Scout Betting

The Fantasy Flutter: Betting odds on the weekend’s Premier League action


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We are again turning to the odds provided by our official sportsbook partner, bet365, to wager a bet on the forthcoming Premier League action.

As ever, we urge you to gamble responsibly and always remember: when the fun stops, stop.

The Fantasy Flutter: Betting odds on the weekend’s Premier League action 2

GAMEWEEK 23 MATCH ODDS



ANFIELD TITLE WRAP?

The stand-out clash of the weekend unquestionably comes at Anfield, where Manchester City are aiming to win for the first time since 2003.

A victory for Pep Guardiola’s side would send them ten points clear of the reigning champions with a game in hand still to play, all but ensuring that the Reds would not be mounting a successful defence of their title.

Tight-looking games such as these can leave Fantasy managers casting around for assets elsewhere, especially when it comes to the captaincy situation.

But the match will be a captivating spectacle all the same – and there are some interesting odds being offered up by bet365, whatever your allegiance.

If you’re in the red corner, when else can you remember Liverpool being 12/5 to win on their own turf?

And if you’re on team blue: it’s not often that City, who let’s remember have kept 11 shut-outs in their last 13 Premier League outings, have been priced at 12/5 just to keep a clean sheet.

As usual, bet365 offer an array of markets for those who love their underlying stats.

Ruben Dias is 4/9 just to make more than 0.5 tackles which, given how much Liverpool need to win this game (and ergo be on the front foot), seems very plausible indeed.

Punters can also bet on things like shot counts (see below), which is where our Premium Members Area can come in handy.

2 Goals Ahead Early Payout Offer

Get your single bets paid out if the team you back goes 2 goals ahead – for multiple bets the selection will be marked as a winner.

Applies to pre-match bets on the standard Full Time Result market for selected competitions. Bet restrictions and T&Cs apply. New and eligible customers only.

IS THE POPE CAPTAIN?

This week’s announcement that four Premier League clubs will have a Double Gameweek 24 has sent us in a spin.

Among that quartet is Burnley, who enjoy an appealing double-header against the less-than-prolific attacks of Crystal Palace and Fulham.

Before that is a meeting with Brighton at Turf Moor, and Nick Pope is, unsurprisingly, the most-bought goalkeeper of Gameweek 23 as a result.

While Burnley and Pope are celebrated for their defensive fortitude, particularly against the ‘also-rans’ of the division, the Seagulls themselves are in great shape at the back.

Robert Sanchez has kept four clean sheets on the bounce and Albion will head to Lancashire knowing that their opponents have not only scored the least amount of goals in the division this season but also that they could again be without their two main strikers.

We’re all over the 0-0 at 6/1, then, but if you wanted to live a bit more dangerously and actually bet on a Clarets 1-0 at 9/1, bet365’s Bore Draw Money Back Offer will get you your money back if the game does result in a stalemate.

Bore Draw Money Back

Refund for any Soccer game that finishes 0-0 at bet365.

Applies to losing pre-match bets on any Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time or Scorecast markets. Bet restrictions and T&Cs apply. New and eligible customers only.

RYAN FILLIP

Cast your minds back a season to Southampton’s last 9-0 defeat, when the Saints prepared to face Manchester City in their very next league game.

A lot of us lumped on City assets in the hope of a similar rout but, such is football, Ralph Hasenhuttl’s troops produced a much more resilient display and only just succumbed to a late 2-1 defeat.

There’ll no doubt be another reaction from the Saints, then, when they head north to Tyneside this weekend.

That said, it’s a bit of a surprise to see Newcastle listed as second-favourites at 9/4 with bet365 (actually drifting from the original 2/1) for their home game against the south-coast club.

With the same bookies’ enhanced odds offer, a full-time Magpies win is available at 3.35.

Newcastle have looked a team transformed over the last two and a half Gameweeks, ever since their rousing second-half display against Leeds.

Steve Bruce’s side have had more shots than any other team over the last three Gameweeks and were a tad unlucky to lose to Crystal Palace in midweek, with their new 4-4-2 diamond system producing some attacking football.

Ryan Fraser has been deployed ‘out of position’ alongside Callum Wilson in that set-up and, while traditionally more of an assist merchant, he is available at an appealing 12/1 to open the scoring this weekend.

Fraser had two presentable openings against Palace, being denied by Vicente Guaita on both occasions.

Incidentally, bet365’s Each Way First Goalscorer offer effectively means that Fraser will be 4/1 to score at any time – the full details of which are below.



Each Way First Goalscorers

Place an Each Way First Goalscorer bet on any Soccer match.

If your player scores at any time during the game in 90 minutes play, we will pay you out at 1/3 odds for unlimited places.



