Spot the Differential

Pogba’s new role makes him a useful FPL differential for Triple Gameweek

Triple Gameweek 35 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at West Ham United, Aston Villa and Manchester United who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or below at the time of writing.

Paul Pogba

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £7.6m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: avl + LEI + LIV | – | FUL | wol

Paul Pogba (£7.6m) has been one of Manchester United’s top performers in recent weeks, producing some of his best football since returning to Old Trafford from Juventus in 2016.

The French midfielder struggled with several minor injuries and a bout of COVID-19 earlier in the season. However, since regaining full fitness, he has become a vital asset to Ole Gunnar Solskjær, which has coincided with a new, hybrid role on the left of United’s 4-2-3-1 formation.

The more advanced position means he is generally further up the pitch when United reach the final third, where he has the vision and ability to quickly switch play. And that’s led to a big improvement from Pogba, who has scored two goals and registered four assists in his last ten matches across all competitions. He also ranks joint-second amongst team-mates for shots in the box, and third for chances created over the last six Gameweeks.

The Red Devils are now unbeaten in 13 Premier League matches, and after the latest fixture amendments were announced earlier this week, now visit Aston Villa before back-to-back home matches against Leicester City and Liverpool in Triple Gameweek 35.

While it’s hard to pinpoint exactly which, if any, of United’s assets will be handed three starts, Pogba’s versatility enhances his chances, and now in a really good moment, could be an effective differential for the remainder of the season.

Michail Antonio

  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: EVE | bha | wba | SOU

Gameweek 34 saw the return of Michail Antonio (£6.4m) to West Ham United’s attack.

The 31-year-old was back in the starting XI after recovering from the hamstring injury which forced him off against Wolverhampton Wanderers last month, and it didn’t take him long to impress.

His quickfire double, finishing off crosses from Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) and Saïd Benrahma (£5.9m), turned the game in the Hammers favour, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to return more, as he ended the game with six goal attempts, two big chances and 12 penalty box touches. 

In fact, Antonio’s expected goal involvement (xGI) total of 1.43 was not bettered by any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) player in Gameweek 34, and as pointed out by Neale in his Scout Notes, it is merely a continuation of a season-wide trend as no forward with substantial game-time to their name has a better rate of xGI per 90 minutes.

Manuel Lanzini’s (£6.4m) performance also caught the eye, with the Argentine excelling in a deeper role in Declan Rice’s (£4.7m) absence, and as a result of their win, West Ham now sit fifth, just three points behind Chelsea with four games to play. 

With a crucial run of games coming up against Everton, Brighton and Hove Albion, West Bromwich Albion and Southampton, Antonio can finish the season strongly, and could be one of the very best FPL differentials for the run-in.

Anwar El Ghazi

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: MUN + EVE | cry | tot | CHE

Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) has not always been a guaranteed starter at Aston Villa this season, but has now scored in back-to-back matches and made a real impact.

The Dutchman’s Gameweek 34 strike at Everton took his tally to eight in the Premier League, making him the Villans’ top scorer behind Ollie Watkins (£6.5m), and there is no doubt that at his best, he has the ability to be a real game-changer.

Interestingly, captain Jack Grealish (£7.5m) recently labelled El Ghazi as Villa’s best finisher at the club, and it was easy to see why at Goodison Park, as he bent the winner past an excellent Jordan Pickford (£4.8m) late on. He also hit the woodwork and enjoyed plenty of success running at Carlo Ancelotti’s backline, which is encouraging.

The winger’s shoot-on-sight policy is evident in the numbers, too. Amongst all midfielders per 90 who have played a reasonable number of minutes, he ranks second for goal attempts, fifth for big chances and third for expected goals (xG), only behind Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) and Gareth Bale (£9.1m).

At this stage, we should point out that longer term, this move carries more risk, as it’s likely we’ll see El Ghazi drop out of the starting XI upon Grealish’s return. However, if the England international continues to be ruled out, and you fancy a short-term differential punt, this could be a good one.

2,781 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Johan Queef
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A) Mendy
    B) Forster

    1) Rudiger
    2) Holding

    Thanks!

    1. The Final Boss
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A2

    2. Arfaish
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A2

    3. justaguy9
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A2 I guess. But none of the options look great

      1. Johan Queef
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        lol I appreciate the honesty. I can't help but agree.

