Spot the Differential

FPL differential Harrison can capitalise on Leeds’ long-term fixture appeal

Gameweek 3 is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more Fantasy Premier League (FPL) differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Leeds United, West Ham United and Southampton, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

FPL points predictions for Gameweek 3 and beyond 3

JACK HARRISON

  • FPL ownership: 3.6%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: bur | LIV | new | WHU | WAT

There were signs in midweek that Jack Harrison (£5.9m) is back to his best, as his late double fired Leeds United into the third round of the Carabao Cup.

His first effort, a lovely dink over the goalkeeper, was then followed by a thunderous drive into the corner, which served as a timely reminder of exactly what the former Manchester City man is capable of.

Overall, it was an exciting display by the 24-year-old as he attempts to get back to his 2020/21 level, when he weighed in with eight goals and provided 10 assists for Marcelo Bielsa’s side. Those performances ensured he finished as the sixth top-scoring midfielder in FPL, averaging 4.4 points per match, the same as team-mate Raphinha (£6.5m).

In the current season, it hasn’t quite happened for Harrison so far, though we have seen glimpses of his potential. Now, following his midweek brace, the expectation is that he can kick on as Leeds’ fixtures ease, particularly from Gameweeks 5 to 10. However, now might be a good time to act, with Burnley (a) up next, a fixture he thrived in last season with a 16-point FPL haul. It’s also worth noting that despite an Elland Road tie against Liverpool in Gameweek 4, Bielsa’s side have proven that they are capable of scoring against any opponent, which does suggest that he can be a set-and-forget pick right up until the beginning of November, possibly longer.

Encouragingly, throughout his time at the club, Harrison has improved year on year, and now having opened his account for the season, can build on that this coming weekend with a trip to Burnley. 

JARROD BOWEN

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: CRY | sou | MUN | lee | BRE

Jarrod Bowen (£6.4m) has been a solid performer for West Ham United since joining from Hull City in 2020.

In his first season in north London, the 24-year-old established himself as a regular starter and in 13 league appearances, scored one goal, provided four assists and played a significant role in the club securing their top-flight status. He then followed that up with a combined 14 goals and assists last term.

During the opening two rounds of 2021/22, he’s been unfortunate not to return, given his -1.12 expected goal involvement (xGI) delta. However, he’s certainly made an impact against both Leicester City and Newcastle United, as shown by his six created chances and eight successful crosses. Only Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.5m) can beat that latter total, which does suggest that FPL points are on the way, especially with the likes of Tomas Soucek (£6.0m) and Craig Dawson (£5.0m) lurking in the box.

David Moyes’ side are currently top of the table with six points from their first two matches, and will now take on Crystal Palace and Southampton either side of the international break.

This weekend’s opponent, Palace, is particularly appealing. A heavy 3-0 loss at Chelsea on the opening day, followed by a goalless draw with Brentford and Tuesday’s loss to Watford in the second round of the Carabao Cup, means that the Eagles are yet to win or even score a goal under Patrick Vieira. 

Betting against Said Benrahma (£6.3m) would be a bold move right now, but that’s what this column is all about, and for those eyeing up an under-the-radar mid-price midfielder with bags of potential, Bowen is worth a look.

TINO LIVRAMENTO

 1
  • FPL ownership: 4.8%
  • Price: £4.1m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: new | WHU | mci | WOL | che

Southampton’s new signing Tino Livramento (£4.1m) is already proving himself in the top-flight after two impressive appearances.

The 18-year-old, who joined from Chelsea in a deal worth just £5m earlier in the transfer window, earned a surprise start in Gameweek 1 and then followed it up with a man-of-the-match display in Sunday’s 1-1 draw with Manchester United. 

Starting ahead of Kyle Walker-Peters (£4.9m), who was Saints’ first-choice right-back last season, Livramento’s six interceptions and three successful take-ons stood out, as did one storming run down the wing which almost produced an assist for Adam Armstrong (£6.0m).

It’s also worth noting that Ralph Hasenhüttl switched from his usual 4-2-2-2 formation to a back three at half-time, as Jan Bednarek (£4.5m) replaced Theo Walcott (£6.0m). That meant Livramento took on a wing-back role, though his attacking instincts were often curtailed by Luke Shaw (£5.5m) and Paul Pogba’s (£7.7m) forward runs.

Up next for Southampton is a trip to Newcastle United, who are on a three-game losing streak across all competitions and have only managed three home wins from their last 12 attempts in the Premier League.