For all the latest Premier League odds, visit bet365 and build your personalised football bet. 

1,193 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Sid1891
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Start
    Justin or Lowton

    Have Pope in goal

    Cheers

    1. SHOWSTOPPERRR
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Justin all day long

      1. Sid1891
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers
        Just had this weird feeling of no returns form him

    2. FPL_WILDCARD
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Start Justin if you have Pope

      1. Sid1891
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers
        Too risky putting bet on double Burnley then
        Justin is then

    3. Mweene
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Justin. Not even worth thinking about.

  2. Mr Chelski
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Adams out for Antonio, good move despite Southamptons upcoming DGW?

    1. SHOWSTOPPERRR
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yes..antonio nice fixtures..

      1. Mr Chelski
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers bro

  3. tabby98
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Start Soucek or DCL?

    1. Sid1891
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Soucek

  4. SHOWSTOPPERRR
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Guys have 2 ft..

    Bissou and kwp to rashford and mee and bench dcl and digne?

  5. FPL_WILDCARD
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    G2G?

    Pope
    Dias, Stones, Coufal
    Bruno(c), Rashford, Son, Salah, Gundogan
    DCL, Antonio

    Subs: Alioski, Kilman, Davis

    1. Sid1891
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Gtg

    2. Tango74
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      The question is

      Antonio or Bruno captain ??

  6. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Going to fly for 121 mins
    ...

    Good luck gals and guys.

    See ya later.

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      101... Can't even count!

    2. Slitherene
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      What are you gonna be on?

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Son

        Or Bruno.

        It's a toss the coin kind of day.

        WBA defense may edge it but 12 noon, Sunday kick off makes me nervous.

    3. The 12th Man
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Do your arms ache when you fly?

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Nah, i use my wings.

  7. Slitherene
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Best 4.4 defender to get in?

    A) Lowton
    B) White

    1. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Easily A, guaranteed double next week and highly likely to get one in 26 too.

  8. Old Schoolᴼˢ “disa…
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    One person a day (at least) commits suicide every day in the UK as a result of gambling...

    https://www.gamblingwithlives.org/

    1. ebb2sparky
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      It's a mugs game. Worst thing is this responsible gambling bull****. The gambling companies really dont care. Their only concern is that you dont go bankrupt or commit suicide since then you cant gamble.

  9. Mweene
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    I'm sure this has been done to death so I apologise.

    I really can't decide whether to play Martinez or McCarthy.

    I'm currently 11k so I'm guessing Martinez is the safe option? If I don't play him and he hauls it'll be much more damaging than if McCarthy does.

    Arsenal fan too which makes the decision even harder.

    1. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Martinez

    2. Vlekz
        3 years, 1 month ago

        McCarthy. If Martinez hauls he hauls. The stats (arsenal attack and villa defence, both last few matches) don't favour him.
        Moreover another way to look at it is, McCarthy with the chance of higher returns can you push you into the top 10k

        1. Vlekz
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Sorry man

        2. Jensen Luiz Coleman
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Same dilemma. Absence of Vestergaard may swing it.

      • Nomar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Who to cap?

        Son
        Bamford
        Bruno
        Antonio

        1. shady4revr
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Beta in hindi.

          1. Nomar
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Eh?

            1. The Count of Monte Cristo
              • 11 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              Bheta is the Hindi word for “son”

        2. St Pauli Walnuts
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Mikey Ants

      • shady4revr
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Bench one
        Sterling
        Gundo
        Dias

        1. The Count of Monte Cristo
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          *** in Hindi 😉

          1. shady4revr
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

          2. shady4revr
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            lol =D

      • swanseag55
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        I’ve gone for Bamford Captain. Just on fire at the moment. Most people say captain Antonio who I have also got and could do well. Stick to my guns?

        1. Pegboy
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Go with your gut. No clear cut choice this week.

      • Pickle juice
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Which one :

        A. Son to salah
        B.gundo to lingard (punt)
        C.dcl to antonio
        D.save FT

        Thanks

        1. Pegboy
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          D

      • LT10
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Who would you bench from this lot?
        a) Salah (CITY)
        b) Gundogan (liv)
        c) DCL (mun)
        d) Watkins (ARS)

        Already starting these in my front 8:
        Fernandes
        Bamford
        Raphina
        Son

        1. Pegboy
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          DCL, I think.

        2. manu4life99
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          C

      • HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Cancelo v Trent
        Walker(will play for pace) v Robertson
        Is going to be so crucial in this game

      • Pegboy
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Got to bench one from:

        DCL
        Cancelo
        Pieters (have Mee)
        Coufal

        Currently on Cancelo.

