Spot the Differential

Pogba’s new role makes him a useful FPL differential for Triple Gameweek

Triple Gameweek 35 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at West Ham United, Aston Villa and Manchester United who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or below at the time of writing.

Paul Pogba

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £7.6m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: avl + LEI + LIV | – | FUL | wol

Paul Pogba (£7.6m) has been one of Manchester United’s top performers in recent weeks, producing some of his best football since returning to Old Trafford from Juventus in 2016.

The French midfielder struggled with several minor injuries and a bout of COVID-19 earlier in the season. However, since regaining full fitness, he has become a vital asset to Ole Gunnar Solskjær, which has coincided with a new, hybrid role on the left of United’s 4-2-3-1 formation.

The more advanced position means he is generally further up the pitch when United reach the final third, where he has the vision and ability to quickly switch play. And that’s led to a big improvement from Pogba, who has scored two goals and registered four assists in his last ten matches across all competitions. He also ranks joint-second amongst team-mates for shots in the box, and third for chances created over the last six Gameweeks.

The Red Devils are now unbeaten in 13 Premier League matches, and after the latest fixture amendments were announced earlier this week, now visit Aston Villa before back-to-back home matches against Leicester City and Liverpool in Triple Gameweek 35.

While it’s hard to pinpoint exactly which, if any, of United’s assets will be handed three starts, Pogba’s versatility enhances his chances, and now in a really good moment, could be an effective differential for the remainder of the season.

Michail Antonio

  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: EVE | bha | wba | SOU

Gameweek 34 saw the return of Michail Antonio (£6.4m) to West Ham United’s attack.

The 31-year-old was back in the starting XI after recovering from the hamstring injury which forced him off against Wolverhampton Wanderers last month, and it didn’t take him long to impress.

His quickfire double, finishing off crosses from Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) and Saïd Benrahma (£5.9m), turned the game in the Hammers favour, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to return more, as he ended the game with six goal attempts, two big chances and 12 penalty box touches. 

In fact, Antonio’s expected goal involvement (xGI) total of 1.43 was not bettered by any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) player in Gameweek 34, and as pointed out by Neale in his Scout Notes, it is merely a continuation of a season-wide trend as no forward with substantial game-time to their name has a better rate of xGI per 90 minutes.

Manuel Lanzini’s (£6.4m) performance also caught the eye, with the Argentine excelling in a deeper role in Declan Rice’s (£4.7m) absence, and as a result of their win, West Ham now sit fifth, just three points behind Chelsea with four games to play. 

With a crucial run of games coming up against Everton, Brighton and Hove Albion, West Bromwich Albion and Southampton, Antonio can finish the season strongly, and could be one of the very best FPL differentials for the run-in.

Anwar El Ghazi

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: MUN + EVE | cry | tot | CHE

Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) has not always been a guaranteed starter at Aston Villa this season, but has now scored in back-to-back matches and made a real impact.

The Dutchman’s Gameweek 34 strike at Everton took his tally to eight in the Premier League, making him the Villans’ top scorer behind Ollie Watkins (£6.5m), and there is no doubt that at his best, he has the ability to be a real game-changer.

Interestingly, captain Jack Grealish (£7.5m) recently labelled El Ghazi as Villa’s best finisher at the club, and it was easy to see why at Goodison Park, as he bent the winner past an excellent Jordan Pickford (£4.8m) late on. He also hit the woodwork and enjoyed plenty of success running at Carlo Ancelotti’s backline, which is encouraging.

The winger’s shoot-on-sight policy is evident in the numbers, too. Amongst all midfielders per 90 who have played a reasonable number of minutes, he ranks second for goal attempts, fifth for big chances and third for expected goals (xG), only behind Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) and Gareth Bale (£9.1m).

At this stage, we should point out that longer term, this move carries more risk, as it’s likely we’ll see El Ghazi drop out of the starting XI upon Grealish’s return. However, if the England international continues to be ruled out, and you fancy a short-term differential punt, this could be a good one.

2,781 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Letsgo!
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Bench boost with non playing keeper is fine? Haha
    I can take hit to get forster but wont have any playing keeper for gw36.
    Since i think gw36 will be mccarthy?

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      It's fine

  2. Atimis
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Considering that we are not sure about Greenwood and Jota minutes, may as well punt on Zaha ?

    1. JJeyy
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      issue is Zaha much less threatening than other two. I would take 120 of the them over 180 zaha.

    2. Ruinenlust
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Might be inured?

      1. Atimis
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        He's not.

      2. Shineonme
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        He's not injured and his next 3 games are great. I'd take 180 min from zaha with his next 2 opponents than greenwood's.

    3. Dirty_Harry
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I think it's Zaha if you're chasing and hoping the differential will pay off

  3. Bonus magnet
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    is Saka injured?

    1. justaguy9
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No. He played europa league

  4. OptimusBlack
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    For punt who to get Ward or Coleman

    1. justaguy9
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      For this gw ward i guess

    2. The Fantasy Doctor
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I’m going Ward but unsure.

  5. andrewrichter
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Think Henderson will play all 3 for MU?