Having won the Chelsea Academy Player of the Year award in 2021, following in the footsteps of Mason Mount (£7.5m), Reece James (£5.6m) and Billy Gilmour (£4.5m), Livramento has real potential, and with a bargain-bin price tag could be a nice differential pick-up for FPL managers.

857 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Jeppe1234
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    On a WC. Do I get in a 5m goalkeeper (Meslier or Sa) or get 2x 4.5 keepers (Raya, Sanchez) and rotate between the 2?

    1. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Out of those options a 5m, you'll miss every clean sheet when rotating. Personally though I'd just go Sanchez

      1. Pukki Party
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        A rotation is fine. People just tend to remember the gameweeks when the points are on the bench. I think with only 37 transfers and a captain decision every week rotating keepers is a nice choise to have every week.

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Just one GK - like Sa as if you want Leeds defence you can get Ayling. Prefer Sa and Ayling to Meslier and Coady for instance

      1. Andy_Social
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        True, but I reckon Semedo could outscore Ayling and he's just 0.4 more.

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Does Semedo look threatening first couple of games. Will pay more attention to him when I watch the Wolves United game on Sunday

          1. Andy_Social
            • 11 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            Very. Will be a decent assister if the strikers ever find the onion bag!

  2. sdc294
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Hit wildcard after a couple of beers probably a bad decision lol, decided as I have may as well take a few risks thoughts?

    schmeichel
    coufal mings reguilon (livra, b.williams)
    benrahma greenwood fernandes son (bissouma)
    dcl kane (c) antonio

    I know that mings only looks good for this week so not sure about him

    1. Horlicks esq.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Its obviously a massive team - right now. Good luck to you. Looks tasty, but its not even GW3 bro. January is so far away.

    2. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Don't log in to FPL with alcohol in your system lol

    3. sdc294
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I know wish there was an undo button lol

  3. Dynamic Duos
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    How good are the Leeds fixtures to gwk11 , wow

    1. Horlicks esq.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Gw5 - Gw9 yes

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        You don't like bur or nor?

        1. Horlicks esq.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Apologies yeah - Norwich inclusive. Burnley away isnt easy. Then Pool. So after that yes. Ayling and Raph in soon.

    2. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      If I were wildcarding, I'd triple up.

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Could happily keep them all the way to Dec tbh innit

    3. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Ayling Raphina Bamford

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Probably Harrison, Raph and Bam for me

      2. Andy_Social
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Yes, or Meslier, Firpo, even Harrison if strapped for cash.

  4. okan58
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    What should i change?

    1FT:
    Bank: 0,3

    Martinez
    Shaw - Coufal - Digne
    Salah - Grealish - Fernandes - Raphinha
    Antonio (c) - Ings - Toney
    Subs: Foster, Bissouma, Amartey and White.

  5. Jeppe1234
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    RMT
    0.1ITB

    Meslier (Ward)
    Reguilon, TAA, Ayling (Amartey, Livramento)
    Grealish, Salah, Raph, Benrahma
    Kane (C), Antonio, DCL

    any improvements you would make?

  6. GoonerSteve
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    What's everyone thinking about Harvey Barnes?

    I've kept him in tor Norwich but have a horrible feeling he will be benched.

    1ft so maybe I should just cut my losses and get Benrahma.

    Fancy a mini wildcard next week though.

    1. _figu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Decided to keep but will be selling on WC next week. I would sell him for Benrahma though.

    2. Horlicks esq.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I've got 1FT left, but hes stayed in. The hope is he finally turns up, brings back the 0.1 from casuals and goes out before gw4 deadline with my 2FT's. Probably to Raph once Int issues become clearer.

    3. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Keeping this week, selling gw4

    4. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I had that feeling too so switched him to Ben, he's on fire

  7. Boxwoods
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Can anyone decode Klopp's comments in the twitter feed?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I can’t

    2. Azurri
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      It took it as - Its not like Robertson started training yesterday. He started last week and Tsimikas will be used at some point during the season

      1. Boxwoods
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks, and agreed. Man, that was a mangled delivery, though.

      2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I took at as this as well. That he's saying "it's not like the second he's back training he'll be thrown in instantly, he's been training for a week"

    3. Boxwoods
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I guess he is probably saying something along the lines of: "Look, it's not as though Robbo just trained for the first time yesterday. He was training last week and even made the squad. Yes, Tsimi has put in a shift, but Robbo is Robbo and he's still first choice."

