) GTG & Save FT

  28. tom_p77
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    G2G?

    Martinez
    Stones Cancelo Justin
    Son Salah(C) Bruno(V) Gundo
    Bamford DCL Antonio

    Fabri, Raph, Mitchell, Coufal

    1. Malkmus
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Yup

    2. SNEAKY SNEAKY
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Looks good. Coufal over Mitchel for me but close.

  29. Malkmus
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Morning all. Upgraded my 5th mid to gundogan so benching headache it is. 1FT, 3.7 ITB. Bench order OK ?

    Ederson (4.0)
    Target - Stones - Justin
    Salah (c) - Bruno - Grealish - Gundo
    DCL - Bamford - Antonio

    Subs - Son, Coufal, Strujik

    A - Save FT
    B - Other

    Ta!

  30. The 12th Man
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Gtg?
    Martinez
    Cancelo,Dias,Digne
    Salah(c), Fernandes, Grealish,Gundogan
    DCL,Watkins,Antonio

    Johnstone,Chilwell,Soucek,Coufal 4.6m itb 1FT

    1. JonSnow
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Yes