    4. Detweiler
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A1

  2. The Final Boss
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Guys 19k is it OK to do this have tc also probably on Bruno

    A) vydra son to dcl elghazi free
    B) vydra son Rudiger to dcl greenwood Ward/philips -4
    C) vydra son Rudiger to dcl elghazi digne -4?

    B will block my rival who is 50 points behind me.

    Which option is better for me to climb up rank and maintain my healthy lead guys.

    1. Arfaish
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B with Phillips

      1. The Final Boss
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Already got taa and rival have dbl cp defence

        1. Arfaish
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          In that case Ward then

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I'd be doing C if it wasn't a -8 for me. Still might...

  3. Malinwa
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Can benteke be an interesting differential? Interesting fixtures...

    1. b91jh
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Not when Bats/Mateta gets the odd start.

  4. Ohh1454
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Best three United players to own on FH ? Awb and Bruno and Rashford ?

    1. The Final Boss
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Greenwood instead of rash.

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Bruno Greenwood Maguire

    3. Iwantmorepointsthanks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Not bad. I went Bruno, Greenwood and Shaw.
      Greenwood better form and expect him to outscore Rashford even if fewer minutes.
      Shaw more attacking than AWB, but I see that people for AWB to play all three.

    4. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Bruno, Greenwood and Shaw.

    5. Chelsea Dagger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      i'm going Rash as a differential. most are saying Greenwood. I also went Lindelof given he didn't play yesterday. Bruno seemingly a must

  5. DangerFC
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Play kane or son this gw?

    1. The Final Boss
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Am playing kane

    2. Detweiler
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Kane - penalties.

  6. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Might be an idea not to cap and vice cap a player from Utd and Liverpool.

    1. The Final Boss
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Why?

      1. bitm2007
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Protests planned again for the United Pool game.

        1. DycheDycheBaby
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Can you imagine the anger on here if.......lol

        2. The Final Boss
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Why not in lei game?

          1. Rupert The Horse
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            2 years, 11 months ago

            Not the same spectacle but my point is stupid.

      2. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Because the UTD fans are planning another protest. If the game gets called off you’d lose a game.

    2. Oggle22
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Salah all the way fighting for top 4 no other distractions

      1. Oggle22
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Oh and going for golden Boot

    3. The Train Driver
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      2 other games for Utd and 1 for Pool, not much risk there.

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        I really phrased and thought about this poorly.

    4. Tomerick
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      If you cap a Man U player there is almost zero chance that you vice captain matters.

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Yeah I’ve just realised what a stupid thing I’ve written.

        1. Tomerick
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Been there!

        2. Arfaish
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Don't worry you're a horse

    5. DycheDycheBaby
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Just putting the vice captain on Nacho. Safe

      1. DycheDycheBaby
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        But true it doesn't really matter

    6. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Ignore me. I’m thick.

  7. Arfaish
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Stuck between the below to finish my BB team:

    A) Alonso, Vydra > Holgate, Watkins (-4)
    B) Alonso, Vydra > Ward, Watkins (-4)
    C) Alonso > Digne (play Vydra and no Watkins)

    1. The Final Boss
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B.

      1. Arfaish
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        You reckon Holgate is a rotation risk?

        1. The Final Boss
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Yeah had a horror show last game.

  8. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Best option

    A Fofana ( probably starts both but getting early subs during Ramadan)
    B Holding ( will he get WBA game)

    1. Detweiler
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Locks in the CS early with an early sub!

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Agree but last week off at half time

  9. JustPark
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Just double checking.
    We all are FH-ing, right?

    1. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      BB, FH GW36

    2. Gross Blank Point
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      FH next week, think it'll make more of a difference

  10. Detweiler
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Play 2 from the below?

    A) Nat Pillips (SOU, mun)
    B) Konsa (MUN, EVE)
    C) Rudguer (mci, ARS)
    D) Son (lee)

    1. Arfaish
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Philips Son

    2. DannyDrinkVodka
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A and D

    3. Detweiler
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Thanks both.

  11. Viper
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    At the moment I'll be benching both Holding & Alioski this week. Which one would you sell for a dgw defender?

    A. Holding. (No game in 36)

    B. Alioski. (bur away in 36 but has he lost his place!?)

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

  12. b91jh
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    I'm selling Maddison even he has two matches. Hasn't really passed the eye test, and blank next week.