  8. GMBC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Next week have 2FT, want to move on Ings and Wilson and have Veltman on bench.

    Which sounds better?

    A. Jimenez + DCL
    B. Lukaku + Semedo and -4

    1. GMBC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B. Becomes 4-4-2 with a non playing 4.5 Fwd

  9. Ungaio
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Anything worth a hit here? 1.3itb

    Sanchez
    TAA Shaw Tsimikas
    Salah Bruno Barnes Benrahma
    Antonio Ings Toney

    Steele Gilmour White Veltman

    Thanks!

  10. Stupendous
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Wow you can't even say s#it on FFS

    1. Dynamic Duos
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Can say shite though

      1. Stupendous
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Shite censored world now

        1. Dynamic Duos
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Innit

  11. Halia00
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Harrison or Raphinha for leeds ?

    1. Jeppe1234
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      raph

  12. sirmorbach
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Meslier (4.0)
    TAA / Shaw / Coufal (Livramento, Omobamidele)
    Salah / Bruno / Raphinha / Barnes / Benrahma
    Bamford / Ings (4.5)

    0.5 in the bank

    Can I *not* have Antonio and roll my reamining FT? If I need to have him, who goes?

    1. _figu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Ings to Antonio unless you really fancy Ings to DCL next week.

      1. sirmorbach
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I thought so, but I'm concerned Ings might do pretty well agains the Bees... ah la la, FPL can be hard sometimes. Cheers, mate!

  13. Iceball
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Sanchez
    TAA Shaw Coufal Ayling
    Salah Bruno(V) Benrahma Raphinha
    Antonio(C) Ings
    Steele Tsimikas Brownhill Obefemi
    1 ft 3.3 itb
    A) Save and GTG? (Maybe get Lukaku, or DCL next week, or anything that might happen in the injury break)
    B) Upgrade Brownhill now

    1. _figu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      It's a good team, I'd save. Opens up more options the week after.

  14. Threat Level Midnight
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    CR7 will be red again...

  15. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Bench 1:

    A) Dier
    B) Shaw
    C) Tsimikas

    1. aleksios
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      C.

    2. Goonsquad245
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Decision will be made for you more than likely - Tsimikas won’t play

  16. Deulofail
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Do I have the bench and captains right?

    Bachmann
    TAA Shaw Ayling
    Mahrez Grealish Torres Jota
    Kane(c) Ings Wilson(v)

    Foster** | Livramento, ESR, Tierney | 0FT. 0.1 ITB

    1. aleksios
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yes.

    2. Dynamic Duos
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yep, your G2G

    3. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yeh. Will love to see how you shoehorn CR7 in next GW!

      1. Deulofail
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        No sure what you're sayin

    4. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yeah but i'm playing Liv over Ayling for fun

      1. Deulofail
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Hmm.. maybe over Trent for even more fun!?

        1. WVA
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          That would just be scary

    5. Flaming Flamingo
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Nitpicky, but I'd vice Grealish over Wilson. Looks good though 🙂

      1. Deulofail
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Nickpicking is good. Thanks

  17. TeddiPonza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Play Tsmikas or Livramento?

    1. aleksios
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Liv.

    2. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Who has the easier fixture?

  18. Dynamic Duos
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Kane or Son (c)?

    1. aleksios
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Kane.

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Son

    3. Goonsquad245
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Kane easily if you have him

    1. Threat Level Midnight
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      If it is such, United will prevail.

      1. Flaming Flamingo
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I reckon Ronaldo would rather City tbh

        1. Threat Level Midnight
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          No shot.

          1. Flaming Flamingo
            • 7 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            Time will tell. From what I can see, Ronaldo only cares about his legacy and isn't one for sentiment. I hope he goes to United

  19. lilmessipran
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Apparently Utd in for Ronaldo as well..that would be BruNo for me then

    1. Dynamic Duos
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Pens gone

    2. Pompel
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Bad for FPL game

    3. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Bruno to Ronnie. Easy.

    4. Mr Bird
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Really? They already have an understanding with Portugal so if anything it would be a positive in my opinion.

      1. Goonsquad245
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Ronaldo dominates the Portugal team so much they can’t fit Bruno in. The two of them clearly don’t work.

