Spot the Differential

Pogba’s new role makes him a useful FPL differential for Triple Gameweek

Triple Gameweek 35 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at West Ham United, Aston Villa and Manchester United who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or below at the time of writing.

Paul Pogba

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £7.6m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: avl + LEI + LIV | – | FUL | wol

Paul Pogba (£7.6m) has been one of Manchester United’s top performers in recent weeks, producing some of his best football since returning to Old Trafford from Juventus in 2016.

The French midfielder struggled with several minor injuries and a bout of COVID-19 earlier in the season. However, since regaining full fitness, he has become a vital asset to Ole Gunnar Solskjær, which has coincided with a new, hybrid role on the left of United’s 4-2-3-1 formation.

The more advanced position means he is generally further up the pitch when United reach the final third, where he has the vision and ability to quickly switch play. And that’s led to a big improvement from Pogba, who has scored two goals and registered four assists in his last ten matches across all competitions. He also ranks joint-second amongst team-mates for shots in the box, and third for chances created over the last six Gameweeks.

The Red Devils are now unbeaten in 13 Premier League matches, and after the latest fixture amendments were announced earlier this week, now visit Aston Villa before back-to-back home matches against Leicester City and Liverpool in Triple Gameweek 35.

While it’s hard to pinpoint exactly which, if any, of United’s assets will be handed three starts, Pogba’s versatility enhances his chances, and now in a really good moment, could be an effective differential for the remainder of the season.

Michail Antonio

  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: EVE | bha | wba | SOU

Gameweek 34 saw the return of Michail Antonio (£6.4m) to West Ham United’s attack.

The 31-year-old was back in the starting XI after recovering from the hamstring injury which forced him off against Wolverhampton Wanderers last month, and it didn’t take him long to impress.

His quickfire double, finishing off crosses from Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) and Saïd Benrahma (£5.9m), turned the game in the Hammers favour, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to return more, as he ended the game with six goal attempts, two big chances and 12 penalty box touches. 

In fact, Antonio’s expected goal involvement (xGI) total of 1.43 was not bettered by any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) player in Gameweek 34, and as pointed out by Neale in his Scout Notes, it is merely a continuation of a season-wide trend as no forward with substantial game-time to their name has a better rate of xGI per 90 minutes.

Manuel Lanzini’s (£6.4m) performance also caught the eye, with the Argentine excelling in a deeper role in Declan Rice’s (£4.7m) absence, and as a result of their win, West Ham now sit fifth, just three points behind Chelsea with four games to play. 

With a crucial run of games coming up against Everton, Brighton and Hove Albion, West Bromwich Albion and Southampton, Antonio can finish the season strongly, and could be one of the very best FPL differentials for the run-in.

Anwar El Ghazi

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: MUN + EVE | cry | tot | CHE

Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) has not always been a guaranteed starter at Aston Villa this season, but has now scored in back-to-back matches and made a real impact.

The Dutchman’s Gameweek 34 strike at Everton took his tally to eight in the Premier League, making him the Villans’ top scorer behind Ollie Watkins (£6.5m), and there is no doubt that at his best, he has the ability to be a real game-changer.

Interestingly, captain Jack Grealish (£7.5m) recently labelled El Ghazi as Villa’s best finisher at the club, and it was easy to see why at Goodison Park, as he bent the winner past an excellent Jordan Pickford (£4.8m) late on. He also hit the woodwork and enjoyed plenty of success running at Carlo Ancelotti’s backline, which is encouraging.

The winger’s shoot-on-sight policy is evident in the numbers, too. Amongst all midfielders per 90 who have played a reasonable number of minutes, he ranks second for goal attempts, fifth for big chances and third for expected goals (xG), only behind Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) and Gareth Bale (£9.1m).

At this stage, we should point out that longer term, this move carries more risk, as it’s likely we’ll see El Ghazi drop out of the starting XI upon Grealish’s return. However, if the England international continues to be ruled out, and you fancy a short-term differential punt, this could be a good one.

2,781 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Sterling Archer
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    which 3 man united players are going to play 270 minutes?

    just kiddin.... cant wait for this GW to start already and stop seeing this question

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Diablo, Bishop and Grant.