        1. LT10
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Pieters, if you already have Mee starting.

          1. Pegboy
            • 13 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Cheers. Probably sensible but BHA fixtures feels worthy of gambling on.

        2. HuttonDressedasLahm
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Never bench Cancelo
          Are you insane??

          1. HuttonDressedasLahm
            • 14 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Coufal has much less “risk”

        3. St Pauli Walnuts
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Defo play Cancelo

      • manu4life99
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Start AWB or Dias?

        Martinez
        Shaw Coufal XXX
        Salah Bruno Son Gundo
        DCL Bamford Antonio

        1. Pegboy
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Probably AWB, but a little risky with Shaw as well.

          1. HuttonDressedasLahm
            • 14 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Dias

      • Luis Suarez Ate My Homework
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        I've decided to bring in Lingard as my 5th midfielder and bench DCL.

        Also made 2 transfers:
        Bednarek > Rudiger
        Pogba > Lingard

        We'll see what happens.

        McCarthy (Martinez)
        Wan-Bissaka Dias Rudiger
        Salah Fernandes Maddison Gundogan Lingard
        Antonio(C) Bamford

        Subs: DCL Lowton Coufal

        Wish me luck.

        1. The Ilfordian
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Good luck

      • ebb2sparky
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        What are the chances C.Taylor is back for the double?

        1. Pegboy
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Very possible. I've got Pieters so tried researching, and it looks like he's back soon.

      • mr_jones
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Pope
        Azpi - Coufal - Dallas
        Salah - Bruno (C) - Maddison - Gundo
        Watkins - Bamford - Wilson

        Subs: McCarthy, Bowen, Cancelo, Robbo

        good?

      • HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Right, changed my mind
        Benched Coufal over Robertson

        Gtg?

        Pope
        Stones Robertson Dallas
        Sterling Salah Bruno(c) Gundogan Soucek
        Bamford(vc) Watkins

        Sanchez Richarlison Coufal Konsa

        1. DandyDon
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Hoping for 0-0 but you have three midfielders to. Maybe bench stones and hope for pool goal?

      • soup natsi
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Sell one for Pope
        A. McCarthy - CHE, lee in gw25 but Pope has WBA
        B. Johnstone - BHA, NEW vs Pope’s tot, ARS but plays for WBA

        1. Cojones of Destiny
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          b

        2. HuttonDressedasLahm
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          B
          I just did the same
          Ignore fixtures, they are awful

      • Cojones of Destiny
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        play :
        a. DCL
        b. Dallas

        1. soup natsi
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          B

      • Steager
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Start
        DCL or MEE?

        Or You. Joking.

        1. soup natsi
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Mee

      • Pickle juice
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Son or antonio and would you capt them over bruno or bamford

      • LT10
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        In my opinion, this is the most interesting GW of the whole season, so far.

        No obvious captain choice.
        Loads of managers with all sorts of tough choices regarding benches.
        We've also got the upcoming doubles to consider when we are making transfers.

        Love it.

      • Goooo Rickie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Bench Stones or Watkins?

        HELP!

      • gooberman
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        So many people are starting Soucek over better options this week. Soucek's percentage odds of a return according to the betting markets are much lower than players people are benching. I feel that this decision to start Soucek is more down to previous scars than logic which can't be the right approach.

        1. claretparrot
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          I don't know which better options you're talking about, so can't disagree with you.

          However, trust me when I say that taking the betting market odds as your primary data source is not the best way to play FPL.

          1. gooberman
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Would have to disagree. The market odds reflect the probability of an event occuring.

            Obviously there will be occasions when the less likely outcome will occur like favourites losing etc but over time the more likely outcomes will occur more often the not. So I have started to base my starting 11's, bench order and captain picks based on market odds.

          2. gooberman
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            By the way, the market data I'm using is actually based on FPL returns. Its bookie odds FPL returns percentage probability.

            This data has Soucek at a 31% chance of an FPL return which is lower than players I'm seeing managers bench favouring Soucek instead. Players such as DCL (42%), Gundog (39%) and Stones and Dias (36%) amongst others I'm seeing on people's benches with Soucek starting.

            Even the scout picks have Soucek starting and Raphina (46%) benched. Doesn't make statistical sense.

            Every week, regardless of who West Ham are playing, Soucek always has a low chance of scoring in terms of the market odds (normally a 1 in 4-5 chance) so it just isn't statistically possible to keep scoring goals at the frequency he has been. He has to regress at some point to bring his returns more in line with what probability says he should be getting.

            I'm a big believer in stats, probability and odds, not necessarily in the short term or in terms of individual events but over the long term.