        1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Yeah Bruno was dropped after 1 game in the Euros, it doesn't really work. Bruno and Cavani have a great relationship when on the pitch together, reminds me of Cavani, Hamsik and Lavezzi at Napoli, constant interchanges and nearly always knowing where the other is

        2. mixology
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          It’s shameful to see Ronaldo’s whining at players like Bernardo and Bruno as if they’re league two players

      2. lilmessipran
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Clearly you didn't watch the Euros

        1. Mr Bird
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          I did. Portugal are better suited to a 4-3-3 formation which makes it difficult to fit Bruno in. He was quiet over a few matches but so was Ronaldo. United are also built around Bruno whereas Portugal are obviously built around Ronaldo. I just think with the way UTD play they’d link up well and it would improve Bruno’s output in terms of points.

  20. Mr Bird
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Quick question…

    Who would you rather have this week?

    A) Barnes
    B) Raphinha

    1. Dynamic Duos
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A

    3. AppleDunk
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B

  21. aleksios
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Good enough to save ft? 1 ft 0.8itb.

    --Sanchez
    --TAA--Shaw--Digne
    --Salah--Bruno--Buendia--Benhrama
    --Ings--Antonio--Toney.

    --4.0m--Tsimi--Bissouma--White.

    Thanks guys.

  22. Gomolon
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Most nailed Spurs defender?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Reg?

    2. R.C
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Romero

    3. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Regulion, but Romero once he's up to spec.

    4. Gomolon
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Thanks, gone for Reg - it's only for Draft but first season doing it lol

    5. Threat Level Midnight
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      All of them

    6. Dynamic Duos
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Reggy or Romy, the Spurs Kray twins 🙂

      1. Andy_Social
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        But will they do Ron, Rom, Dom?

        1. Dynamic Duos
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Maybe lol

        2. The 12th Man
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          :0)

    7. dshv
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Dier?

  23. AppleDunk
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Mahrez to Greenwood?
    I'm BruNO. Has Son though.

    1. No Totti No Party
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      i would do it. Would u do Mahrez - > Son -4 ?

      1. AppleDunk
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Wouldn't do it for a hit

  24. Drexl Spivey
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    So much for Ings going up then...

    Might go Jimi over DCL - hang on a week.

    1. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Ings might get a double rise if he scores this GW. Will be perfect ahead of selling him for DCL or Bamford.

    2. Threat Level Midnight
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      SHHHHHHHHHH

      Don't talk about Jimi

  25. Jonjo Shall_We? (Flowers - …
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    I eeally want Ronaldo to join United. Not just because I'm a United fan but also because it will kill Bruno as an option at 12m. 1 less premium player to scratch your head over.

    1. Gomolon
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      If it just replaces 1 United premium with another then it doesn't really mean less head scratching imo

      1. Andy_Social
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        It does. I fancy the choices of galacticos at FIVE clubs (Liv, United, City, Chelsea and Spurs) rather than just the four.

        1. Gomolon
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          You already have that choice with Bruno at United though right?

      2. Jonjo Shall_We? (Flowers - …
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I agree. But is Bruno worth 12m when he doesn't have pens?
        I know he scored 3 from open play GW 1 but still it cripples his appeal imo.

    2. Cok3y5murf
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Scratching your head is good for FPL

    3. Threat Level Midnight
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      This is incorrect. It would turn United into a City like team when trying to decide the best option.

      1. Jonjo Shall_We? (Flowers - …
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        True. But 12m for a pen less Bruno not worth imo.

    4. Jordan.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      also curtains for greenwood

      1. Jonjo Shall_We? (Flowers - …
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Sadly yes. Surprised he has low ownership. Has been a differential for me till now.

    5. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      In a way this would definitely help me as a non Bruno owner, although I feel like I can temporarily manage without him. Ronaldo is a different matter as a CF and then of course taking pens and free-kicks

  26. Threat Level Midnight
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Where can I watch Pressers at?

  27. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Ronaldo now 5/4 to join Man Utd, was 4/1 when I looked earlier. 4/7 to join City, was 1/3 earlier.

  28. Warby84
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    WC

    Sanchez
    Reguilon Shaw Trent Livramento Duffy
    Salah Greenwood Sarr Benrahma Bissouma
    Antonio Kane (C) DCL

    Calvert/Trent
    Or
    Lukaku/Ayling

  29. Dynamic Duos
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Bruno and Toney to Harrison and Kane -4?

    1. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Nooooooo step away