Spot the Differential

Pogba’s new role makes him a useful FPL differential for Triple Gameweek

Triple Gameweek 35 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at West Ham United, Aston Villa and Manchester United who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or below at the time of writing.

Paul Pogba

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £7.6m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: avl + LEI + LIV | – | FUL | wol

Paul Pogba (£7.6m) has been one of Manchester United’s top performers in recent weeks, producing some of his best football since returning to Old Trafford from Juventus in 2016.

The French midfielder struggled with several minor injuries and a bout of COVID-19 earlier in the season. However, since regaining full fitness, he has become a vital asset to Ole Gunnar Solskjær, which has coincided with a new, hybrid role on the left of United’s 4-2-3-1 formation.

The more advanced position means he is generally further up the pitch when United reach the final third, where he has the vision and ability to quickly switch play. And that’s led to a big improvement from Pogba, who has scored two goals and registered four assists in his last ten matches across all competitions. He also ranks joint-second amongst team-mates for shots in the box, and third for chances created over the last six Gameweeks.

The Red Devils are now unbeaten in 13 Premier League matches, and after the latest fixture amendments were announced earlier this week, now visit Aston Villa before back-to-back home matches against Leicester City and Liverpool in Triple Gameweek 35.

While it’s hard to pinpoint exactly which, if any, of United’s assets will be handed three starts, Pogba’s versatility enhances his chances, and now in a really good moment, could be an effective differential for the remainder of the season.

Michail Antonio

  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: EVE | bha | wba | SOU

Gameweek 34 saw the return of Michail Antonio (£6.4m) to West Ham United’s attack.

The 31-year-old was back in the starting XI after recovering from the hamstring injury which forced him off against Wolverhampton Wanderers last month, and it didn’t take him long to impress.

His quickfire double, finishing off crosses from Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) and Saïd Benrahma (£5.9m), turned the game in the Hammers favour, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to return more, as he ended the game with six goal attempts, two big chances and 12 penalty box touches. 

In fact, Antonio’s expected goal involvement (xGI) total of 1.43 was not bettered by any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) player in Gameweek 34, and as pointed out by Neale in his Scout Notes, it is merely a continuation of a season-wide trend as no forward with substantial game-time to their name has a better rate of xGI per 90 minutes.

Manuel Lanzini’s (£6.4m) performance also caught the eye, with the Argentine excelling in a deeper role in Declan Rice’s (£4.7m) absence, and as a result of their win, West Ham now sit fifth, just three points behind Chelsea with four games to play. 

With a crucial run of games coming up against Everton, Brighton and Hove Albion, West Bromwich Albion and Southampton, Antonio can finish the season strongly, and could be one of the very best FPL differentials for the run-in.

Anwar El Ghazi

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: MUN + EVE | cry | tot | CHE

Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) has not always been a guaranteed starter at Aston Villa this season, but has now scored in back-to-back matches and made a real impact.

The Dutchman’s Gameweek 34 strike at Everton took his tally to eight in the Premier League, making him the Villans’ top scorer behind Ollie Watkins (£6.5m), and there is no doubt that at his best, he has the ability to be a real game-changer.

Interestingly, captain Jack Grealish (£7.5m) recently labelled El Ghazi as Villa’s best finisher at the club, and it was easy to see why at Goodison Park, as he bent the winner past an excellent Jordan Pickford (£4.8m) late on. He also hit the woodwork and enjoyed plenty of success running at Carlo Ancelotti’s backline, which is encouraging.

The winger’s shoot-on-sight policy is evident in the numbers, too. Amongst all midfielders per 90 who have played a reasonable number of minutes, he ranks second for goal attempts, fifth for big chances and third for expected goals (xG), only behind Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) and Gareth Bale (£9.1m).

At this stage, we should point out that longer term, this move carries more risk, as it’s likely we’ll see El Ghazi drop out of the starting XI upon Grealish’s return. However, if the England international continues to be ruled out, and you fancy a short-term differential punt, this could be a good one.

2,781 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Merlinho
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Selection stresses!

    I need to start one from Holding, Rudiger, Lingard.

    Double gameweeker seems to make sense, but Holding might not play, and Rudiger may not either (and tough fixtures)

    What would you guys do?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Jesse

    2. Tsparkes10
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Lings

    3. Booked4Dissent
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I have choice between Lingz and Holding (I’m deffo starting Rudiger).