    1. Nightcrawler
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I think so yeah

    2. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No, I think DDG will play 1 game.

    3. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      DDG will get one. I don't see any of them get 270.

    4. pingissimus
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I imagine DDG will get one - if only to prove a point

  6. Nightcrawler
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    TC was on Salah but worried avout Pool game time now

    Late in the day when Salah will be Fasting all day long. Perhaps Klopp might take him off early ughhh

    1. JabariParkersEyelid
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Ramadan ends on Wednesday.

  7. Ohh1454
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Best defender on FH up to 5m ? Thinking maybe godfrey Everton seem to do well on the road

    1. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Ward or Mitchell maybe with the fixtures

  8. justaguy9
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    How many hits everyone is on?
    I am on 12. (preparing for this and next gw)

    1. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      None.

    2. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      1 hit. Have 9 DGWers and 11 for the BGW.

  9. Ruinenlust
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Salah or Bruno captain?

    1. Babelcopter
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Salah

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Salah

    3. Iwantmorepointsthanks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Salah

  10. ‘Tis the Season
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Sorry for the repeat..

    Really difficult decision this week. On BB..

    Mendy
    TAA Shaw Coufal
    Greenwood Salah Son Lindz
    Nacho DCL Kane
    (Holding Castagna Tielemens)

    Should I make the follwoing transfers;
    (-4)
    A - KANE to WATKINS
    LINDZ to BRUNO
    2 single GW players / 7 for Blank GW

    or (-4)
    B - SON to BRUNO
    CASTAGNA for MITCHELL

    or (-8)
    C - SON TO BRUNO
    KANE TO WATKINS
    HOLDING TO DIGNA
    2 single GW players / 7 for Blank GW (NO SPURS!!!)

    1. Luton_Fan
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Son to rashford, tielemans to zaha ?

  11. LIARS POKER
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Start Holding or Mitchell if also starting Leno in goal?

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Mitchell has btter fixtures

  12. Pegboy
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Martinez (Meslier)
    TAA Fofana Holding Dallas Veltman
    Bruno(c) Greenwood Jota Son Lingard
    Kane Watkins Nacho

    1FT £0.3m Bench boost this week

    a) Dallas + Veltman/Holding > Shaw + Phillips (-4) (but could block Bruno>Salah next week)
    b) Dallas + Veltman > Shaw + Ward (-4)
    c) Kane + Son > Salah(c) + DCL (-4) (feels a bit short-sighted for next week)

  13. Blue&White85
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Got Schmeichel and definitely need a new keeper next week. Would prefer Maguire over Lindelof but can't afford unless I downgrade Schmeichel now, which might not be ideal. Best option?

    A. Keep Schmeichel in 35, get Lindelof and roll 1 transfer & replace Schmeichel in 36.
    B. Get Pickford & get Maguire now

    1. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Greenwood.

      1. Blue&White85
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Reply fail.

  14. No Salah
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Greenwood or zaha?

    1. Luton_Fan
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Zaha

    2. EmreCan Hustle
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Zaha, if fit.

    3. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Greenwood

    4. Steiger
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Greenwood

    5. Babelcopter
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Zaha

    6. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Greenwood.

    7. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Zaha for me. His next 3 games look great plus he plays in gw36. Greenwood might not even start 2 of the next 3 games plus greenwood doesn't play in gw36

    8. IamthenextTeemuPukki
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      If you are going on form, Greenwood, fixtures, Zaha, but if Zaha has not been scoring previously, doesn't that point to him just having two games in a GW where he does not score rather than one? How the fixtures line up time-wise does not overrule form, just exasperates it further when you choose someone solely for that reason.....Greenwood for me.

    9. No Salah
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Thanks all. Going for zaha
      I’m chasing

  15. TopCorner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Well clear in my mini league, 109 points ahead, but played all my chips and 2nd and 3rd are surely playing BB this week.

    My keeper is a problem, have Forster/Sanchez, so thinking swap one for Pickford/Guaita but would be for a -4... worth it?

    Coady is out to be replaced by either McGuire or Wan B

    plus one of.......

    a. Vardy to DCL
    b. Kane to DCL
    c. Son to Salah
    d. Pereira to Greenwood

    or 2 of the above for a -8?

    1. Westfield Irons ⭐️
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Keep both GK's, Forster will reportedly play both games.
      Coady > Maguire
      D only

  16. EmreCan Hustle
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Does anyone know why Keane didn't play the last two games and if he is expected to start both this GW?

    Thanks.

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Was injured

      Will probably start over Holgate this week

      1. EmreCan Hustle
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers.

    2. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      He was injured. I think he'll come back in for Holgate this week.