    2. Bob_the_builder
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      All of them.

  2. It's his Job.
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Chasing down 60 points
    Looking for diff to Capt rather than Bruno/Greenwood

    DCL
    Zaha
    Salah

    1. iCon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Got to be Salah

      1. It's his Job.
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers and GL

    2. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Salad

    3. justaguy9
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Greenwood will be a diffential captain.
      Of the others dcl

  3. Greenbob
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Son out for JWP, Zaha or Greenwood? JWP would free up money to transfer Holding to Digne for -4

  4. Sid07
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Playing Bench boost

    Thoughts on son + vydra + coady + Mendy to Greenwood + Watkins + digne + guiata (-8)

    Guiata will cover Forster no show next gw

    1. Cookie Kid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Looks good

      Could do it without the Mendy move but understand if you want to move on Guaita it would be now

      1. Sid07
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Yes needs funds too

  5. ZAMUNDA
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Is Mendy nailed?

    1. ZAMUNDA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I've got also Forster

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yes.

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Kepa could start vs Arsenal to get minutes before the Cup final

    4. Cookie Kid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I have them both too and am considering starting Forster

  6. jdogg
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Genuinely the first time i can remember having zero idea what to do.

    2fts 0.5 itb

    Mendy
    Phillips shaw rudiger castagne
    Son lingard salah bruno
    Iheanacho kane
    Forster bamford peirera coady.

    Please help.haha.x

    1. TKC07
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Son, Coady to Zaha, TAA and bench Lingard?

    2. JBG
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Downgrade Rudiger and upgrade DCL is an idea.

      1. JBG
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Upgrade Bamford to DCL*

    3. iCon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Lingard/Son to 2 of Greenwood/Zaha/JWP then Bale in instead of Son next week?

    4. ZAMUNDA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I'd get a double Gameweek player who plays in GW36 as well: so Lingard or Son to Zaha or JWP and use 2 FT next Gameweek to get playing assets

    5. jdogg
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Cheers guys.x

    6. xuwei
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Save a transfer to help address next week because you could be without a keeper and 2 outfield players short of a full team.

  7. Netters2018
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    El Ghazi should get both games right? Grealish not even training with squad yet?

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yes.
      Not sure if the second part is a question. Written as a statement but with a question mark on the end. Hmmm

    2. Salan
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I doubted Grealish can feature again this season a month ago.

    3. JBG
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yes most likely.

    4. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      yes and he'll score in both as i went pereira over him last week

  8. LIARS POKER
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Anyone thinking of going Zaha over Greenwood? As this means wouldn't need to take a -4 next week

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yup

    2. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Madness. Zaha exists to trap people.

      1. ExpressoMySonny
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        I think I might do it as I already have Bruno and Shaw

  9. Biggsy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Which of these options please. Masuku & Son to:

    A. Digne and Zaha (-4)
    B. Digne, El Ghazi + Vydra to DCL (-8)

    Thanks

    1. ExpressoMySonny
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

  10. NoName
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    BB. G2G?

    Martinez Guaita
    TAA Maguire Digne Castagne Reguilon
    Salah Jota Bruno Greenwood Lingard
    Iheanacho DCL Watkins

    1. ManUtdFan977
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      yes gtg
      nice team

      1. NoName
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks. It cost -12 but have to take my chances this gw.

    2. Ruinenlust
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      How can you afford that?

      1. NoName
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Dunno. I've missed quite a few price changes this season but still have .5 left over with this team.

      2. Luton_Fan
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        No kane

  11. Tshelby
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Konsa to Holgate?

    1. iCon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Too sideways; Holgate may not even get 2 games

  12. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Bruno, Greenwood, Rashford too much Utd mids on free hit?

    Would allow defence of Taa, Castagne, Digne, Guaita

    1. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      like it, much better than having players like zaha

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Lot of eggs in a Man U shaped basket, but I like that back line

  13. WVA
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    If you were OGS who would you rest players against?

    Fans will be fuming if Liverpool destroy them but its also the hardest game so in some ways a good game to rest players and go for the points in the other two games?