      Everyone says Lingz and they’re probably right, but if I knew Holding will start both games I’d play him.

      Last time I benched a double gameweek player (Justin), I missed out on 17 points!!!!

  2. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    The Greenwood vs Zaha decision is horrible. Greenwood leaves me with 8 next week. Zaha with 9. Both my main rivals have Greenwood. No idea if Greenwood plays all 3. Unsure on Zaha’s fitness. Fixtures and schedule for Man U is poor. Fixtures for Palace are great. Stats for Palace are poor. Man U stats are decent.

    Such a hard call! What’s everyone else thinking?

    1. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      If your ahead Greenwood, if you're chasing Zaha

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        I’m ahead by like 30

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Sacking them both off, going for El Ghazi to fund another upgrade and hit elsewhere....

    3. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Neither.

    4. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yeah...difficult indeed. What about Siggy? I’m thinking Greenwood or Siggy...

    5. Booked4Dissent
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Greenwood for me. Fit and will get two games

    6. The Final Boss
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Thinking about elghazi

    7. pingissimus
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Very low odds imo that he gets all three.

      Not sure how good Zaha has looked lately. Not in the form that says "pick me" and his contribution to the last 5 Palace goals since his return from injury has been one goal and an assist. Swerving him here. Hope I'm wrong to 🙂

      I'd go Greenwood and hope he gets Villa anyway and then do something else in 36.

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks mate. This is what I’m considering... alternative is to save FT to have 2 next GW. I’m on BB.

        Mendy
        TAA. Shaw. Rudiger. Holding
        Salah. Bruno. Jota
        Kane. DCL. Nacho
        (Forster, ASM, Lingard, Coady)

      2. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Sorry the moves are;

        Lingard+Coady >> Greenwood+Ward (-4)?

        1. pingissimus
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Oooof

          I'm looking at Lingz on my bench (behind Jota) and wondering if I'm making a horrible mistake. Simply on this week the moves add up I think and on BB it's hard to resist.

          Greenwood over Lingz in 37/38? Not bad I guess.

          1. RAFA THE GAFFA
            • 8 Years
            2 years, 11 months ago

            Yeah. I could then pick up Antonio. Such a hard call. Make the moves you reckon matey? Thank you

  3. MIGHTY JOE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Keane ready and nailed???

    1. Saosin
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Went with Godfrey

  4. Tsparkes10
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Final question... Nat Phillips or Holgate?

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Nat

  5. LIARS POKER
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    The palace journo replying to somebody asking him about Zaha on twitter:

    "Zaha wasn't mentioned in the broadcast section of the press conference among the players who are missing or have injury problems. All we can say for now."

    Praying that he is hinting no issues

    1. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      He’ll probably play but Palace is awful attackingwise. And groin injuries might be nasty...

  6. Corona is not good 4 U
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Is this bench boost team good to go? Or would you transfer out one?

    Guaita, Martinez
    Konsa, Ward, Coleman, Alexander-Arnold, Castagne
    Fernandes, Greenwood, Salah, Saka, Lingard
    Vardy, Iheanacho, Watkins

    Thank you!

  7. jaguar shark
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Ugh… feeling like Fernandes is a trap. He’s gonna play two games against tough teams with a tired squad.

    1. Nightcrawler
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Cant decide between him and Salah for TC

      1. jaguar shark
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Wouldn’t be surprised if salah scores more

    2. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      This.
      Nacho and Salah looking better options.

    3. Saosin
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I think he will get more minutes than Salah for example. But yeah. Hard.

  8. Mr_Barbs
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A) Play Lings - 2FTs in GW36 to sort 4 blank players
    B) Bamford > Watkins (bench Lings)

    Martinez
    Digne, TAA, Castagne
    Greenwood, Bruno, Son, Jota, Lingard
    Kane, Iheanacho

    Fabri, Bamford, Dunk, Struijk

    1. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

  9. Blue&White85
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Best option this week only

    A. Schmeichel & Lindelof
    B. Pickford & Maguire

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

  10. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Is Lingard + Vydra > JWP + Benteke for free a waste?

    Would do Jota back to Ling in a couple of GWs.

    1. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Depends on rest of squad and where it leaves you next week too. I personally wouldn't be quick to sell Lingard.