      1. EmreCan Hustle
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers.

    3. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Had just come back from injury. Looking at Holgate's performance, should replace him.

  17. Luton_Fan
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Last question

    Madds to Zaha for -4?

    1. EmreCan Hustle
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No

    2. Steiger
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No way. I just don't get the Zaha love on this site.

      1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        It’s not just this site... he’s got 185,000 new owners this week...

        1. Steiger
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          But it's not even for free. Maddy will outscore him this week imho.

          1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
            • 14 Years
            2 years, 11 months ago

            Of course, Maddison could easily outscore him, so could any number of mids - and vice-versa

            It’s just many many thousands more people think Zaha is a better pick against Sheffield United & Southampton defences this week (+ no blank next week)

            Nothing is guaranteed - but it’s not exactly rocket science to see the logic behind him as a pick this week either

    3. Alonso The Great Midfielder
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      keep madd

    4. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      For free definitely but for -4 it's iffy

  18. andres
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A Henderson + Castagne
    B Shaw + Martinez / Guaita

    on FH.

    1. Westfield Irons ⭐️
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Not A due to GK rotation at MANU
      B but with Maguire + Guaita

  19. JonSnow
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Robertson, Taa & Salah
    Maguire, greenwood, fernandes
    On FH, overkill or not, I could replace one of pool defenders with castagne or dinge

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I'd lose a pool defender, but the other 5 would be in my FH team had I still got it

  20. NoName
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Best United defender for this gw?

  21. Stranger Mings
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Sorry if already covered today, but any idea if holding play both Games this week? If not which one is he more likely to play?

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Luiz has been training. Which game Holding plays, no clue.

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        That makes me think maybe luiz plays WBA and holding plays v Chelsea which wouldn’t be good so makes me think rudiger better option

        1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          I would go with Rudiger.

  22. Biggsy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Would you get Richarlison over DCL if you had the funds?

    1. Saosin
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      If chasing, maybe

      1. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Chasing top 10k

    2. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No.

    3. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I'd rather DLC personally

  23. Letsgo!
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Capt salah or bruno?

    1. EmreCan Hustle
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Assuming both will start two, Salah. But to celebrate a TGW, Bruno.

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Salah

  24. Saosin
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Who will get less minutes?

    Holding/Rudiger/Fofana

    1. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Rudiger

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Would you play holding over rudiger then ?

    2. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Holding and Rudiger might get one each. Fofana should play both.

    3. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Hard to split those 3. Holding nailed with Luiz out. The other two chasing CL.

  25. Heisenberg W. W.
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Leading my ML by 30pts with 2FT 0.5ITB and no chips

    CT

    Martinez
    TAA - Holding - Rudiger
    Bruno - Salah - Lingard - Son
    Vydra - Kane - Ihenacho

    (Forster - Coufal - Coady - Gundo)

    I'm considering the following options:

    1. Son & Vydra > Greenwood & DCL
    2. Son to Rashford (roll the extra FT)
    3. Son, Vydra and Rudiger/Holding for Greenwood, Benteke, Digne or (Wan Bissaka/Maguire) -4

  26. All For One
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Bamford>DCL -4

    Yes or no?

    1. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yes.

    2. andres
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      yes

      1. All For One
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks guys

    3. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I would

  27. LLoris
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Which one is better

    A) Digne for Coady
    B) El Ghazi for ESM

    Coady is on my bench this week for me and will play next week. So I am gaining 1 game this week but the same next week.
    ESM is starting this week for me and will blank next week. So I am gaining 1 game this week and 1 game next week with El ghazi.

    1. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B, though not much difference overall I'd say.

    2. Alonso The Great Midfielder
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      el ghazi

  28. mkgrzybek
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Hi guys! Who to start? Saka or Kane?

    1. All For One
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Kane

    2. Alonso The Great Midfielder
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      kane easy

    3. Il Capitano
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Kane

  29. Ten Season Wonder
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Hi all,

    I have FH & BB chips left... what's best strategy for the next few weeks? I am aware that this is the last option for DGWers, so all advice would be greatly appreciated.

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      If bench is good, go for BB this week

      FH can be played in last week

    2. iCon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Depends on what your bench is like. If rubbish FH this week and build to BB in 38; if decent BB this week and probably FH next if you have a few missing for 36

      1. Ten Season Wonder
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        cheers lads. appreciate responses. I can get this team out as it stands... (but happy to take a hit if needed)

        GUAITA
        TRENT - SHAW - TARGETT
        BRUNO(c) - GREENWOOD - MARTINELLI - son - bale
        kane - IHEANACHO
        ----------
        Bench: Sanchez; Saiss, Dallas, Bamford

  30. Alisson WondHaaland
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    2FT
    A) Saka to El Ghazi
    B) Saka + Fofana to Greenwood + Ward
    C) Saka + Kane to Rashford + DCL