    1. Luton_Fan
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Was thinking same but its newcastle and weakened utd. Gonna keep i think

    2. Big Col
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I thought he played really well the last game and I was thinking of benching Kane to play him, but will probably sell as I need to raise cash.

    3. Tomerick
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Really got no other more pressing moves? You picked him for a reason and those fixtures are tasty.

  13. LLoris
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Please Help
    I don't know what to do? (no chips left) (2 transfers)

    Mendy
    Taa Holding Fofana
    Salah Jota Esm Bruno Son
    Vardy Nacho

    Bench: Forester Vydra Coady Dallas

  14. DAVESAVES
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Play Leno or Forster?

  15. Brunsvigeren
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    1 Free transfer left, 0.4 ITB, no chips, ranked 98K

    Any suggestions, Im really tempting to do Son -> Rashford,

    Martinéz
    Maguiere - TAA - Digne
    Salah (c) - Son - Lingard - Jota
    Varde - Ihenacho - Watkins

    Bench Sanchez(gk) - Trossard - Coady - Struijk

  16. OptimusBlack
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    What to do if you already -8 pts and BB Activated Would you sell one of
    Areola Dunk and cost -12 ??
    Areola > Gauita
    Or
    Dunk > Ward

  17. Bavarian
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Son to Greenwood for -4?

    1. Arfaish
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      If it doesn't leave you taking a hit GW36 then yeah

  18. Podorsky
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Did Hodgson say anything about Zaha's fitness- apparent groin niggle I heard.

    1. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Not that I heard but assume he has two broken feet and ignore. Zaha is a trap.

  19. Jukes
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Mane getting absolutely zero love around these parts. Am I missing something?

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      His form over the last 34 weeks?

    2. Tomerick
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      His performance this season?

  20. More Cowbell
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Quick vote please:

    a) Greenwood (Triple in 35) and take a hit in 36
    b) Zaha (double in 35) and AVL in 36

    Thanks.

    1. Detweiler
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B - i think

  21. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Maguire or Digne?

  22. Ruinenlust
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Maguire or AWB?

  23. No Salah
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Any update on zaha injury?

    1. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Nothing. Save yourself the pain and assume he is injured ... Zaha is a trap. He will ruin your weekend worse than a case of the squirts and a bout of conjunctivitis.

  24. Tshelby
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    TC Salah or BB?

    Guita*
    Holgate*, TAA*, Castagne*
    Salah*, Greenwood**, Jota*, Lingard
    Kane, Vardy*, Nacho*

    Martinez*,ESM*,Dallas,Veltman

  25. Cobaro1
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Lingard out for

    A) havertz
    B) Zaha

    1. Tomerick
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Has to be Zaha with these fixtures. Havertz seems a good option but fixtures are nasty. Top of my radar for next season though.

      1. Cobaro1
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Yh I agree with that tbh

  26. Heiro
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A: Gundogan --> Zaha (Bench Lingard)

    B: Coady --> Digne (Bench Holding)

    C: Both -4 ---> Bench Lingard & Holding)

    1. Tomerick
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Honestly both seem great moves.

    2. Steiger
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B for sure.

      1. Heiro
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Save Zaha for another day?

        1. Steiger
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Not in to the Zaha move at all. Don't understand why there's so much love for him. Trap imho!

  27. Tomerick
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Any hits worth taking here?

    Pope
    TAA, Shaw, Maguire
    Salah, Bruno, Zaha, Jota, Pereira
    Kane, Nacho

  28. Henning
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Anything worth a hit with this defence, got 0.9 m in bank ( not shure if i want a defender that blanks next gw, that would make it Hard to get 11 players without a few hits)

    Azpilicueta Coady Dallas TAA Holding

    Tempted to drop Holding, that would give me 5.1 m for a defender.

  29. Tsparkes10
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Best defender for under 5.3?

    A) Soyuncu
    B) Godfrey
    C) Holgate

  30. LIARS POKER
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Not sure which to do of the below (if any), what do you reckon?

    A) Lingard, Alonso -> Greenwood, Keane (for free with 2ft)
    B) Lingard, Alonso, Rudiger -> Greenwood, Digne, Mitchell (-4)

    No other United players