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Leicester would make sense. Beat Villa to seal CL spot, rest against Leicester to help them seal a spot and then consign Liverpool to lose their CL spot by beating them Thursday

      1. WVA
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        That would be glorious

      2. justaguy9
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Yes. Perfect analysis

  14. Paddy Gooner
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Already taken a -4. Should I ..

    A) LLoris > Guaita (-8)
    B) Lloris > De Gea (-8) or
    C) Keep Lloris

    ?????

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      C

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      DDG 😆
      What are you on?

      1. Paddy Gooner
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Not what De Gea's on, fortunately. I was just thinking about his triple game-week.

        1. Eh, just one more thing ...
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          He’s not first choice ... if you’re going Man Utd is has to be Hendo.

        2. Cookie Kid
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          You not worried that Henderson’s started the last 7 games ahead of de Gea?

  15. ManUtdFan977
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    vardy to DCL??

    1. F_Ivanovic
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Not much in the 2 but I think I favour Vardy so no

    2. Babelcopter
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yes

    3. justaguy9
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Surely more important transfers to do than sell a dgw player for another dgw player

  16. F_Ivanovic
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Play:

    A) Son
    B) Rudiger
    C) Konsa

    Feels very close, leaning towards A, C and B in that order

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

  17. LLoris
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Which one is better
    A) Digne for Coady
    B) El Ghazi for ESM

  18. Forza Papac
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Rudiger > Godfrey -4?

    Godfrey could end up playing an extra two fixtures over the next two GW's if Rudiger is to get a rest ahead of FA cup final.

  19. Mane Mane Mane
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    What’s the best option then long term?

    A) Shaw
    B) AWB
    C) Digne

  20. Footieboot
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    a) Watkins + Jota
    b) DCL + El Ghazi

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

  21. Traction Engine Foot
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Ederson to Henderson worth a -4? I can play Sanchez in 36

  22. Winston.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Coleman or Godfrey ? Both nailed ?

  23. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    BB Active. Yay or Nay for a hit?

    Lingard+Coady >> Greenwood/Zaha+Ward (-4)?

    Mendy
    TAA. Shaw. Rudiger. Holding
    Salah. Bruno. Jota
    Kane. DCL. Nacho
    (Forster, ASM, Lingard, Coady)

    1. Old Gregg
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yes

      1. Old Gregg
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Is there an update on Zaha?

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Not Sure. Would you go him over Greenwood?

          1. WVA
            • 7 Years
            2 years, 11 months ago

            Go greenwood

          2. Old Gregg
            • 7 Years
            2 years, 11 months ago

            No Greenwood. Are you ok for 36?

            1. RAFA THE GAFFA
              • 8 Years
              2 years, 11 months ago

              No would only have 7 players if I did those moves. But it’s so tempting

    2. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I'm glad I'm not the only one bringing in Ward! Good luck

  24. Old Gregg
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Rudiger + Son + Bam > digne + Jwp + Dcl (-8)

    Worth it?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      What about digne and Greenwood?

      1. Old Gregg
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        And not do the Dcl part?

        I could. It doesn’t effect my 36 team too much.

        I did have a gauge plan for Aguero though which it does effect. But I could get Antonio instead (next week)

  25. Mr_Barbs
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A) Bamford > Watkins
    B) Save FT - giving me 2 FTs in GW36 to sort the 4 blank players.

    Team is:

    Martinez
    Digne, TAA, Castagne
    Greenwood, Bruno, Son, Jota, Lingard
    Kane, Iheanacho

    Fabri, Bamford, Dunk, Struijk

  26. Ruinenlust
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Maguire or AWB ?

  27. Luton_Fan
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Forster to Guita -4?

    If i dont i risk having no keeper for gw36 but those extra 0.8 mill may come in handy. Torn. Help if u can pls 🙂

    1. DV8R
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Not for a -4

  28. DV8R
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Who is more of a priority to remove?

    A) Rudiger (possible rotation)
    B) Coady (Poor Wolves form)

    1. iCon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B (especially if replacing with a DGWer or TGWer

  29. BrutalLogiC
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    what's that fpl website that shows who your players are playing in future weeks?

      1. BrutalLogiC
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        thanks found on twitter, fplteam.com was the one i was looking for

  30. WVA
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    When did goal keepers become such a headache!?