  11. Sean
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Will Leno start both games?

    1. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Seems like Ryan is getting minutes at the moment, i'm selling leno for hendo

    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Don't think so.

    3. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Simple answer is NO

  12. moment
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Pick 3 from 4: TAA, Phillips, Holgate, T. Mitchell

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      TAA Phillips Mitchell

    2. Studs Up
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Not Holgate

  13. Mesh
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Did Hodgson say anything about Mitchell or Zaha?

    1. iCon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Mentioned Mitchell (check scout tweets); don't think he said anything about Zaha

    2. pingissimus
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Mitchell he likes for form but noted how he picked up injuries, Dubious here that he gets more than 2 of the next 3.

    3. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      If he never mentioned about zaha I assume he's fine

  14. MHG
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Play Mendy or Forster?

    Will Mendy get 2 games?
    It seems Forster is in for both

    Thanks

    1. Alonso The Great Midfielder
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      mendy

  15. cruzex
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    zaha, siggy or greenwood?

    1. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I like zaha's fixtures. Not keen on greenwood getting the game time everyone else thinks he will get.

  16. LLoris
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    TC on Bruno?

    1. moment
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      When else are you going to play it?

    2. Maarrrr17
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Go for it

  17. Maarrrr17
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Holding or Rudiger?

    1. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Holding

    2. ilikewud
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      To buy... neither to start... Rudiger

    3. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Rudiger

  18. andrewrichter
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Maguire or Digne? Salah or Fernandez captain?

    1. Maarrrr17
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Digne

      Bruno probs

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Digne

    3. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Digne
      Salah

    4. ILOVEBAPS
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Mags & Salah

  19. Tinmen
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Right lads, captain. Who’s it going to be ?

    1. Maarrrr17
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      a.

      1. ilikewud
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        this

      2. Tinmen
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Ballsy

    2. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Mo

  20. Jaok
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Yay or Nay

    Son + Rudiger + Coady -> Bruno + Mitchell + Shaw

    Mendy
    Shaw Mitchell TAA Castagne
    Salah Bruno Jota Fernandes (c)
    Nacho Kane

    Forster Lingard Veltmann Vydra

    1. Bonus magnet
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      you have the double Fernandes starter pack?

  21. bitm2007
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Ole Gunnar Solskjaer says it is "not my problem" if he distorts the battle for Champions League places by fielding under-strength teams next week.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/57025657

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      This is good enough for me

      Na(c)ho it is

  22. cruzex
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    why is vestergaard not suspended?

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Card was rescinded

    2. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Card overruled

    3. Il Capitano
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Red overturned

    4. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Wasn't a red to begin with.

  23. Ruinenlust
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Captain Salah or Bruno??

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Mo

    2. Booked4Dissent
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Look at the poll. It’s a bigger sample size than 3 or so people who might reply to your post.

  24. Bubbles1985
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Nobody sticking captain's band on Nacho?

    1. ilikewud
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      There are some

    2. Aster
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I am

  25. LLoris
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    How do you feel about TC Henderson?

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I feel like the probability of an underwhelming return is high

      1. LLoris
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        WIll he play all 3?

    2. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I see 1 CS, maybe.

  26. Champione
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A) Maguire + DCL
    B) Rashford + Watkins
    C) Maguire + Kane

    All options mean -4

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

    2. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

    3. Shteve
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

    4. Champione
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Cheers all

  27. arkom
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Digne / TAA / Dunk / Requilon / Phillips
    Salah / Lingard / Son / Greenwood / Rapinha
    Watkins / Nacho / Vardy

    BB activated

    A) Rapinha & Vardy --> Bruno & Benteke

    or?

    B) Rapinha, Son & Requilon --> Bruno, El Ghazi & Lindelöf/Coleman etc. (-4)

  28. Boly Would
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    No-Bruno BB team ready to go? Salah the right captain call?

    Martinez / Henderson
    TAA / Maguire / Robertson / Castagne / Coufal
    Salah / Greenwood / Mount / Maddison / Martinelli
    Kane / Iheanacho / Watkins

  29. Mr. O'Connell
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Kane and Greenwood

    Or

    Mount and Cavani

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      KG

  30. Eastman
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Jota to Zaha/Siggy worth a -4?

    1. Mr. O'Connell
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Nah